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the NAM3k actually came in with no snow for any of our area. The HRRR was not nearly as extreme, but kept measurable snow confined to southside Hampton Roads and Northeast North Carolina. It is true that there is quite a bit of dry air in place, but the moisture brought in by the sfc low and the SW flow ahead of the upper low aloft combined with the strong forcing from the upper low and the FGEN band NW of the sfc low, should be enough to overcome that. Do not want to completely disregard these solutions, but the lack of consistency from run to run along with the lack of support from the pattern do not yield much confidence I picture it like a spray bottle set on mist. You’re trying to put out a fire(dry air) using that mist setting. Moisture just evaporates. The hope is we can get a band or two from the coastal over head the area to see accumulation. People south of the VA/NC boarder should see accumulations. Southside maybe. The peninsula to Richmond and eastern shore probably won’t see anything outside of some dandruff floating around tonight.

I woke up around 5:00am and it was -10. I’m sure there had to be some areas in southeast Ohio in the ‘hollows” that were -20. Or less. This cold wave is brutal…and downright incredible for the southern states. I can’t imagine the amount of broken and frozen pipes and misery going on not to mention the insane electric bills some of these people are going to be facing next month. The crazy thing is there is no end in sight. That first 40 degree day is going to feel like short sleeve weather!

She’s just starting to crank up!

right at 7in here in Morristown. Another 1-2 inches possible. The last 2 hours of snow does seem wetter and increasing so curious to see what that does.

For who? The whole board?

See my post above Don is not correct! We all make mistakes!!

0ZGFS operational is pretty epic with a couple of different plume cycles going on through Southern Canada saw sub 500 thickness over sprawling areas I think twice during the cinemas of those runs… 0Z and 06Z

Hey Don think you have your dates wrong nothing unusually cold at PHL in that timeframe

Same here with the drifting..still got moderate snow falling. My best guess is 5-6" here.

Yeah….We can’t match the obscenity of the mid-50s through late 70s….but this is pretty solid for post-1980…think this is the 9th coldest start to winter for ORH since then and it should continue to climb the rankings if the models have any idea over the next couple weeks.

There's already 3 inches on the ground here in Steele Creek part of Charlotte. I'm near (less than an mile from) the CLT Airport. We're getting the heaviest band and it's white out conditions outdoors here inside of the I-485 beltway. It's likely the spot to see over 8" to up to 10" in my area.

4 here last night

-1.6 here this morning. I figured being on this hill would hurt me on RC nights but I guess not. third coldest temp I’ve recorded on any weather station since 1994… -4 in 2018(?) -2 in 1994 -1.6 today

I know you can’t be exact but if let’s say, we did… looks like I can get in on the higher numbers to the west part of wake. Derp

Am I crazy or are CAMs filling the snow hole .

Hope you all get what I am right now. Huge flakes. Can barely see across the road. It’s been way too long

Nam's liking next week it seems. Good to know we have the 2 best models in support of our cause. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2026013112&fh=84&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 We just need to move that GL low along before it crushes it.

they got close!! 8.6F here, 11F at DCA.

At 9:00 AM EST, 2 NE Blacksburg [Montgomery Co, VA] NWS Employee reports Snow of 3.00 InchEs

At 9:15 AM EST, 2 NW Pipers Gap [Carroll Co, VA] Trained Spotter reports Snow of 3.50 Inch

Low of 8.

I’m at 29-30” here and average is low to mid 30s. Confident we get to that number and probably over 40”.