All Activity

More confluence to the north this run. Saw this on the RGEM as well.

I want to have faith but I've seen so many RDU bullseyes mean Metrolina gets a dusting or a pity inch.

This is starting to scream 1980 more and more.

trough axis too far east. Thats why I was hoping for NS to dive in hard and capture. IMO that coulda gave us a chance as this coulda had more neg tilt.

I'm just kidding.

It would of made this a historic stretch out here and practically sealed a great winter but nice things aren’t given that easily…

oddly ends up better than 6z GFS

12z GFS another Big Hit! It did shunt south a tad but it could be just noise. @Buddy1987 you still get hit with almost a foot to.

You can run the trend over the last few days and see the revving up that put us back in the game and the subsequent revving down. It’s not a weak trend at this point. Leaves us hoping more for a sudden jump now than a slow trend given how close we are to the event. Not impossible but feels like we only win if there’s just something out there the models suddenly latch onto, rather than tiny adjustments on the existing solution from here. At least, that’s the case if the Canadian, Ukie or Euro don’t show something now. Preferably more than one of them.

Late surge this run NW

GFS trying to keep hope alive. Odd run though. Pops a low off OBX and is pretty stationary. Looked more south too

Yeah it ain't happening

Hate to say ... fast fukin' atmosphere striking again in this RDPD run... this rapid inject over the crown of the +PNAP ridge out west is screwing things up... 'Is it real? I dunno

The Cleveland Browns.

I mean given just how unusual it is I guess ya can't give up completely...are there any analogs for this result? (Not that anomalous things can't happen, of course)

We're a bit too close to the edge still for comfort. We've had this forecast before and we end up with a dusting and that's my fear.

low of 14F here, 16F at DCA. Huge bust in temps

The trend on the GFS AI is really impressive...

1/28 12z GFS Total QPF

You were in the meat. I was in the fringe. We both experienced it but your experience was southern sne and mine was pike region which borders on northern sne

Damn, Raliegh has been 20+ on Kuchera since 6z yesterday.

Still not sold on a miss.

Going to be another legendary run for RDU folks

Outer banks sustained 50-60mph with heavy snow. Don’t see that everyday.