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Starting to see multiple tornados around the Nature Coast https://radar.weather.gov/station/KTLH/standard

Pensacola Naval Air Station gust to 51mph

Expected. I have Atlanta in the survivor pool this week.

Sunday’s going to be wet. Pretty much 1-2 inches region wide

Temps near coast in upper 60s. That's pretty stable for hurricane. Cool and much drier air. May see quite a bit of weakening before it fully comes on shore

To 75 before the high clouds moved in

If it rains Sunday, it will be 35 out of 41 weekends with measurable rain/snow/hail/ash/apocalypse since January at the EWR reporting station.

While he didn't predict this storm, per se, about a week ago, Greg Postel on TWC had a great discussion about how the huge frontal system that was progged to sweep through the SE US last weekend would stall over the very warm GOM and that pressures and low shear looked favorable for tropical development this week.

CWOP KFLPENSA690 Summary High Low Average Total Temperature 78.2°F 69.8°F 73.9°F — Dew Point 73.1°F 67.7°F 70.8°F — Humidity 98% 82% 90.1% — Precipitation Rate 0.14in/hr — 0.08in/hr — Precipitation Accumulation — — — 0.39in* Wind Speed 68.5mph 5.6mph 25mph — Wind Gust 79mph 7.4mph 29.1mph — Wind Direction — — ENE — Pressure 29.38in 29.1in — As for timing... ahead of scheduled LF

What does total rainfall look like.on the 12z euro?

Same here. Nice n mild then crashing to avg.

Link to pier camera on Perdido Key https://www.earthcam.com/usa/florida/pensacola/pier/ .

Going to be an interesting Sunday evening for someone.

Thanks Jason! .

I enjoyed sharing snowstorms. This, not so much. I hope all will be well.

This could be indicative of what is to come in the right quadrent as this comes inland later on and into the overnight. Tornado threat and inland wind damage to trees and power lines likely to be extensive well into Alabama and western GA.

This buoy will get close to the eye

This will go down as warmest october for CONUS and its not even really close right @bluewave?

I think the GFS had a low pressure in a Gulf about a week ago, but there was nothing on the NHC outlook, and then.. nothing, and then.. this.

Very cool metfan, thanks

Yet the shear drum bangers are redoubling and still crying “shear”

And during a super niño, no less. Isaías vs Niño and I is kicking butt and basically said "Shear? What shear?" lol And as others have pointed out, having not having any other storms in the Gulf probably helped this outcome...wow.

yes, current radars show 110 kt (126.5mph) wind in the clouds at the eyewall, above ground. That's some crazy stuff.