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Just checked the power outages and hardly anything lol. Just over 8K within New Hampshire

One of the coolest sights I had living in Long Beach occurred on a day like this with WAA over a deep snowpack. It was a dense fog which only extended to around 5-10 feet above the snowpack. Had to be the shallowest fog bank I ever saw on the South Shore.

I expected worse there

Even near 32° it’s essentially done without the dp drain. The driveway is a skating rink and the birches are nearing the ground, there’s not much radial ice. Wintry scene though.

Yes! As Dendy Thought?

Fog stuff/42F

36/35 here fog - just an ugly day anyway you slice it weather - wise. Tempa up to the 48 - 52 range and making a dentin in the snow-sleet - ice. Back down the temperature coaster Dec 30 - Jan 5. Overnight forecasts were softer with the extent of the trough / cold but i suspect we can hone in on a period of cold after the 5th with a potential sharp moderation towards the 11th.

Switched over to snow earlier. Winds were gusty maybe upper 30s low 40s mph, but have calmed it seems for now.

I see winds up around 4000 feet are 80mph+ with this front passage. Now to see how much this translate to the ground. I suppose it will depend on how well it can mix down. Right now the air is this soup, foggy, stale, still. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

My friend lived in the West End of Long Beach for many years. It was a 2nd floor add on to an original one floor beach bungalow. The construction used lally columns which allowed the apartment to sway when wind gusts started getting over 30-40 mph. So you could visibly see the hanging light fixture from the ceiling swaying from side to side. The cat would stare at this a meow especially during nor’easters.

Of course DTBD at this stage ….pattern looks conducive. That’s a snowy look on the EPS. I’ll roll the dice with that.

Driving home was fun in near zero visibility. Snowpack taking a huge hit.

"Lots to consider, but in summary, the early January Pacific trough regime will be largely negated by a polar domain that will continue to be conducive (lower PV that is close by and uncoupled from stronger stratospheric vortex, and stratospheric vortex that often stretches towards northeast US) to allow for colder interludes into the northeastern US. The current Pacific trough regime is then forecast to act as the precursor to a mid-January reflection event, which will induce the Alaskan ridge regime necessary to ultimately trigger a wave 2 split of the PV in February, which will all about ensure an ending to this winter season that will be nothing like the tame ending that we have come to expect from cool ENSO winters. Needless to say, the month of January should be anything but mundane, so stay tuned" https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/ Pacific trough -> Alaska ridge:

Yeah tomorrow will be raw highs in the 20s and 30s.

Ripping now. Dendrites are surprisingly good here too. Stacking nicely.

I haven't contributed a whole lot lately, but haven't really seen anything to add. I did notice in the main ENSO thread that someone pointed out the Euro is showing some strat trickery, so I thought I'd look into that Sure enough, it is showing a bottom up warming starting over Siberia and pushing that to north central Canada/ Greenland: Doesn't quite make it up to 10mb, but something to watch. Some of this seems to line up with 40/70 benchmark's idea of a strat reflection event in mid January, but it is still only one run of one model.

There is a seasonal pattern, but I think also it depends on cold vs warm front, cold air damming, boundary layer stability, effects of mountains. Lots of times fronts get held up until mid day heating in some areas and that correlates to passage time here. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

There will still be opportunities but it may take a few weeks to materialize. You need patience.

As the Aleutian ridge dies and the jet extends, western Canada’s major cold pool will get eroded. But once the EPO ridge establishes cross polar flow, it will rebuild quickly. We’re not getting some super charged PAC jet blasting into Alberta and totally torching the continent.

Yup. Had several inches at midnight otg. The fog really destroyed the snowpack quickly. Ground still covered but prob wont be by end of day.

I don't think you're going to see much in the way of damage or power outages with temps hovering 32 and moving into the daylight hours

It's so bad here. Back in 2021 a few months after my girlfriend and I started dating, she told me how bad it was here with the plows on the road and I didn't believe it lol. Then during the 2021-2022 winter she ended up in the hospital for a bit and we got a winter storm...think it was just shy of 7". They didn't even plow the road until several hours after the storm was done. And because its one of the last roads to get touched, everything is caked down because of cars traveling.

Yeah this looks close to an ideal mid-Atlantic setup, except the ridge extends too far into the plains.

It’s a good reminder, too, that no matter how smart we are (and we are), the wind is going to do what it wants at those heights. .

Miami makes sense because it’s limestone combined with salt water and air; Manhattan surprises me because of the bedrock. Then again, I’m not a structural engineer, I’m just an old man yelling at the clouds. .