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6z is a vertically stacked monster reminiscent of Jan.25, 2000. Below are the 250, 500, 700, 850 maps valid 1am feb 1. Verbatim a big hit especially interior. Dry slot would assuredly push into the metros as the system occludes, again jan.25, 2000ish. Alas, plenty of time to go for better or worse. There is plenty that could go wrong here. Gotta run.

I think all the ingredients are there for something special.

Gimme, gimme, gimme

I believe you’ve been honking about this for at least a week so I’m glad you started the thread

The 144 panel is end of days stuff for nyc metro, 1 inch of liquid precip in 6 hours, 30-50 mph winds. Of course not our area but close to us. Would expect blizzard warnings should anything close to this verify.

Think many of these spots will end up closer to 10:1. I think it was a mistake to assume higher ratios from WAA setup

Very similar. Just difficult to measure. Had around 6" snow and 2"-2.25" sleet. I was going to go with 8" total. Some of the worst stuff to shovel.

12.2" storm total with 15.5" OTG. We had light ZR drizzle earlier but that seems to have stopped. I just had a neighbor down the block try to convince me we had 3 feet and this as I'm standing there taking measurements with the ruler. I could've told him I've been a trained weather spotter but instead just gave him an "Oh, really". Exhibit 5 million for misinformation, because guaranteed that will end up on social media or he found it on social media.

Yeah I trust the GFS the least at this point. Would like to see the CMC come around though.

Yeah, I just saw the 06z Euro... primitive albeit impressive attempt at continuity.

Is this the official number then?

I hope to enjoy watching the progress on this one and most of the modeling keeps it sane for everyone.

It would be a slow dopamine drip..ha ha

NAO staying negative and PNA staying positive for foreseeable future. Please let us score. We have been waiting for sustained blocking and western ridging like this for nearly a decade. Southern stream trying to come alive as Nina fades to black. This is not going to be a Nina February torch again

Totals appear now to have been finalized for the Saturday-Sunday storm, and our new leader is @T. August Fiftten of us have now been eliminated from winning (in red), and there are 39 negative departures at RIC.

Trend gif below for the euro. Good trends but again, let's hope it doesnt go too much in this direction or it will trend too warm for eastern NC. Will have to watch it. Classic polar jet wave diving down in behind the departing cutoff over new England. Great setup for a snowstorm (especially over the mid atlantic/new england). This is more of a snow or rain setup.

Radar starting to blossom to the west around CO moving east.

lots to sort out but at least for the moment, they all look like pieces of cryo-dystopic candy

Well, we could also chant “come to papa”

If that southern vort perks up would that help? With the northern piece trending north maybe that can be our saving grace if we are lucky lol. It speeding up couldn’t hurt either I would think .

For those hours when the NWS was adding .4” to the total, the airport ASOS station was recording .08” liquid equivalent. Did our ratios drop as low as 5:1?

Gluttons for punishment!!

22 / 20 snow/sleet amounted to a concrete of 11-11.5 deep and its being cleared in phases. Cold - cold - cold till old man winter takes the cold away - not likely till after valentines day. Cold to hold peaking this week and then again perhaps by or between the 9-12. Storm tracking engaged for the 1/31 / 2/1 - 2/3 period as latest forecats close the trough off and steer coastal NE, and perhaps several days later. Sub freezing stretch only looks to be challenged briefly 2/3 but will see pending on track. Otherwise temps near 0 inland / below further NW and metro/city and coastal sections sigle digits enhanced by the ice / snow cover. In what appears to be a pattern right out of a weather board snow lovers novel 1/25 - 2/14 seems to be. Now it'll have to keep delivering each chapter. 1/26 - 2/13 : Overall cold - much below avg 1/31 or 2/1 - 2/2 : Storm threat

Yes, and the radar is showing the expansion of the field of precip. It is a good bit north of me, but we’ve started light snow here and I can see to my north the significant drop in visibility. Probably the wind’s blowing snow over this way and the radar of course miss estimates that. But I think it should be a snowy afternoon. Maybe 2 inches or if we’re lucky 4.

I always looks at when the storm forms lol. It gives me another 24 hour so technically we are under a 100