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Nice - I was waiting for the update, they seemed all-in on the previous AFD as well (unusual for them.)
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
NEG NAO replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Anyone remember our high expectations several days out with this storm ? Snow and ice storm, March 4-6, 2001 - Storm Summary -
MO/KS/AR/OK 2025-2026 Winter Discussion
stormdragonwx replied to stormdragonwx's topic in Central/Western States
Wont lie I'm still worried about that jog north and the warm air aloft being too strong. Really don't want an Ice storm after getting the possibility of a foot of snow. snow>ice anytime -
“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
The 4 Seasons replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Doesn't need to be a traditional coastal. Sometimes those can work against you if you have warmer air aloft lowering the DGZ if the storm track starts coming too close. Also very high winds are not helpful and knock down snow and prevent it from stacking up nice. A lot of these crazy 20-30:1 storms are usually light wind events not blizzards. All you need is good lift inside the DGZ to produce high ratio stuff, doesnt have to be a coastal. Strong H7 FGEN and super tall DGZ and boom you got some large dendrites coming down. Conversely cold =/ high ratios, for example if a lot of the lift is occurring outside the dendritic growth zone. -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
WxUSAF replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Snow starts in like 80 hours, chief! -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
stormtracker replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
<Chuck> 22.5Z SREFS ARE AMPED AS PHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAUCK -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
Joshb32689 replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Bring us home Big Nacho -
I know I'm an old guy but just want to remind y'all that this storm is 3 days away. Lots can and will change in the next 48 hours.
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its not as fun though
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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
nw baltimore wx replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
It's going to be a disaster in here once the northern stream gets properly sampled and we go to the suppressed look from early yesterday. -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
LordBaltimore replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
I'd rather have no snow at all than a 10" Noreaster. There's a curve where below 2" of snow sucks for obvious reasons, 2-4" is nice scenery, but then there's really no difference above that until you get to the big dawgs. It's all the world of difference getting 10" vs 18"+ -
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
wthrmn654 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Good God, calm down people... everyone needs to take a 15 mintue break from here..... -
I am in a bad mood deleted it my bad
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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
bncho replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
If anybody wants JV PBP, your host and moderator @bncho is here to save the day! -
Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
colonel717 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Hello, So, just wondering. I know there is some chatter now around mixing. We aren't talking regular rain right? This would be sleet or freezing rain? I can remember some times probably 1994 when we had 15 degrees and freezing rain in northwestern skook. That was a winter to remember.
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
Ahoff replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Aggressive for them. Hopefully a good sign. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CTWeatherFreak replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
the 1000mb low is not strong enough to generate the requisite wind. -
Yeah also many many times models don't really do well with most valley areas that are away from the mountains like in the valley north of 40 and west of 75 those areas are often colder than modeled in these situations and don't scour out very easily, so could have longer duration of freezing precip north of 40 and west 75 up to the plateau where downslope isn't as much a factor and the surface cold air can be much more stubborn than modeling often shows. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk
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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
NorthArlington101 replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Congrats Chicago -
Best. Sledding. Ever.
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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
SnowenOutThere replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Finally I can freak the fuck out! I'm scared as hell about how this evolves. We are playing with the mix line 4-5 days out and just lost our suppressive TPV off East. -
I remember that 1987 storm. Lived in downtown Winston at the time. Heaviest sleet I've ever seen and it was like 18 degrees
