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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, I agree with that. I have been touting a lot more variability throughout the second half....but -NAO in the seasonal mean is a very tall task. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
I’m definitely shook. Used to be confident in at least getting a regular tstorm. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
codfishsnowman replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
You have become quite the glass is half empty kind of fella. Hate to see it. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
weatherwiz replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Instability is still very high and we’ll maintain the MUCAPE. Forcing is actually increasing a bit with a weak shortwave. I would have to think too this has developed a solid cold pool which should help maintenance of it. We going to get a good light show -
Thunder storm of yore here.
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Sky is nuts
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Dews aren’t the problem .. never below 74 here. We’re losing forcing and instability. -
just another inch of rain
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
ensonerd1233e343 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea but not super + and 82 -83/ 15-16 featured those patterns and dc got a good event out of both of those -
Check out this NAO streak in February 2014 1.342015 1.322016 1.582017 1.002018 1.582019 0.292020 1.262021 0.142022 1.682023 0.922024 1.092025 1.602026 0.68
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
weatherwiz replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
I think this keeps going pretty well inland. Have to watch dew recovery -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Maybe Springfield -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
weatherwiz replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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Yup. Squall lines from the west rarely give us our best storms. Crazy sky here. Nasty looking clouds.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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You must be 3”+ in rain there. The heavy activity skirted off to the east of me here up this way.
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Any rainfall estimates coming in from that area?
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Diana W changed their profile photo
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Look at the storm blowing up over DXR. Lol. Just can’t make it up -
Worst rain ive seen since hurricane floyd. Rockland county is an absolute disaster.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
I’m so not looking forward to this winter . Gonna be brutal. At least SNE -
Same here, pretty run of the mill storm. I expected more based on the observations just to the west of us and the look of the radar.
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Probably another 1.5” here.
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Back home. Eyeballing the gauge looks like 1.25-1.5”. Will confirm in the morning. Some moderate road flooding in spots coming up Sussex Tpk.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Winter pattern setting in with d10 cold shots turning into mild downs. -
Hmph…kind of a dud here in Jamaica. Lot of lightning and thunderclaps but not windy and not terrible with the downpours. Looks like line might be through.
