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Hmmm...

I see the thread got pinned. Storms are always better when AmWx is playing catch up.

I think it’s more a function of human nature and our evolution that the warming planet doesn’t really get as much attention as other issues do. We evolved during ice ages that were tremendously challenging to just survive without the modern amenities we have today. Most of the migration within the United States is from colder locations to the warmer sunbelt locations from Arizona to Texas and Florida. So it’s natural when we have a very cold 16 day period for most of the attention to be focused on cold since we have normalized all the record warmth in recent years. The cold stands out much more even though the magnitude, duration, and geographic footprint has been getting smaller over time. I also believe on a greater level most people outside this forum don’t like the cold and snow during winter. So many people are happy that we are in a warming climate rather than a cooling climate heading into an ice age. But this misses the long term challenges of the destabilizing effects of more extreme weather leading to migration shifts from areas which become difficult to survive in.

Serious question Does Snowman19 have unlimited weenies ?

if only it wasn't the highest skill model we have at this range

If there was one model I would want vs everyone it's the Euro AI. It's been killing it this winter. However, it has been very erratic with this event, I don't think I've seen it make this big of a swing in the mid range like this. Probably not done changing, but I am intrigued it came on board. With such a thread the needle look, odds are against it, but there are definite paths to snow.

Just opened this thread after not looking since the 06 6z Euro, and... Damn it. I'm still in

3rd run in a row (at least) of the euroai with a hit around D10

This weekends storm being slightly more stronger and north helps flatten heights for the 19th storm on this euro run.

Euro gets precip to us at least but it missed the phase

This weekends storm being slightly more stronger and north helps flatten heights for the 19th storm on this euro run.

Sure, ok. Yeah

It coming?!

Thats not white rain. Its a few inches. Anyway euro is slightly better. Almost there.

Talk dirty to me.

Euro was also better. AI might be leading the way

Just a small change with the northern stream timing and angle was able to just get some lift up to our region. Probably another mirage, who knows

Yeah something has crashed. I'll see what's going on.

This honestly is the most tease storm I've seen. When we're about to give up, the EURO/AI comes in and dangles the bait just close enough that we think we can reach it. Hope is a dangerous thing in this game.

I don't think this is likely, but at the same time I am a little surprised so many have totally given up on it. Especially for places NW of 95! It's actually trended colder the last 24 hours...now we really just need the wave to end up a little more amplified. I can remember plenty of times we were in worse shape at 72 hours and got some snow. Not saying this is likely, just that it's not such a crazy long shot that its time to be saying NEXT yet. We've tracked worse odds things than this.

WB 12Z AI EURO Low is intensifying more this run which is great, but a little too far off the coast this run. We need perfect track and intensity for this to work with marginal temps.

As in me being 60 miles North of you makes me happy?.

Energy over Michigan dives south this run that makes the difference , probably can just toss this run

Lose complete thermals after that panel, but it's pulling away

LFG!!!