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I think your posts have been very reasonable. I don’t understand if either. Yes, cautious posts are fine but to outright weenie or dismiss seems too much.

Snowing at a pretty good rate now in Winston Salem. Not sticking though

A bit noisier than my 5 minutes of broom work on 1.4" fluff.

Time for a mini-rant, RE: weather apps. My employer pushed Windows 11 on us, and it has a notification for weather in the bottom left side of the screen. This thing gives the most useless information in the world. Despite being 32 degrees and cloudy in Rockville, it's been notifying us of "heavy rain and 40°". This is why people don't trust apps or meteorologists. No QA or accountability.

Starting to stick on the grass north of stovall North Carolina

I think a lot of this is just fighting climatology. Again, and I sound like a broken record...it is really rare to track snow prior to mid-December at lower elevations. The higher elevations above 2500'...that is a different story. For must of us, we just exited meteorological fall. Our best climatology is mid-Jan to early-Feb. So, we are about 5-6 weeks away from best climatology IMBY. That said, the RGEM, NAM, and GFS all show light snow this weekend. In some cases there are two chances. Nothing big, but mood stuff. Higher elevations could score 1-3" of snow.

Snow coming down at a steady rate now and starting to stick in Pine Knolls north of Kville.

Love that gradient...I think this is where things break right.

I wish the mobile app would allow some hilarious like options. 🫠 .

Exactly my thoughts....but, yea...not there yet.

I agree. Was just noting it verbatim.

Arctic High pressing southeastward. Falling temps and dews. Gonna need a fire tonight.

These are the type of cold thickness events that can produce nice rates and fluffy ratios....you get like widespread 4-8"/6-10" totals from third to half an inch of liquid. You'd have a really deep snow growth zone in that type of setup. Now, hopefully we beef it up with more QPF, but at this point...we'd take any decent event to get on the warning scoreboard.

Occasionally, we do get a colder month across the CONUS. This is the first several weeks of colder conditions since January. But these colder periods have been few and far between. So they tend to stand out when they occur and get more attention than the persistent warmth which has become the new normal. I will update the chart below when December data gets updated.

I think it has a warning ceiling.

Dew points really crashing up here in frozen mud land

Got some sleet right at the end of the precipitation in N Knox. .

Nah.

Clipper produced only m0.09" LE but even with mostly tiny flakes that modest moisture brought 1.4".

Can I change my tiebreaker from SBY 7.0" to LYH 9,000"? Thanks in advance.

I was up to 49 degrees last hour now dipped to 45. I've got a long way to go for any fun. Looking out over the ocean off the Outer Banks it's very dark.

Yep 2020-21 - 52.2" here in NW Chester County

Temp got up to 40.2 but is falling now, down to 38.8 with no precip yet. Wind is really gusty, strong CAA for those getting precip. Likely a very short transition time to snow. Hoping we can muster a coating here

Temperatures have crashed in the past couple hours from 33 degrees to 28 degrees in Charlottesville. Generally having some lighter rates (smaller dendrites I think) but still moderate intensity. Wonder if the roads will cave if we get back into some heavier rates like the Nam and HRRR suggest around 1pm.

They can, and when they do pop up, I think we know what areas will receive snow, and it likely won't be here. Winter has shown its cards, a continuation of a suppressed, hugger, or cutter pattern that has existed for the past 7 years (exception being 2021 and 2022). It's unfortunate, and at some point I'm sure we'll see some snow. But this is eerily similar to December 2022. Colder than normal, great looking pattern, and snow everywhere except for our region. And in a La Nina, if we have below average snow in December, it likely extends to rest of winter as well.