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  2. I mean is it that far off from the others this time, though? Seems like they all have things forming too late to catch the last of this cold
  3. There have been many snowstorms in March,some blizzards. Yes you can get temps in the 70's but the next day it can snow..March has always been that type of month here
  4. Good. Weather usually does the complete opposite of what the ICON shows anyhow
  5. Correct. 2/21 is when winter really starts to wind down. “Prime” snow season for us is 12/20 - 2/20
  6. NWS has a possible freezing rain to rain scenario as of now. Temps in the upper 30s Sunday.
  7. Hope so. We usually see one or two dumps of modified stuff later in February or March, but hopefully nothing record-breaking.
  8. But everything he says in this case makes sense
  9. Bright sunshine and to 22 here, what a difference when the winds calm ,almost shorts weather
  10. After your 3 to 6 tomorrow lol you are Debby defined
  11. if there is one guy i wouldn't put much stock into, it is this guy. i've seen him hold onto forecasts when it was obvious he was wrong, and most others had abandoned ship.
  12. I have almost 31” for the season so I can’t call that a disappointment (even if it’s a little below normal for the season still) but it would be a major bummer still if we strike out on snow from here on out. Pretty confident though we can still get enough together to make it above average. Central Park is further away from normal 21”, it might be tough getting them to near 30” even though a couple events were undermeasured.
  13. Next 7 days we don't break freezing on 6 zGFS with 2 snow events
  14. Seems like I- 81 corridor might be the best place to be but even there it's gonna must likely flip. Of course an outcome like the Icon and its rain for everyone well up into the North East. 06z GEFS illustrates the snow chances the further NW you go
  15. it is looking that way. frankly, i'm sick of the frigid air and salt.
  16. Pretty wild that the sleetpack is still visible on satellite two weeks later: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12 Looks like NC has already lost most of theirs.
  17. We lost the snowy pattern back in late January. December was very unusual in that it was the first time we had two 4-8” clippers over such a short stretch for the month. It was the perfect 500mb pattern for maxing out the Northern Stream snowfall potential. That pattern shifted in January which opened the door to our first widespread benchmark 10”+ snowstorm since 2022 as the forcing shifted east of the Dateline allowing the STJ to become active for a week. The only time our area had multiple 10”+ snowstorms under 7 days apart was in February 1994. So that 2nd event which brought record snows to the Carolinas statistically would have been tough to pull off since we need more time for NESIS snowstorm patterns to reload here. While we could have more accumulating snow before the season ends, this faster split flow regime probably won’t be able produce another widespread 10”+ benchmark event near the coast here.
  18. yeah, but we could see out a week. So it’s really not February 9. We’re really up to February 15 in a 28 day month. All we know is we’re halfway with nothing
  19. Today will set an all-time consecutive below freezing streak of 17 days for Chester County PA at a few stations including KMQS Airport, Atglen DEOS and West Grove DEOS. This breaks the old record of 16 days set from January 19, 1961 through February 3, 1961 at the Coatesville 1SW NWS Cooperative station. All locations should finally see temperatures break the freezing mark both tomorrow and Wednesday with highs in the 35-to-38-degree range. This is still a few degrees below our normal highs for mid-February. We turn colder again by Thursday and Friday with near or below freezing high temperatures returning. Snow/Ice or rain chances start to increase by Sunday.
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