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  2. picked up a surprise 1.3" here last night, from the look of it they were cat paws piling up on a streamer perhaps, three straight days of snow, can't complain about winter atm, cold and snow otg and chances for more...deep winter
  3. 6z Euro a touch colder. Massive run for the Northern half of NC
  4. I think every major model gives at least some snow to SNE now…evolution and timing vary.
  5. Can you check the Skew T and see what the temps are for the Dendritic Growth Zone. From what I understand too cold can impact accumulation
  6. 6z Euro is a tick south from 0z, still some mixing issues for southern valley though
  7. Euro looking alot like the gfs
  8. OP looks real nice. What could go wrong?
  9. Euro another small tick slower this run.
  10. Gotcha. I'm just curious what the south did to hurt them, lol.
  11. 6z Euro surface pressure trend: If we just end up with that little lp blob over the Snokies turning into a leeside low......
  12. If it’s stopped it’s northward jog already then we’re in business. 1.5 more days until it’s largely locked in. .
  13. Man I’d love to be in Maryland for this as I’ve waited 10 years for this kind of storm, but it will be tough for me. No need to feel bad though, I’m way up north now and can look forward to single digit highs this weekend You all better enjoy this, especially @SnowenOutThere and other young guys who’ve never seen a double digit storm above age 8-10.
  14. Zero degrees here in my part of the Poconos at 630 am. Wind died down some, and snow pack really allowed temps to plummet. This weekend is now looking more interesting. It's a good thing being on the northern edge 4 to 5 days out imo.
  15. Euro AI with a nice hit. Models a bit slower (Sun into Mon) vs Sat evening/night into Sun. Slower is better for us as it allows high to weaken and lessens suppression risk
  16. I had that thought too. At that point we're calling Gov. Moore to airlift @Jebmanin to shovel us out. Godspeed Jeb Ok that's my banter for the day. Going to lurk mode... Looking forward to today's runs.
  17. At some point I think ratios are going to matter with this cold. You can clearly see it on the precip maps where we might get less precip but the higher ratios make up for it in snowfall. I think we are any a great spot and if we have a jump north I assume the cold is not as strong and its mostly a wash with accumulations? Euro AI shows only a 2 inch difference between Fredericksburg and Mon county NJ. A distance of 250 miles.
  18. 6z Euro now showing a little appetizer on Friday AM. I would consider this a baroclinic leaf out of front of the main storm. Something to watch.
  19. If this thing becomes a HECS, then your middle schooler might get most of the week off regardless of Monday. Thats what happened in 1996, 2003, and 2010.
  20. 6z normal Euro still dropping a 1054 hp south and it is a tick further south than 0z
  21. If that northern stream trough on the Euro was to sharpen some, it could tug the coastal back, or hold it in place an additional 3-6 hours, then we're not in business but in trouble. Lol
  22. After a very quick glance, looks like the AIFS took another step in the right direction.
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