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it was in the 80s for the last 2 days...

Everyone focused on the triple point but I agree. I think we’ll sneak in a tornado near the IN/MI state line.

ECM has snow shower activity Tuesday

yep the cold is an isle in a sea of warmth since about 3/1

I keep seeing this repeating theme in our monthlies that are above normal. The ballast of the warmth appears to be occurring in fewer days than the mode. The modes are actually showing more days nearer to neutral and/or negative. Below is HFD for March a just one example

B here. Excellent retention and cold but got shafted in the Feb blizzard and pretty much shutout in March.

Public Information StatementNational Weather Service Mount Holly NJ125 PM EDT Fri Mar 27 2026...KDIX Maintenance March 30 through April 3 2026...From Monday, March 30 through approximately Friday, April 3, theKDIX WSR-88D radar operated by the NOAA National Weather Servicein Mount Holly, NJ will be down daily during the hours of 8 AMthrough 5 PM EDT for the critical maintenance of the radome. Thismaintenance is critical to support the radar's operation andquality of the data.During the downtime, adjacent radars include: KOKX, KBGM, KCCX,KLWX, KAKQ, KDOX, TPHL, TEWR, and TBWI. For direct access to anyof these surrounding radar sites, go to the following web page:radar.weather.gov. A single radar site can be viewed by going tothe selected view menu option, then selecting local radar toselected single radar site. A radar mosaic loop is also availableat radar.weather.gov.

B+. March was horrific.

All these torches since early March have hit, though.

Had an inch of snow earlier, now it's sleeting with occasional snowflakes mixing in. Brisk east wind, 27 degrees. A solid 40" glacier in place.

Still socked in clouds with temps in the low 50s. Guessing we dont get enough clearing to amount to much prior to the front coming through. dont hate the look further west though.

Yeah, our prime BD season isn't here yet. we can't blame every NE accelerating wind field on BDs. BD synoptics are pretty specifically defined, and yesterday into today really isn't what that is. There may have been some tendency/shared physical space, as Scott pointed out yesterday, there was some identifiable rad signatures that a BD-line boundary was involved, but the primary facet/influence in this case is a strong N front with a big high building in. You don't have those features with a typical BD. BD's require a s/w moving ESE N of Maine... As it passes, NVA behind creates DVM and this coupled to the colder marine environment underneath and produces a pressure/density discontinuity where more mass is NE of the region E of the Berkshire/White cordilleras. This triggers a vector moving back SW to "fill" that region with the denser/colder air. And it will do so with the ability to snap flags, wave trees around and slam doors shut as Brian mused.... I've seen BDs with very little discernible actual high pressure at the synoptic scale, with 30 kt NE wind bursts kicking up dust before. These are found most so in late April thru early June. Before then, we have more hybrid types like yesterday - which fits the time of year actually. Just a nasty nasty cfront. By the way, ...if you look down at the Del Marva penn and S, it's a BD for them. Now imagine the climate of May around here, we're like they are today

@ineedsnow snowing at a good clip in Salem nh

Saw some mangled flakes mixing in a bit ago.

SN with windy conditions. Mostly grass accum, with some on the rds. Temp dropped to 30 when the snow got going. Winter is back for a few days.

only 10 days away on an OP run - what could go wrong ???

GFS is a torch for next weekend

Snowing in Hubbardston

I went to college in Maryland and the springs down there are amazing. Coming home on a weekend was a shock from fully leafed out trees to stick season in 250 miles. What we have today is not abnormal but after the first 80 here in SW Nassua yesterday it definitely is not pleasant. .

I feel like there is not much of a correlation between water temperatures and backdoor cold front potential. Perhaps there would be a correlation to the strength of the boundary or maybe the distance the front can traverse. But even when water temperatures are above average this early, they are still pretty chilly. Ultimately its likely tied into synoptic or sub-synoptic flow.

Plenty of time for it.

We pray the GFS is right about next weekend

Feels like another sleeper lower MI tornado day