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We pray. Heating costs through the roof, literally.

Typo. Fixed it . I’ll say 3

lmao You should have seen how far off it was Days 1-5

Here bluewave posted this in another thread

Many normal live streams in the Valley are dry.

DJF? I’ll say 0

I think the US record is 6038dm or something like that.. imagine challenging it in mid-September, and not even over the most favorable zone SW, US

Chuck, I’m thinking that the reason the 2m anomalies aren’t as impressive as the H5 anomalies is probably that there’s a lot of Atlantic origin moist and cooler air in the 2m mix as opposed to drier and hotter land based air. Opinions?

Are we really getting such a large 500mb ridge? Surface temps aren't as impressive as H5. That's actually not too far away from the all time US record. I wonder if we are shattering mid-Sept US record?

Super duper gorgeous. First nice “fall” day.

How many days will you get above that this winter though ? Several at least .

Ideally it should be done between Augdewst 25- Septorcher 5. But you can still do it this week . With the warm fall coming it will still germinate and establish at least a weak root system . Cowboys will be fine . It takes time for a new DC and defense to gel and click . It’s coming .

https://x.com/nwsneworleans/status/2099932997273129304?s=46&t=nTdsbQZkQMPkUI3zGjAXJg Also backside weak cold front from nws New Orleans .

Today’s weather is at minimum a 9/10.

Looks like there is or could be a potiential pattern change finally according to NWS Nashville we will see but not getting my hopes up yet I heard the models kept on moving the pattern change further down the road .

Is this the weekend to reseed ? days and days of rain coming early next week to step on the webbed hands ?? That's what the great @Damage In Tolland said, hopefully his forecast is better than his Cowboys. Plus with the strong El Nino we can expect 60s through Torchmas so plenty of time for the seed to establish good roots.

Haven’t gotten above 67° since Saturday now. The autumnal press is on.

Aren't we still right near solar max (like 2002-03 and 2014-15, which were both great, el nino/+ENSO winters)?

Is a record-breaking east-based La Nina the most historically favorable state for cold? I think the global warming skew is significantly helping your case An actual low in the N. Pacific is not bad for NE, US cold - wavelengths never get that long on average. It's more in the Upper Midwest. There has been a slight historical tint of anomalous troughs in the arctic in the historical east-based Nino dataset 48-25, more examples than a few is more random there. And El Nino does tend to warm the Stratosphere, so over like 200 years of examples you would have more -ao.