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If this fails it will do so differently (though not completely so) than last Feb. Last Feb was a classic coastal look that ended up getting squashed to hell by the PV coming in overtop instead of phasing with it. @psuhoffman I believe ended up making a great breakdown of that scenario where you either get a phase and it mixes or you get squashed and it is suppressed. This is not that. This is instead a the question of if vorticity can eject from out west and not get squashed by a strong cold push. We need to watch for 1. the vorticity to actually eject 2. for the cold push to not kill it. IMO its a wait and see game but I don't particularly love relying on vorticity to eject and beat fresh cold air. That said we got plenty of time to see how it shakes out.

Good tip, I just tried that and you're right. I actually do most of my Americanwx browsing on my phone but I usually look at it vertically except when I'm watching videos. As an aside, snow finally starting to stick in Whitestone now that the rates are picking up a bit.

Central NC has the best signal on the 18z GEFS, about 50% more than DC and Baltimore. This is a decent FWIW tho

Light snow. Pixie dust. Expecting another 2” with this round.

28 w/ moderate snow 2.5” new today

my bil is in keansburg and reported nothing all day. might be getting something now.

Its like time traveling back to my youth. I will be disappointed if we get another good pattern (Jan 24-Feb 3ish) that doesnt produce. But thus far we have had a solid season. Chances are, we arent done yet.

Back down in Calvert county. Light to moderate snow and the grass is starting to cave. Temp dropped to 31F according to my car on the way home from dinner in North Beach.

What's interesting is if the most skilled member is the op and most believe it's pretty flawed why is there faith in a bunch of members who are even less skilled? Who knows but all I know is 8 times out of 10 extreme cold doesn't materialize. If this thing slides it won't be because of the cold

Just came across this...how the GFS is trained vs Euro training.

thought I saw some gravity waves in NNJ/EPA a little earlier, snow is slowly picking up here now

what drives me crazy is the damn tapatalk on the phone....i cannot get rid of it.

Probably more of a sleet deal than freezing rain.

Some stuff whitened a little here in Burke. Otherwise…

Yep we coat again

thank you

looks nice out though. gotta take what we can get. 2 days of snow and not all that much to show for it lol. but we still like it. seen winters where this much didn't happen....cold enoug, from what i read here, to maybe stick around.

Nice to sample a noreaster! Feels like its been a while.

I didn't know the GFS /gets had a bias of overdoing the cold dome causing surpression a week out. Thanks bro .. Learn something new every day

Onto 0z

Moderate snow

Coming down at a pretty good clip right now. Temp hovering around freezing. Bristol Road caved again. Rough guess 3/4"/hr rate.

6:00. Untreated roads getting covered. About 1/3" OTG