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Not much

I deleted my ad hoc math because it didn't make sense. If records were kept over a longer time..it would probably smooth out to an even distribution.

I’ll go with 1.5” in Commack. 32.3” on the season

Think about it too like during the summer, we've had some summers where we've seen to get cold fronts to always come through around the same day each week, especially when the pattern isn't deviating much.

anybody got a snow map from the 6z euro AI? Hasnt it been on point this Winter?

12z ICON went all in on the weekend system the GFS has been showing on and off .

Not saying it can’t happen, but the models have been awful with showing the MJO propagating into phase 8 since late November only to have it fail. I guess all we can do is wait and see if it holds and is real this time

they don't, it's just how the spacing of storms/track work sometimes. I agree...theoretically the day of the week doesn't matter at all

Certainly going to be difficult to see any sustained cold with that AO index.

I had 25” in Auburn, NH as a final event depth…no clearing.

That counts you out

Tempted to start a thread...

February 16 1981: A significant warmup occurs across Minnesota. Highs in the 50s and 60s are common. 5 daily high records are broken in a row in the Twin Cities, with many others also broken statewide. 1903: A temperature of -59 is recorded at Pokegama Dam, tying the state record low at that time. It would not be broken for another 93 years. For Monday, February 16, 2026 1899 - Washington D.C. received 1.26 inches of rain in six hours atop a snow cover more than 30 inches deep making it the soggiest day of record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1903 - The temperature at Pokegama Dam MN plunged to 59 degrees below zero to establish a state record. (David Ludlum) 1943 - Record cold prevailed in the northeastern U.S. The mercury plunged to 43 degrees below zero at Concord NH, and to -39 degrees at Portland ME. The morning low of -32 degrees at Falls Village CT established a state record, yet the afternoon high that day was 20 degrees above zero. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - A winter storm produced snow and ice in the Ohio Valley and the Appalachian Region. Snowfall totals in Virginia ranged up to 14 inches around Farmville, while Granville NC reported eight inches of sleet and ice. Freezing rain in eastern North Carolina caused extensive damage to power lines. Gales lashed the coast of Virginia and North Carolina. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Santa Ana winds in southern California gusted to 50 mph in the Rancho Cucamonga area. Quiet weather prevailed across the rest of the nation. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - A surge of arctic air produced all-time record high barometric pressure readings of 31.08 inches at Duluth MN, 30.97 inches at Chicago IL and 30.94 inches at South Bend IN. Readings of 31.00 inches at Milwaukee WI and 30.98 inches at Rockford IL tied their all-time records. Unseasonably warm weather prevailed across the southeastern U.S. Highs of 81 degrees at Athens GA, 87 degrees at Charleston SC, 85 degrees at Macon GA, and 86 degrees at Savannah GA were records for February. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Strong thunderstorms developing ahead of an arctic cold front produced severe weather across the southeastern U.S. between mid morning on the 15th and early evening on the 16th. Thunderstorms spawned thirteen tornadoes, including one which, prior to dawn on the 16th, injured eleven persons near Carrollton GA. There were also 121 reports of large hail or damaging winds. A late afternoon thunderstorm on the 15th produced baseball size hail at Jackson MS, and prior to dawn on the 16th, a thunderstorm produced high winds which injured four persons at Goodwater AL. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

We got this…where is everyone?

After today we should see temperatures at above normal levels for the remainder of the work week. In fact, after tomorrow morning, we should remain above freezing day and night until likely next Sunday morning. This should finally start to melt away much of the snow cover which as of today has been on the ground for 31 straight days which is tied for the 12th longest stretch and 16th overall since 1893. We should see multiple rain chances with light rain possible Wednesday and more beneficial rains toward the weekend. The next chance at any wintry precipitation will be toward the end of next weekend.

I'm putting them at 22.1 since they reported 0.1 on the 7th. You can see it on the radar that they had some light snow pull through just after midnight. I'm going to be aggressive with the 20" line since a lot of these reports end Tue evening/night and trying to toss anything from Tue morning. If i only included the ones that are "final" on the PNS there would hardly be anything. And OKX doesnt even list the times so that makes it even worse. BDL is also definitely wrong at 9.9" all the surrounding reports are around 12-14"

Go Ike...

uh the people interested in science

Yep, never been Icon’d

After today we should see temperatures at above normal levels for the remainder of the work week. In fact, after tomorrow morning, we should remain above freezing day and night until likely next Sunday morning. This should finally start to melt away much of the snow cover which as of today has been on the ground for 31 straight days which is tied for the 12th longest stretch and 16th overall since 1893. We should see multiple rain chances with light rain possible Wednesday and more beneficial rains toward the weekend. The next chance at any wintry precipitation will be toward the end of next weekend.

Basically 5 days out. Easy

Over 20 region wide

Icon is a massive blizzard for sunday and Monday

You mean double-double digits! 20"+

Thanks Don. Its far out there however the members are starting to drop at the end. This would align with the MJO heading to phase 7 and the dip in the zonal winds posted above. This COULD make for a wild 2nd week of March.