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  2. NJwx85
    You do realize that line will intensify and build East right?
  3. SnoSki14
    Looks like everything will be too far west. NW NJ looks like the spot to be
  4. NJwx85
    Each model has a different jackpot area which is typical in convective setups. It’s very hard to pinpoint exact locations. Most of the rain today and tonight will fall in a relatively short period. There’s also quite a high risk of microbursts today, like what we saw yesterday, hence the watch. Could also see an isolated tornado.
  5. nj08822
    Drought buster in eastern PA. Already up to 1 inch today.
  6. JACKASS
    Up to 1.24
  7. w1pf
    Quick 0.46" here in Holyoke.. enough to test my sewer backwater valve (it held fine, but the cover gasket seeped a bit... cleaned and retightened..)
  8. Met1985
    Game on! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  9. SACRUS
    Steamy 82 / 71 between building storms
  10. ncjoaquin
    https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NCZ053&warncounty=NCC021&firewxzone=NCZ053&local_place1=2 Miles ENE Bent Creek NC&product1=Severe+Thunderstorm+Watch&lat=35.5109&lon=-82.6143 Severe thunderstorm watch.
  11. wncsnow
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch just posted for entire area
  12. Chinook
    Typhoon Dolphin (12W) is expected to get to 165kt by the JTWC. (July 31st)
  13. tamarack
  14. Damage In Tolland
    That dude in Monson must have 2-3”
  15. Maestrobjwa
    And ya think that's primed to happen this time, too? (And was it the same in 72-73?)
  16. weatherwiz
    Looks like this stuff was fueled by a pretty tight theta-e gradient and on the edge of some pretty decent MUCAPE. MUCAPE values of 2000 J surging north through SNE. That's not too bad...I don't recall guidance having MUCAPE that high
  17. A-L-E-K
  18. Stormlover74
    Surprised they issued a severe thunderstorm watch for all of NJ
  19. cbmclean
    The first MCS appears to be holding together more than forecast, which could very well kill the chance for any severe in NC today. Frankly all I want is some more rain.
  20. CoastalWx
    Don't think we see more east of berks until later tonight.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    I only make the sure bets. Vegas can't have all the fun.
  22. high risk
    You're not exactly going out on a limb with that prediction....
  23. ineedsnow
    HREF is missing the rain coming through now
  24. Damage In Tolland
    This station is about 5 miles or so NW 1.55” . Sun trying to come back out so hopefully another chance later
  25. high risk
    Sort of. That day involved some local storms that initiated followed by the main band along the forcing arriving from the northwest during the evening hours. This looks to be a line forming just to our northwest during the early/mid afternoon and rolling through at dinner time before making a quick exit. There is some curvature in the hodographs, so the tornado threat is definitely non-zero, although the forcing may result in a more linear structure. The box will go up for northern sections first, because there is good cam agreement on an initial wave of storms for northeast MD/PA/NJ earlier this afternoon.
  26. BooneWX
    Loaded gun .
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