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Seems too slow

2/22 00z Summary Total QPF NYC / Total 10:1 Snow SREF mean: 2.2 / 21

naw sleep 6pm to 11pm tomorrow then I'll be up until its over

Here’s the 0z NBM (v.5.0):

She’s a beaut 993 wrapping hard off Delmarva at 24

dang

Reynolds wolf in Montauk, Jim cantore in atleast nyc for now.

I am posting this for posterity because it is HILARIOUS NAM has ingested i-95 emissions and they create SNOW

What model runs would start to import that data into their solutions?

Sleep right through the storm?

00z HRRR slays looks like timing is a bit slower than 18z run.

Looks like it includes snow next week but still, crazy. .

2/21 21z SREF Total QPF mean 2/22-2/23-24 Snow 10:1

He’s my hero

it owned thermals a month ago, and was pretty dead on with respect to when I was supposed to flip to sleet for the snowcrete dump. Levels upstairs are all great, we need the coastal to crank and rates to drop temps at the surface. I am choosing to believe the NAM that if things can get going by 1pm, I'll be seeing white rain IMBY at least

NAM not as amped as 18z

Coastal could be getting going a smidge earlier this run? Have to double check 18z

It might! The Alberta vort did a clean phase. It's a triple phaser.

Yes!

That's forky verified numbers right there.

997 of Delmarva, just noise, could be a little drier…let’s see

oh thank God. i have been fretting all day not knowing what the weather was going to be in Pennsylvania.

There’s a lot of people that don’t understand how different this storm will be as modeled when compared to other coastal storms that provided a lot of snow to the area. I am telling family out on LI to think of this as a hurricane that brings snow. The modeled intensity speaks for itself. I also introduced them to a new word for their vocabulary- Bombogenesis. The map below with the expected winds off the latest HRRR run speaks for itself. And yes it does have an eye.