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AAM has been verifying much more + than CFS ensemble forecasts have been indicating in the relative short term: Today’s (11/27) run has +0.5 to +1.0 late Nov/1st part of Dec: But look at what earlier runs had for the same period: 11/21 run: -0.25 11/19 run: -1 11/16 run: -1.5 11/11 run: -1 to -1.25
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
HoarfrostHubb replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Temp down to 35. After yesterday this feels really cold
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A record number of days this year for gusts over 40mph with so many lows racing through the Great Lakes.
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Happy Thanksgiving all! Definitely not a torch today. -
0" for me. Sweet. Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
moneypitmike replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
LOL at Maine. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Early estimates seem like a 4-8 or 5-10” type storm lollis to 12 -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential
migratingwx replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential
King James replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Let’s see if I can get 2 feet by December 1st -
Was that 2022? 23?
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Let's Jerry antecedent days all month! -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
CoastalWx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Happy Thanksgiving! -
Man here’s hoping. Can we just get one early season for once. I don’t remember the last big early December snow up this way.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Baroclinic Zone replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
We baste today. See what transpires on model runs. Barring anything major, it looks like a good start to MET winter for some coming. -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential
Chambana replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Probably gonna lose a few inches due to melting and compacting here, still a fast start to winter, none the less! Love to see it -
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Baroclinic Zone replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Yeah, lead wave plays a pivotal role in sensible outcome. Pointed that out yesterday. Sort of torn on stronger trailing wave as that would likely introduce more warm sit intrusion with retreating high. -
