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lol I wonder how much people are paid to program these models Where's the raindancewx post where Canadian had a cool Aug for the US at 0.0 month lead and it was near the warmest on record!
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68F now
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Thank you! Have you had a chance to compare these to the prior forecast’s maps? My first impression is that Dec is a good bit cooler than I expected as per analogs. Edit: @snowman19must be flipping out seeing how cool Dec is!! -
I really think this might be one of, if not the most humid summer we’ve ever had. These dewpoints are straight out of the gulf coast states.
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Why what's the temperature there?
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EWR with its 80 degree reading today ties 2015 as having all days this month with a high / max of 80 or above. While not a strongly above normal month, and a wet one, it is quite a feat.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
EasternLI replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Dec, Jan, Feb : -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
kdxken replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
That was some torch to end the month! Seriously what were those AHATT jabroni's looking at? Not models obviously. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Do you have the 2m maps? -
February is marginally better than the previous run too.
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An improvement over the previous run. Better in the EPO and NAO domains for Jan. Colder look for the MA.
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Kind of a weird afternoon here, it seems to get humid then breezy and less humid. Was almost tempted to shut the air off and open the house up, goad I didn’t
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
SouthCoastMA replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
GFS caved AWT -
True, but I think what matters here is that there’s still shallow convection firing around the center. The circulation has continued to become better defined with spiral banding now. Radar definitely helps. A well-timed DMAX burst in the morning with some frictional convergence could help this spin up nicely. Can see that a bit now that HAFS has recon data assimilated now.
- Today
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I like NHC call if around 50 kts landfall. Don’t think it has time for hurricane intensity unless it can throw up some serious overnight convection, but the overall organization and small circulation definitely favors intensification. That dry air to the north could choke off development, that needs to be watched, but otherwise it has a good look overall
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https://x.com/tropicaltidbits/status/2094534882815082520?s=46&t=0ZvB_AF2VfA6c0SDxf53yA .
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
WxWatcher007 replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Memorial Day? -
It lacks deep convection though. Not impressive on IR...but I do see the well defined circulation on radar.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Someone hand me a tissue.... -
91 for the high.
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About a nickel from shower that rolled thru between 4 and 5 pm. Made it humid/muggy x 1000 out there.
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I have a bunch of work stuff scheduled, but if this is the real deal I might just try a quick turnaround flight. Radar definitely looks increasingly robust and seeing this kind of organization at this time of the day is intriguing.
