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Lol

Ai gfs is comical. Spitting out almost an inch of liquid in eastern ma. The cave is going to be epic

One thing to monitor is that “kicker” If it comes in at a steeper trajectory that could broaden the trough and allow the lead wave to curl more northerly.

The way I see it. This is the normal typical nickle and dime event before the next bitter blast of cold. Next cold settles in and this time next week we are on the door step watching the first in a series of significant snowstorms that drop 6-10”+ of snow.

Lol.

The watching and getting emotionally invested (to a point) is fun for me though. Just wish we could bat 30-50% instead of 10%.

0.4" liquid in 6 hours showing up on globals and mesos. It's very isolated and variable in placement. But someone could get a surprise with some intense frontogenic banding on Saturday!

It doesn’t snow in Michigan

A huge shoutout to @high risk for showcasing how the models really work. I really appreciated his posts about highlighting the importance of how this current base state is unpredictable, leading to volatile modeling, how outputs are calculated, and what data goes into the model to produce those outputs. It's been really informative and I hope he keeps doing such great work.

Take into consideration these models tonight an Tommorow will have full data samples from the West Coast for the first time

Stop eating so much chili.

Wow. Interesting. Thanks.

That’s crushing cold…absolutely historic. Extremely low chance of that even coming close to that. So don’t sweat it.

The 18z Euro Ai was a gem. It's usually steady once it locks onto something. Hopefully it stays locked onto that type of evolution.

3+

Kuchera maps need to be divided by ten.

Gfs came slightly west AI GFS is a nice hit

Ai gfs

Another round of wind has made an appearance here.

Gfs is virtually same as 18z.

That's warm with light rates.

1-2”?

That looks like a blizzard at this point.

Looks SE to me