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  2. donsutherland1
    A cooler regime is in place and will remain in place through the remainder of July. Highs will generally reach the upper 70s and lower 80s through the week and into the start of the weekend. A few more Showers and thunderstorms are likely tonight into tomorrow. With an estimated 4.73" of rain as per precip.ai, White Plains smashed its daily rainfall record of 2.20" from 1973. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.1°C for the week centered around July 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.20°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.82°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -17.36 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.673 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 74% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.6° (0.9° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
  3. xram
    1.23" for the day so far. 8.18" for the month
  4. Damage In Tolland
    Another 1-2”+ headed right at Taunton . That kid .. I swear
  5. NavarreDon
    We almost certainly had sustained winds pushing 40 with higher gusts between 2 & 3 this afternoon in FWB. Very little rain as expected on the N side due to the shear. I will say I was taken back by the wind speed. Things are calming rapidly now as expected. NHC did well extending the TS warning eastward earlier today. .
  6. aldie 22
    1.35 and counting
  7. Poker2015
    .06" of light rain...missed it all again
  8. TJW014
    Captured with my drone before the squall line came through.
  9. wxmeddler
    Just rain and wind from here on out mostly. And most of the wind threat will likely be US50 and south.
  10. Picard
    https://www.facebook.com/groups/northjerseyweatherobservers/posts/10163347026888108 Impressive video of the storm that may have dropped the tornado near parsippany.
  11. 512high
    66F/ .28" so far
  12. mappy
    Happy for the rain. Some thunder earlier
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Loss of daytime heading and junkvection really killing off the tornado risk.
  14. Herb@MAWS
    Columbia: 0.87” over last hour or so with very light rain ongoing. Latest storm gets me over 5” for July.
  15. EasternLI
    It's really an excellent site David Gold has put together. Tons of great stuff. It's so nice to be able to see the actual AAM charts again. I'm glad someone has decided to keep up the work with these. These are so much more helpful than simply a positive or negative reading. For example here, we can see the la nina fade away it's influence on the atmosphere as we headed through May. With increasingly el nino conditions exerting influence. One last gasp of the residual la nina around mid June. Now, this el nino looks to be increasingly taking control from here on out as per AIFS forecasts and these obs. Also of note, what has been a very active jet in the Southern hemisphere. Which has been pointed out in this thread too.
  16. WinstonSalemArlington
    A change is gonna come
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Outflow in the southern semicircle is impressive. Almost looks like half a major .
  18. John1122
    They look pretty far away on radar but I'm getting thunder and lightning already.
  19. IronTy
    My neighbor was cutting his lawn (hay at this point) yesterday and there was so much dust being kicked up by the mower that I understood how the dust bowl happened.
  20. AmericanWxFreak
    I think the threat shifts to flash flooding .
  21. wxmeddler
    The atmosphere is pretty well turned over at this point. Not sure we're going to get much more in the way of tornadoes unless it's some QLCS / bookend thing.
  22. yoda
    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 705 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southeastern Grant County in eastern West Virginia... Southwestern Hardy County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 730 PM EDT. * At 704 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Petersburg, moving east at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Petersburg and Rough Run around 710 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Masonville, Welton, Brake, and Dorcas. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3903 7918 3901 7885 3883 7894 3893 7923 TIME...MOT...LOC 2304Z 284DEG 25KT 3896 7917 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
  23. yoda
    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 703 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southwestern Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... East central Hardy County in eastern West Virginia... Southeastern Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 730 PM EDT. * At 703 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 9 miles north of Wardensville, or 11 miles southeast of Romney, moving east at 35 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Star Tannery around 715 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Yellow Spring, Gravel Springs, High View, Delray, Wilde Acres, Rock Enon Springs, Capon Springs, and Lehew. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3925 7830 3909 7838 3910 7839 3909 7839 3910 7840 3905 7845 3904 7845 3912 7865 3927 7859 TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 285DEG 29KT 3921 7865 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$
  24. 87storms
    Radar looks pretty good overall for central MD and east imo.
  25. Ginx snewx
    2.23
  26. IronTy
    Is it supposed to rain today?
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