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You seem confused? lol. This run was not good for Fringe areas. Period. Not expecting more than an inch or two max on CT coast .

There is a subtle but definite trend of a deeper trough as that ball of vorticity digs a bit more southwestward over the past several runs.

I'm sure i'm late to the party but it looks like all 00z guidance got wetter and more widespread!

I don’t think anyone cares about the icon at this point lol

Thickness lines descending to our west and rising to the east run to run, nice. Hopefully we are close enough that doesn't become a bad thing where temps become more of an issue (but you'd have more insurance than us down here).

0z ICON much better than 18z

I like " it's absolute ripping outside"...

???

Nice!! That's what we wanna see!!

Last 4 runs. Keeps expanding and filling nw.

Gfs is better

Gfs a bit better

Yeah definite improvement from GFS, bigger shield, more precip to the border, better jack for 95 from Baltimore to NE. Slightly better for DC

Yeah, this map doesn’t show the cut off as much as the map I saw on pivotal. I guess it’s just picking up the main precip shield being more consolidated than originally thought which makes sense. South coast of CT has done well in events like these but the north shore of LI is where I would I want to be for a 6” Jack .

Yup looks a tick west and a little more juiced

Yeah I'm thinking all of central md right up thru NE Maryland Into se Pa

GFS looks very similar to 18z through 27. Looks like a slightly more organized interaction with the TPV, maybe that juices it slightly, more coastal-y?

Gfs continues to slowly tick nw with qpf shield. Had nothing over me this morning now into the light snows.

Yes gfs coming in decent.

Baltimore looking pretty damn good for 3+

I wouldn't say it got "much worse". I'd say it largely held serve. Small fluctuations are really just noise. The setup is that a trough is diving SE and a shortwave is developing a coastal low that's headed NE quickly. It's not a setup for heavy snow anywhere and the diving SE trough is bringing in dry air. So I do believe there'll be a zone where there's a lot of virga because of dry air coming SE and in any given location there won't be snow for more than 6 hours or so. The S coast of CT is in the game for a light event still. Edit-and new GFS looks a little better for your region. Went from 1.5" to 2.1" at BDR. At this point we're dealing with noise for the most part.

"Much worse"

herp derp also good