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To early to establish any confidence but it's the first of the season, post exiting the solar minimum, and the extended GFS can't wait to tell us here comes spring

Good thing the GFS blows dongs.

Some folks are meh.

When ? VD ?

NWS calling for a high today of 40 but at noon it's 23 degrees with clouds and a solid snowpack.

According to several folks, it was meh’.

Finally above freezing -- 33 degrees here right now.

GFS says to start working on fantasy baseball drafts.

I mentioned the other day, the ice buildup on the rivers is already impressive. Another week of this, and it will be insane. Bye-bye Vermont, again?

AI models have been pretty consistently bullish on this system. BL temps the major issue but they are pretty impressive at 500mb, kinda what 12z GFS went to

About the same. 00Z was 56% and 20%, respectively.

49 years ago, February 1977. Somebody in my family (I believe my grandfather) was drunk enough and decided to drive the station wagon from Island Heights to Sedge Island to check on the old summer shack (not in this picture) Ice was measured at 26" thick at the time. As of Saturday, I measured ice 8.5" thick just off Ocean Gate Yacht Club. Could be pushing 12" by this weekend.

I was hoping to see a little something early Wednesday morning, but now it appears that it is going too far south. It looks as if our only chance of seeing a coating is with the arctic front on Friday with some snow showers. Maybe we can get a snow squall from that front.

And that was no joke.

probably it will attenuate some 12 or more % in the guidance over the course of the week.

This gotta be up there with saddest/funniest storm threads OAT

That’s actually a pretty big increase from 0z right?

Gfs actually is 2 rain storms lol 13&15

Yeah, isn't it only supposed to be there for about 3 days?

Followed by a Valentines Day massacre on the GFS. Lets flood.

Yes more chances for sure for winter weather/storms. Every time people talk about "winter is over" it doesn't end up being true. Well most times anyway. The same with "this will be the greatest three week pattern ever". and we get days in the 60s 10 days in.

This weekend looks super cold... colder than this past shot

If we get another inch of snow, Wake County will cancel school for the rest of the week.

I figured that had to be the case. To pick it apart further - I can see where "maybe" there's a slim chance its happened for all 100 before - but would include IP and FZRA/ZR. That being said - this has to be the first time ever for all 100 to verify WSW for all Snow. Has to be. Right?

It looks like the webmaster at the NWS has some updates to make after yesterday and today!!! TRI-CITIES TN DAILY NORMALS AND RECORDS FEBRUARY MAX MIN AVG HDD CDD PCPN REC HIGH REC LOW REC PCPN 1 48 27 37 28 0 0.13 70 1988 4 1980 1.56 1985 2 48 27 37 28 0 0.13 71 1989 0 1971 1.22 1974 3 48 27 38 27 0 0.13 74 1989 -4 1965 1.28 2022 4 48 27 38 27 0 0.13 71 2025 -9 1996 1.76 1943 5 49 27 38 27 0 0.13 71 2008 -15 1996 1.43 2020 6 49 28 38 27 0 0.13 73 2025 0 1996 2.60 2020 7 49 28 38 27 0 0.13 76 2019 0 1978 0.97 2018 8 49 28 38 26 0 0.13 73 2025 6 1984 0.62 2017 9 49 28 39 26 0 0.13 72 2023 1 1995 2.48 1994 10 50 28 39 26 0 0.14 73 1939 1 1979 1.66 1946 11 50 28 39 26 0 0.13 76 1965 4 1955 1.42 2018 12 50 29 39 26 0 0.14 74 2017 -1 1981 1.58 2023 13 50 29 40 25 0 0.13 72 1961 -2 1955 1.62 1991 14 51 29 40 25 0 0.14 75 1950 3 1971 1.09 1946 15 51 29 40 25 0 0.14 76 1954 1 1960 1.26 1964 16 51 29 40 25 0 0.14 72 2023 3 1958 1.44 1990 17 51 30 40 24 0 0.15 72 2022 -3 1958 1.75 1944 18 52 30 41 24 0 0.14 70 1948 -5 1958 1.31 1991 19 52 30 41 24 0 0.15 78 1939 -5 1958 0.95 1999 20 52 30 41 24 0 0.14 79 2018 -13 2015 1.06 1967 21 53 31 42 24 0 0.14 82 2018 7 1958 0.96 1993 22 53 31 42 23 0 0.14 80 2018 3 1963 1.85 2003 23 53 31 42 23 0 0.14 80 2018 6 1978 1.83 2019 24 53 31 42 23 0 0.13 77 2017 4 1967 1.53 2022 25 54 31 42 22 0 0.14 74 2000 -1 1967 1.78 1961 26 54 32 43 22 0 0.14 80 1977 4 1967 1.14 1958 27 54 32 43 22 0 0.13 74 1996 2 1963 1.02 1987 28 55 32 43 22 0 0.14 76 2021 12 1947 1.68 2011 29 55 32 43 22 0 0.14 74 1976 13 1964 0.63 1952 MO 50.9 29.2 40 699 0 3.81 82 2018 -15 1996 2.60 2020