All Activity
- Past hour
-
Hurricane Schwartz just said 8-12" for 95 corridor. Says still a lot of uncertainty around where the heaviest bands will be. Low is far enough off the shore that heavy snow and wind at the shore is almost a certainty.
-
Plus... Forky thinks 20 to 30. That carries weight.
-
We’re gonna get 2-4” of snow with a back edge that forms before the precip arrives and we’re gonna like it.
-
That's the 10:1. You definitely need sleep.
-
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
winter_warlock replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I'm guessing Nam. But never sure which model is most accurate anymire -
February 22-23 Storm Thread/OBS
Hurricane Agnes replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
-
Mickey the models are just converging now. Relax bub it’s going to snow
-
There’s good fronto forcing on many models in CT for the first half of the storm, but it gets a little tougher in NW Mass…then if we get that eastern firehose going for a bit it starts becoming valley doom.
-
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
HIPPYVALLEY replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
I’m not sure this area has ever seen blizzard conditions. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Doesn’t have that much to do with miller b logic here -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
nw baltimore wx replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
You should read that again. You know the answer. There's a choice, E. -
Updated GFS
-
Certainly nw nj is under tight gradient
-
The short range models (HRRR,RAP, 3K NAM) have extreme amounts. Am I missing any?
-
February 78 as well.
-
Miller Bs can never be trusted.
-
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That's the big question. How many times have we seen significant shifts in the final 24 hours. If you look across the 12z suite thus far you can see a slight eastward shift, even in some of the lesser talked about models. Hope this isn't the start of the rug being pulled. -
February 22-23 Storm Thread/OBS
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
I caught, in passing, 101.5 saying 12-20 inches in some parts on NJ. -
Was weaker on the NAM. Deepens to 288 on the GFS but only 291 on the NAM. This is at hour 27. edit: terminology mixup, I mean there’s a 288 line on GFS and only 291 on the NAM, so the GFS is deeper
-
-
10-20 localized 2 feet would be a solid call for most places
-
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
winter_warlock replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Which is better and more accurate in short range, nam, GFS , hrrr, rap? -
Not what we wanted to see, but still maybe a 2-4er instead of 3-6er, and there’s always the norlun possibility
-
Initial thoughts on what the gradient may look like in SNH and the coast based on past similar events?
-
This right here is the La Nina effect.
