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White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yes all roads covered, at least two accidents in town, just drove my wife to work, elevation didn't play much a role until under 100' elevation... All schools around here closed except Beacon Falls and Bethany had school with reports of bus drivers pissed off with the conditions of the roads around 7-8am.. Snow having no problem sticking with the rates and temps 32-33. -
Not a lot of love for ice Friday, but that does seem to be a legitimate threat, especially for favored northern spots. Not exactly boring but not interesting now either
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Rain mixed with a few pingers here at home. Slant-sticked my way to .1" of snowy slushy stuff earlier. Season total is 5.6". -
I think with road crews getting a Headstart putting road treatment down and traffic on the roads We’re not gonna see much in the way of a accumulation at least south of the pike on the roads. I am currently in the Providence area and there might be more road salt than asphalt down
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Anything meaningful on road surfaces?
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White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
jbenedet replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yea not talking about that. Talking about later… -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
jbenedet replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
The shit streak surprise in SNE tells me expect some forcing to be robbed with the part two “lead” of the clippah. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Snow growth and ratios are phenomenal here.. I do think the lift will weaken further NE unless in the IVT -
It can snow and stick even in NYC in this airmass. NYC is a big place. It helps to be away from the immediate shoreline, outside of the heavily paved areas, and preferably a little north or west of Manhattan. If intensity is moderate or heavy, it can accumulate anywhere at 33.5F. If you are in a less favorable location within NYC and intensity is not particularly heavy and the temperature is 35F, then it is difficult to accumulate. But there are no hard and fast rules about predicting this. This kind of event happened many times in the past, including in the distant past.
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White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
jbenedet replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Better off taking the under 10:1 on ratios. I also don’t see how I eek out 0.25” qpf here but all the guidance showing it… On ratios - the risks are not BLtemp related but lift, weak snow growth, and scattered light precip. None of this bodes well to stack. 7:1 probably better hedge… Unless you get into the IVT this should be the story in eastern New England sans Maine and the far interior of NH. -
pleasantly surprised as its 32 in New City and I would guesstimate that we have 2 inches give or take,,,,my son is visiting with his dog who rarely sees snow and she and I are in the back yard loving this !!!! And to you naysayers and haters who said this wouldn't be possible, well I got 3 words for ya " Let It Snow "
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White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Is that for E MA primarily? -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
TalcottWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
This is definitely the most torturous type of storm. In between the initial fronto and an inverted trof with warm lower levels and shit snow growth. Tough solution. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
HRRR is lost on this as with other guidance. Earlier runs have me with 0.0" of snow at 9am, yet I have 1.3" -
Aligns with Bam’s original forecast for the period into and after new years. He’s now saying Jan 7th is a date that needs to be circled on the east coast.
