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No shortage of clouds. If it was sunny 300+ days a year, I would be more than happy with it. It's the opposite. Cloudy in the winter and it's either too warm for snow or nothing comes from it. In the summer the storms go around all directions. Clouds have no problem. I think for the season we're sitting at maybe three inches of snow. Even the last few days where we would get a squall, the ground would whiten just barely and be gone within minutes of the precip shutting off. Some asshole giving themselves lung cancer (no offense, Steve) or a lightning strike is going to burn this area to the ground this spring/summer if we dont either cash in on a Miller A, which ain't going to happen as I think Miller As are dead, or get an entire spring of rain, which would be my luck.

Dundalk is the snow anus of Maryland. NPZ lives in the snow anus of VA in a shadow effect zone in the Shenandoah valley.

I think the biggest issue with the AI models is that we/they call them AI models. They are just using a different way of processing the data. This isn't an endorsement or indictment of these models, but, I am a firm believer that hardware and software engineering has progressed enough since the first numerical models have been developed that augmenting them with training data and neural processing, things that weren't available a decade ago, seems like a worthwhile endeavor. We had AI before chatbots became mainstream and it was called machine learning, and the newer models are much closer to that than having a conversation with ChatGPT and it suggesting you kill yourself because you may not get 6" of snow again until the year 2028.

It looks better early on but no idea how it will end up

Reggie sucks and has sucked all winter, Piggy back it with the HRRR, 2015 is not coming in the door.

True that, but at least this isnt 250 hrs out. The first depicted system from 12z is 125-160 hrs out.

You maim me good sir

Are we going to eventually have a part 2? This thread will be at 200 pages by end of the weekend

That’s double what you’re used to.

not with the warmer temps on the coast

Can't wait for our blizzard tomorrow morning... 31F

there is more snow on the coast than inland where the advisories are - doesn't make sense and is probably wrong

Bring it home! I’ll just sip my beer and enjoy the PBP

where are my 6hr and 12hr GFS updates on whether the big dawg is coming/or not.

Hopefully it’s not a severe ice storm

First person I heard use that was PSU when he was talking to @EastCoast NPZ several years ago when he was living somewhere near Dundalk I believe? lol

The ole I40 line. Don’t let it be cold rain.

Well...here we are

Sugar highs are nice, but as has been the story all winter, the can always gets kicked 2 weeks down the road. But don't get me wrong, once it's inside 3 days, I'll be smiling at the Hot sign!

Is it pretty much confirmed no snow in southern ETN (Knox down to Signal Mtn) tomorrow or are the models still to variable for any confidence? .

Someone mentioned living in the "Snowanus" of MD a few days ago. That's definitely one I'm stealing lol

You really are in a tough spot now. Too southeast to cash in on the lake stuff and too west for the coastal stuff. Also lying low between ridges. Rough gig.

Phrasing

The SREF continues to be rock steady

Please stop doing this to me… Don’t give me hope!