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  1. Past hour
  2. Sounds like my tee time is back on for tomorrow after reading the last page in here
  3. Starting to come together, Pepper, starting to come together. The frontogenesis starting at the round 6:45 up until the last frame was pretty fricking, incredible. I wanted to include the sandwich RGB loop, but the files are too large.
  4. I am in the skeptical camp on this one. Threat needs to be taken seriously, of course. But in my experience we fail at these setups even more than we fail at winter storm setups.
  5. This one will verify just like last week. There are no guardrails anymore, especially for severe.
  6. The timing could be horrid because 1-2 hours off on timing and busses could be out in the worst of it
  7. I'm going to be riding the edge, just hope I end up on the right side of it.
  8. this has truly beeen the most hyped severe event i can remember. It would be funny if last Wednesday ends up being more impressive lol
  9. Dry slot lasted a bit longer than expected but snow is starting back up here. See if we can make a run at double digits
  10. Looks like guidance finally has a handle on things, as confirmed by how radar is shaping up. Kudos for the Euro leading the way over the past 18-24hrs. There’s going to be one heck of a snowfall gradient from NW-SE across the heart of the LOT CWA.
  11. Yea it was ok but obviously not what we wanted. This thing underperformed for us in downtown. Hope the UP of MI gets their feet of snow and this does not underperform.
  12. I seen so many hyped up severe days for them only to produce minimal reports. Here’s hoping tomorrow is another.
  13. Still have a small pile in my Cul de sac which should be gone by Tuesday morning
  14. At least those totals verified, albeit further south. It annoys me a lot more when the models put out big numbers and then dry up right at showtime. Next snow event less then 48 hours away!
  15. Oh so jumping ship over the HRRR isn’t just limited to winter storms?
  16. And hours before it started multiple models were showing 2 feet. smdh.
  17. 8.8” storm total at MSP. one last burst of moderate snow rotating through now. We’ll see if it adds anything. 12-14” reports 10 miles south.
  18. Went over Greenville Mountain on 84 today and saw a few very small patches of snow in the woods.
  19. I mean if this setup was in May-August I’d be little more concerned for sure but guess we will see what happens. Also it’s the hrrr so probably will change soon enough.
  20. The 0z HRRR is the exact failure mode that seems most likely, the crapvection from the west hangs on and is enhanced east of the mountains by the synoptic lift. By the time the low ejects, the moisture is wiped.
  21. Sleet/snow combo falling now. Mainly sleet, as my deck is fairly slick.
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