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Let's do a quick model performance review of the 12Z clown maps snowfall thus. I can't speak for everyone, but all models were busting low relative to what we have here in Brick, NJ. Demonstrates that even the mesoscales are struggling with the dynamics. 12Z HRRR 12Z RGEM 12Z NAM 3K 12Z 12K NAM

Sequel to Snakes on a Plane? .

Just measured 3.5 inches at my station in Sheepshead Bay

I think this is known as the angst stage.

Latest HRRR has the eastern side of NJ just sitting in a band for 10 hours straight.

NO observation do not support that in any fashion.

2.5" here

VIS has dropped some. Might have gotten an inch+ considering melting

Just got back from a nice walk! My son wanted to go out "snow plow hunting". We caught two. It is really coming down out there. He said he is moving to a place where this happens every winter.

GYX just increased our forecast total?!?! (From 13” to 15”)

Thankfully the CMC/RGEM will bust too far east for southeast Pa

Another 1.5" over the last hour. Up to 5.3" now. 30.8F. Under some heavier returns. Coming down pretty damn good.

Wow

Over 2.5 inches now.

a friend in colts neck is a friend indeed, unless it is that PB fellow from years back...dude had a temper.

Best snow of event right now.

I think that’s a good estimate. I think some misunderstand when I say it’s hurting. Like last weekend. I didn’t think I should have got some 10” storm. But I do think 30 years ago that was a 2-3” snow instead of .4 qpf of slush bombs at 34-35 degrees. It’s hurting on the margins. And it all adds up. Not saying some 3” storm should have been 20” or anything crazy. But you add a couple other minor events. Tack on an inch here or there and some of these years aren’t as dreg.

With all the F'ckn models how can this be at "game time", is the going more SE>? My wife got the ok to work from home, crap it better snow so Im out.

A bit over 1" in N. Arlington. Good stuff coming down now.

Rates are just so light. Have maybe an inch in like four hours.

Sounds high I'm going to check now I'm in the next town over

Pixie dust snow just started here It’s very light, but the sky’s with that glowing butterscotch color It just smells pregnant with snow out there…

You must be very close to me? I’m outside Palmerton .

Totally agree. I’m not too invested in this one.

Coming down hard for the last 3-4 hours in Odenton MD. Not even an inch on my back deck. Problem is it’s just too warm, it could snow all night like this and wouldn’t make a difference. Still nice though