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Definitely felt what could have been grapuel or sleet

Security at my office in Parsippany just sent an email out regarding a hail storm that just occurred. Telling us to go check our cars for damage.

It's shrunk down to about 1/3 the thickness of OFA and is free (except for the advertisers). Also, Dublin is a pretty town and a snow-catcher due to its elevation. I'll let you comment on your town.

Anecdotal and vibes-based, but it seems like since August we’ve been trending cooler at short and mid-ranges in contrast to what seems like always betting warm. Next week potentially looking quite chilly now. Mid-month torch that was expected has been muted/deleted for sure.

I've had a similar thought... maybe I'll give it a whirl this year for DCA. Speaking of digital snow that's unlikely to happen, GFS is back to trying for Tuesday. Temps before, during, and after the "event" suggest it would be wet snow that doesn't really stick anywhere but it's the only game in town. Don't think another model has shown anything at all, so

Every year I think that someone should do a running tally of the "total digital snow expected next 120 hours" and put it on a spreadsheet. Start on 12/1/25, then add a new row on 12/5/25, etc

I screwed up on the last part. I had been looking at a lot of temperature charts and used the wrong scale when switching to winds.

750ft down here in the river bottom.

last 2 days was a december feel..

Thanks for the link! From there: Nov/Dec 1983: SPV not even weak ————- Nov/Dec 1989: SPV actually pretty strong ——————- Nov/Dec 2000 no reversal but SPV quite weak with low ~+4 late Nov: So, none of Novs/Decs 1983, 1989, and 2000 had a major SSW (reversal) though 2000 had a weak SPV. @snowman19

Correct, "Rags" as publication are known, Is definitely down, Very few still subscribe to a newspaper these days or others.

Not just being cynical/snarky … I can imagine that discussion going something like subscriptions are down. Maybe followed by a sentiment that hints at vexing, “nobody reads” Writing as an industry is down.

Graupel shower. Ground whitened. 47F

Definitely a November feel out there with the overcast and chill. Sun angle is so low that its difficult to burn off any low/mid level clouds

Thanks as always, Don. The weakest zonal winds/wind reversal on your bottom chart (Euro zonal wind forecast for 12Z on 11/22/25) actually are within 60-90N (blue shades) rather than south of 60N. For 60N at 10 mb, this actually shows a very weak wind of a mere +5 on 11/22 (and is dropping) and that’s still ~3 days before the EPS mean drops to 0.

My point was about technology and solar, not China. Let me rephrase. The problem isn't a lack of technology, its a lack of focus or desire (agreeing with Tip). Climate change isn't high enough on humanity's priority list, China included. I think the phase-out of fossil fuels is only a matter of time though. Unfortunately it won't come fast enough to avoid significant climate impacts. https://bsky.app/profile/laurimyllyvirta.bsky.social/post/3m5djg6evmc2l

Interesting

Experienced that band as it slipped s.e here at work in Scranton. I saw the flashes to the nw. Was mainly graupel/ rain mix here in the valley as the band was decaying, but a short intense bout. Pretty wild!

The current (2026) Farmer's Almanac will be the final publication after more than two centuries. No more Farmer's Almanac outlooks after this winter. End of an Era: Farmers’ Almanac Announces Final Publication - Farmers' Almanac - Plan Your Day. Grow Your Life.

So much for mostly sunny today. More cloudy chilly gloom.

The closest five analog PDO cases (based on RMSE) suggest that the PDO will likely rise during the winter, but remain negative. If one looked at the top 10 cases, just one (2010-11) showed the PDO rising above zero during the winter. That case ranked 10th in terms of RMSE. The October 2025 PDO value was -2.40.

Some reports of heavy snow showers in the Poconos and NW NJ per Mt Holly

Modoki.

Go big or go home and since I'm pretty much always home, may as well go big