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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Here comes another DWKW ”40 knot westerly wind anomalies potentially emerging right over the warmest water east of the dateline. The synoptic elements are too small scale to be accurately predicted here. What it's indicating is enhanced risk of seasonally extreme equatorial westerlies through the middle and into the end of July.” -
Have a great time!
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Keith Central PA replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
How do we know that a 5.0 would act differently than a 2.5?.. more flooding in California?..All Super el nino's have done is give warm weather through most of the country for the winter and more rains in the southwest. Somehow that doesn't seem like a big deal, or maybe I'm missing something. This has really been hyped by social media. -
Just got a quick .15" here in a 5 minute downpour
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I'm in Piscataway but near the border of South Plainfield. Those heaviest red radar echoes went right over me. It was a quick half inch.
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Yesterday hit 99 at 4pm, 0.19" of rain.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Getting a good downpour. Glad the NAM and HRRR sniffed it out. 77F/DP 74F -
That HoCo/MoCo border area getting it again
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clearing is headed this way for mid - late afternoon - temps will rebound to close to 80 or above in some areas but high humidity for awhile
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If you get enough sun in between, I've experience double the fun before. What I miss are those nights where you get storm after storm. It seems like it thunders all night long. Best sleep ever.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Storm Clouds replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Sorry about your bad experience! Mine was put to the test yesterday with that batch of storms that moved through. Even though I wasn’t home, I was getting plenty of lightning alerts and rain start notification. I have the Nearcast rain feature turned off to make sure I get the raw rainfall amount recorded for my backyard. It recorded .11 which correlates well with two other nearby stations…one recorded .12 and the other .15. So far so good! -
Heading to you're area in a few for a grad party. Hope it stops soon for it.
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I remember feeling a little off the rest of the day after riding the ferry. If you’re anything like me, take a Dramamine.
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Dropped .80” in Morristown - wasn’t expecting anything but will definitely take the moisture.
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It always worries me when I get a pop up storm right over me this early in the day. It makes me feel like I’ll miss out on all the good stuff later.
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Same. I'm still waiting to mow my lawn for the first time this year. Just random patches of green weed in a sea of brown.
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July 11 1903: The temperature plummets down to 26 at Leech Lake Dam. For Saturday, July 11, 2026 1888 - Heavy snow reached almost to the base of Mt. Washington, NH, and the peaks of the Green Mountains were whitened. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Early morning thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 90 mph at Parkston, SD, and wind gusts to 87 mph at Buffalo, MN. Later in the day strong thunderstorm winds at Howard WI collapsed a circus tent injuring 44 persons. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced heavy rain in southern Texas, with totals ranging up to 13 inches near Medina. Two men drowned when their pick-up truck was swept into the Guadalupe River, west of the town of Hunt. Ten cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Baltimore, MD, reported a record high reading of 102 degrees for the second day in a row. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather from North Dakota to Indiana. Thunderstorms in North Dakota produced tennis ball size hail at Carson. Thunderstorms in Indiana produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Fort Wayne. Five cities in the Southern Atlantic Coast Region reported record high temperatures for the date, including Lakeland, FL, with a reading of 100 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) Observances: 11 Sat World Population Day 11 Sat World Essential Oils Day 11 Sat All American Pet Photo Day 11 Sat Cheer Up the Lonely Day 11 Sat International Essential Oils Day 11 Sat National 7-Eleven Day 11 Sat National Blueberry Muffin Day 11 Sat National Culture and Senior Citizens Day 11 Sat National Mojito Day 11 Sat National Rainier Cherry Day 11 Sat National Polyphenol Day 11 Sat National State Fair Food Day 11 Sat National Swimming Pool Day 11 Sat World Benzodiazepine Awareness Day 11 Sat Free Slurpee Day
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there was an area of very heavy rain just to your east on radar - would like to hear of any amounts from those areas
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Heritage Days in Two Harbors started Thurs. Parade today will be starting soon. Right now temps in the upper 70's with a 65 dew. Mid 80's forecast for mid aftrn.
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It produced a quick half inch of rain here. Moving slowly as you said, but it's a very skinny line so it doesn't last too long. It was absolutely torrential rain for a little while though. Happy to get the half inch today after the 2 inches the other day. It'll be good to go into the heat wave with high soil moisture.
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Winter 2026-2027 Seasonal Outlook
WinstonSalemArlington replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
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They upped the temps the next few days from around 90 to mid 90's here in town. SW winds will bring hot air, along with some down sloping effect from the ridges. We'll see how this pans, but it'll be nasty without A/C.
