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  2. Yeah, this 12k run isn't any better. Prefer to see what the 3k has to say but this was the range yesterday I said I'd start to care about it. Really hoping it's wrong.
  3. From southern slider to interior coastal hugger. Incredibly rough stretch for the I95 crew. At some point something has to break and we get a 1’ snow storm again
  4. 15z is close and I know for sure we're going over shortly after it not during that panel
  5. I’m trying to tread carefully here but I think GSP not coming to some agreement this morning and getting warnings hoisted is a blunder. Can’t get too ornery about exactly being 24hrs out or if it should be an ice storm or winter storm warning. It’s all in the wash. The general public doesn’t drill down that hard - missed opportunities to send out warnings while you had their attention waking up.
  6. It’s wetter but we fight over head temps.
  7. Still snow with ridiculous omega DC metro at 12z
  8. Nam is faster with the onset of precip which will help with accumulations.
  9. Is there any wind associated with this storm, I haven't heard or read anything about blowing or drifting in the early stages Sunday morning. I know once the sleet has a layer it won't go anywhere, but prior to that?
  10. changeover to ICE happens much faster on the NAM for folks in VA
  11. 3k looks better with the earlier stuff, at least to my weenie eyes
  12. That's safely snow. Wish we could hold that until at least 15z
  13. I'm honestly not that impressed - looks like .17" of precip for DCA from 42-45? We need more
  14. Moving this to banter NWS doesn’t need to label it snow and sleet because sleet counts as snow.
  15. Love that you showed the para! Friendly reminder that the NBM winter fields update at 01, 07, 13, and 19Z, so instead of showing the 12Z, it's best to wait one hour and use a version that incorporates more recent guidance.
  16. Sleet line really accelerating between hrs 42-45 northbound.
  17. https://x.com/bobby_boyd1946/status/2014678178665549871?s=46 .
  18. Yeah it won’t make much difference. I’m pretty bullish on Monday. I’ve seen that look and flow enough times over the years. It’s gonna snow right into Monday night with that east inflow
  19. Next panel is nice..but here comes the thermals Markedly better than 6z
  20. Totally meaningless, but it has been depressing to watch the Saturday and Sunday night low temps creep up like 3 degrees.
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