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I believe the MRX forecast is heavily GFS based.

This arctic intrusion reminds me so much of PDII with its alignment and positioning. I can still picture the 1040 HP on the WBAL Morning news that morning of the storm drilling cold air into the area with moisture attacking. It was 12° and snowing all day. Just surreal. This has the ability to deliver something like that…a cold smoke.

Pretty good agreement

Unable to post here because I'm dumb, but 72-hr mean snowfall for NBM now has the 6" line up in southern PA. 10" line runs through DC.

The main model difference is if the SW system comes/shears out into the Plains. Those are the bigger runs 12z CMC/Euro vs the 12z GFS which holds it back in the SW.

We’re getting a snowstorm(s) soon and there’s nothing we can do about. Better? @ravensrule

If it is wound up like some of the models say it will be. Then mix is definitely on the table. Always is for our area.

And Central Park does it again. You would think that their ratios should usually fall somewhere in between Newaks and LGA since they are located in the middle. This is only two events, so a skeptic might say it's just an aberration. Let me assure the doubters it isn't. This happens much more often than it should and rarely the other way around. It all comes down to being sloppy when or how or how far after an event when they take measurements, or don't at all. This is what happens when you don't have a professional manning the ruler (it's actually a pretty simple device to work with).

[emoji1787] .

5 to 6 inches In the woodyard

IF IT'S right you are stranded Total disruption of air travel Good luck

Lol I'll be that guy. "Lucy's Football has been firmly placed."

I want to point out that the AI(both gfs and euro) both had the n shift last weekend before any other model and never really wavered. They did better than anything else imo

I think since living up here I have only had a couple of days where I stayed below 0F all day. Just below, nothing like 1933. My record low is -19.5F with that brief brutal arctic blast a few years ago.

"Snow likely" 5 days out is rare.

Showtime

Yes, Mr Bob should have it pinned soon. He usually does it pretty quickly after a thread goes up. @Mr Bob

Is he wishcasting?

Melted water equivalent for the weekend here was 0.50". Includes the 0.3" snow on Saturday and the 2.6" on Sunday. Roughly 6:1 ratio across both events.

Very informative Ty

real loser shit imo

Zone area forecast for Seymour from MRX. Hang it on the wall.

Yes 12z Thursday is my go/no suite for this event.