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Such a nice looking storm heading east. Too bad it’ll be a minor graze. Just can’t get amplification in the right spot anymore.

Light rain, 38 degrees 0.15" so far

35.8 degrees here in NW Chesco with light drizzle

That may not be as big of an issue in February.

Yeah outside of the 11/30 snowfall and a rain event in early January we haven't had a significant precip event essentially since mid August. Hopefully this incoming active Pacific pattern has some widespread precip events in the next few weeks otherwise we are going to have some Problems as early as April. Especially if we have another Smoke Drought in May and June like 2023 which is a distinct possibility this year.

Yea, I wasn't trying to assuage any angst by making that comparison Just pointing it out. I made the mistake of including seasons in the January composite, like 2001-2002, because of that expected PT regime mid month.....but as it turned out, the cold dwarfed it so much it was a mistake. That is why I busted too warm. I feel like diagnosing the pattern is easier than the making the temp composite maps.

Just got back from a quick food trip…nice little steady rain here and a lot of puddles. Nice weather to watch the NBA all star game.

.33 39 degrees i have a work meeting in Grand Rapids Michigan on Tuesday looks like I can't even get snow there

Oh right ok. Sorry wasn’t sure what you meant

It's not good any time of the year....that wasn't my point. Just saying it's similar to that thaw period.

I dunno I thought guidance looked good overall. Between the op and ensembles, I can’t complain.

Yeah not sure I want that now though

I don't like that middle system...those sheared systems are usually a lost cause here. It will probably work for CT.

Yea, it probably won't work out like that, but that is the pathway to be falling short of climo for an 8th consecutive season.

Yup. And Plus I’ll be driving to NYC and DC on the 21-25 so perfect timing for something good to happen here.

On the flip side, that’s a great spot to be right now. Having each storm teasing you. If it was doing this inside of 3 days that would suck but decent chance you get something good.

Didn't pitchers and catchers report today?

Don’t look now but radar out towards York and Lancaster looks pretty good… if temps can crash someone in Chester or norther bucks/montco is gonna get a couple inches imo

OP EURO is a disaster verbatim....1st SWFE snow is just N of me in S NH, the follow up is sheared sw of me, and then the coastal is OTS.

0.26”. 40

RGEM came south

39.2 humidity 67% dew point has dropped from 31f to 28f see a few flakes mixing in with light rain now.

37F, radar looks decent. Some overnight fun would be nice and if it snows that would be great as well...

Why wouldn’t it be in this setup ? In this zone ?

I don't disagree. The linkage to Arctic amplification likely explains much of what has been observed.