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also now one 2 models show it snowing in north md and south pa till like early afternoon mon a lot longer then before

That's absurd. Computer generated is fine but every 10 minutes? Gonna confuse people.

shhhhhhhhhh!!!!!!!!!!!

Jeb....what did you do????

Looks to be ahead of schedule by a bit. Temps are cooler for the forum as well it seems. .

I had someone ask me on FB when a realistic forecast would be posted? Responded "the day after it ends." Dissecting a model run is not forecasting. Maybe it is, with some better at it in accessing and describing. It's always been the lead time and not the event itself especially being afar.

FWIW LWX is also predicted a not-insignificant amount of ice accretion for the metros-SE

That area is in big trouble, could be devastating

Ice Storm Warning for NE Ga!

At least the closer to game time you get, the smaller the jumps will be. 36 hours out the you’re usually locked in on a likely solution give or take

Which means the delta between the two is how much they expect from 00z - 12z Monday.

When you guys have seen 18 and I’ve seen 5, that fired not EVER even out. There is nothing to wait for. It’s bad now, and will be bad For the Rest of tony unless all of you leave for 5 winters in a row and then come back.

Well said! When I worked at Naval Research and Development (DTNSRDC) in Carderock, Md. we had heavy duty computer power (4 Control Data Corp. mainframes plus one from Burroughs Corp.) The "software people" were the systems analysts who maintained the computers while the actual users (the "programmers,") were scientists and engineers who used FORTRAN's powerful mathematics simply as a tool of their trade.

Like I said, the “Expected Total: Official NWS Forecast” map is 100% computer generated. I think it runs every 10 min, iirc it was :02, :12 up in NWS BOX.

WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 3 and 8 inches and ice accumulations between two tenths and four tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of southwest Virginia and southeast and southern West Virginia. * WHEN...From 7 AM Saturday to 7 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute.

Two different maps, one through 7pm Sunday and one through 7am Monday

Their meteorologists are probably exhausted, too. Or, someone may have hacked into the computers there and are about to change the forecast to five feet of snow for the entire sub.......

For sure the 00z suite was a small win, but people are really searching for a huge shift south to recover all our losses. It’s like gambling to cover loses.

We never hope to dry slot

It’s been a long week, I don’t blame you at all, most annoying to me is the banter in the non-banter thread and the competing pbp. That never used to be an issue

Why is it changing every 10 minutes?

Imo I dont see you flipping to prolonged ZR. Sleet? Sure but thats after 6-8”

a snow and sleet storm will be worse for people in cars and walking then snow alone..

Wow 0z Euro doubled our snow from 18z

I better get my extra servings of wheaties with whole milk over the next few days. This lanky sob is gonna need it