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At a backyard hibachi party. Little wet out but no more rain. Please no more rain

Same amount of rain here. Forecast was for significantly more than that.

Outflow boundary by Paxton Holden.and Spencer?

NWS anll over screwed up this system. We met friends at the national zoo and Sterling had heavy rain and showers all day. Not a drop and sunny there. Here we were supposed to get heavy rain overnight. .05” total for me the last two days. It’s drier than dry.

I enjoy removing his “ratings”

It seems overdone. The entire area is in severe level drought, so that significantly mitigates flooding b/c rivers are streams are low. Yes, any heavy rain in a short time can cause localized flooding, but that par for the course in a metro area b/c of the concrete jungle. IMHO, they bar appears to be lowering w/ time as to what is considered "flooding." B/c a few underpasses flood, does that verify as a flash flood? Some underpasses *always* flood even w/ modest heavy rainfall from a tstm. That's more of a drainage or local infrastructure issue than a meteorological one! See what I am getting at here? It is not hard to verify such a watch if the bar is being lowered or you consider any significant ponding of water a flood. The flood watch was likely issued b/c it is DC, which it is obvious there is a bias for more watches/warnings here, but also due to the 250th events. I get that from a social/political/economic POV, but objectively, it is not following overall meteorological risk or science well. Noting stands out for this evening for significant flash flooding, HRRR/RRFS show a few local spots 1-2" this evening, but they are largely E of metro. Watches are typically issued based on a minimum coverage of the hazard expected. This does not meet such criteria for flooding IMHO, esp given the antecedent very dry conditions, which is a big deal when it comes to flooding risk and extent. Case in point, when Floyd ran up the E Coast in Sep 1999, excessive rains in VT of 4-8" caused only moderate flooding. When Irene did the same in Aug 2011, that same 4-8" resulted in near recorded flooding. Why? B/c the summer of 2011 was one of the wettest on record here, and the summer of 1999 was among the driest.

Been pretty consistent since tuesday for the possibility of 100. Hopefully we can get a good ridge rider out of it

Compare the Standard Deviations ... Instead of personal bug-up-butts about whether other people have biases or not, why don't we put some sort of math to the test and figure out which anomaly is greater? I dunno. If modeled 100, three days in a row, is a smaller SD than modeled snowing at 6K+ in the west under 560 dm core than okay. I wonder if the anomaly is more so in the heat side of things tho -

Fwiw, the ICON was the first model to commit to the ridge being more E. Rare win ... at anything for that model Here's it's 2-m for Thur mid afternoon

Oh that trough means business. I understand completely what Vortex means by bias. If MWN was going to see freezing temps with highs in the 60s in New England, it would be talked about. It’s just really hard to get the public to give two shits about anything high elevation in the Rockies… maybe some passing footage of snow on the tail end of a newscast while credits role.

4 straight days over 100 in NYC.

Wonder if we can see mins 80 or higher at BDL/ BOS one night

Glad we don’t live out there

That is pretty dam cold air though. It actually helps pump up the ridge for us next week.

When I was in Rocky mtn national park I saw hail, flakes, and rain all at once in a nice tstm. Pretty cool weather.

He weenies all posts he doesn't agree with(mostly out of ignorance). A reflection on him not being capable of logically debating a point.. apply weenie and run away lol. But not worth it dude. Bring it up, and he will just claim you are triggered by it.

Great weather great song

Not one of them do . Literally

Huh, interesting Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 414 PM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026 .A cold front has stalled over the DC metro. Increasing humidity is expected to lead to showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain through this evening. DCZ001-MDZ013-014-504-VAZ053-054-280200- /O.NEW.KLWX.FA.A.0002.260627T2014Z-260628T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- 414 PM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Washington DC, portions of central Maryland, including the following areas, Anne Arundel, Central and Southeast Montgomery and Prince Georges, and northern Virginia, including the following areas, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria and Fairfax. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Storm drains and ditches may become clogged with debris. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Scattered to numerous showers producing heavy rain are anticipated through this evening. Localized rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in 1 to 2 hours, and may lead to rapid rises of water on streams and in poor drainage areas. - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety and preparedness information. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ DHOF

I honestly think if MSM polled the public they would say it snows year round in the northern Rockies peaks.

6500’ in the Rockies? It happens there.

Thursday finally delivered to some extent with about 0.3" in an hour and a half. Total all week just under half an inch. I think it all evaporated since 9 AM.

All low elevation all the time

gone

Those balloons matter, and their absence is notable in forecast accuracy. However, the implication that their absence is a primary contributor behind lacking forecast accuracy should be revisited.