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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
metagraphica replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Heh...Of course we've all seen the 7/10 split for T-storms....but I've never seen it for a snow squall. Oh well. -
Weak La Ninas arent good for the west
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A Steelers TD here ends the game I think. The 2025 Ravens cannot overcome a 2-score deficit.
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Both these offenses will have a tough time scoring on that Texans D.
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I just got an enjoyable walk in this evening with mid 40s, calm winds, and some cool looking fog that had formed especially over the warmer water with RH.% in the 90s.
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you won't convince ji. this is a losing battle. please stop because you are wasting your time.
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Makes me wonder if the 2016 storm was a fluke in that regard.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Snowcrazed71 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
What I'm hoping to see this year is a long duration event. It's been quite sometime since I've seen that. -
We know for a fact that models have performed very poorly outside of 7-10 days. The warm bias in the east by models 10+ days out has been off the charts for nearly 5 months now. A big western trough keeps getting forecasted, pumping heights to the east, we “torch”.. blah blah blah… it never materializes or ends up being very short lived. Temps have been well below normal all fall and winter. We are bound to see some moderation from time to time. Why you live and die by 240+ hour digital blue on OP runs knowing even ensembles can barely handle anything outside of 168 hours right now seems like a super stressful way to go about this hobby. The upcoming pattern isn’t going to have a big storm sniffed out by models 1-2 weeks out. It’s literally useless cliff diving this far out. Much more likely to see something pop up in the mid range (5-6 days) than you are to find a fantasy storm that models lock in on 1-2 weeks out
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Hamilton goes out and they immediately start getting open, smh Can we have good luck vs the Steelers for a change? Smh
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
The point is…it was non stop high fiving out east. And, It’s all relative bro. Whether you’re talking about 8” here, vs 3-4” out your way like last week. Or 24-30” out east, vs 8-10” over here in 2015. To be honest…when it’s historic and you miss(and miss badly)…it’s even worse..way worse. Jan 29th 2022…30 plus where you were. 7-8” of sand here. So that gets lost in the shuffle too. I’d much rather miss out on a 2-4”- 6-8” deal, than historic snows for 6 weeks straight. So don’t go there. In fact, last Fridays storm on 12/26, that little thing was way better here, than 1/29/22(the blizzard)was here…cuz it snowed way harder, and had great snow growth compared to 1/29/22. Let’s agree that it would be nice to grab some heftier systems going forward now. -
That's a phenomenal deal.
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That is an old run from yesterday am fwiw
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Welcome back
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
powderfreak replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
A week ago we got to 33F. That felt sort of nice, despite being an ice storm. The past 5 days have been below 20F, with a min of -10F during that time. Not excessively cold, but just a continuation of solidly cold departures with temperatures holding the past couple days in the 0 to 10F range down here in the valley. Some positive departures would feel nice. Vehicle batteries would appreciate it. -
I mean each day you see the subsurface warming east of the IDL and slowly moving upwards towards the surface,its still NINA,buit you are seeing its demise every day mow
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That’s the risk every year. Its why it’s rare to have a big snowstorm in NYC
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0z-12z cancels winter and Happy Hour lives up to it's name.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Snowcrazed71 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I just looked outside... Coated up here as well. Wasn't expecting anything tonight? -
Both of these teams are awful and have no business being in the playoffs. Whichever one wins won't be in for long like you said. I'm going to bed lol. I really just don't care. I want Harbaugh fired, and if they lose, better chance of that happening.
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I was thinking that for later in January, even if the subtropical jet became a little more active, the tendency would be for the dominant northern stream to result in either phase up too soon with a storm hooking too far to the left or the streams remaining separate too long and a storm being overly suppressed initially. WX/PT
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I think it’s a little different. Yes you guys didn’t get the historic snow, but it was still well above average, I think that sometimes gets lost in the shuffle
