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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
.16” of rain from showers yesterday. 70 degrees for the low. Just a few weeks ago I was having 41 degrees for a low. -
Not like it will be BN... just less torchy
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These early high launching temps are fun. Already 80F at 7:30AM here at work
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Looks like summer is cancelled after this weekend.
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At least we got a tenth last night.
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Quick downpour here from those pop ups out west. Hopefully later on is when the real action starts but we’ll take every drop we can for now. This pollen has to go!
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Who cares
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Stein
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We suck for tstms . That’s why nobody here cares about convection.
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Fun day
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Iowa rocking this morning. Early alarm clock for sure.
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watching that mcv in iowa
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The 850 mb temperatures today near +20C and downslope westerly flow will support 97-99° at the warm spots with enough sun. Seeing some clouds in forecast today. But more sun could support a few local warm spots making a run at 100°.
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Are the debris/clouds this am going to impact heating or is this going to burn off fairly soon?
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Epic drought continues. 0.03" from last night. 1.62" since May 1st. 3.53" since April 1st Decent shot some of us go bone dry till Sunday evening.
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We ended up with a inch to 1 1/2. A station a few miles from me reported about 3.5. They got just shy of 3 inches in the first round which really had the stream up on the side of 132 as I drove home.
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Lol, damn. I was surprised to get 0.77". Most fell around 2-3am Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
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0.77". Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
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Lol wtf happened 1.93" overnight
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71/69 , with those dews creeping up, warm crew is happy.
- Today
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Japan’s meteorological agency has declared an El Niño. Not a surprise given the current obs and the JMA model showing a historic event On a side note, the extreme SST anomalies off the coast of Peru continue…. ^ “And according to the latest oceanographic bulletin from @ImarpePeru, sea surface temperatures continue to rise and have reached an anomaly of +7.36°C (+13.25°F) off the coast of #Paita #Piura. Tomorrow we expect an update from the Climate Prediction Center of @NOAA on the status and outlook of #ElNiño.” -
Min 65.9° 0.67” We wet
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
S Wey pouring again . -
Tagged day 4... mentioned again on days 7 and 8 ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 110852 SPC AC 110852 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 AM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026 Valid 141200Z - 191200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Sunday... The 00z models have trended toward a much stronger short-wave trough and associated mid-level jet, which will progress from the Great Lakes and OH Valley into the Northeast. Elsewhere, a short-wave trough is forecast to move from the northern Rockies into the central Plains. At the surface, a cold front attendant to the Northeast short-wave trough will move through that region with the trailing extension of the boundary pushing south through the OH and TN Valleys into the Gulf Coast states. A much stronger low-level jet is now forecast ahead of the cold front across the Northeast, which will aid in greater air mass destabilization than indicated in previous model runs. When coupled with notably stronger vertical shear, the setup appears favorable for organized severe storms across the Mid-Atlantic, potentially into southern New England Sunday afternoon and evening. ...Day 5/Monday... The models suggest the Sunday/central Plains short-wave trough will progress through the mid MS into OH Valleys with an associated belt of enhanced mid-level flow stretching from the central Plains into Mid-Atlantic. At the surface, there is good model agreement that the primary synoptic front and associated warm sector will lie across TX and the Gulf Coast states, to the south of the stronger mid-level winds and forcing for ascent. Some severe-weather threat may develop along and south of the front; however, the marginal vertical shear is expected to limit the overall severe-weather threat. Slightly stronger vertical shear is forecast across the central and southern High Plains, due to an easterly upslope regime in the low-levels. While the potential for more organized storms will exist in that region, severe-weather coverage may only be isolated. ...Day 6/Tuesday... The ensemble mean and deterministic models are suggestive that a mid-level disturbance will track from the central Plains into the lower OH and TN Valleys, contributing to overall amplification of the long-wave trough in place east of the Rockies. The primary surface front is expected to remain in place across the Gulf Coast states, to the immediate south of the stronger forcing for ascent and mid-level flow. While isolated occurrences of severe weather appear possible from the southern High Plains into Southeast, the potential for an organized severe-weather event remains in question. ...Days 7-8/Wednesday and Thursday... The ensemble means indicate the progression of a strong mid-level jet streak into the northern and central Plains Wednesday with that feature moving through the OH Valley into Mid-Atlantic Thursday. At the surface, the ensemble member low positions indicate clustering across the northern Plains and upper MS Valley Wednesday, and across the Great Lakes into Ontario on Thursday. The rapid poleward return of a moist and unstable air mass is expected to occur ahead of the surface low and associated frontal system. As such, some severe weather appears possible across parts of the Midwest Wednesday, and perhaps OH Valley into Mid-Atlantic Thursday. ..Mead.. 06/11/2026
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