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If it has to rain on the Jersey Shore for the Lehigh Valley to get the big snows, I will forever accept it as perpetual payback for Boxing Day 2010.

Snowing in Marysville according to a friend.

Yikes, bad typo lol I'm going back to laying down, this cold is killing me.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 832 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026 ...MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE REGION THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... .A large area of precipitation will overrun Arctic air in place over the Mid-Atlantic. This will lead to widespread significant snow beginning this evening, with the potential for ice Sunday especially south of Highway 50 and near and east of Interstate 95. In addition to the high threat for significant snow and ice, very cold temperatures are expected tonight through the middle of next week with sub-zero wind chills likely at times. MDZ003>005-502-VAZ028-030-031-040-501-505-WVZ050>053-504-250945- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0001.260125T0400Z-260126T0900Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Central and Eastern Allegany- Frederick VA-Warren-Clarke-Rappahannock-Northern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Eastern Mineral- 832 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 10 and 14 inches, with up to 18 inches possible near the Mason-Dixon line. Ice accumulations up to a tenth of an inch, mainly across the northern Shenandoah Valley. * WHERE...Portions of north central and western Maryland, northern and northwest Virginia, and eastern and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will likely overspread the area tonight, becoming heavy at times with rates of one to two inches per hour possible at times. A mix with sleet or freezing rain is expected Sunday. Visibility of one-quarter mile or less is possible at times. A prolonged period of very cold wind chills continues this evening and lasting through the middle of next week. NWS keeping forecast as us for NW.

High end is as high as it's ever been.

Light snow in Scott’s Addition, Richmond. Light dusting on cars and road

Beer?

It’s been sleeting here for 45 ish minutes. Roads have slight coverage. Was hoping for snow but I’ll take sleet vs freezing rain. That may still occur but for now it’s a W.

The NAM cooled at 18z and has 0 support atm

Well, they are the same model....

I can confirm in the foothills that it’s not drizzle. Actual drops unfortunately.

My start time per that graphic was 7-9….nothing yet-wonder if that’s good or bad it’s delayed a little….

Ahhh, 2017. The one 4-pack im hanging onto is 2022. Had a Hazelnut Stout from Founders I aged for 3 years....smooth!

Oh okay. You referenced CAD, so I was more talking about traditional surface CAD. Here it kind of holds on a bit longer due to latitude, but they will changeover out here. Sorry if I misunderstood!

Sleet in Raleigh again.

How is that even possible? Must be some kind of freezing drizzle showing up at ground at ground level

Can't believe the trends have been positive up to the start. We might really be getting the big one again finally! This is cool.

26.6/5.5

Any chance you can post a map of those? Much thanks

I will not fall for the HRRR again I will not fall for the HRRR again I will not fall for the HRRR again I will not fall for the HRRR again I will not fall for the HRRR again I will not fall for the HRRR again

Yeah we just need qpf up here. Give us that and I will roll the dice on ratios

You forgot to add, this is the first run that gets plain rain into SE PA The damage is done, but still.

Townhouses next to Bruster’s on 160. We should meet up at Model A for a beer and weather chat!

Isn't the cold air up at 700-800mb, though? That's not really "near" the surface. Wouldn't it be more of a gradient just because the warm nose just takes a little bit longer to reach those NW areas not because of elevation, but because they're just farther NW?

00z HRRR looks exactly like RGEM cold and snow output