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Possible if something stops flying.. But we must ultimately go-care trip.

If we stay snow till 7pm I can not see LI not getting 10-12inches .

Currently 23.4 degrees. Dew point is 8.

EURO and CMC don’t do it. See if it’s an off run. Plenty of time

Euro 0z ticked north for anyone south

Unless you can’t leave on 2/1…hmmm.

18/-8 here -4/-8 Deep Creek

For the love of god, be right.

A big ole shaft headed straight for Boston

To be honest every model was glorious. None had less than 12 inches. A couple with 20. Let's go for 2 ft in the morning runs...

That Euro run is a thing of beauty for DC. Soundings suggest DC holds on until about 17z Sunday - and about 0.9” QPF has fallen already. LFG

Updayted

Euro is glorious .

Radar versus their latest run. NAM too far north with mix line, RGEM and HRRR too far south

RGEM sees this like I do. If you are in climo favored CAD regions anywhere in NC or extreme upstate SC, not a drop of this falls as rain. I’ve been chuckling at the wishcast posts thinking it will. Look at Texas verification right now, look at the temps diving out of Ohio and that HP. .

AIFS likes Feb. 6. Not too far away for Feb. 1/2 either, but miss verbatim.

Love the 0z trends tonight. Let's see how 12Z holds. How's the radar looking to what models were forecasting as far as snow/sleet line?

even if the euro were to flip in immediate DC metro at 15z Sunday. That's around 8-9" of snow followed by 3" sleet. This is a truly sick run.

Just saw your post but I had been thinking the same thing all day! Planes definitely sounded different to me as well. I’m about 10 miles east of ORD

For sure. But uncle showed less qpf from Luke down through nyc which is what I was referring to. I think the orographic assist should be enhanced if we do Monday properly.

Only -4 for a high this afternoon. Pretty hard around here to get a below zero high temp with zero snow on the ground, but we did it. Pretty impressive. Lowest wind chill hit -38 early this morning.

NAM and RRFS are on their own with the extreme mid level warm air surge. None of the other globals or mesos agree with pushing sleet to the Poconos.

GEFS seem to suck, too.

What do you make of this euro run [mention=2304]psuhoffman[/mention] Wetter / thumpier pre flip?