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Snow line actually goes a little bit south at hour 99 on the GFS.

I like the sharpness in the n/s feature and the best energy being on the backside to possibly promote downstream phasing.

Guys, might be a FOLKS

More 500mb/h5 maps, fewer clown maps please! Still 4+ days out. Much rather be looking at the players that matter than the pretty snow maps Also, AI GFS was much more than a bump north for our area. QPF jumped substantially.

Ok, light precip over the area at 108..heavies south and west...climb dammit

Gfs AI is well north

Also had the bit of snow Friday for some of our southern parts. Pulled back whatever triggered the bit of snow Saturday morning and is gearing up to smack us, I think. At least a strong jump.

GFS AIFS Total QPF

Little bit of Baja is fine, just not too much.

GFS managed to clear the main failure scenario of keeping the SW too far back. Now we get to see how it handles the interaction with the open wave and NS which will be key in determining who gets the major snowstorm.

The window is currently very narrow now. The UKIE is the northern most, the GFS, still the southern most, even with this 18z run.

18Z upper air not closing off like it was in earlier runs. This run should yeild higher snowfall amounts more northward like the Euro if everything thing else goes normal.

GFS staying all snow so far from Wake north.

Being stuck in the teens certainly helps.

This looks soooo much better. Bring it home!

She’s about to go boom

the low is ur right but the precip is a bit sharper and that's south. Good thing is the low is north and stronger that's what we need. sorry about that

Gfs will be another good run for NC

We're going to get Winter RECON sampling the upper low ENE of Hawaii tomorrow with additional Atmospheric River sampling over the Eastern Pacific for the moisture headed our way.

That could end up with a G… or an F… downstream if the gfs doesn’t f this up.

We're all going to slide off the cliff as it'll be covered in ice

1/20 18Z Total QPF ICON: (120H) in line with 12z GFS: GFS AID: 0.5 - 0.6

It’s already beginning to interact at 06z Saturday.

Like I said in my yesterday analysis we just need that first phase out west to get the SW moving east and were golden for a major snowstorm somewhere over the east coast. Speaking of which the GFS will be coming back to the fold after its 12z adventures

Gfs AI would be a lot of snow to sleet for NC