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  2. Plow Guy needs to get plowing STAT! The snow is rapidly getting deeper as heavy snow continues apace and more brobdingnagian elements of deep Pacific moisture continue blowing right up against the Sierran Cordillera! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam
  3. Ya know... If you look at the last three runs of the Euro ( 12z, 18z, and now ) it has improved each time. So there's that.
  4. Feeding my newborn and watching the models. He smiled when I showed him the euro.
  5. Ai models probably don’t have the computing to forecast precise phases
  6. based on this i expect wxbell to be like a 2-4 mean, which will still be an improvement
  7. Feeding my newborn and watching the models. He smiled when I showed him the euro.
  8. CMC looks good and the Euro is a monster with phasing and dynamic cooling ftw (along with EPS and AIFS-EPS and the AIFS jumped 100-150 miles north), but not the UK/GFS. I think we now have something legitimate to track, at least, even if the setup is still pretty marginal for snow in these parts. Ya never know and it seems like it's been a long time since we had a marginal pattern/setup deliver a threaded needle for us.
  9. I think this is pretty simple but very complex for models. If it phases properly we have a good chance for white paste rain
  10. I know, we just need to see some half-way consistency between cycles and not this back and forth ping pong. Also like to see AI get more bullish. But yeah, trends were clear at 00Z for the most part. Well see what happens in 12 hours. The runs give us the runs
  11. Hard to get vested in this with models literally changing every other run. I’d pay for 5 inches of snow rn
  12. Night night.... Let's see what tomorrow's runs brings. Either they're awesome, or they give us the runs...
  13. Other models are jumping on board. We usually get a big storm when the tellies go the other way.
  14. Says who? Its most likely an archambault event.
  15. This is why ensemble snow maps are useless for events that require precise phasing . It’s either phases or it dosent and low res models won’t have a clue if the high res ones don’t
  16. You guys are really getting your hopes up lol. This is either going to be a rain event or suppressed to the south
  17. ill see you tomorrow at 12Z when the rug gets pulled again, im not convinced in the slightest this isn't just another head fake at this range. Enjoy it now
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