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  2. Yea, I agree with that. I have been touting a lot more variability throughout the second half....but -NAO in the seasonal mean is a very tall task.
  3. I’m definitely shook. Used to be confident in at least getting a regular tstorm.
  4. You have become quite the glass is half empty kind of fella. Hate to see it.
  5. Instability is still very high and we’ll maintain the MUCAPE. Forcing is actually increasing a bit with a weak shortwave. I would have to think too this has developed a solid cold pool which should help maintenance of it. We going to get a good light show
  6. Thunder storm of yore here.
  7. Dews aren’t the problem .. never below 74 here. We’re losing forcing and instability.
  8. just another inch of rain
  9. Yea but not super + and 82 -83/ 15-16 featured those patterns and dc got a good event out of both of those
  10. Check out this NAO streak in February 2014 1.342015 1.322016 1.582017 1.002018 1.582019 0.292020 1.262021 0.142022 1.682023 0.922024 1.092025 1.602026 0.68
  11. I think this keeps going pretty well inland. Have to watch dew recovery
  12. Yup. Squall lines from the west rarely give us our best storms. Crazy sky here. Nasty looking clouds.
  13. You must be 3”+ in rain there. The heavy activity skirted off to the east of me here up this way.
  14. Any rainfall estimates coming in from that area?
  15. Look at the storm blowing up over DXR. Lol. Just can’t make it up
  16. Worst rain ive seen since hurricane floyd. Rockland county is an absolute disaster.
  17. I’m so not looking forward to this winter . Gonna be brutal. At least SNE
  18. Same here, pretty run of the mill storm. I expected more based on the observations just to the west of us and the look of the radar.
  19. Probably another 1.5” here.
  20. Back home. Eyeballing the gauge looks like 1.25-1.5”. Will confirm in the morning. Some moderate road flooding in spots coming up Sussex Tpk.
  21. Winter pattern setting in with d10 cold shots turning into mild downs.
  22. Hmph…kind of a dud here in Jamaica. Lot of lightning and thunderclaps but not windy and not terrible with the downpours. Looks like line might be through.
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