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Have rebounded nicely up to 36F down here, icing issue canceled?

I've heard of that at other times too, but practically speaking that wasn't an easy walk. With the tides still moving every cycle, there would have been pressure ridges and cracks; not smooth ice.

Seems like right on the edge here - precip overhead per radar, slate gray sky, temp 32, dp 29.

Next 5-7 days I don't see anything but something could show up after 1/4 or 1/5. Still think 1/10 or 1/12 and after is where the major risk begins

-1.6 for a low. 15.9° now.

Our last advisory with a bombing low like this mdt hit 68 Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Tony Pann @TonyPannWBAL Go Time??? I have to admit; the weather alphabet is looking good for the chance at a coastal snowstorm going into the first few weeks of the New Year. +PNA, -EPO, -NAO. Does that mean Baltimore will finally get a Monster Snow for sure? No, of course not. But the table is set. Stay tuned...

And usually he posts all year round. This place isn't the same without him. I just sent him a message. Hopefully I'll hear back.

Nuisance to moderately severe urban ponding is very likely to develop by mid-day Monday as temperatures rapidly rise into low 50s with this expected rain, in particular s CT could see near total melt of existing snow pack but any large snowbanks created by plow operations will survive (partially) and acr as dams for rapidly accumulating meltwater. Some drains will be blocked which will prolong the nuisance. This will be followed by a rapid freeze Monday night and any slushy cover will become solid icy glop. Despite differences in lat-long we have had this same cycle here about three days ahead, first the 4-8 inch snow cover, then the rain and the flash freeze. We lost most of our snow pack even with a peak temp of 40 F in the rainfall. It then fell to 15 F and everything has frozen solid, our partial snow cover looks like snow but is frozen solid, any slush not removed from parking lots or driveways is now a solid frozen mess. Obviously further north into n CT and w/c MA there will be less total snowmelt but there will probably be some urban ponding anyway and a similar cycle will develop without full removal of snow on ground.

The staying power of this ice is impressive. Between the cold temps and minimal solar the trees still look great and even some other surfaces are hanging on. I’m still at 32 under thick clouds and the pines look amazing.

Happened in 1994 slightly further north. There is too much important shipping traffic for it to ever really happen in modern times anyway even if we saw a record setting cold.

Have rebounded to 36F from a low of 2F

Yeah, about 3/4" here as well.

You should tell us you moved again

Deep fog in the warm sector, p nice vibe

Anytime the Packers lose, it is a good day.

Perhaps worthy of a thread, urban ponding type flood situations will develop rather quickly on Monday morning as temperatures of 55-60 F briefly spread in with 0.25" or more rain. An interval of freezing rain is likely to precede this in the late overnight and may be persistent in parts of the LHV where the warmup will be less prolific (to 48 F). All of this will rapidly be replaced by much colder temperatures, remaining slush will freeze hard on Monday night. I am not guessing at this, by a freak of nature we have been going through similar events here about three days ahead and that's what we had here on Friday into Saturday; everything now frozen solid at 15 F (as it was yesterday morning and all day). Wherever plows have made large snowbanks (this is probably more so in LI and CT, LHV) they will act as dams for accumulating meltwater. Clear all drains where possible.

Probably the longer it takes the +PNA to develop the less February ends up mild because it tends to be a difficult pattern to flip out of rapidly, so if it does not establish til around 1/15 I could see it being 2/10 or 2/15 before we really begin to get that setup. In recent really mild Februarys in the La Nina years January has tended to be cold from the very beginning. I think outside of the Lakes/NE its going to be 1/12 or so til we see the cold anomalies get down into the SE/TN Valley/Plains

Has anyone seen or heard from @Allsnow? He’s usually very active on here during the winter. I really hope he’s ok. Very unusual not to see him posting

1.0" here. Nice and cold, pretty morning, roads awful as they should be.

Wouldn’t let me attach the screenshot for some reason. .

This is stronger than last week’s front - mixing isn’t as strong it seem but the aloft winds are stronger jt appears. We do wind well in these fronts.

I'll wait until Ralph tells me when to be optimistic

Cloudy with temperatures slowly rising to near and then above freezing this evening. There could be a couple light showers this evening that in some of the higher ridge areas could briefly see some light icing if temperatures are still freezing when the showers arrive. The good news is temperatures will continue to rise tonight and well into the 40's tomorrow with a line of showers passing through in the morning. We will become sharply colder again tomorrow with temperatures dropping to freezing by evening. We then stay well below normal for the remainder of the week and into the first week of 2026. Next light snow chance looks possible around New Year's Day.

Those crashing temps are right on our doorstep.