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i'll come back to this conversation by tomorrow night!

EURO QPF as compared to previous best run, 12z:

Definitely moderate rates now in DC

That's about same as earlier total wise

I know its OT but I remember that day in July 1989 so well. I walked to worked that day in the early afternoon. The partly sunny sky had a strange look and there was constant low rolling thunder to the north and west. It was warm and humid but there was a nice Southerly breeze. I remember lots of thunder storms later that afternoon. Then when I got home it was all over the news about Bantam and Hamden and parts of New Haven. It sounded like they were all rain wrapped. The damage footage was pretty impressive for SNE.

I have some caution flags, but it’s a lot of joy in here so whatev. But we’re relying on big ratios and big QPF over a relatively short amount of time in a SWFE…albeit one on roids. It can happen , but there’s not a lot of room for error.

13.3/9.1. Here in 21057

Around 28 now with a light glaze on cars (but enough to keep me from raising the wipers). It’s been mostly freezing drizzle since we went below freezing but looks like it’ll pick up here soon

For you guys to the south...

Well, it’s pretty much now casting now and I’m just going on what the trend has been, don’t kill the messenger, believe me I want to be wrong, but you gotta tell it how it is when the models are showing how it’s gonna play out, that’s simple

This pixie snow is wild. .

Hate to do this to you but those heavy returns are the mix line. Some good news is that the mix line itself has collapsed south a bit in the past 30 minutes!

Hi-res models now in range thing that's ludicrous. .

First flakes here on the upper western shore! NE of Baltimore in Harford Co

Upton readvised their warnings, not good if you want all snow. 8-12 in the city/lower westchester 10-16 NW

Nobody wants to be more wrong than me, but I’m just seeing what I’m seeing, that warm air seems to be very aggressive on pretty much all the models, I mean, I’m here in Rockland County. You think I would be in a sweet spot but even here we’re gonna get shafted, maybe 6 inches at best before the sleet comes in, the New York City area points south and east, looking a lot less

22.5 and changed over to mainly sleet.

you're going to be wrong, nyc is getting way more

Yup, This thing looks poised to go bazurk in SNE with the snow.

Pixie dust light snow here in macungie

The way things are looking we’re not even looking at that, I’m saying 3 to 5 in the city, less than that point south and east and even 30 miles west and north of New York City not that much more maybe 4 to 8 at best

Jeb, you ever think about how even 80 years from now when everyone posting here is dead and gone, people will still be taking walks named after you lol Snow picking in Columbia, on the verge of measurable now on most surfaces

Enjoy that snow!!

We can only hope brother!!!!

Wow bro those last 3 pics looks like Christmas greeting cards!! Nice!!!