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  2. Prue11
    We’ve been in a drought for years and we never really truly recovered. We go one foot forward then one step back
  3. stormy
    Regarding the Sunday - Wed potential, the physics based models have been playing hopscotch. The AI models have been amazingly consistent with a recent uptick in expectations. AI and AI ens have scored Augusta with a blend of 1.20" since 12z Thursday. The latest run has increased to 1.40".
  4. dendrite
    Fan is back up and running 78.4° and dewy
  5. bluewave
    No red herrings involved. My first post showing the warmth this month was based on the warmest 1991-2020 averages. So that is why I kept it for continuity between posts. But your cooler base period doesn’t show any material difference from the main point how much warmer this summer has been than past developing El Niños due to the record ridging from north of Hawaii across the CONUS. So it just seems like you are inventing ways to be argumentative without addressing the main point.
  6. powderfreak
    Like Chaim Bloom.
  7. GaWx
    3. I never said 1987 summer was as warm as 2026 summer to date. But it was still warm in the E US, which is not normal for Nino. @bluewave
  8. Yardstickgozinya
  9. GaWx
    Chris, 1. Just “A little warmer in the East” relative to the rest of CONUS”? For summer, which has relatively lower variance, this is not just “a little”. 2. This discussion started based on you posting cool Nino summer US maps. Why are you bringing up “Pacific to the Atlantic”? Red herring again.
  10. A-L-E-K
    Rain always comes in 2 or 3 inch chunks these days
  11. Jersey Andrew
    Does August look to turn cooler mid-month into September? DT,others pushing this idea but not sure it happens.
  12. bluewave
    It matches the El Niño composite in most areas from the Pacific to the Atlantic. So a little warmer in the East relative to the rest of the CONUS isn’t really a dealbreaker. This summer so far is much more of an outlier than 1987 was. You have really been stretching to find similarities to this summer which don’t exist.
  13. GaWx
    Over
  14. SACRUS
    Showers / rain CPA should stay west
  15. GaWx
    Here’s 1980-89 summer mean vs 1971-2000 climo: 1980s were NN Here’s 1987 summer vs same climo: notably warmer than the NN 1980s mean E 1/2 US and it did that during Nino: that was not Ninoish at all; comparing it to other hot summers like 1980, 1983, or 1988 is a red herring as they weren’t Nino
  16. SACRUS
    updating from thread
  17. BlizzardNole
    I'm counting June-Sept as summer to tell myself we have two more months. Oct-Nov is fall to me; Dec-Mar winter and April-May spring. That 7-day map above looks great! Especially with that rain spread over several days
  18. tamarack
    July 2026 numbers: Avg max: 76.6 0.3 AN Hottest day, 87 on the 2nd Avg min: 55.6 0.7 AN Coolest day, 46 on the 24th Mean: 66.6 0.5 AN Precip: 2.20" 1.72" BN Wettest day, 0.67" on the 22nd. After having 6 days with thunder in June, we had only one in July, tying 2010 and 2023 for the lowest. July '26 temps were +10 during the first 4 days and -1 on the next 27. The month had 2 noteworthy events, first being the HHH of 1-3, upper 80s (avoiding 90+ thanks to the trees) with low 70s TD. 2nd was the brief squall on the 16th. It dropped 1/4" in 5 minutes with gusts approaching 50 mph and cut the power, causing our on-demand generator to run for 7.4 hours.
  19. 512high
    Shop Davis showing 82F/67 Happy August dew!
  20. Mount Joy Snowman
    Low of 65. Just did some yard work and it’s hot out there already. Might hit the river.
  21. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  22. frd
    You can almost feel it to a degree with the sun angle, and can see it at night as the sunsets are noticeably earlier.
  23. bluewave
    Looks like August 1st-10th starts out a little warmer than average with above average precipitation.
  24. frd
    Well, on a positive note, overnight the WPC increased rainfall totals in the region.
  25. SACRUS
    Dewpoint to 70 here.
  26. SACRUS
    Next two weeks look solidly above normal and the period 8/6 - 8/12 should yield more 90s even in central park.
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