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Looks like models are starting to adjust colder again as they have all season in the midrange.

Another Carolina Crusher?

Nam is bringing snowfall to the N GA mountains. LOL.

Hey guys, the GFS has a medium version of overrunning precip for PD, but you’ll never guess where it’s centered over and leaves us high and dry Good thing it’s the gfs at 200. Takeaway is we may have something to track soon.

Yea, that is our only shot with VD Day IMO...you can see the OP Euro erodes it faster, which is why it has had an inland runner a la Feb 2023, whereas the OP GFS keeps it more stout and we go a more Jan 2011 route.

Snow is turning soft in the sunny areas. This would be a good day to break it up and spread it out if you don't want it there.

Because the 850 low went up the Ohio Valley!

I held on to snow another couple hours up here but the snow started a couple hours later so it was a wash...the sleet was definitely dryer up here and less icy after the flip and I think that allowed the sleet to pile up a little bit more...it does seem like the snowcover is slightly thicker up here than in the Baltimore area for example...but honestly snowfall distribution was pretty uniform with this event until you got NW of Harrisburg where they stayed all snow and snowfall jumped up to 15" plus... but no one really got prolific snowfall totals because the best QPF occurred in the zone that ended up flipping to sleet which isn't too common but there was a really strong SW fetch at h8-h7 and it really blasted a warm layer much further north than typical when the boundary is that cold. Glass half full analysis: we managed to get an area wide 6-10" snow/ice storm despite a trough in the west and a system phasing way to our west Glass half empty: we only got 6-10" and flipped to sleet despite having one of the best arctic airmasses in place in a long long time

Just an op run. But this lead in actually looks pretty good, nice looking 50/50

Barely a warmup on gfs

I’m thinking Tractor Supply. I want one of those too.

Today was off day actually. Tomorrow we run

Blocking seems slow to go which is a good thing. Usually what happens to strong persistent blocks.

It feels like 1979 all over again!!!

What has impressed me about this recent cold/storm combination is how long one storm's snowfall has remained on the ground. Can't remember the last time one storm with no help lasted over a week. Even last year we had a couple events that built up the snow pack to last long.

one of these years its finally going to happen and he will take a victory lap. BTW, if you include storms that happened before the holiday was changed to "Presidents Day" we've actually already had 4 major snowstorms that weekend. If you stretch it to include the Friday before a PD weekend it would be 6! The week of Feb 12-18 does seem to be a hot spot for major snowstorms. By far the greatest frequency of 10" plus events is that week. Other than that one week they are pretty evenly distributed randomly between mid December and mid March...but there is a weird spike that one week.

Every 6

Wow I would of thought you got a lot more snow before changeover How did we pull of 2 inches of qpf at 15 degrees and not get a hecs lol

Lol. And the 1993 superstorm since 1994

Good point Of course they typically happen at 35 degrees. maybe 33 SLOP

That's my understanding. FAA requires airport observers to measure and report every 6 hours and then start over. All others pay cash.

~10" if you include the sleet but the depth ended up around 8 after compaction. I know technically that gets recorded as 10" but it feels cheap since the depth never got above around 8.

Even with 40 yesterday there was little melting. Too cold too long too much hard pack

@mappy Norrisvillle only reported a T. Not even Norrisville could slant stick my weak ass wave

Most of you all missed out on when EasternWx / AmWx had conferences. Amazing memories. The confrence threads are likely still around somewhere.