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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
donsutherland1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
The Met Office has now published an account of today's historic May heat. That account can be found at: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/news-and-media/media-centre/weather-and-climate-news/2026/provisional-spring-daily-temperature-record-as-heatwave-continues In terms of the impact of climate change, the Met Office explains: A climate attribution study published last summer by Met Office scientists found that the chances of surpassing the May temperature record have been increasing as our climate changes as a consequence of human greenhouse gas emissions. The study found that breaking the 32.8°C May record is around three times more likely now in our current climate than it would have been in a natural climate not impacted by greenhouse gas emissions. What was around a 1-in-100 year event is now around a 1-in-33 year event. -
Sweet Pic Of A Rose In My Back Yard
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Coach McGuirk's topic in Outdoor and Weather Photography
Very cool! -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Models in the medium/long range missed the European heatwave, just like they recently caught onto this Canadian ridge in the next few days. They might be a little less reliable right now. -
Love this kind of day.. Messed me up from some side work today apart from my main job... But enjoy just sitting on the porch listening to the light rain in the trees and gutters......Up to 3.18 for the event..
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71/70 muggy
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2.38” total in Syosset.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
gallopinggertie replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
I was in London on Saturday, and it was hot and humid (also it seemed like the entire city was outside enjoying the sunshine). One of the metro lines was stifling hot even with air con. Crazy that it got up to 95 there! The southern UK is predicted by many climate simulations to have a hot-summer Mediterranean climate by 2100. -
Memorial Day weekend 1996 was like this.
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Finally! I can see a few peaks of sun here now.
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Only the 9th wettest gee that's great
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Already feeling like shorts.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Good run of -SOI.. we could make a run at most negative 2-month period (Apr-May) since 2016 25 May 2026 1011.06 1012.85 -25.41 -12.61 -3.54 24 May 2026 1010.19 1012.80 -31.69 -12.71 -3.18 23 May 2026 1011.70 1012.55 -18.21 -12.02 -2.76 22 May 2026 1012.15 1013.20 -19.74 -11.50 -2.49 21 May 2026 1010.85 1013.05 -28.55 -
Same here. It feels different outside compared to the wedge experience we had over the weekend. While not particularly hot, it is decidedly warmer and the humidity is more noticeable. I think pop-up storms are likely this afternoon.
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68.0/66.7 at 12:30 pm. Right at 2 inches total for the event.
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72/70. Starting to feel like a sauna with no wind and brightening sky. SE VA and NE NC sporting some 84/73 type obs. ooooh
- Today
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69/68 outside. Yuck.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
donsutherland1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Today, London's Kew Gardens saw the temperature soar to 34.8°C (95°F). That demolished the UK's national May record of 32.8°C (91F) that had stood since 1944. The ongoing extreme heat was made much more likely by anthropogenic climate change. Across the British Channel, France saw more than 300 May monthly records set with 62 locations having reaching 95°F (35.0°C) or above. Final numbers from France will be available in a few hours. -
Looking good for at least a little bit of clearing later this afternoon even in SE areas. Back in the warmth tomorrow.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Cool Lake breeze kicking in keeping temps subdued along the shore. Typical shore wx when temps are rising inland.
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Upstate/Eastern NY Spring Discussion/Obs Thread
qg_omega replied to U_Thant's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
No signs of any drought over upstate NY, Lake George is running high. Much higher than end of last summer -
Drought is over
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I love that when that happens. We're suddenly alleviated here in the last hour. Steady morning rains bangin' away at the awnings had become sort of hypnotic. Somewhere between that state and a sun burst just splashed through the windows me must of finally escaped - or begun the break out process.
