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  2. Eskimo Joe
    00z HRRR is legit. Several pre-frontal mini supercells then a solid squall line.
  3. michsnowfreak
    What was your peak depth? Detroit peaked at 9" Jan 26-29 and Feb 7.
  4. BooneWX
    All of the short range models are starting to slow that front down. Any more ticks west with time and even more folks in the Carolinas and Virginia are going to be under the gun.
  5. SnowenOutThere
  6. michsnowfreak
    Exactly. I remember feb 2015 so vividly because first we had the 16.7" snowstorm then the insane cold. My grandpa was near the end of his life so we went to celebrate his feb 19th birthday despite wind chill warnings to not go out, much less for elderly. But other than being a historic month, it caused no lasting harm. The two week march inferno in 2012 literally ruined the entire 2012 growing season for fruit growers.
  7. SnowenOutThere
    HRRR and NAM seem to be coming in later with the cold front's arrival.
  8. OrdIowPitMsp
    Hi-res models have swung the heavy death band south of the metro now. 50 miles will make the difference between 12-15” and 18-24”
  9. Jebman
    You're right, its not. But low 90s in March is a lot better than having to deal with heavy snow and blizzard strength winds. I mean, you guys are definitely up to it, but I am aging and I can't any more. All I like to do now is watch it fall but that's it. McHenry are you trying to tell me that Texas is going to have a very bad record hot summer this year?
  10. Nomz
    Other forums I'm on have the ability to cut and paste a bunch of posts from one thread to another, could we do that for this thread?
  11. McHenrySnow
    90s in March is not the flex you think it is.
  12. coastal front
    I think the value of a thread is to analyze how tends, model runs, increasing/decreasing threat levels and NWS discussions evolved in the days leading up to the event. Regardless if the top end potential verifies it would make it easier to reflect on how a very rare long lead/ high prob severe threat unfolded day by day for future reference. Most on this board will remember a day 4 30% severe prob over an anafrontal coating that had a thread earlier this week lol.
  13. A-L-E-K
    True^
  14. Kmlwx
    Unrelated - but has anyone else been having serious issues loading the SPC Events Archive pages? Eventually they load - but stuff is missing - and sometimes it just throws an error on the left navigation area entirely.
  15. Jebman
    I read in one of the AFDs that places to the north of I 94 may get 18-36 inches of snow. I'm so jealous because I wanted my Uncle in La Crosse to have to shovel 2 feet of snow. Now he is only going to get maybe 8-14 inches with some sleet. Damn. I wanted him to get slammed with the 18-36 ha ha, then he has to dig snow. I was gonna call him up and brag about low 90s in south Texas while he breaks his back in deep snow with drifts on top of it.
  16. Voyager
    No don't be. Its ok, I'm just frustrated. If we weren't so locked in since Thanksgiving I wouldn't be so upset. It's just been so relentless, both our cold and their heat. I guess it didn't help that the two winters I spent out there with my mom were cool and somewhat wet. Both before and after my arrival and departure, the winters were warm and dry. Gives merit to when I say that wherever I am, there too, shall the cold be.
  17. Kmlwx
    We do seem to go on "runs" at times. 2008 and 2012 come to mind. Also I still can't believe that College Park in 2001 and La Plata in 2002 were less than 8 months apart.
  18. RogueWaves
    For mby? 4+ melting down to puddles, then the backside blasting thru making a frozen mess of everything for several days. Then spring happens next weekend. The Robins are not too pleased with back-2-back storms greeting their arrival.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Yea for better or worse, if we go D2 MOD it's probably best to make a thread. We only average a mod risk once every couple of years.
  20. RogueWaves
    Other than Nov 28-29 big storms have avoided us completely here in Mid-Michigan. One the worst stretches of my life in that regard. Midland's climo history is not that great for Big Dogs fwiw. Harrison is marginally better but still kind in-between the target zones.
  21. Today
  22. WxUSAF
    That works
  23. thekidcurtis started following Severe Weather Thread 2026
  24. Stormchaserchuck1
    Sometimes. Here is how a Nino 3.4 El Nino usually develops.. first over the dateline: Sometimes Stronger El Nino's will develop in the far east and spread west to Nino 3, but they typically don't jump to where the western ENSO regions have the same +std as the east.
  25. neatlburbwthrguy
    Do you have this map for north ga?
  26. mnchaserguy
    Snowing pretty good despite relatively mundane reflectivity. .
  27. Chicago Storm
    i shared the stats not too long ago. this is our best season in terms of both snow and cold in several years.
  28. Santa Claus
    just not enough CAPE Monday but i bet there’s at least one NJ tornado
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