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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I know this week on tv somebody was worried about the strain on the power grid with these brutal temps this coming week. But hadn't heard anything since. -
SPC has given us a mesoscale disco: Mesoscale Discussion 0041 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0554 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Areas affected...Southern Kentucky...Western and Middle Tennessee...Far Northern Alabama...Far Northern Mississippi Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 241154Z - 241800Z SUMMARY...A mix of wintry precipitation is expected this morning from the Mid-South northeastward into Tennessee and southern Kentucky, where snow, sleet and freezing rain will be possible this morning. DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery across the southeastern U.S. shows a large area of precipitation from Arkansas extending eastward to the southern Appalachians. This precipitation is being supported by strong lift associated with the right entrance region of an expansive mid-level jet, and by ascent due to a 40 to 50 knot low-level jet over the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. The nose of the low-level jet will move east-northeastward across the Mid-South and Tennessee Valley this morning, contributing to the maintenance of widespread precipitation. RAP forecast soundings across the region have a warm nose from 900 to 700 mb, where temperatures are forecast to gradually warm to near 0 C after daybreak this morning. This will result in a wintry mix of precipitation. Snow may continue in parts of southern Kentucky through midday. However, further south into western and middle Tennessee, a transition to sleet and freezing rain will be likely. In far northern Mississippi and far northern Alabama, the predominant precipitation type will be freezing rain. ..Broyles/Mosier.. 01/24/2026
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 638 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Per regional radar...light precip is already approaching the western part of the forecast area. Light snow will be possible in the vicinity of Smokies this morning, with a light dusting possible. Some sprinkles, flurries, and/or light sleet may be seen in the lower elevations of northeast GA and the Upstate as well.
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Up to I-80 where? With 6 hour increments, I don't see mixing anywhere near I-80 except perhaps in New Jersey.
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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!
nw baltimore wx replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
My thermometers say 8 and 7. I’m pretty sure that my forecasted low was 12. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
if you were clear and calm you’d be -35° this morning. -
“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
mahk_webstah replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
I’m on the 12 to 18 train, but your train tends to get to the station while mine typically gently derails. -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Honestly not sure. -
“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
mahk_webstah replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Hey, thanks for your reply. Looks like you might be new to posting here? Welcome. -
Noticed that...with the early arrival would think that cuts totals (but how can base anything off modeling with CAMs this far off except RAP lol). Was suppose to get a break in precip, but line looks pretty continous across southern border
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Especially if it's a random tree that decides to fall at the worst possible time in a remote rural area that repair crews will have trouble getting to -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
moneypitmike replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I think my car had -5 on the way to work the other day. -
Temps range from 1° at the highest spots on my hill, up to 6° down at the bottom on the Croton River 4 miles away. Strange that there's no inversion this morning considering there's no wind. Man, it bugs me going into a storm so cold and knowing it's gonna get warm upstairs. That heavy, ball bearing shit sux to shovel but it's not as bad as an inch of slush under 6" of paste.
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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
nw baltimore wx replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Someone has to pay for the power station in Baltimore peninsula that Plank stepped way from. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pawatch replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I have enough generator to keep me heated. But yeah hope everyone keeps power. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
moneypitmike replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
My ex-wife had a place on the Tug on Brantingham Lake. Lowville was the nearest town to us. -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
From the AFD: "Our hazards issued and latest WSSI from WPC depict this thinking pretty well with lesser winter storm impacts nearly east of the I-75 to 40 to I-81 corridor. A portion of this area doesn`t meet minor impacts, even." Here is the WSSI they mention from the WPC: -
5 degrees here. Everything is going to freeze quickly.
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Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
snowfan replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
The WPC prob look good to me. Most are going to get >= 4”, many have that chance at 6, and the area for 8 has moved to the favored areas. -
“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
SouthCoastMA replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
I've conceded the sleet/rain/slot at this point but I'll be sleeping at that time anyway. going to be an epic 8-10 hr thump beforehand. And we'll see what happens Monday -
Yeah. WTNH mentioned that. Looks like Gil wrote it. Haha Sunday: Very cold with snow developing around 9 am give or take an hour. Steady and heavy snow continuing through the day and into the night. Some thunder-snow also possible! Blowing and drifting snow. There could be a little sleet mixing in SE CT. Highs 15-25. Travel near impossible Sunday evening-overnight!
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Winter cancelled/uncancelled banter 25/26
North and West replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
Oh my god, that’s crazy, what is her name and where is her business located so I can be sure to avoid it . -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
Chris78 replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
I see it's -2 up at Camp David 0 here in Smithsburg
