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Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
It's going to be pretty interesting, because we'll be transitioning from weak La Nina to more El Nino conditions late March into early April. Completely new pattern has the potential to build at that time vs the consistency of what has been all Winter. The pattern right now is for things to cool down a little as they get closer, it should be interesting to see what happens as El Nino starts to build! -
We often are muchly different from the US averages. 2009-10 was one of the coldest met winters for the country, and one of the mildest here. Colder now than the morning minimum and headed down under full sun.
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
Imgoinhungry replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
I agree. But districts love to overreact. . -
It’s not final, as snow season isn’t finished. I will post it shortly.
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I'll believe it when I see it. We hit 81 today, +4 over predicted. We shall see. I'll take anything though in the 60's at this point. I'm done with winter.
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Thanks man ! Good to know.
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Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
stormtracker replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
I hope you’re cool/cold rainy and miserable well into April. -
Would be funny if the euro finally came close to verifying next week considering how checked out I am
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
blizzardmeiser replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yup, white rain. -
Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
snowfan replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Ehh....its bound to happen but roads should be fine during daylight hours. -
February numbers: Avg max: 29.5 +0.1 Highest: 41 on the 28th Avg min: 1.6 -4.7 Lowest: -18 on the 1st Mean: 15.5 -2.3 Coldest DJF since 2014-15. Also the 2nd greatest avg diurnal range, trailing only Feb 2004. Precip: 0.76" -2.11" Wettest: 0.35" on the 11th. Driest February, breaking by 0.19" the former record from 2024. Snowfall: 12.5" -9.2" Greatest day: 4.7" on the 11th Average depth was 19.4", half an inch AN Dry and cold month, especially the first half. 1-10 all had subzero minima; with Jan, 20 straight days. 1-15 had maxima 32 or colder and 24 straight.
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
Imgoinhungry replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Early dismissals coming for schools? . -
Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
high risk replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Those of us north of DC got HRRR'ed for Monday afternoon. Notable shift north for the NAMs as well..... -
No one is even 40
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35 is our high, what temps south of you?
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Yes everyone is around 37
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Your thermo always too warm. IJD is 38. Knock off 4-5 degrees of your highs each day for actual
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2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
MET Winter 2025-26 at Detroit DJF avg temp: 25.2F (-3.2F) 43rd coldest out of 153 years Coldest since 2017-18 Coldest temp: -10F on Jan 24 # of days with a low below 0F: 5 (most since 2018-19) # of days with a low 9F or colder: 21 (most since 2014-15) # of days with a low 32F or colder: 83 (most since 2013-14) # of days with a HIGH 32F or colder: 45 (most since 2014-15) DJF precip: 3.92” (-2.64”) 17th driest out of 153 years Driest since 2020-21 DJF snowfall: 32.9” (-2.5”) 51st snowiest out of 153 years Snowiest since 2020-21 Largest snowstorm: 6.1” – Jan 14/15 Season snowfall thru 2/28- 38.8” (+1.5”) Days with 1”+ snowcover: 61 (most since 2013-14) Days with 6”+ snowcover: 21 (most since 2014-15) Peak snow depth: 9” (Jan 26, Jan 27, Jan 28, Jan 29, Feb 7) 19th most days with 1”+ snowcover out of 121 years Insane stat- In a winter full of deep cold and white ground, we managed to touch 60F+ 3 times this cold winter. Each time was a very brief but rapid spike. While not close to the record of 7, these 3 days were spaced out one in each month DJF. This is only the 2nd time on record this occurred. The other time was a very warm winter (1889-90). Lets compare- In an era when everyone wants to compare things to CC, the irony is that this winter most closely resembled a handful of winters from the 1900s-1910s. The cold temperatures, frequent snowfall, and solid blanket of snow that covered the ground most of the time but without any huge storms, and with NO big precip makers, is a throwback to the colder, drier climate of that era. Two in a Row- This is the 2nd colder than normal winter in a row. Last winter finished 0.9F below avg and this one 3.2F below avg. Last winter saw average snowcover despite below avg snowfall, so this is also 2 years in a row where snow covered the ground in a greater capacity than would be expected with the amount of snow that fell. If I had to guess- Ill say next winter locally will be milder with less snowcover but a bigger snowstorm than each of these past 2 winters. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
MET Winter 2025-26 at Detroit DJF avg temp: 25.2F (-3.2F) 43rd coldest out of 153 years Coldest since 2017-18 Coldest temp: -10F on Jan 24 # of days with a low below 0F: 5 (most since 2018-19) # of days with a low 9F or colder: 21 (most since 2014-15) # of days with a low 32F or colder: 83 (most since 2013-14) # of days with a HIGH 32F or colder: 45 (most since 2014-15) DJF precip: 3.92” (-2.64”) 17th driest out of 153 years Driest since 2020-21 DJF snowfall: 32.9” (-2.5”) 51st snowiest out of 153 years Snowiest since 2020-21 Largest snowstorm: 6.1” – Jan 14/15 Season snowfall thru 2/28- 38.8” (+1.5”) Days with 1”+ snowcover: 61 (most since 2013-14) Days with 6”+ snowcover: 21 (most since 2014-15) Peak snow depth: 9” (Jan 26, Jan 27, Jan 28, Jan 29, Feb 7) 19th most days with 1”+ snowcover out of 121 years Insane stat- In a winter full of deep cold and white ground, we managed to touch 60F+ 3 times this cold winter. Each time was a very brief but rapid spike. While not close to the record of 7, these 3 days were spaced out one in each month DJF. This is only the 2nd time on record this occurred. The other time was a very warm winter (1889-90). Lets compare- In an era when everyone wants to compare things to CC, the irony is that this winter most closely resembled a handful of winters from the 1900s-1910s. The cold temperatures, frequent snowfall, and solid blanket of snow that covered the ground most of the time but without any huge storms, and with NO big precip makers, is a throwback to the colder, drier climate of that era. Two in a Row- This is the 2nd colder than normal winter in a row. Last winter finished 0.9F below avg and this one 3.2F below avg. Last winter saw average snowcover despite below avg snowfall, so this is also 2 years in a row where snow covered the ground in a greater capacity than would be expected with the amount of snow that fell. If I had to guess- Ill say next winter locally will be milder with less snowcover but a bigger snowstorm than each of these past 2 winters. -
Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
Weather Will replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
TheClimateChanger replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
Imgoinhungry replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Snow tv. Nothing will stick, i think. . -
2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I wonder if CANSIPS has consistency bias? I know I think @GaWx was showing how they had SSTA anomalies for the same month year after year.
