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  2. BuffaloWeather
    November might set records for warmest on record across many locations.
  3. colonel717
    Interesting. WPa has historically been pretty big a winner with SSW's https://x.com/wallcloud/status/2116926407431594033
  4. frontranger8
    There are way too many individual examples that go against this, though. It's just not that simple. For example, for much of the Pacific Northwest, Feb/Mar has gotten colder and snowier in the past decade or so. Counter the global temperature trend.
  5. frontranger8
    It's not a one to one relationship when you're talking about something like snowfall at a specific location.
  6. CT Valley Snowman
    Yeah this work week is a torch. Might as well get out and enjoy it.
  7. kdxken
    May I have another.
  8. michsnowfreak
    You will absolutely get snow. Just less of it than normal. And a massive OVER for 20" of snow on bos roof in March.
  9. Jackstraw
    3rd warmest October on record at KIND
  10. michsnowfreak
    Keep in mind a few things. My expectations are set for a mild winter. The last 2 were cold and a raging nino is in place. Its gonna be mild. My hopes are on a few good snowstorms as often are the case in Nino. Thinking we see about a 30 inch winter here. More importantly, this is my FAVORITE time of the year. I obviously prefer snow but no weather ruins the Christmas season for me (and yes lm one of those where Christmas runs November thru mid January lol). January and beyond is when my patience wears thin and I get very grumpy if its not snowing.
  11. forkyfork
    he had 90s last march lol
  12. jm1220
    I think this winter depends on whether we can time one or two big El Niño loaded systems with some cold air and a good track, and that probably happens in late Jan or Feb. 97-98 obviously we couldn’t and 23-24 either, but that was a weird Nino/background Nina hybrid season. I would like to see something happen in December because I always hate going past New Years hoping for a snowy winter generally but zippo in December. It rarely works out.
  13. SnowenOutThere
    Not necessarily. This would work if the event was random, however, we have strong evidence that our climatology issues are related to human caused climate change. Therefore, it will most likely not revert till we revert the atmospheric forcing mechanisms of climate change effects on the atmospheric/oceanic circulation.
  14. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  15. forkyfork
    why? the climo baseline is about to jump even warmer
  16. MJO812
  17. frontranger8
    So there is a good chance the short term trend for March the past 6 years will revert to a certain extent sometime soon.
  18. cmillzz
  19. forkyfork
    so?
  20. Malacka11
    This is exactly why when it comes to winter, I'd rather it just be boring than WAW. I think this is what separates the real real heads from semi-posers. Any other time of the year, sure, break the monotony up. But rain at slightly above freezing is downright the most dogshit ass weather you can get imo. I'll gladly layer up and go strolling in arctic conditions, but what the fuck are you gonna do outside in 33 and rain? And frankly, light rain from a cloud deck one physically cannot discern is incredibly dull in my eyes, so all that's left for me personally is to get tilted over the fact that it's snowing instead of raining. I guess approaching/departing systems make for cool sunsets at least...
  21. dendrite
    65.5° and not even noon yet.
  22. frontranger8
    Short term trends and limited sample sizes are a thing.
  23. WxMnDan717
    Neat, that's a pretty simple way to produce them. I liked how they were easy to interpret but also impactful with the information. Always appreciate your posts and insight...
  24. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  25. dendrite
    Sir, this is a weather forum…not grindr
  26. finnster
    Man that's scary dry looking for the end of October - could probably still drive over Trail Ridge road! Northern Colorado mountains snowpack only about 25% of normal. The southwest part of Colorado obviously looking good for whittling down the drought. In Fort Collins, last winter's snowfall of 22" was the driest since the winter of 1945-46. If things don't start changing soon we'll be lucky to even have 22" this winter... This El Nino is definitely favoring the southwest US with abundant moisture (that's great they needed it), leaving further north high and dry. That pattern just seems to persist - it's now looking questionable that our region will even see our first snow in November :-( Oh well - maybe December or January?
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