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Ha! I beat you by 0.01! 0.08 here. We're really racking it up.

Congrats on the Wind Advisory and Torando Watch in Bolton Landing.

Raleigh area in Exceptional. We might be there by next month

Not event wet under the trees in Gaithersburg.

June 13, 2013 comes to mind. Granted that was a Day 2 MOD, but the morning convection blew through and dropped a surface boundary that fire up the Leesburg to Rockville to College Park tornado.

Weenie comment - but I know we've had some events where early showers/precip gave us some REALLY soupy air and if clearing happens it could intensify fuel for later.

AI will not remove the forecasters. I can't even get a Comcast AI bot to schedule a service appointment, there's no way an AI person will replace a forecaster at a WFO when I need help.

We really need Monday to deliver or it's going to get bone dry again. The 2" in 3 hours was good on Sunday but most of that ran off as opposed to saturating the soil. Everything is already drying out again. 06z Euro and euro AI are a significant cutback for Monday with most of the heavy stuff going north of the CWA. Seems like we are stuck in a pattern where everything either slides N or S of us.

Extreme drought, woohoo. I wish there was some way to make electricity via dry soil. I'd be printing money.

WAGONS NORTH

We'll see what can happen south of Rt. 2 and especially getting towards the Pike and farther south...mid-level dry air going to be a big concern and tough to overcome. With this said, that would keep anything that develops more isolated so if something pops and can get a robust enough updraft, it will have an environment all to its self. Will be tough this...instability won't be sufficient I don't think

Amazing how most of the showers fall apart as they are moving northeast towards the metro from southeast PA - lets see if that moderate to heavy batch near York PA survive

0.03” at home. #droughtbusted

Break clouds damn you: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=eus&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24

Nammy doesn't look too bad.

SOI daily: Prediction from 6/13………actual 6/14: -15 to -20…….-25 6/15: -6 to -13…….-13 6/16: +5 to -6………..-3 6/17: +8 to -5……….-1 6/18: +16 to +1……….+4 6/19: +21 to +4 (the high point)………? 6/20-4 should drop back down and get back to negative by 6/21-2………..?

Sun is coming out quickly here

Yeah, a drought was well overdue. Prior to the drought beginning in September 2024, it had been over 20 years since we had one (the previous one ended in fall 2002).

40/20 tor probs, 70/30 wind

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 352 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1000 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Western Massachusetts Central and Eastern New York Vermont * Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 1000 AM until 300 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible SUMMARY...A line of fast-moving thunderstorms will sweep eastward across the watch area through the early afternoon, posing a risk of damaging winds and a few tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles northwest of Elmira NY to 25 miles east of Montpelier VT. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 349...WW 350...WW 351... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector 26040.

I’d have a sprinkle of 6/11 with a dash of 6/53 and make it hurt

The sub -5 SOI streak ended at 36 days. The only longer ones back to 1991 are the 51 and 42 day streaks of 1997-8.

Received .07" here last 24 hours (8am - 8am) with most of that from a very localized fast moving heavy downpour yesterday afternoon. Just some very light scattered showers so far this morning and it looks like that will be it for the day. We pin our hopes to Monday for something decent. Signal has been consistent for 1"+ so we wait and see.

Clouds and no rain basically killed the chance for storms later. Looks like that storm Monday stays north. I'm getting worried mandatory water restrictions are coming. Sucks when you make a living using water lol

That encourages a worsening drought over the MA.