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I’m so angry I could spit.

I think in the NYC thread they mentioned 12/5/09 as a potential analog. Seems like a pretty good fit if you toss the Euro.

any chance this trends south and whiffs?

18z GFS crushes this area up thru Ray

We have the important time coming up now…let’s see how this goes from here bro.

BDL is a snow hole, not gonna happen that way

I went from a nasty cold rain (low 40s) in Atlanta around lunchtime to 75 and PC/no rain here in SAV now! I’m now warm in my cords/flannel shirt.

Gfs is a huge hit from about 495 N and W. On the line for Kev.

That’s the hourly rate.

I’ve got 40-50 IPA’s in garage fridge. All will be drank if its a rainer here Tuesday

Gfs still rocking along for the northern crew. I’ll take my 4-6” and run.

If you're also trying to just sit down and relax a bit instead of hiking the whole time then that trail isn't super great as theres no campsites or anything off it. Instead I would recommend https://www.alltrails.com/explore/recording/afternoon-hike-at-black-rock-via-the-appalachian-trail-7f8dfc1 (Black Rock Via Appalachian trail) as its both right off route 70 which is nice and the Annapolis rock outlook has picnic tables nearby (additionally Black rock outlook has a overhang you can stay under which is sheltered).

It does which is why ORH hills will jack . Most of CT is going to warm above 32 aloft . At least EOR. I actually could see you getting more than me. These favor W/ NW CT

So what’s your call bro currently..for SNE?

Or Bradley could be white rain and I'm dumping up here. We just don't know. Did you run out of beer?

40.3 still light rain, 0.11, still below average precipitation for the year, watertable has been gone since last winter

Ignore the clown maps

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Memphis TN 1222 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025 ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>052- 054-055-010600- /O.NEW.KMEG.WW.Y.0003.251202T0000Z-251202T1200Z/ Clay-Greene-Craighead-Poinsett-Mississippi-Cross-Crittenden-St. Francis-Dunklin-Pemiscot-Lake-Obion-Weakley-Henry-Dyer-Gibson- Carroll-Benton TN-Lauderdale-Tipton-Haywood-Crockett-Madison- Henderson-Decatur- Including the cities of Wynne, Corning, Camden, Forrest City, Milan, Blytheville, Piggott, West Memphis, Huntingdon, Lexington, Humboldt, Brownsville, Caruthersville, Covington, Decaturville, Paris, Paragould, Union City, Tiptonville, Jackson, Harrisburg, Martin, Parsons, Jonesboro, Ripley TN, Dyersburg, Alamo, Dresden, and Kennett 1222 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM MONDAY TO 6 AM CST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations less than one inch and ice accumulations less than one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of East Arkansas, Southeast Missouri, and West Tennessee. * WHEN...From 6 PM Monday to 6 AM CST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

A few days ago, I paid to upgrade to the Ultimate Subscription package. The fee was charged to my credit card, but so far, I have not reaped the benefits. For instance, my upload space hasn't changed, and I never received a confirmation email or anything else indicating a change. Could someone look into this, or is it still processing? Thanks.

I just did that hike a couple weeks ago. It was awesome. That's the area I want to check out again. Where's a good high elevation place to stay?

I thought you said this had an elevation aspect to it? You should do better than BDL if that’s true. Or are you thinking west is better now?

Winter Weather Advisories posted for western areas of the forum, specifically NW TN, and eastern Arkansas.

This.... Models are going to struggle with this aspect and the near isothermal layer between sfc-700mb is going to be tough to resolve and likely will be a nowcast situation. Heavier precip in the onset will help to mitigate the WAA regime within the PBL, so intensity will play a pretty big role in this for Central MD along and south of the area you mentioned. Areas up near the M/D with more elevation will likely stay snow longer, as is customary. This is a textbook case of climo likely being the hedge when it comes to the forecast.

Looks like a solid 2-4” out this way.