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I've always been vocal in my opinion that I love our summer severe crew. With a few notable exceptions over the years we all just seem to mostly get along and not stir up the drama like the larger crowds in winter. Sure....every now and then we get the ethics debate about "rooting for" severe weather. But all in all, we are just fellow weather weenies trudging through the hot, humid, disgusting days of spring through early fall until we can start tracking first frost/freeze. This is banter, and I am being a little overly nostalgic - but I mean this wholeheartedly when I say it: Some of my most fond weather memories have been centered around Eastern/AmWx over the years. Sure...the actual weather events themselves are the "core" - but I've experienced them alongside all of you. I've had the pleasure of meeting some great characters from here in person at the conferences as well. Whether we bust today (or in general) or not...gotta say ya'll are awesome.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
canderson replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Hive mind: Should I bail on driving down the 80 miles down from PA to a concert Merriweather/Columbia tonight? Seems … somewhat risk and safer to just swallow the lost $$$. (if anyone wants Death Cab for Cutie tickets tonight reach out lol)- 1,215 replies
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Yes and there is some clearing to our west - but how much of that is going to reach us ?
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Looking like N NJ and Hudson Valley are favored for heavy rain then some zone south of there with a split screw zone in the middle. You can already see a good bit of rain headed for the favored N NJ/Hudson Valley area.
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someone should tell them Newark isn't located in Middlesex County - as for todays precip the flow is southwesterly and so far nothing has developed to our southwest but its still very early - another question is - how unstable is the atmosphere going to actually get later today to produce any watches and where exactly is this all going to setup - favored areas in central NJ and NYC??? or can that change ?
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
dailylurker replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
True lol. I forgot there's like 5 of us that care about severe. I just love thunderstorms. Not like I love snow. Thunderstorms are spicy. They've tried to kill me a few times lol. I like seeing those breaks to the west and sw. Let's see what today does. I'm headed down to Fort Washington this morning. On days like today I look like the guy on Good Fellas driving down the road looking at the sky watching for helicopters following him. I look the same but watching for sun lol- 1,215 replies
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Got .20, first rain in weeks
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
To set the record straight, 25/26 rather than 23/24 is the winter that I said that @bluewavewas too harsh on as regards the 8/1/25 Euro and mid-July ‘25 CFS performance overall for the Conus. They forecasted ~+2F anomalies for the Conus averaged out geographically, which was ~36F. I posted them here: That means they were predicting the 7th or 8th warmest winter on record back to 1895. It ended up at 37.1F, which is ~3F above both the 1993-2016 climo base of the Euro and the 1991-2020 climo base of the CFS and the 2nd warmest on record. That’s a decent performance by these two imho, especially with DJF being ~6 months out! They missed by only ~1F and thus predicted quite a warm winter. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I mean being on water is a riskier space buuuuut cmon lol -
2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Roger Ramjet replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
EF2 raked my subdivision in Remington. Lost 6 homes in my subdivision, including my next door neighbor's house. I lost one shudder - go figure.- 1,215 replies
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I work overnight (Sunday to Wednesday) so I have time to post lol Disco says we should get some breaks soon as the WF goes by... we shall see as you said
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
66 degrees for the low. Fishing got canceled this morning because of the threat of severe weather. It was supposed to be rain showers this morning. But the sun is shining heating things up. -
i have a 6500 watt portable generator that I plug into an outlet outside the house which goes to a transfer switch. it is super easy, and powers everything I need, heat, water (on a well), and most importantly internet. i could use microwave but don't because it is obviously a huge power suck, and can't use the stove/oven.
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If you lose power that much then a standalone is worth it. PG’s are good for basic needs (fridge, ac, heat, oven, etc) as long as you have the wiring installed by a pro. There is alot of good ones on the market at a fraction of the cost of standalones. It just depends how much power you need. https://www.popularmechanics.com/technology/infrastructure/a64917889/how-to-connect-a-generator-to-your-house/?utm_source=google&utm_medium=cpc&utm_campaign=mgu_ga_pop_m_bm_prog_org_us_a64917889&gad_source=1&gad_campaignid=23528319530&gbraid=0AAAAADCyiSlllkc8D1E59aDuuyYUORV7j&gclid=CjwKCAjwsfzSBhB5EiwAOGyqSSHSQy-bRh7GGYXtx3pUUINzlpjhy5SGDB0gRV2YQbxGfKzTwrmyXBoCF4EQAvD_BwE
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Light drizzle north of Winchester
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Our severe crew isn't always up super early (except @yoda who seems to never sleep lol). We don't do the wall-to-wall posting as well as the larger winter crowd. I'd expect by 9-10am you'll get some more of the folks posting in here. Pretty cloud in Colesville, MD right now. Haven't looked at visible sat yet though
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