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  2. AAM has been verifying much more + than CFS ensemble forecasts have been indicating in the relative short term: Today’s (11/27) run has +0.5 to +1.0 late Nov/1st part of Dec: But look at what earlier runs had for the same period: 11/21 run: -0.25 11/19 run: -1 11/16 run: -1.5 11/11 run: -1 to -1.25
  3. The 6z Euro is looking good for Tuesday’s chance, especially back near I-81 to the west & north.
  4. Temp down to 35. After yesterday this feels really cold
  5. A record number of days this year for gusts over 40mph with so many lows racing through the Great Lakes.
  6. Happy Thanksgiving all! Definitely not a torch today.
  7. 0" for me. Sweet. Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
  8. Early estimates seem like a 4-8 or 5-10” type storm lollis to 12
  9. I would hit this hard. 6Z Euro with more to fall
  10. Man here’s hoping. Can we just get one early season for once. I don’t remember the last big early December snow up this way.
  11. We baste today. See what transpires on model runs. Barring anything major, it looks like a good start to MET winter for some coming.
  12. Probably gonna lose a few inches due to melting and compacting here, still a fast start to winter, none the less! Love to see it
  13. Yeah, lead wave plays a pivotal role in sensible outcome. Pointed that out yesterday. Sort of torn on stronger trailing wave as that would likely introduce more warm sit intrusion with retreating high.
  14. Dang, I didn't even look the weenie that I am! You're right!
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