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Take for what ?
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Would be fitting that we finally get our rainy pattern to start on Memorial Day weekend. But overnight euro sorta followed the pattern of the gfs and a Bermuda high combined with a stalled front could be a winning combo.
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36F here for the low; glad we haven’t installed yet
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Patchy frost on the grass and car windows frozen over.. we take!
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
31.6 this morning with frost and ice on the vehicles. This upcoming warmup can't get here soon enough. Covering up plants to protect them from frost is starting to get old. -
Not sure how I’d handle a dry, warm Saturday.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Your going to Alaska, right? Maybe you should seek a residence there to escape most of the heat. Anyway It might not be that hot here this summer. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Bring on the heat! -
Looks like a decent soaker here later tomorrow until Friday morning. Seems like it mostly ends by late Friday morning here.
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Min 36.1° Thankfully not close to a freeze
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37F. This Springs blows so far. Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
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Point and click for PIT is 90 on Monday. This would be the earliest 90 degree day in the season since 1993. Also, the record high for May at the airport site is 91 (all of the days that got above 91 were observed elsewhere). So if PIT can break or tie that record, it would be the second month this spring with a monthly record high at the airport site.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Well, this escalated quickly! Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Saturday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Sunday Sunny, with a high near 82. Sunday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. Monday Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. -
Caught this chubby looking hummingbird earlier just camping out at the feeder pondering the many mysteries of bipolar spring weather in New England. (Apologies for the background glare, I gotta fix that in the future)
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Texas 2026 Discussion/Observations
Stx_Thunder replied to Stx_Thunder's topic in Central/Western States
Water has indeed been piling up within the past few weeks. And definitely does not appear to be over, with storms (and attendant svr risk) likely to return next week (17th). -
lol quite true. you can have mid March OR you can have late June!
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Texas 2026 Discussion/Observations
Stx_Thunder replied to Stx_Thunder's topic in Central/Western States
https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/62492-texas-2026-discussionobservations/?do=findComment&comment=8079563 5" measured hail was reported back on April 29 from a lone (fully discrete) HP supercell not far out west of SAT. Hailstones that big can definitely kill if struck on the head. Especially because they're much heavier, and obviously fall faster than smaller ones. Typically well over 100 mph when they get that big. Hail stones in the southwestern region do tend to be the largest in this state, as I've seen over the years. The supercells that popped up there in SWTX that evening of April 29 easily had tops of 60 Kft on ET radar imagery. Which easily contributes to bigger hail production in them this time of year. Although HP supercell tops >50 (and over the neighboring Mexican terrain), are quite common around there in the later spring. And in STX. -
It's autumn in reverse, it's amazing!
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We disagree but that’s what this forum is for…sharing different opinions. I think this El Nino’s RONI breaks the all time RONI record from 1982-83 and also ends up breaking the record traditional ONI since 1950 -
48 at 9:40 on May 11… pretty chilly!
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nothing unless gulf stream stops moving..
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Mount Holly's latest AFD KEY MESSAGE 3...Widespread rain with potentially a few thunderstorms moves in for the afternoon hours on Wednesday, continuing into Thursday morning. The upper-level pattern is forecast to become rather amplified through this week. A strong upper-level trough axis shifts to our east Tuesday as high pressure will also be shifting offshore. Another upper-level trough then moves over the Eastern US Wednesday into Thursday before lifting out Friday into Saturday. Guidance seems to be trending toward the earlier ECMWF`s idea that the incoming trough will close off either over our area or just off to the east. The timing and location of where the cutoff occurs will determine when things dry out. If the trough cuts off over our area, showers could linger into Thursday. If it cuts off just to the east, showers should move out by Thursday, giving way to a nice weekend (more on that in Key Message 3). Regardless of how this transpires, a round of widespread rain is expected with as the incoming trough and cold front arrive. As the aforementioned upper-level trough moves into the region Wednesday, low-level warm air advection will increase ahead of it as the low to mid level flow also increases. This will result in an increase in forcing for ascent, and some instability should develop ahead of the main forcing. A warm front should also lift across our area Wednesday with some ascent associated with it. As a result, showers should increase Wednesday from west to east, especially in the afternoon with forcing peaking Wednesday night as the cold front arrives. The amount of destabilization is more uncertain, however guidance does show some instability which should be enough to support at least a few thunderstorms. The intensity of any thunderstorms however will depend on the magnitude of the instability and shear. However, guidance this morning does not show much in terms of instability, with shear looking rather meager as well. This would result in a low to zero severe threat, with better kinematics well off to our west. The main forcing should shift to our east and northeast Thursday with the bulk of the showers ending. However, if the closed low scenario ends up happening, then the core of the cold air aloft with this slides overhead and this could result in additional shower development on Thursday before the system departs our region. Rainfall amounts are trending to be right around a half inch or so.
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Below normal temps in the gulf stream? I wonder what that will do to the weather in Europe.
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