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  2. Yea but we would have 15+ by the time it may even mix for a little so at that point no big deal. It's not letting me WTOD at the beginning if it even happens at any point.
  3. good morning i see stuff trended north this morning. still plenty of time for this to come a little south and hit us like the GFS! Id like to say this, i'd rather have GfS than Euro at this range!
  4. They changed the AFD format to them in segments up here, KEY MESSAGE 3 DESCRIPTION: Recent guidance trend has to bring a quick but strong area of low pressure through the TN Valley Sunday before consolidating off the Mid-Atlantic coast Sunday night into Monday. This track, which has trended northward quickly over the past 24 hours, presents a snowy outcome for the forecast area into the beginning of next week. Amid a cold air mass, an all snow outcome is fairly certain barring any continued northward shifts. Will be monitoring forcing, how long precipitation is present, and any additional shifts in the low`s track to hone in on forecast totals. At this range, swings and shifts are not uncommon. Will want to watch timing of sharp trough arriving through the Midwest Sunday evening. This could orient mid level jet coupling to further deepen the parent low as jet strengthens across the Mid-South. With a lot of strong features (high and low) to materialize over the CONUS over the next 48 hours, shifts in thoughts are likely, but accumulating snow is a likely outcome.
  5. Thank you for service to your community. I’m retired staff from a school district and know you folks are out there at insane hours when most of us are curled up waiting for the storm to pass. Keep that thermos filled. .
  6. 06z GFS is a historic snowfall for many. Wow.
  7. Sometimes the chase is better than the storm itself, it’s a sickness, LOL
  8. Oh okay (only through 7am Sunday... so more snow to come after!)
  9. Idk this evolution has all the hallmarks of a biggie. Models fairly consistent with totals rising leading up to the event. Fingers crossed.
  10. I work for a township. I am out from when it first starts. But as a homeowner, yea, it's best to get out during and keep up on it.
  11. Yea, the most recent run keeps my area as some type of frozen precip the entire event while the run prior to the most recent gets the rain close to us for an hour or two
  12. I don’t know if you were around for the 93 superstorm but that’s similar to what happened here, even in March it stuck around for awhile. We got screwed out of the 2 feet the south got, but it was enough to shut schools for days. About 11 inches encased in ice. .
  13. The 1035 HP is still in play saying it for days
  14. nice little 1.5" of fluff, looking forward to this weekend, to possibly double my season to date within the last week and a day...over 10" now since Friday night, if this weekend pans out as currently modeled, can be over 40 by end of January!
  15. 6z euro comes in colder and further south. With that one done and the overnight modeling, this is all I got: NC: enjoy the glacier Upstate: I genuinely will be praying for yall
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