All Activity

Kudos to the Atlanta FFC on their incredibly detailed and well written AFD tonight.

Brother, the folks to our south have cashed in several times since the last time Baltimore and the north Baltimore burbs got anything approaching a respectable storm. I haven't cracked 6 inches in a DECADE. Of course - of COURSE - I would dearly love for the entire region to get buried under 3-foot drifts of wind driven snow, but if St. Mary's has to get skunked for me to get 10 inches, I would throw them overboard so fast their heads would spin. A lot of the board angst and frustration is coming from folks in our area that are in an incredible snow drought and if a worst case scenario comes true and we end up with 4-5 inches and some slop, I'm not gonna pretend not to be incredibly disappointed. 10 inches and some sleet - woo! Pop the champagne! I'm all in. I don't need 2 feet to be happy. But yet another rug pull while places within driving distance get deep snow? It fucking sucks and there's no sugarcoating that.

Same I’m struggling [emoji30] .

This is no joke - but after 2016, when we got around 30" - they did that travel ban. Snow stopped just before midnight - I believe it was a Saturday right? The next morning basically all the streets in Manhattan were clear, and a majority of streets in the other boroughs were clear over the next day.

If the Euro AI comes in with a more stretchy, positive NS piece then I will be interested. That seemed to be one of the drivers of the slight improvement last run. Luckily that one comes out fast and that change can be seen early... if it tightens up/gets sharper, even before the phase I'm thinking we are at the very least not getting any better. But won't be long to find out...

Rest up weenies, we got three more days. As for me, bedtime is 1:30 AM anyways. Bring on the Euro.

Getting advice from a 14 year old. What have i done to myself.

in all seriousness though - AND THIS IS NOT A POLITICAL POST - this is the type of thing that can completely derail you as mayor in DC to Boston. We'll see how DC does, but the snow operation actually has been pretty good. DSNY in NYC does a phenomenal job - they basically just take all the sanitation trucks and turn them into snow plows. Over time BDB figured out a good strategy of basically banning all but essential travel during and immediately after the storm - and they would just go nuts plowing the entire city. I believe Adams basically continued this. It's really the only way to do it, particularly in Manhattan and Brooklyn.

I wonder if you could do a whole case study on events like that. It’s something I’ll think about as I progress through my college courses and humanities writings.

Here's my two cents. I've heard this hobby is exhausting for a lot of y'all. It hasn't gotten to me yet, maybe 'cause I'm still youthful, but if you're staying up for the 0z runs you're likely not getting more than six hours of sleep. That's awful for mental and physical health. Some of y'all should sleep in—0z ain't gonna change one bit whether you see it or not—so get that extra two hours of sleep.

It actually seems like a cf with PYM SE on the wrong side. It isn’t raining but it is above freezing.

It’s an illness and I actually think something good can come out of it, otherwise I would have been sleeping at 10:00 pm.

Well I hope you all get some well-deserved rest, and while you sleep the models self correct and you wake up Saturday to good news, even more snow than we were seeing on the models on Monday and Tuesday. The main NWS website map is all lit up with red WSW's and orange Blizzard warnings. Just about as colorful as a Christmas Tree. The NS is going to get its act together and the storm is gonna wallop the entire DMV Region with feet of pow. Because Jeb said so.

Wonder how that is going to interact act with the system? It’s heading west/southwest .

My advice, go to bed. Nothing good can come from this. I'm tired, but my insomnia probably will win out.

This is an impactful winter storm and we (DC) are likely going to see a warning level snowfall followed by a few inches of sleet and maybe some freezing rain. Followed by frigid temps. That’s historic and IMO folks need to stop complaining their 16” of snow from 3 days ago are gone. Move on and accept it.

I can barely see straight and have to be up at 5:00 am but I’m staying up for your Euro pbp. Bring this baby home for us.

lol oh yeah, he's probably a few drinks in. gotta let it slide.

People are just exhausted man. Me included.

lol no way a mix goes up that far north

It’s warming as it pops the secondary east of CC so it rains in sema. Weird.

Helps to put your location in your profile. I've no idea where "me" is.

RGEM and NAM are 10-12 hours of snow before a flip to sleet. There could be a few hours of heavy snow. RGEM begins transitioning in NYC by around 3pm with the NAM a few hours later.

It’s all good, it’s a drinking night for you.

yeah before it was to end around midnight-2am monday mronign latest model run still had it snowing moderate at 7am