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Key takeaway…locking in

We are still in the flip flop stage. Every model outside the NAM has gotten a bit colder at 6z.

YES

Gfs has slowly shifted some towards other guidance if you account for the fact it can’t see mid level warm layers and adjust the snow/ice line 20-30 miles NW like you have to. Then it looks identical to the euro and rgem. The warmest guidance shifted colder. The coldest shifted warmer and they ended up converging on about what the euro has shown the last 24 hours. Shocking.

The RDPS is also holding serve. The RRFA-S is actually improved over its 0z run. The only bad boy from 06z so far has been the NAM.

We wait for Dr. No...but nice to be within 48 hours and things solidifying rather than rug pulling.

That does look like an improvement over 00z to my untrained eye

We take and mic drop

The GFS gives me a foot at 06z.

D.C. goes from 11.9 to 13.2

6z GFS also ticks S and has no taint except for extreme SE corner of Philly really nice to see cold holding its ground, and not getttin bullied by primary. Just a thing of beauty.

The backside always works out when it’s that juicy.

Gfs smoke show

WB 6Z GFS....another solid run!!!

Man.. I hope that backside works out. Light to moderate snow Sunday night would be pure powder.

Your forecast is almost identical to mine.

About the best run we could ask for and still more to come as we flip back

Smoke show up here

Still getting rocked at 60, freezing line around Fredericksburg

6z's starting off the day w/ good steps. Icon pops secondary quicker and bring perty blues 40-50 mile SE with it. Saves my ass from much taint. Giddy up buttercups.... Yardsticks snippet from ctp also a thing of beauty. Celebration of life service this morning Celebration of snow rest of weekend.

7 pm

4 pm