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Looks like WPC probabilities of 6"+ are 50% for inside the DC Beltway, 70% further north into Annapolis and most of Baltimore metro.

GFS had it coming here first, hope it leads all the way.

About 6" here, 26F and cloudy at noon. Just finished cleanup, the snowbanks are pinching the driveway from both sides again, just when they were shrinking back a bit. Had to take the extra time to push them back more *just in case* the monday deal throws a renegade band overhead, these deep coastals always have a surprise or three in them so though I'm not expecting much here, discretion said to make room.

You joke but when my area gets results from a miller b it’s ratio dependent. I never out qpf places east of me but I’ve pulled off 15-20” from .75-1” qpf before. If I get 5” of slop from .7 qpf because it’s 33-34 degrees that is very much related to the issue you’re making fun of.

Agreed. The fundamentals of this are that the precip shield will be much broader than most globals have. You don't have a <980 low at the BM and have Allentown only at 4". I think the GFS has the right idea in terms of intensity and broadness of the precip shield. I would expect 12+" totals all the way to the LV.

I hope we get 6-8 just to shut up local news weather always low balling us

I say call it even!!!

Staging my generator today, might need it

that’s what this pattern is.

its ok to change your tune when you have new and better information; that's science.

At this point I’m confident with 4-8in in the Lehigh Valley and 8-14in+ from Bucks to Philly

This resembles Feb 2013 more than 15 or 22 to me. Wind and tree damage could rival that.

Didnt see the hrrr posted. Still snowing after this fwiw

I like you for just about 6… of course lol

2.7” on 0.56” melted down

05 was my largest too, 26-30"

AIFS 12z 6z and 0z

I'm hoping our areas can get into the meat of the IVT. Lots of models putting that over or close to our hoods. Definitely more of a nowcast with that feature.

I’d lean the lower edge of call it even but I’m just a guy. Best of luck lol

I’m seriously debating if I should go to Falmouth for this. It would just suck to be stuck there if power goes out.

The first one I was out the next day. Second one was more of a legit blizzard and I stayed a second night. Nothing was open. Hotel Rehoboth has the free breakfast but also fed us dinner for free. There were like 7 people total staying there lol. That's a great Hotel. Half the price or less now compared to Summer. DFH is across the street and up the avenue a bit. Less than 5 mins.

In Clinton, MA. 12 - 18 here? Are we in a good place for banding? This is our 4th winter here and the first with serious snow. So, still new to the microclimate here compared to Worcester Burncoat. Only a few miles away but we seem to consistently do better at least in terms of snow depth.

that will match what i got last night. ill hope for the wed and Friday opportunities.

Nice jump, one more nudge west and we are really cooking. curious to see what Euro will do since it has been similar to cmc

Here’s the thing, I need to decide whether to come home a day early. Here’s my bars. Less than 6” and I’ll be really really pissed I bothered to come home. 6-10 I’ll call it even. 10+ I’d be super pissed I didn’t come home. Help me make a decision lol.