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RGEM on board for some New Years day NOVA flurries.

We’ve been expecting that . These clippers tend to come back on models 48 hours in

69kts BUF. Holy shit

12z GFS at D10 actually a decent attempt at something

the latter

I don't know if "spoiled" is appropriate.....if you have received that amount frequently enough to be perceived as "spoiled", then it's inherently not very anomalous, so why would it be memorable?

Feel like you can close the blinds on model watching for the next few days at least

Come pick me up

Wind has arrived. Won’t leave until late Wednesday. Strongest (50+ gusts) early, early afternoon through late this evening.

They're having a hissy fit. Plain and simple.

Did the opposite of a snow chase and drove to Cape Hatteras. 64, humid, sunny, breeze out of the south picking up. 10/10

Wind is starting here now.

Is the optimism for January genuinely gone or are the weenies just having another hissy fit?

Here is the current radar as compared to latest HRRR at this timeframe

Well said. Here's the visualization:

It will be shotgun blasts tonight

Always colder than modeled

It’s been 13yrs for this area’s last legit KU. We’ve had several close calls and several busts since then but it is time…we are owed one.

This front can’t come thru soon enough. Few more hours

A few light flurries here this Morning.

The timing of the development of a PNA+ remains perhaps where the greatest uncertainty concerning the teleconnections lies. The EPS still developes a PNA+. A prolonged delay would risk breaking the colder pattern, especially if the WPO and EPO both go positive. If the AO goes positive along with the WPO and EPO while the PNA stays negative, that's a classic very warm pattern. For now, that doesn't seem to be a highly likely outcome, at least for the first half of January.

Like saying 15 inches isn't memorable. Spoiled generation

Gfs has a couple clippers around that time

Great to see Geauga was upgraded to a warning for 6-8". Winds are strong out there... already a lot of blowing snow.