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For sure...but likely wind. I looked this AM when I saw those warmer temps streaking across Tenn. The general correlate to winds I think.
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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
RVASnowLover replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
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I got this good feeling HH GooFus going to deliver. The NAM needs to be taken back behind the shed ASAP.
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
Rd9108 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Very cool to see the micro climates showing. Also hoping I don't end up in a pocket of zr the entire event haha
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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
mattie g replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
It really is -
Better here then the MA side they just got pants pulled on the NAM
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Storm cancel. See yall in the long range thread
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Getting drier on models too sadly
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Fair hedge, IMO. Enough to scare people into taking it seriously, not too much to back off should sleetmageddon trends continue.
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Updated LWX discussion tl;dr all systems go. Forecast stabilizing, bigly snow, some crust, watching bigly ice for southern zones. Freaking cold
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IMG_7191.mov This was at the office in Burlington an hour ago.
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NAM is definitely sleet on this sounding at 18z for RDU. Only area above freezing is a small sliver from 850-800mb
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1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, MI and OH
TimChgo9 replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
It would be funny (not) if this verifies. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, MI and OH
Chicago916 replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I believe in Tom https://www.facebook.com/share/p/17NEQck89Q/ -
Then, that is very likely that is the mountain wave event. I looked pretty closely earlier today. Wicked downslope. Saw some gusts as high at 65mph on earlier models. That last "streak" usually works its way right up I26. I usually get a text from someone in Gray who says their house is 45 while I am in the upper 20s and low 30s. Bout thirty minutes later...it starts raining at my house. Hahah. Let's hope there isn't ice on those trees as @Holston_River_Ramblernoted earlier today....high winds and ice are a bad combo.
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1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
You also have two river valleys that cut through the mountains that the model is seeing and trying to leak some of North Carolina's CAD, French Broad and Nolichucky. Or at least I think that's a possibility -
I'm not complaining at all. Finally a good daytime snow.
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Next run Nam will double qpf because that’s what the Nam does model is trash.
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We rarely get ice like this especially county wide. It's usually rain or snow not much ice around here.
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We really don't want slower though. We need the precip to come while that confluence is still in the game. But I am not going to lose my shit over a NAM run.
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
mob1 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
The NAM is beautiful. I'd much rather have the thermals trend favorably and then figure out the precipitation distribution and intensity than the other way around. -
The rrfs takes forever to erode the CAD between those downsloping hotspots. Over an inch of zr for my backyard.
