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  2. Sorry, but I'd take that in a heartbeat. I don't care what prior runs showed.
  3. Dude every run of everything had me at zero this at least shows some color
  4. I know the caveats but the AI models really have a barking signal in that 7-10 day range. Can’t trust a thing, but the big dogs always bark early. There’s some absolutely insane ensemble means being printed out cycle after cycle. Gives me some of the same vibes from Dec 2009, Feb 2014 and Dec 2018.
  5. Thats why NWS has accumulations for tomorrow at 2 -4 inches and they hinted at more in localized areas in heavier bands.......Eastern NJ and points east
  6. You can't combine totals from two locations...that's not fair.
  7. Nice wide trough, storms have no where to go but OTS especially weak ones.
  8. What time does it start in your neck of the woods? Unfortunately I'm going to be down there tomorrow.
  9. It's to far in the future and I doubt much will happen at least in my neck of the woods
  10. Tale of two houses. Westchester top; Suffolk bottom
  11. If I get snow tomorrow, it’ll be snow on snow in some shady area!
  12. Weren't you talking about how all ensembles were showing their greatest agreement with a pretty decent amount, several hours ago?
  13. When a 14 year old says it’s getting old…
  14. Got just shy of 5 inches in Patterson area. Impressive little burst this afternoon.
  15. Worked the brewery today and now home and doing whiskey this evening. Just opened a bottle of Green River Full Proof. Dropped in one small cube because of the 117 proof. Still a little heat, but very nice.
  16. 1/18-19 was gravy, right? AI euro/gfs both look very good still in the LR
  17. I’m actually liking my spot tomorrow. Far enough inland with a little elevation to avoid major temp issues, but far enough east to hopefully get some good bands even on an 18z scenario. I still think SE MA is going to rip for a while. Might have to wait until 00z for the real goods but they should arrive. I think the midday/PM stuff could be kind of banded/spotty…if it isn’t, that’s a positive sign.
  18. I think that's what'll happen. Good call. Just not enough confidence in widespread 4-8. Good luck out there tomorrow.
  19. Something to keep in mind Tommorow, there will likely be two pushes of moisture, one in the early morning and one early after noon with a dry slot in between. The early afternoon is the more likely period to see snowfall/accumulation so patience will be key.
  20. check out your local NWS Upton County forecasts
  21. Would love heavy snow for that Texans Patriots game
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