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  2. I think people complain mostly about the humidity not the temperatures per se. I distinctly remember a few people on here who said that they were surprised how enjoyable they found the dry low humidity heat of 2010 even though it was above 100 for July 4th weekend just like it was this year. That was the ideal summer 100 degrees with 20 percent humidity. I'm not surprised they enjoyed that weather either, dry heat is VERY therapeutic to the human body. That was my favorite summer of all time. Followed by the 1993 summer which had the greatest heatwave I've ever experienced.
  3. 1955 was very similar to 1999 both were very hot summers. Part of the well known 11 year cycle.
  4. That one tornado near Mountville was RIGHT near my buddy’s house.
  5. There are also such things as pools and beaches. I have an inground pool here myself but only used it for a few days this summer because it's rained so much. Today was a really good day though, around 75 here and mostly sunny and a nice cool breeze at 1600 feet. Looks like a clear night coming up, why couldn't we have had this last night for the eclipse instead of those nuisance thunderstorms? It didn't clear out here last night until after 1:30. I really dislike thunder and lightning I'm always worried it will hit me especially up here. I had to hire a logging company to clear all the tall trees within 100 feet of this house back in 2018 when a microburst happened and I had to replace part of the roof and the railing on the bedroom balcony.
  6. Yeah there’s def no Stein. It looks very wet NYC north and east thru the next 2 weeks
  7. There is no guarantee that an "EL Nino" will ever "kick in" I have on more than one occasion said that El Nino guarantees nothing. 1965 had a +2.1 Nino. November and December of 1965 were very dry for D.C.. Less than a half inch for each month. There are far too many who think with a strong Nino, we will soon turn wet. That is simply not guaranteed. It is likely, but not guaranteed.
  8. Up here at DCL it's 71F and zero humidity with a good breeze, basically a perfect day. We moved about 4000lbs of rock. Kinda weird up here, all the cherry trees have lost about half of their leaves already. Just dried up and fell off. Can't really blame it on drought, I guess it's just getting late I the season here.
  9. Their going to be "winning" so much there going to get tired of winning.
  10. Lake America will produce bigly. You guys are gonna get buried this winter. 500"+.
  11. Papers by people who have an agenda or financed by those in a position to profit? Idk, just asking. I find it hard to believe anything I read when comes to any issue that's been politicized. And even when results are true, mundane results can be hyped or sensationalized to create a false impression of importance/urgency. Like making a big deal about the rising of a few tenths of a degree in a very small portion of the Pacific off S. America when the record was 29 years ago. I mean if GW was so urgent, it wouldn't have taken 29 years to beat the record by a few tenths of a degree. That doesn't strike me as a "rapidly shifting climate."
  12. Tomorrow through Monday will see highs reach the upper 70s and lower 80s. It could turn somewhat warmer to end August and start September. However, no excessive heat appears likely through the remainder of August and into the opening days of September. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.6°C for the week centered around August 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.87°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.43°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -7.34 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.286 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 58% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.9° (0.2° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
  13. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    This guide explains it well: MedGuide USA - very detailed.
  14. Today
  15. Beautiful day on fire island. High around 80 with a warm breeze. Excellent late summer week.
  16. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    More details can be found at MedGuideUSA. Good luck!
  17. Could be a dry autumn stretch, should be some good December rains tho’.
  18. The problem with that is, whatever is happening at the time is correlated to the linear rise in temperature. I would think there would just be more global high pressure, a more stable system - bigger swings does not jive with a total warming climate. 09-10 was the lowest NAO since the mid 1800s. I thought global warming would really inflate high pressure at the poles - but the opposite has happened over the last 11 years. Now it's swings or whatever that is the product of global warming. Something else I think is causing the mid latitude temps to rise relative to the poles.
  19. looks like a nice warmup coming over the next week or so!
  20. There are papers discussing changes to the teleconnections like the NAO and AO as the climate continues to warm. Bigger swings from one state to another. One of the best papers actually came out a year before the biggest swings began in the NAO and AO in 2009-2010. That is more the exception than the rule since most papers only come out after the change had already occurred.
  21. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  22. According to most of us on this forum. But the majority of the population movement is to places like the Deep South and Desert Southwest like Phoenix. Just go on YouTube and pull up videos about how people in these areas stay in the AC as much as possible in the warm season. There is a couple on there that used to live in Minnesota that would rather deal with Phoenix summer heat than Upper Midwest winter cold. They adjust their summer routines to only go outdoors early in the mornings for more than a few minutes to avoid the heat. But to each their own. This world provides a wide array of climates to accommodate everyone’s wants and needs.
  23. Third day in a row of rain all around us and plenty of thunder but not a drop at the house. At least I don't have to mow this weekend...
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