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Potent DCAPE over the area if nothing else.
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super el nino banter thread
forkyfork replied to forkyfork's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
oh man my bank account is down to $47 better roni it up -
DP's may be growing ( and they are in fact... no "may be" about it) in the longer term average/mean, but they seem to not coincide ( necessarily) when the kinetic temperature is very large - as well. That's probably the sticking point in perception. Particularly true around here. We don't seem to couple say... 76 dp, with 98 nearly as frequently as the same latitude out over N IA/IL for example. It's not like our sun is weaker. There's some sort of geo-physical feedback here that gets in the way of that. Like the baseline PNAP ( Perennial North American Pattern, which refers to the the rest state) affixes a non-linear component of forcing that is ( as "non-linearity" implies) not really very discerned on a daily weather chart but is always lurking, and does manifest in subtle ways. Such as, ...our highest heat ends up coming over top, where it then has to come d-slope. That's just one possible way in which our region hides the biggest DP days from coinciding from the bigger kinetic delivery days. Another possibility ... because we are the continental anus of just about every circulation mode there is with the exception of the EC paralleling "Bahama Blue" pattern ( rarer), that means we have the entire 2,500 mile of particulate aspects that can inhibit a pure solar radiation transfer. All these aspect make any linear interpretation of climate kind of fragile when considering things at a deeper level.
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super el nino banter thread
Santa Claus replied to forkyfork's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
driving down the wrong side of the highway at 120 mph and explaining to my terrified passengers that i’m doing a modoki event -
Big poker game here tonight. Usually do it outdoors. I’m thinking I should be fine since rain will be scattered. Thoughts?
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Garden variety storm here last night, nothing special besides for a strong wind gust or two. Looks like another chance today, hopefully earlier in the afternoon/evening so the outdoor World Cup watch party I’m going to isn’t affected. Then another chance on Sunday. -
super el nino banter thread
LakePaste25 replied to forkyfork's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Good money if you can get it -
super el nino banter thread
forkyfork replied to forkyfork's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
we have roni'd the boiling point of water to 327 degrees -
Just broke 93 here. Going over 100 again for sure
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super el nino banter thread
Santa Claus replied to forkyfork's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
have you considered that it is good to be boiled alive -
super el nino banter thread
LakePaste25 replied to forkyfork's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Can’t wait for the UAH spike. going to be a rough year for the deniers. -
Already at 92 at 10am IMBY
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super el nino banter thread
Santa Claus replied to forkyfork's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
sst’s show a strong cooling trend actually -
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
TheClimateChanger replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
This is what IEM has for mean hourly dewpoint in the summertime for BOS. -
Why does RDU always seem hotter than the other areas? Is it something to do with the drought?
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
TheClimateChanger replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
For a certain segment of weather troll community, 95F and 70F dews is "just summer" and actual "just summer" weather is hyped up as the next coming of the year without a summer. -
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
TheClimateChanger replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Air conditioning makes a big difference too. We didn't have it back then and it was tough but bearable. You couldn't do that today in most places. -
Just a general thanks to all the red tagged and experienced members analysis of yesterday's storms. Lots of great information and education on severe storms for our area. It is a fun read.
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thinking about the backyard snow people sitting there squinting at nino graphs looking for a tenth of a degree difference
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Jns2183 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Heading up today to Montreal and Mont Tremblant, to apparently experience the April we never had here. And actually have to be faster days I will take that in the heart beat. After playing around with a bunch of different styles I think I've settled on this one for the perfect style for vacation weather sending out to everyone in the extended family who's going up there. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
Interesting...and for some, unsettling-
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Might just go to Brewster, NY today and hope to get lucky. Probably just go around 1 and wait there and then hopefully can make minor adjustments if needed but giving its a Friday and storm timing...traffic won't be fun
