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I don't expect anything - more just saying under the right conditions it could lay a boundary down or moisten us better.

12z Buffalo sounding looked pretty good. Low toppers but 3cape and deep layer shear are good. That air mass should be advecting towards us through the day.

Much like Thomas Jefferson, should I bring the thunder? .

Today's a bust for sure here

Looks like the winds will stick around through Sunday. Lovely.

Precip on radar us drying up as ut moves east :/ Western NY along the great lakes just getting hammered again this week.

Didn’t even think about that. Could be a fun afternoon lol

June 18 1939: A deadly tornado hits Anoka. 9 fatalities and over 200 injuries are reported. 1850: Territorial Governor Ramsey reports that about halfway between Ft. Ripley and Ft. Snelling on the Mississippi a severe hail storm occurred in the evening. One or two hailstones picked up were as large as hen’s eggs and he thought he saw one about the size of a 'musket ball.' For Thursday, June 18, 2026 1875 - A severe coastal storm or possible hurricane struck the Atlantic coast from Cape Cod to Nova Scotia. Eastport ME reported wind gusts to 57 mph. (David Ludlum) 1958 - Hailstones up to four inches in diameter killed livestock as a storm passed from Joliet to Belfry in Carbon County MT. (The Weather Channel) 1970 - Wind and rain, and hail up to seven inches deep, caused more than five million dollars damage at Oberlin KS. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - It was a hot day in the Upper Great Lakes Region. Nine cities in Michigan and Wisconsin reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 90 degrees at Marquette, MI, marked their third straight day of record heat. Severe thunderstorm in the Northern and Central High Plains Region spawned half a dozen tornadoes in Wyoming and Colorado. Wheatridge, CO, was deluged with 2.5 inches of rain in one hour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Severe thunderstorms in eastern North Dakota and northern Minnesota produced hail three inches in diameter and spawned four tornadoes in Steele County. Thunderstorms also produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Clearbrook MN. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Unseasonably hot weather prevailed in the southwestern U.S. In Arizona, afternoon highs of 103 degrees at Winslow, 113 degrees at Tucson, and 115 degrees at Phoenix were records for the date. (The National Weather Summary) Observances: 18 Thu International Picnic Day 18 Thu International Panic Day 18 Thu International Sushi Day 18 Thu Clean Your Aquarium Day 18 Thu International Day for Countering Hate Speech 18 Thu Lock Check Day 18 Thu National Cherry Tart Day 18 Thu National Black America’s Day of Repentance 18 Thu National Fishing Day 18 Thu National Splurge Day 18 Thu National Wanna Get Away Day 18 Thu Sustainable Gastronomy Day 18 Thu Wear BLUE Day

Cloudy and breezy. Meh

I'd be feeling pretty good in the Albany/Glen's Falls zone with the partial clearing and that line to the west already producing severe/tor warnings.

Wonder if we can punch a break in the clouds here before go-time, like E NY, if we can start getting the flow more 180-200 off of the Monads.

Currently in the only sunny spot in the northeast! Windy as hell though.

0.40" from that steady light rain yesterday. High of 50 here in town was 2nd coldest low max behind 46 in 1944. It was very chilly out. But nice wx today with highs around 70.

Maybe there should be a storm thread for this so we can all watch the storm go poof??

Let’s ride

Had some thunder earlier. Sun trying to come out

.26” this morning. Had some nice rolling thunder. Nice feature on the new Capital Weather app is the alert for lightning strikes in my area. Had it go off a few times.

I was hoping for a little something today but obviously it doesn't look good. I know SPC still has us in a slight risk most models give us nothing. Monday continues to look like our one big chance to get a soaking, so hopefully it will deliver.

Had lapse rates been better, your area would have likely seen a couple significant long trackers. the helicity was insane.

The valley probably does but that is going to be the product of mid-level air advecting in which is also going to negatively impact potential for thunderstorm development down this way as well. However, its been noteworthy that the CAMs have become more aggressive and have remained consistent with developing convection, even down into CT later this afternoon. We'll see...too much mid-level dry air can really screw things...not too mention its rather warm aloft too

Models don’t show anything later but guess we will see

I doubt the valley is going to clear out. The breaks in the clouds in ENY do not really seem to be advancing east.

That line is looking pretty good with some very noteworthy rotation. Erode the MLCIN out ahead of it and boost up those values and this may be an interesting afternoon in NNE. Looks good for some clearing out ahead of the line too

it's easy to distract from the correct predictions by highlighting the incorrect ones