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Flurries here this morning.
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Winter Storm Threat *Technical* Discussion. No Op Run PBP or Snow maps
Weather Will replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
General comment: the way non experts like myself learn is for these posts to be integrated into the broader discussion. Having expert analysis is great only if it is easily accessible. The ivory tower approach taken here has a chilling effect on the entire forum. -
No, spring isn’t coming. But people need to accept the moderation.
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I will say I do get enjoyment out of tracking Hurricanes though. The chances of impacts from one here are ridiculously small but its still fun to watch the plot twists with them. So i should stick to that.
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Deep winter weekend, no way to argue that, but the extreme temp forecasts definitely underperformed.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Mikeymac5306 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Been a volunteer firefighter for 35 years and this morning was the absolute coldest fire I have ever been to. I opened my mouth to breathe, and it felt like I was inhaling ice cubes. 8 degrees now. -
Doing better than me, and I traditionally have higher snow climo. I’m at just under 13” so far, normal is around 20-22”
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bwt3650 started following Is we back? February discussion thread
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That fair- I certainly see the need for looking long range in certain circumstances. But if you are just a casual weenie looking for snow, looking beyond 3 days is probably just setting yourself for heartbreak. Maybe that the difference, I get absolutely no pleasure in tracking long range rainstorms and SE ridges. None. Zero. I might as well just keeping hitting myself with a cattle prod. I guess you do get enjoyment in that. Obviously. Sports is different. Even if the Eagles don't win the SB, I can still have tons of fun watching the games, and celebrating the smaller wins. For me there is no enjoyment out of tracking cold and dry, warm and wet, SE Ridges, 60 degrees, and rainstorms.
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More record warm temps coming to plains and central US this week. Some parts will be nearly 30 above average. Our cold and snow in Midwest and east coast has been relatively unique compared to rest of US that continues to torch their way through this winter. Parts of the Rockies up to southern Canada are nearly snowless. Takes a very anomalous warm period to make that happen. Seems similar to 2015 and 2014 where we had great winters here but they were running out of snow and water out west. Except those winters were a lot snowier in the east than this year is. Either way, another winter heatwave on the way for the plains
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Man..Arctic tundra out there…fresh snow and deep pack. No complaints here. 1 degree here now, and 4 in far northern Maine. Impressive.
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Low here was 4⁰ (3.6⁰) Yesterday's range was 26/6 (5.5). Snowfall was 0.6" (event total 0.9"). Seasonal total snowfall is 29.3" Snow depth is 8"
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BAMWX does this every winter, from November through March. If you noticed, once it became obvious that the arctic cold was going to moderate this month, they immediately started to hype a cold and snowy March. They know damn well how to keep the weenie’s clicks and subscription money flooding in and they know they have one more month left (March) to hype cold and snow and laugh all the way to the bank…..
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It’s laughable how bad it’s been. Never seen it this bad before. Used to be good for most things; along with Euro. But models this winter have been pretty bad. AI is still learning but those aren’t great at the moment either
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And yet didn’t come close to the all time records. To me we've just seen the new rock bottom in temps for this part of the world. The antecedent significant cold was one ingredient. The second being that this airmass had no mitigating factors on its way to NY. The only offset was that it originated over a much warmer 70N+…
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
MickeyTim6533 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Friday February 6 FROPA / WINDEX small event
The 4 Seasons replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
@ORH_wxman @CoastalWx So did Logan get 5.2 or 5.4? Their PNS and ob on the interactive map says 5.2 but they recorded 0.2 on the 6th before midnight and Feb 7th says 5.2. One of them is an error I'm gonna go with 5.4 since thats what's in the record books -
Returns seem to be making it over the mountains. Guess we’ll see if it can overcome insanely dry air for someone to capitalize in the ice cold piedmont this morning
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Euro AI still has a light snow Tuesday night Wednesday. But the one on the 19th and 20th has the low over Rhode Island and then very slowly progressing through southern New England to the Gulf of Maine at 9:89. I don’t see it it’s ensemble so maybe it’s different?
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6z euro trended to other models and dropped the Friday system. For snow I think it’s Friday or bust. The weekend system wants to cut and the high is retreating. That Friday wave is the only shot at snow and it’s a long shot
