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Euro weeklies say "what a way to run an historic warm Niño. " @GaWx https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202610020000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202610120000

Everyone else is seeing this clowny GFS run right? Bringing snow showers through the Triad and even pushing into the Triangle. Couldn’t believe my eyes, but it is the GFS after all.

Don't know if anyone noticed, but many of the MR models are showing a big hit of BN over the Conus east of the Mississippi at the end of their runs for the past few days. 18z EuroAi and Gfs are pretty impressive with 12z support on the Gefs and Geps. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ec-aifs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2026100218&fh=360 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2026100218&fh=384 Edit: Euro weeklies are on board too as the first 3 weeks (surprisingly) are BN in much of the east. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202610020000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202610120000

Today's Highs: EWR: 87 New Brnswck: 87 PHL: 87 TEB: 87 TTN: 87 BLM: 86 LGA: 86 ACY: 85 NYC: 83 JFK: 82 ISP: 79

Got up to 85 for a high after a 63 low and picked up 0.17" for my first rain in October (so far). Currently 72 with dp 72 and waiting for that cold front to push through and take that humidity away.

I felt like today was summer saying goodbye

26 is also notably colder than 23 in the Arctic.

When you have all these polar currents in East Asia breeding on warmth,youd want to see some of these oceans colder and not warmer.it doesnt mix out very well

Since operational intensity was borderline and it's not really a sampling issue, I don't really see how they would bother. I mean, that's not overwhelming data for reanalysis to circumvent the operational intensity, IMO.

Quick shower here to end summer 2026.

Almost 0.4”. Not bad

.16 from earlier rain. Rained more in PA thus cancelling Friday night softball. Woo!

Passage of cooler air, rain showers, .15

Last 80s till January

I was in Nashua earlier today and experienced the torch session prior to the convection, felt like mid 80's and dewey

All winter we surely going to have this discussion. There will be storrms, but will it be cold enough?.Your gonna say perfect track but there is no cold air.

Had a shower come thru about 6 pm, dropped 0.08", a start.

No more heat until May please.

lol, what was up with the thunderstorm in Jamaica? I didn’t think it was supposed to rain today. I’m in a windowless office so I was taken a little aback by the dark sky and then it was gusty and pouring for a few minutes. 2026, amirite?

My apologies in advance, ….. I just couldn’t resist…… as always …..

i like getting mosquito bites because scratching them feels good