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Yeah recon just found 988, so still fairly decent intensification which is quite impressive given how sheared it looks Also a nice little core evident on microwave:

Not the best looking symmetry there. Appears it may have a very small window for intensification, then it's going to struggle. OHC can only do so much. I'd say major status will be difficult at this point.

At least someone is getting some damage these days.

I have to replace all of the ones you’re cutting

Who used to start this thread in August ?

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl&season=2026

Yes but im asking about which part of the el nino the absolute tempature (oni) or the gradients and atmospheric response ( mei eqsoi roni)

Great tweet from Andy

That climate change isn't playing a part in this El Nino...the immense OHC that has built up in the west Pacific has absolutely played a rpole in trggiering this response.

Helene wrecked the SW part of this subforum.

You were probably busy planting some foreign tree.

You called it already. Just take credit as we enjoy our 0.09" of drizzle and move on.

I hope they play through any weather lol

Hate to be the bearer of bad news then - coal's of course not the only fossil fuel in play: Net zero by 2050's not looking so likely. IMO the *only* thing that really has real potential to bend that curve down is nuclear - not solar, not wind, not hydro. Those can make dents, but only small ones. Physics - specifically energy density - really, really matters. If you don't have density you have to make up for it with size - but you can only go so big before you start running into problems.

In the tropical atmospheric response or just the oni? Or both

Milder weather will return to the region starting tomorrow. Tomorrow through Monday will see the mercury returning to the upper 60s and lower 70s across the region. The week will be dry. The next chance for precipitation could be Sunday or Monday. The moisture could be enhanced by the remnants of Isaiah. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.2°C for the week centered around September 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.63°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.92°C. Both ENSO regions have set new all-time records. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. The SOI was -10.83 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.120 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 56% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.5° (0.6° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.6° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

i see it, thanks that works. It says only i am active, i didnt know that was a thing you could "close" pms, kind of a weird system, i would think it would not let me reply or at least tell me that you are not getting notified of future replies. I didn't even think to look at the top. All good.

Overdue to start this. I have not read any huge investments in resort upgrades for this season. Killington is finally replacing Snowden triple with a fixed grip quad. Smuggs has been added to Indy Pass, which is great.

Weird. Do I show up as still being active in the PM? I may have closed that in March. I haven’t used thst method in awhile for editing titles…but you can go to your first post and click to edit the content and there should be an option to edit the title and subtitle.

Oh ya, I do remember that…but its just kind of tiring…and silly, of course that’s just my opinion.

Well that's unfortunate, wth is going on? maybe you can answer my question here, can you not edit thread titles anymore?

So sorry for your loss Carver. My family and I will keep you and your family in our thoughts and prayers.

Nope. I have unlimited PMs too.

interesting, thats odd, i just sent another one did you get it?