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Classes posted for spring semester and I'll finally get to take the course I've been waiting for! Currently with the professor as he teaches Intro to Climatology or the grad level version of my Atmosphere and Weather course I took last fall and he's been great (test tomorrow though). Excited to learn some more stuff that'll help me write better posts on here (hopefully) in time for synoptic season!
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One historical item concerning sting jets. It likely that HU Edna in Sep 1954 when crossing Cape Cod in a very strong PT/ET transition (110 mph at landfall) had a sting jet. Why? BOS gusted to 101 mph out of the NW -- its highest gust on record! 10 days before HU Carol (115 mph at landfall) produced a gust to 100 mph at BOS out of the SE as the storm passed to the W, which is what you would expect for very high winds. When HUs get to New England, the PT/ET transition is almost always ongoing and the typical cooler/more stable air NW of the center along w/ rapid forward motion that will reduce winds W of the track. I always wondered how such a wind gust occurred in BOS from Edna from that direction. Once the concept of the sting jet became front and center about 20 years ago, that explained it! In the larger TC picture, Isaias in some ways is a watershed event. From strictly a conventional satellite perspective (EIR and Dvorak), that much deep convection not all sheared N and NE of the center near/at landfall, that says it was still more tropical than not, and can be called a HU at landfall. However, the SAR imagery tells a much different story! It's overall elongated wind structure, a string jet present, and the lack of a coherent inner core says it was more PT/ET. Other factors stating it was more PT/ET? That abrupt rise in center pressure in a short time before landfall (something obliviously happen at the core here) and the rather cool surface conditions directly ahead of the storm. This shows it was not just a race for cooler/drier air trying to wrap in from the W and NW. This less than favorable TC atmosphere was N and NE as well, and got ingested into the core before landfall. This is an excellent example how new technology reveals things we could never quite detect, or detected/quantify at all prior. SAR gives a very detailed wind profile of a TC when it is over water. And as we know, the wind structure is paramount as to if it is a TC or not (tight or spread out?, symmetrical of asymmetrical?) And is also makes us rethink what we thought we knew well, and adjust accordingly. This is good b/c the science is always evolving. Imagine when SAR-type imagery is available on gestational satellites? That will revolutionize analysis and modelling for currently data sparse oceans.
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That line of convection that has extended from NC to FL and came through this area as thunderstorms around dawn-sunrise has been just ahead of a cold front pushing E to the S of Isaias’ remnant low (see image below). That’s what was needed to finally bring dewpoints here back down from the 24 hour long oppressive mid to upper 70s to the current low 60s as winds shifted from S to SW to a drier W.
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There's snow in Montana today, but, I think, rain at Yellowstone National Park
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2.75 down here Steady rain still ....
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Up to 1.37” on the Lancaster rain gauge. Driving up to my home in CT in this mess. .
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Nice! .
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Good news here. I slept overnight!
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2.55'' storm total.
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Perfect rainy day to have an excuse to do nothing but watch football.
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Congrats on the rain
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You hit the pharmacy so early in the morning?
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Fall 2026 Medium/Long Range Pattern Thread
jaxjagman replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Woke up around 230 this morning and looked at RAOBS and the sytem closed back up somewhere around the Cumberland so we at least had some light rain,the dry air still tho was brutal last evening,oh well,have to cut my grass now next week..lol -
You may need some performance enhancing drugs.
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The plants must he really drawing up the rain. Several mesonet sites have yet to see their soil moisture numbers move at all despite over two inches of rain.
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2.75". Should be able to pass 3" no problem.
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2.55"
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And you probably wouldn't be posting because the server would have crashed by now... Up to 1.18" now.
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You mean since 2025BC right?
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If this was winter, and temperatures were cold enough for snow. I would be snowed in
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2026-2027 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Maggie Valley Steve replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Cold Front has pushed in bringing dryer air with it. The wind was never an issue here in the Valley and I measured just under 2 inches of rain. That said like Buckethead I have 4 to 5 inches of leaves down from mostly the Poplar trees. -
Inner tube of the gauge is full and estimating about 1.25”
