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Cleetus snow is a person. Global warming is taking the day off. Go outside and touch grass. Greta won’t say anytning.

WPC already going slight risk D3/4 with talk of upgrading to moderate in the discussion Will be interesting to see CAMs as we get into range. Potential is there for prolific totals.

Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (2005) NYC: 98 (1940) LGA: 98 (1940) JFK: 94 (1982) Lows: EWR: 57 (1953) NYC: 55 (1920) LGA: 62 (1976) JFK: 58 (1976) Historical: 1819 - Twin cloudbursts of fifteen inches struck almost simultaneously at Catskill, NY, and Westfield, MA. Flash flooding resulted in enormous erosion. (David Ludlum) 1874: Torrential rainfall brought flash flooding to Pittsburg, Pennsylvania. 1875: A windstorm, possibly a tornado, ripped through Erie, PA killing 134 people and causing $500,000 dollars damage. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1890: During the morning hours, an estimated F3 tornado went through the southern part of Lawrence, Massachusetts. The tornado left 500 people homeless as the tornado destroyed 35 homes and damaged 60 others. 1897: Jewel, Maryland received 14.75 inches of rain in a 24 hour period. This record is currently the oldest, state rainfall record in the United States. All other state rainfall records are in the 1900s and 2000s. 1931: A swarm of grasshoppers descends on crops throughout the American heartland, devastating millions of acres. Iowa, Nebraska, and South Dakota, already in the midst of a bad drought, suffered tremendously from this disaster. 1943 - Tishomingo, OK, baked in the heat as the mercury soared to 121 degrees, a state record. (The Weather Channel) 1960 - The temperature at Salt Lake City, UT, hit 107 degrees, an all-time record high for that location. (The Weather Channel) 1974: Cleghorn, La.--A 27-year-old man was killed by lightning while working near a metal tool shed. (Ref. Lightning-The Underrated Killer.pdf) 1977: Canadian high pressure brought record cold temperatures to parts of the Great Lakes region. Record lows included: Madison, WI: 46°, Muskegon, MI: 46°, Green Bay, WI: 47°, Flint, MI: 48, Toledo, OH: 50°, Detroit, MI: 50° and Springfield, IL: 52°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1979: Tropical Storm Claudette stalled over Alvin, Texas, inundating the town with 45 inches of rain in 42 hours. The total included 43 inches in 24 hours, which is the maximum 24-hour rainfall in American history. 1986: Strong thunderstorms hit north central South Dakota. One of these storms was a very efficient rain producer as it dumped 2.25 inches of rain in 10 minutes near McLaughlin. Strong thunderstorm winds did damage near Mitchell on that same day. The strong winds destroyed a barn, a roof, and windmill in the Mitchell area. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1987 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced hail two inches in diameter in McHenry County, IL, and wind gusts to 70 mph at Auburn, ME. A wind gust of 90 mph was recorded at Blairstown, NJ, before the anemometer broke. The high winds were associated with a small tornado. The record high of 88 degrees at Beckley, WV, was their sixth in a row. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced large hail and damaging winds in the Middle Atlantic Coast Region, and in the south central U.S. Eight cities in the northwestern and north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Salem, OR, hit 103 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Morning thunderstorms produced heavy rain in southeastern Texas, with more than three inches reported at the Widllife Refuge in southwestern Chambers County. Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Montana, with wind gusts to 62 mph reported at Helena. Eight cities from Maine to Minnesota reported record high temperatures for the date, including Newark, NJ, with a reading of 99 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1993: Pueblo, Colorado: Record high for date, 101°F and record low for date 52°F, set on same day! (Ref. WxDoctor) The Great Mississippi River Flood of 1993: Rising water stopped all rail traffic through Kansas City, MO. A tornado moved along a 4 mile track across parts of northwest Scottsbluff, NE. The tornado destroyed a furniture store and about 8 homes, with about $3 million dollars in damage. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2000: A line of thunderstorms developed in Iowa and pushed southward into northwest Missouri. The early storms produced large hail in the northwest corner of Missouri. Wind gusts in excess of 70 mph and widespread wind damage occurred from the St. Joseph area southward to the Kansas City metro and other locations in west central Missouri. The highway department reported downed trees up to 4 feet in diameter. A building under construction in an industrial park sustained over $1 million dollars in damage. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2001: Two Boy Scouts were injured by lightning while at a campsite during the National Scout Jamboree at Fort A.P. Hill in Caroline County, VA. (Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History) Up to 8 inches of rain fell in about 3 to 4 hours across Copiah County, Mississippi. Various portions of Rankin County had significant flooding. In Pearl, several roads had to be closed. Water also covered several roads in Brandon where up to six inches of rain fell in a few hours. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2006: Death Valley National Park, California: The low temperature for the day bottoms out at a scorching 104°F. The day's high was only 116°F. Fresno, CA recorded their 5th straight night with a minimum temperature of 80° or better. This is their longest such streak on record. (Ref. WxDoctor) 2009: Rio Grande Valley, Texas: Since June 12th, San Antonio has registered 31 days with temperatures in the 100s °F. Across the Rio Grande Valley, extreme heat in McAllen this month has been staggering with 20 days of record-setting high temperatures. This day made it the 11th day in a row that new record highs were set. (Ref. WxDoctor)

76 / 53mid 80s in spots today and another day of this nice stretch before we get into a cutoff trough into the northeast Tue - Fri with upwards of 1 - 3 inches + pending on where the heaviest storms / rain setup. Clears out for a nice stretch in time for next weekend and to open the month. Warmer overall 8/3 - beyond.

I think you were just a bit too far south. Maybe the cutoff will have some.

I generally agree. I suspect by fall it will be neutral to maybe slightly negative, ending slightly positive by the end of winter.

Maybe I’ll be wrong and if I am then so be it….I’ve been wrong before but I just can’t imagine the PDO staying negative this fall in the face of an extremely well coupled, historic super El Niño. My call is that the PDO flips to at least weakly positive by the end of November. If I’m wrong, oh well….

55

Should I post the weather observations from KSUX instead?

We ended up not going. Mr. J had woken up early in the morning to a headache that made him nauseous. I suspect the pressure change as at 2 am it started to drop. Went from 1020 down to 1015 by the afternoon. But did joke with him about the Palomarita he had on the boardwalk the day before. We ended up going to a restaurant we wanted to try. Went up to Milton to Po’ Boy and it did not disappoint. Who knew you could get that kind of Creole food in DE!

My forecast for today...sunny My reality at this time...cloudy

It will be really interesting see how the Aleutian low develops with the rare July displacement into Alaska for such a strong El Niño. This is the first developing super El Niño with such a low July PNA since 1972. While the sample size is very small, that event featured one of the most unusual winter Aleutian low patterns for such a strong El Niño up to that time. Significantly colder era back then and this El Niño is much more intense. July PNA during developing super El Niños 2023.. +1.15 2015…+0.76 1997….+0.56 1982…+0.97 1972….-0.76

Sorry for the whiney post. It wasn’t a good day yesterday. As far as the other day, it was SOMEthing but still short and unremarkable. Maybe I expect too much..

So we had a causality of the electrical storm last Tuesday. The younger Ms. J had been out doing a pet sitting job and drove home in the storm. She opened the garage door and put her car in. She went to put it down and it would not go down. Found out she had to hold the garage button down to force it down. Also the interior light would not turn off. So I told her to call the guy who installed it. He came out and the sensor eyes had gotten zapped so replaced them. But as for the light not turning off the circuit board in the unit got fried. As the garage door opener was installed when we moved in it is 16 yrs old. He found the circuit board from another guy as the rest of the unit has been working fine in hopes that it is all that is needed. We have a whole house surge protector on our panel but it just must have happened are the exact time that the door was asked to be opened.

I forgot a third reason he likely isn't employed in his field of study, and it's probably the most significant one: Profound dishonesty. Ethics still matters in many professions. Here's the latest example: He refers to the following document: https://archive.ipcc.ch/pdf/ipcc-principles/ipcc-principles.pdf Notice that this document was prepared in 1998. That is a decade after the IPCC was established. At that time, scientific understanding of contemporary climate change and the predominant role of human activities were far better understood. If one wants to find the IPCC's original purpose, one has to go back to the founding documents. That was UNGA Res. 43-53. Its original mission was not limited to human-induced climate change. It covered climate change in its entirety.

How's Pete's foliage coming along?

Wet, humid summer. Making up for the 8 month drought. When does the next drought start? Seems like its all or nothing the last few years.

aww do you want me to make long posts to entertain you little piggies? haha

Low of 62. Boat day.

White Plains recorded its fourth consecutive low in the 50s. The last time that happened in July was during 2009. At that time, an El Niño was developing. Strong El Niño conditions are already present this year.

CSU MLP guidance favors south of the area for Tuesday. CIPS is not enthused really. NCAR which normally is overly bullish is not terrible but given its normal...is under enthused as well.

Me too. Heard cicadas the same time you did, but they are sparse. Kinda hoping they’ll come out in force.