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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
WmsptWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Looks like Euro is getting .75 QPF into the area. -
Everything to shift south like on the GFS. The Euro warmed enough for rain in Chattanooga and up towards Knoxville for a brief period. That would help some with the ice.
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/25 - 1/26
Stormlover74 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Euro is around .75" liquid -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
NJHurricane replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Yeah the precip field compressed. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Hopefully the rest of the trees at Augusta are gone. -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/25 - 1/26
MJO812 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Big potential when all the models show basically the same thing and the pattern supports it. -
I wouldn't let be Euro scare anyone too much. There's really cold air aloft and a strong high funneling it in. Climo says that cold air should be thicker.
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Close enough at this range though.
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0Z had around .97 QPF in the city, so a very slight step back but mostly just noise
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I got you brother I knew what you were saying. I’m sitting in TPA airport right now heading back so I was just doing it off 6z euro recollection. Thought it looked a good bit warmer. I feel like we’re in that smaller adjustment period to fine tune the final markers/barriers for mix/pure snow and precip shield accuracy. Thursday afternoon maybe will be the window to start saying ok this is a good bet.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
weatherwiz replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
That is gotta be closing in on one of the most devastating ice storms on record for parts of the mid-Atlantic there into GA where they CAD well. -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/25 - 1/26
eduggs replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
I'm happy it's the GFS showing the miss and not the CMC, ECMWF, or UK. But big snowstorms are uncommon - everything has to go right and usually doesn't. So it's reasonable to be on guard for what might go wrong. Any signs of trending towards the GFS should be concerning if you want a big snow event. -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/25 - 1/26
NEG NAO replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
true and the GFS ensembles disagree with its OP -
I don't have maps but ECM likely 10-15" kuchera area wide
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January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
colonel717 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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I'd rather have 8 inches over 24 hours than 24 inches over 8 hours..personal preference to watch snow fall I guess. bet the final solution no where near final.
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definitely a step back from 6z with the phasing
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/25 - 1/26
Big Jims Videos replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Models love to extend storm duration. -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/25 - 1/26
WeatherGeek2025 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
i said i would step away from posting for 48 hours if we didn't see a north trend from the models last night and we did so in here -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/25 - 1/26
NEG NAO replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
consistency and agreement with other models is key in any event iMO -
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January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
NorthHillsWx replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
That was ugly. My eyes are bleeding -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/25 - 1/26
Franklin0529 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
I mean every single model is showing the same thing except the GFS. Ensembles are as well. I mean there's really not much more you could ask for? -
In your opinion, what do we need to keep it primarily snow?
