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Yeah northern outlier. If it’s gonna come back, we need the big boy models to start making a move at 00z

Pretty certain this a snow to mix storm.....just need to see how long it snows on us before tainting

Also if anyone has any weird data analysis requests, I have time to handle it the next few days. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Is anyone else here extremely interested in how the AI models handle this vs the normal models vs the forecasters? I think this is great little litmus test. A rare event without many analogs. If anything I can think this maybe where AI shines. If we know CTP they will wait till writing is on the wall with this. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

I mean, it had no choice really.

Maybe we can spin off a thread for these Maine inverted posts?

Anyone know what/when triggers the new snow maps from the NWS offices? They seem to update frequently. Personally, I endorse this one that just came out.

I think the -wpo didn't help

One thing to flick the schlong over the pattern trends, but it would be nice to actually see a storm poised to deliver major snows around the area. Still relegated to taking bong hits while watching @brooklynwx99 H5 movies like 70s porno.

RGEM is a thump wall.

Thanks, man. I am finishing up some Christmas shopping so feel free! I am looking at them right now…Large scale changes.

Just looking through modeling trends and thinking about this again today...

Why didn’t the block link up with the SE ridge this time @bluewave

33° and has been snowing very lightly on and off all day. Above 900 feet or so about a half inch, looks nice sticking to the trees, barely an inch on the ground so if it makes it through tomorrow technically I guess it’s a white Christmas in Hartland

Eric Webb publicly repents

Warmth stayed S&W, no surprise. So much for the Scand block linking up with the SE ridge for a blowtorch over us as it transitioned to a -NAO. Got a quick warm shot the 18th & 19th, similar to late November instead. Looks like -5 departure from normal for the month.

Ray, You may need a magnifying glass to see it, but it was just barely an official zonal wind reversal at 10 mb….but only barely (at ~0.5 m/s per Euro on 11/28/25) after the 11/24/25 initial dip barely failed:

They just replaced the cabins and did maintenance. I think a new storage facility too. .

Agree. Just speaking for CT, I do think there will be measurable snow. Low confidence, but I still think we're not at the final result on the models.

The Weeklies literally just had a run of above average for the month of January a few days ago

Beacons low elevation and proximity to the river make it a known snow hole in marginal events like this. Usually the Newburgh riverfront doesn't do too well either.

Rgem would be a nice thump before any mixing

Extrapolating the NAM is a FOOLS GAME. But it has a much better HP at 18Z compared to 12Z. Guess I will be the fool.

Unreal....preXmas storm last year JUST south of me....one year later JUST north of me. At least I have a dusting now.