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Forky being Forky. That who he is. His schtick. I find it funny.

Lamar has IBS his ankles are fine. I've been saying this for years

Anybody else want the winter to be decent only to make forky look like a dumbass?

A high ankle sprain is typically a 3 week recovery. Lets see if he plays this week. Lamar cant save this pathetic defense that EDC built though. Nor the OL that is currently in a shambles. He will probably get hurt again playing behind that mess.

Disagree. Regardless of the outcome the potential event does not have a large sample. Anyone saying "they know" either way, is just slinging crap against the wall hoping it will stick.

Right, the main issue they've taken has always been that the output is not something they are a fan of. If I believed the output of a blood test I took was faulty, I'd find try to find flaws in the methods that produced the test results, not solely continuously bring up the output and say "hey that's not right"

I am sure it will change that far out one way or the other.

For the 12z ensemble runs from today. EPS bumps up again to 96% of it's members now. EPS is basically all in for this to happen now. Gefs bumps up to 70%...

I don't know man. When they say he could have gone back in, they/he don't know the extent of the injury at that point, and if he thought he could go back in, sometimes its adrenalin. Sometimes players go back in and play right after the injury and then find out a day later its more serious. I think it was a high ankle sprain the whole time. What I question is why they went with the day-to-day status for damn near 3 weeks. That's not Lamar. That's the GM. I am kind of done with DeCosta, same as I am with the piece of shit, gaslighting Orioles GM.

Mongolian high pressure is our best cold source friend

I mean you should see the 1mb split……wowzers!!

Mitch, I just realized I had a typo as I called the winds on those charts “anomalies”. I realize they’re not anomalies and are instead absolutes but for some reason I typed anomalies. Thus, I just corrected the original post. My original thoughts are unchanged. I think my erroneously originally referring to them as anomalies threw you off. So, the +5 and +4 are actual winds rather than being 5 and 4 above normal. Is that what threw you off? —————— Aside: Ignore the trolls. Apparently moderation is nonexistent here.

look at that bounce back upward right when you don't want it

Lowest yet.

Been following the ENSO thread in the main forum all summer. Its kind of like a winter preview. Lots of good discussion, but have to sift through the usual troll garbage. Expectations definitely set for a warmer than avg winter, but with a juiced jet Im liking the chances of a real good storm or two. Last winter was perfect for us deep winter lovers, but all the snow was powder. I anticipate a few good paste jobs this year making for scenic pics. My first guess for Detroit is 30"-ish in total. After a banner snowcover year last winter, expect much more bare this winter unfortunately.

That is what's called a conspiracy theory. And as genuine of a person as Lamar is, he would not be the type to get up there and lie either even if told to...he said himself what the injury was. Really even with previous injuries he has always come out later and detailed what was going on. I get the feeling he likes to keep things private (even though the strategy isn't exactly helpful in public perception).

Mitch, Danny Devito says no and I agree with him. 1976 and 2009 had very weak winds but they didn’t go <0. I was looking at El Niño Novs that dipped to +5 or lower. 1968, 1976, and 2009 were the only three to do so per ERA data. A +5 dip is very weak.

He missed bad in '24-25 as well. Hes not "forecasting" like you, hes just playing his game.

Aren't the + signs supposed to be - signs?

I only posted the highest peak departures during each of those months. Numerous surrounding stations were also over +10. So you are correct that it would probably take hours noting every station to reach +10 or more since 2015-2016. It’s anyone’s guess at this point exactly where the highest monthly departures will occur during the winter months this coming season. 2015-2016 was unique that it combined with the MJO 6 getting the greatest absolute temperatures and departures all the way to the East Coast. But the CONUS record for warmest December set in 2015 was already exceeded twice since then with two years coming very close. December 2021 and 2023 actually had more extensive warmth and greater coverage of the high departures than 2015. Most of the time the highest departures during super El Niño events occur from the Upper Plains into the interior Northeast. Top 5 Contiguous Warmest U.S. Average Temperature December December 2023 39.76°F 131 December 2021 39.34°F 130 December 2015 38.64°F 129 December 2024 38.16°F 128 December 2025 37.83°F 127 DEC…2015….NYC….+13.3 MAR…2016…MOT….+10.5 JAN…2017….BTV…..+11.0 FEB….2017….ORD….+10.3 FEB…..2018…ATL….+10.6 FEB….2019…MGM….+10.5 JAN….2020…YAM….+9.8 DEC….2021….DFW….+13.2 JAN….2023….DXR….+12.3 FEB….2023…..SSI…..+9.8 DEC….2023….INL…..+15.8 FEB…..2024….FAR…..+17.5 DEC….2024…..LND…..+11.3 DEC….2025….CPR…..+12.1 JAN….2026….RIW……+10.2 FEB…..2026….LND…..+11.3 MAR….2026….PHX…..+12.5

How big is the bridge? Asking for a friend.