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Low of 56

A rare epic weather warning was just issued. It runs through late morning. Epic weather conditions are being reported across the entire region.

A mid-September cold front tease

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Southwestern Atlantic (AL90): Satellite images indicate that an area of low pressure has formed about 500 miles south-southeast of Bermuda, and the associated showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization. A tropical depression is expected to form later today or tonight, with further intensification to a tropical storm likely on Sunday while the low moves northward over the southwestern Atlantic. An Air Force Reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this afternoon. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system as watches could be still required later today. For additional information, including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.

Yeah we don't need any early cold. So much fun stuff to do in the fall I'd rather have it warm and dry.

Looks like we may finally get AOA normal today. Ready for it.

Hope so, but I think we’re in for more of the same. Hopefully there’s no early freeze up here this September.

The most important factor for our area is how strong the Northern Stream of the Pacific Jet has been since 2018-2019. So this has found ways to overpower what has been favorable teleconnection patterns in the past. This is why we have experienced the lowest 7 year winter snowfall average on record for many spots from Philly to Boston. Last winter featured what would have been considered favorable teleconnections in the past for snow. Just looking at the seasonal 500mb map, you could make the assumption that it could have been a snowy winter from the means. But on the 11 days NYC had their heaviest precipitation of .25 or more the average temperature was 41° degrees and a strong Southeast Ridge. So the storm track was too warm even if the background temperature of 34.8° was much colder. So the only metric I am interested in at this point for next winter is where the storm track sets up. If it continues the Great Lakes cutter, I-78 to I-84 hugger, and suppressed Southern Stream storm tracks, then it won’t matter what kind of poleward extension we get with the ridge near Alaska. This has been the dominant storm track with the record Northern Stream of the Pacific Jet. If we get to December and the storm track is still unfavorable, then we’ll know that it will be another well below average winter for snowfall. Hoping to see some improvement in this department. We will know soon enough by December when we get the early La Niña snowfall indicator which has worked nearly all of the time since the 1990s like it did last winter. Last December was below 4” and the rest of the winter finished well below average again. But with the record mid-latitude warmth we are currently experiencing, it would tend to support the Southeast Ridge and strong PacificJet being a factor again. Don’t mind warm winters as long as the storm tracks that are cold like we got in 15-16, 16-17, and 17-18. But there is very little we can do with a warm storm track.

We pray

Low of 54. Ridgely and Goldsboro mesonet stations recorded lows of 53 and 52 respectively

Septorcher coming it seems

Another summer day.

Low of 56.

June was boring, but the last several weeks have been one of our most interesting summer stretches in years. The recent break has been nice, although it has remained somewhat humid. That is finally over at about 9am this morning when the strong front moves through.

56!

Really comfortable pattern here the rest of the month as the next heatwave will miss well to out north with record mid 90s staying up near the tundra. This should be one of the more extreme late season over the top warm ups we have seen. Unfortunately, it will promote more drought and wildfire activity up in Canada.

Same here, but I think it's drought rather than coolness.

60 for the low.

The amount of flat out false info circulating around wxtwitter is simply amazing. Just read a tweet claiming that we are at “solar minimum” which isn’t even close to being true. You really have to be careful who you follow on there

53.0°

That’s exactly the problem….our starting point at the very beginning of this arctic sea ice melt season was record low so we ended up with yet another record low year for 2025

Summerish morning 60/54.

That "taste of fall" next week will even be felt in Phoenix...lol Wednesday A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 97. East southeast wind around 5 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon.

all that excess water vapor is nasty, we could really put it to use by converting it to drinking water, there are devices already available that can do this