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Check out the 12Z UKMET: gets her all the way to 23.7N, 56.4W and still moving WSW! TROPICAL STORM FAY ANALYSED POSITION : 30.0N 41.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062026 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 24.09.2026 0 30.0N 41.2W 1014 28 0000UTC 25.09.2026 12 30.2N 42.1W 1015 25 1200UTC 25.09.2026 24 30.3N 43.1W 1015 27 0000UTC 26.09.2026 36 30.3N 43.7W 1015 25 1200UTC 26.09.2026 48 30.2N 44.4W 1014 26 0000UTC 27.09.2026 60 30.2N 44.8W 1016 21 1200UTC 27.09.2026 72 30.1N 44.8W 1015 22 0000UTC 28.09.2026 84 29.8N 44.6W 1016 20 1200UTC 28.09.2026 96 28.6N 44.9W 1016 22 0000UTC 29.09.2026 108 27.4N 46.0W 1014 23 1200UTC 29.09.2026 120 26.2N 47.6W 1013 24 0000UTC 30.09.2026 132 24.9N 49.6W 1012 26 1200UTC 30.09.2026 144 24.2N 52.0W 1011 29 0000UTC 01.10.2026 156 23.8N 54.3W 1011 27 1200UTC 01.10.2026 168 23.7N 56.4W 1012 27

Those will end up in the dining room ha ha.

12z First time the gefs ensembles are tightly clustered.

58mph I had to look up again

You know is simply the euro baiting everyone to rage after its been here all week saying hi hello, doesn't anyone believe me? Oh now you wanna believe me? Well screw you watch this!

I think 60?

Friend of mine has a place right on the water in Orleans. He got his boat out but his knucklehead kids left the kayaks on the shore.

Woodyard. 17 miles south west of boston. Always get smoked by coastals. Ugh

12Z Euro and our rapidly-aging uncle the NAM Nest definitely give credence to the idea that at least a chunk of our weekend will be messy.

I will say the euros was a long duration coastal battering. Tides get higher until Monday too.

Maybe the rrfs isn't on crack lol

just wear a goalie mask and wear a baseball glove just in case. Personally though I'd be playing dodge that apple and if I get hit...so be it

Thank you.

Aren't gusts to 55 mph high wind criteria?

It looks like it was during high tide. I’ll head out there tomorrow morning at high tide and get a photo or two.

Euro doing loops

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 229 PM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026 CTZ007>012-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-271000- /O.NEW.KOKX.WI.Y.0003.260925T1800Z-260927T1000Z/ Northern Middlesex-Northern New London-Southern Fairfield- Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London- Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk- Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 229 PM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...North winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut and southeast New York. * WHEN...From 2 PM Friday to 6 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

Here we go there starting to issue, so far i see wind advisory

Ray's favorite.

It would make for a salvageable weekend up here.

WPC take on precipitation for 72 hour period 8pm this evening until 8pm Sunday. As good as anything right now. Eventual path of surface low will determine final outcome. I kind of like the western extent but thinking maybe totals on the high side? Thinking along the lines of .5" to 1" here. Room for more though. For Suffolk County on ENE into southeast New England including coast of central and eastern CT 2 to maybe 4".

There are coastal flood watches and coastal flood advisories for southern Nassau County and i thin south western Suffolk county issued last night. Highly expect more watches/ advisories to be issued very shortly for more areas.

Maybe Rufus had the right idea

Looks it on the Euro, Apples are pretty small this year with the lack of rain up here.