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I was also not intending for my post to deny any relaxation, it’s just that some of the dates in the latter part of the range are showing up on google’s extended forecast and at the moment look rather mild. If the euro verifies then I think the highs will get walked back a bit.

GFS says what warming next ten days. Definitely going to be the worst stretch cold wise of the winter if correct.

They finally updated weekly ice. This much ice (greater than 50%) for early Feb in the last 45 years doesn't happen often.

You’re all good. I’ve appreciated you adding your takes.

Very aggressive – they have more than Wakefield does for their "high end one in 10 chance".

Decent confluence on top, shortwave might be able to undercut it here.

GFS kinda meh

As we all know the NAM is infallible and so I am looking forward to my four inches of coastal low induced snowfall.

What about showmethesnow... Any idea where that poster went?

Just be sure to wear your rubbers...I mean BOOTS of course!!!!

Down to 33 now.

NAM has been jumping 25 miles north each run. Probably means absolutely nothing, but who cares?

Sorry if I came off a bit harsh before. I'm hopeful that whatever warmup or relaxation is relatively short and we can have some real chances thereafter for the latter part of this month and early March. I'm not expecting the level of cold we just had (nobody should be!), but if we can have some decent cold around that can be tapped into with a nicely timed wave, we can do pretty well perhaps. @psuhoffman described this a bit earlier. We may have more variability, but as long as we don't get stuck in a lousy setup I think/hope we'll be good.

35 off a high of 41. Aside from some edges where the snow has receded, there’s still full coverage with depth. Impressed since my front yard is full southern exposure.

I have to start following him more. Don't know why I stopped when he left TV...but I did.

He hasn’t been on in almost two years, i sure hope I’m wrong but i don’t think it can be good.

I dont know what happened to him. We spoke quite often through PM. And I havent talked to him in forever.

@WinterWxLuvr unfortunately hasn’t posted in a long time. I really hope he is ok.

Comparison Map:

If the ridge bridge still looks like it’ll only last 3 days then the 11-16th map could pretty much cover the relaxation in its entirety. Which if so shows barely any deviation from the seasonal mean at that time.

But it screws up your consecutive days with temps at or below freezing. I would hit the sauce...preferably a smooth bourbon, neat. 29/sunset

I’ll always remember needabiggerboat. Sucks. I‘m glad he is being mentioned. Raise a glass tonight. Winterwxlover posts occasionally. Miss him very much.

This has looked like an over performer since last night to me. It’s just an odd time lately with unusual things happening