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Wouldn’t be surprised to see Long Island maybe even queens and Brooklyn get upped to high wind warning. Models seem to be increasing them sat night into Sunday

Convective models finally not treating this as tropical. AWT.

I think 60 is possible along the CT coast, with maybe a spot 65 in SE CT.

That cold map is for Oct 5-12.

3K much weaker and thus further north

surprised they didn't with the afternoon update.

Satellite already looks like a beast incoming.

they need to convert to a high wind warning there

Maybe gusts 60-65 on parts of Long Island later tomorrow on the 18z NAM.

Respectfully submitted

With Fernando waiting in the wings!

I’m not saying the Euro is necessarily going to be right. But I’m passing this along because it’s objectively determined and easily available to the wx community. So fwiw: The new Euro ensemble (12Z) maintains the 90-100% chance that the 0Z and 6Z had for a tropical storm to form from this: The run from just 24 hrs earlier for the same period had only just over 70% for the chance:

Best gusts yet, acorns flying into windows. Probably 40ish.

Please send some of that tropical warmth up north. One more day below 70 and these lanky arms are gonna start flying in all directions!

18z nam looks north of 12z

ha ha ha... NAM 3K is only 10MB higher this run at hour 10.

I don't know what you're talking about Buy yeah, seems like a lost season. Gonna be a tough watch this year. The issues are too many to list. As for PSU, really bad news about Koby Howard. Thinking they'll be taking some tough losses eventually too, just hopefully not tomorrow night. Football, what I let it do to me. Aye.

This reminds us of Rocktober 2011, where each run came in snowier than its last run.

Good thing this isn’t a winter storm weenies would be jumping ship see all that moisture off the coast and not moving much.

Have a drink at Princeton Bar in Avalon for me.

Better top 25 CFB on Sat.

Let him go There should be HWW for the coast, especially SE CT imo.

Da Raiders

Agree