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  2. pazzo83
    my yard is so happy lol
  3. Birds~69
    3 seperates blobs. Vegas odds are I miss all 3... 84F/DP 70F
  4. pazzo83
    was picking up my daughter from camp on the bus and we missed it by about 10 min thankfully. DCA hit 95F before this started coming through, so another 95F+ day in the books.
  5. SnowenOutThere
    No visible rotation from my vantage point. Massive downdraft/microburst visible though.
  6. michsnowfreak
    Every El Nino and La Nina is a copy/paste of the same maps.
  7. dendrite
    60s and rain after a high of 73F here. Congrats on the 59s to the cars on blocks in the Berks though.
  8. michsnowfreak
    You wont find any disagreement from me on expecting a milder than avg winter. Ive said it multiple times, along with the fact that my gut says the 3 main winter months will feature one horrendous month, one good month, and the third month being a wildcard. I do expect early and possibly late snows, and I dont anticipate anything close to the persistence in snowcover we saw the last 2 winters. I cant possibly get more detailed in late June, especially since I dont forecast lol. I also know the history of strong/super Ninos weather-wise here. None are great winters...but not all are bad either, and it seems commonplace here that some pick the worst of the bunch as their "analog" without proper explanation. Whats funny is, Id take 1997-98 over 1957-58, 1965-66, or 1982-83 here. Id take 2009-10 over 1997-98, but I wasnt even remotely suggesting it as an analog. I was merely saying that the map mitchnick posted (which hes allowed to do) looked like it temp wise. Speaking of temps...the fact that everytime the consistently cold cansips is posted, or any other cold map, the poster and all "weenies" get attacked speaks volumes about certain people. I admit, it would be VERY interesting to see the reactions/posts in this thread if those maps were warm and if the other maps were more furnace like (since none to this point are). Suddenly it would be ok to post them! snowman and bluewave often get lumped together for their bias. However, bluewave is a respectful poster and even when others dont agree with what he posts, he does not attack, insult, or go into a rage. Its very easy to see why snowman is post-limited.
  9. WxUSAF
    Another fucking swing and a miss
  10. Birds~69
    I don't know. Headed NE...
  11. dailylurker
    Heavy tropical rain and a bunch of lightning just rolled through the lowlands of AA County. I don’t hate the radar. I can already hear the cell near DC. Hopefully this area is about to get some training.
  12. kgottwald
    My luck finally ran out: I had to walk home through the heaviest part of the insane monsoon flooding cell in central Fairfax County. Never again!
  13. pazzo83
    finally a storm that is blowing up right over the city
  14. SnowenOutThere
    Looks like the hooks reformed over GMU. Saw two bolts from the blue hit right over there
  15. SolidIcewx
    I hear constant rumbling from that storm to my NW here in south Alexandria
  16. MN Transplant
    It is raining and it is glorious
  17. LVblizzard
    Storm west of Doylestown is starting to rotate too. That’s probably going to become warned very shortly.
  18. vortex95
    Yes, but normal waxing and waxing decadal cycles of tornado activity occur by default in the large picture. For instance, there was a distinct minimum in annual totals inn the second half of the 1980s, and another in the mid 2010s. We would really need another 30-40 years of high quality data IMHO o map out normal cyclic activity in tornado patterns. It could be shifts W-E and then E-W as part of a larger cycle over many decades. Also, all states are not created equal for symmetric tornado count changes. Population change/distribution and visibility are two factors. Also, seasonal trends. For instance, there appears to be a shift for more tornadoes in the cool season w/ a decrease in the warm season. This would tend to make tornadoes under-reported in the cool season b/c of less daylight. Hence, uniform extrapolation over all areas/states can not be applies here. There is still and increase net-net of course.
  19. LP08
    Has to be some hail in there too, some 68dbz pixels showing up
  20. SnowenOutThere
    It’s combined with the cell that popped up over 66 (I was driving west to get the culpeper cell) and it was nasty. Some of the heaviest rainfall you can get. The gust front is hitting me from the cell complex. I’m at the Herndon metro garage if anyone is interested in where my reports are from. They have a 6 story roof.
  21. olafminesaw
    This gif came to mind
  22. CAPE
    This morning Mount Holly actually had 1-2" in the forecast here for tonight, with a quarter to a half inch today. I knew that forecast was a bust. Now a half to three quarters tonight, and pretty much nothing this afternoon/early evening. See what it gives. There's always the delayed but not denied thing for tomorrow if tonight underwhelms with another piece of energy slowing the front. I'm sure it will all work out.
  23. Birds~69
    Doesn't really look that bad...radar wise.
  24. DanTheMan
    In that cell between Culpepper and Warrenton, getting some legit straight line wind
  25. kdxken
    Not sure why folks were wishing for this. To each his own I guess.
  26. Eskimo Joe
    Downburst evident on the terminal radars.
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