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I think the homes there are built to handle it.

if I remember correctly - we had a Halloween snow in the NYC area last decade (the Army football game at West Point that day was a winter wonderland - and Central Park was just absolutely filled with downed branches after) - and that led to a winter with virtually no snow.

First 30's this morning...10 days ahead of last year. Looks warm coming up the next few days then off to Sacramento next week to get pretty much the exact same weather.

Low 39, high 72 here. Perfect day.

Thinking the tropical Atlantic wave could be thread worthy tomorrow. Signal for it continues to be robust.

You are 100% correct. The initial January rug pull and the Feb heart breaker kept.us from greatness. If both we like 5"-9" storms then we wouldve been golden.

I would bet on it! Extremely warm Pacific Waters Record Breaking actually, Record Breaking Gul of Mexico Water Temps for September and October all time, and a toasty southwestern Atlantic we are pretty screwed east of the Appalachians warm air flooding in all directions.

87 both yesterday and today at MSP. Temps actually underperformed a bit today versus guidance. Tomorrow is our best shot at an October 90 with blast furnace winds from the south.

Highs: EWR: 75 TEB: 74 New Brnswck: 74 LGA: 72 PHL: 72 TTN: 72 BLM: 72 ISP: 71 NYC: 71 ACY: 70 JFK: 69

I'm craving a good early season coastal storm. Give me 2.5" of wind driven 43 degrees rain Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Still looks fairly close. Both the blend with and without 2007 are decent US temp profile matches for Sept 2025.

Guess so. I dont consider it chilly until at least in the 40s or 50s. This morning was chilly here and 45. 67 is pleasant

Hahaha, I haven't had signatures turned on in like 10 years, I totally forgot I had it

Relative to the 75 degree average high

I kind of have that feeling as well. The old rubber band. October is a notoriously dry month anyway. Think I'm going to make a push to sell all my wood by the end of the month. No sense in loading trucks in the rain.

Well, to be fair, he's right that a warm October doesn't necessarily mean a warm winter in the east. October 2011 was cold, while October 2010, 2013, 2014 were above average. November is more correlated in my understanding.

Look at this place, at least 2 inches snow - Its the Real Mc Coy https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/mccoy-station

I grew up in Italy. It’s a surprisingly big country from a climate perspective. Right now you could be making snow angels in Courmayeur or hanging on the beach in Tropea, so the climate really depends on where you’re going!

I can't compare it to back then, my son and daughter in law have only lived here since '22. They are in a really nice spot right off Main Street so Grapevine is very walkable...thankfully ;-). This is our fourth visit, we like it but the kids are moving back north early next year to be closer to all the family. 85/65 currently but it doesn't feel as bad as it sounds. I know, I sound insane to myself as I type that.

1953 and 1966 have a record that NYC may never match ever again, 4 days of 100+ I used to think 1966 was more impressive, but 1953 has so many records, two straight days of 100+ in two separate heatwaves, NYC's longest heatwave on record (late August into September to boot) and a second very long heatwave to boot back in July when they had their first 2 day stretch of 100+. What 1966 did that only happened two other times (in 1948 and more recently in 1993) was have three straight days of 100+. And those three straight days of 100+ happened at all of our major reporting sites-- including JFK!

wow we've had a dry year this year but it was much drier back then.

Significant dry conditions (widespread negative Palmer Z-Index anomalies). The greens/blues are dry; the yellows/oranges are wet:

Yes. Values are assigned based on their range. One can manually make adjustments.

Yeah, he wasn’t old enough to remember it, but I do. That was the only time we had a few days to play in the snow without it melting. But even that year was only something like 2-3 inches above normal. Even in our warmer, more snowless winters of the past, you could always count on at least a few sustained cold weeks with snow, except maybe on the island. I’m hoping this year might be decent but I won’t be shocked if it hardly snows either.

do you use some sort of spreadsheet program to generate the graphs Don?