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You also very well may a screw zone whose width is more narrow than the 40 mile mean banding error for our best models. That 40 mile error at 6 hour forecast, which was from big technical paper NWS did last year. Basically what I'm saying is this narrow screw zone is functional impossible to accurately predict until it's already set up. A true Impossible circumference for forecasters. People wouldn't even know how to process a forecast that is "80% chance of 12"+ over our 200 mile wide viewing area, however somewhere within will be a 20 mile wide band at angle between 90 degrees and 45 degrees where it quickly drops to 3" for the center 10 miles. We unfortunately won't know whose in this band until storm is well underway. Plan accordingly. " Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

75mph gusts will drift you just fine.

Not up here and I think in a decent chunk of even southern New England away from the coast

Fire up an obs thread. It's going to be epic

GYX has me warned for 6-10. Seems a bit generous.

Bad ratio map

High impact snow for you for sure

My sunny torched sloped front still has like 8-10”. Back gets some sun but about 12-15”. More shady areas have more. Gonna be a heck of a pack.

Can’t remember the last time I read this from the NWS for our area Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 509 AM EST Sun Feb 22 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Potentially historic winter storm to impact the region through Monday. Confidence is high for very heavy, crippling snowfall to impact the area. Areas of blizzard conditions likely.

It’s very rare for the NWS to be forecasting much more snow than the model consensus. We will see how this shakes out but this looks across the board high by 6 inches plus. My weather underground app has me at 14 inches and they usually are always high while the NWS warning has me at 16 to 24 inches. I’m expecting around a foot.

3ft depths will be common come Tuesday for many..and the drifts will be insane. Should be wetter snow here so maybe not as drifty as 05/15

Please just a little push north that doesn’t hurt any of you all down south, but gets a few more of us up here in the game. I think it’s a possibility. Strong storms like this do tend to push north a bit but then there’s also a brutal gradient. We all know this too well.

Looks like rain weekend.

36" and every tree blown down in your yard. Congrats! What a monster.

Flurries in Yonkers.

I bet after all this snow falls on Long Island and block and Rhode Island sounds the water temps will be down to around 30 degrees. I think they're 32-34 now.

Because some folks just like to be contrarian. Been guilty myself . But at a time like this, given the gravity of the situation, it might be best for some of them to step away.

No one here but me. I guess Wakefield overdid it again.

Kind of surprised there isn’t more of a concern in this sub about the gradient on the west getting even tighter and shifts east. Unless it’s just more nowcasting than anything

Snowing lightly since about 530am or so.

Is the one Friday still looking Wintry? I believe the model run yesterday was more rain?

My BIL lives in N Plymouth right on the water. I was there last Monday and he had like 15” there. That’s not common.

This right here says something about this winter. A month later and still a fair amount of snow cover right on the water heading towards the end of February. SSTS must be so cold too.

You sure this thing will produce 10:1? Good luck to the old hood and be safe those trees are pretty mature now

Yeah, this is pretty much my only solace in the fact that I'll post some of the lowest snow totals out of this storm, along with my bud hippy. Those dudes getting 24"+ will have their snow sucked away and I'll still have a pack. Edit: I have no idea what happened to my old account... Been lurking continuously but the moment I try to post I can't. Professional Lurker here. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk