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A fast PAC flow never ends well for NE. Ever

Yea we might hurt the bigots feelings.

You just proved my point. lol We are basically the east coast version of Seattle. lol

Alberta torchah?

There’s a lot of warmth in Canada. Beware with a fast PAC flow

The fall foliage here is headed to a significantly earlier peak than average. This is the earliest I can recall in many years! Recent years have peaked in the last week of Nov or Dec. Anyone else have a fall leaf report?

this is the climate change nina that will be front loaded

In 8 days? No. Thinking early December hopefully. Maybe somehow interior sneaks something before that.

Little bit of a bite in the air to finish off the day.

So you don't think a better pattern is coming ?

Congrats on the fantasies.

Tomorrow will be fair with temperatures topping out in the middle and upper 50s. The weekend will be unseasonably mild with Saturday being the warmest day. Highs on Saturday will likely reach the lower and perhaps middle 60s. Newark could again approach or reach 70°. A strong cold front will then bring this season's coldest temperatures so far early next week. Lows would fall well into the 30s in New York City while highs struggle to reach the middle and upper 40s. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.6°C for the week centered around October 29. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.05°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.52°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue through mid-winter. The SOI was +27.67 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.510 today.

Might be related to ideas about favorable and longer lasting MJO effects in winter, and the possibly strat evolution later in December. Just a guess. Webb posted this as a link. https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2023GL104826

Deep winter starts day 8, that would be nice.

Anyone have the EURO PV forecast?

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/Prob_Precip/ Speaking of updates, WPC has a good one for its snowfall/ice probability maps.

Binner gonna Binner

the terpeast storm

Inside, Rendell being a big Birds fan, he would have wanted the game to be played. But he probably would have been under so much pressure to postpone the game. Literally a life/death kinda storm and if someone died because of his decision to play the game it would have been a nightmare and ended his political career. I think we were under a state of emergency...

CONGRATULATIONS! MILLER A's FOR EVERYONE!

Per Webb, HM is very bullish on January. But not sure where he’s getting that from. Everyone seems onboard with a cold December. I’m still not sold on a snowy December though.

I want to say those are "Normalized" or re-calculated in some way. I've seen the -1.3 mentioned by others too.