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Light snow has been consistent in Bentonville yet the radar shows nothing. Not sure if that’s a sign of the atmosphere squeezing out any moisture because it’s so cold or if lift is increasing quickly.

The cold air is pretty locked in currently looking at all the obs around here.

Nice 6-10. Thats what we should expect.

You and AMZ are probably in the best spot in the forum for an all winter weather event.

Well we hit our forecast high 21F/-8 dew point

17 here

2 more runs

Snow is the best, but one of the things I like about sleet is how loud it is. It adds another dimension to storms.

It’s not going to rain on LI (plain rain) outside of maybe Montauk. This kind of cold surface air won’t be dislodged unless we had a strong prolonged onshore flow. I could maybe see freezing rain for a time but the back half of this storm is probably sleet. NJ gets that prolonged onshore flow so south of Tom’s River it might really change to rain.

Give it a huge dash of weenie hopium, a'la Emeril Lagasse!! BAM!

I loved what this model looked like last night. Not today. This would be literally disastrous. Geez.

16.4/-3.1° in Havre de Grace

CTP close up of the Euro.

Temp just dropped from 19.4 to 18.3.

Probably about an inch of snow, 95% from super fine small flakes that are heavy at times and light at others. Clarksville TN 14°

Good thing it starts in 15 hours, that does help.

Lol Triggered. Seriously take um up 26 to 1

Not noteworthy temperature this morning at Willard Beach in South Portland, but 2 degrees was enough to kick up some sea smoke. The wind chill of -15 was unwelcome

Another solid Euro run for the Detroit Metro I better watch what say LOL

any shore denizens see arctic sea smoke this morning ? one of the most breath taking spectacles I've ever seen was a bitter cold dawn back in 1983 ... Standing on Front Beach in Rockport. the sun illuminated the dance of steam-nados as they sinuously moved past one another in ghostly silence. Sometimes merging...some times disagreeing - and their arguments resulted in both disappearing.. It was like looking at a ball room of waltzing spirits. It's truly and amazing sight. But things have to be just right. It can't be windy. It's like only subtle movement of deeply gelid air as it passes over a glassy calm sea surface. And the horizon sun's unobstructedly penetrating its corpuscular rays through the scene. It's a very fragile moment, but an arresting vantage of natural art in motion.

My local weather bug says 19°. Not bad for here in the urban heat island. We will probably pop above 20 for a little bit if the Sun comes out, but cloud cover is building.

So basically the NWS WSW language of: WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 7 and 14 inches, with highest in the far northern and western suburbs of Washington and Baltimore. Ice accumulations between one and two tenths of an inch.

The Euro is the weakest of the models in eastern areas.

Only scientific reasoning behind my statement is radar obs.. this feels like a major qpf bust incoming. Any moisture that makes it close just dries up entirely.