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wish it was here https://x.com/Eweather13/status/2099163993369633061

Quite Steamy now 78 / 72

Congrats coastal CT! 1.04” in Syosset & only 0.68” in Muttontown.

Dew of 49?

I think this is the 5th run in a row and 7th overall with a Medi-TC! NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 34.1N 18.4E LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 15.09.2026 36 34.1N 18.4E 1010 32 1200UTC 15.09.2026 48 34.5N 20.8E 1004 41 0000UTC 16.09.2026 60 34.3N 22.6E 1006 39 1200UTC 16.09.2026 72 34.5N 24.9E 1006 30 0000UTC 17.09.2026 84 36.3N 27.9E 1007 29 1200UTC 17.09.2026 96 CEASED TRACKING

We received 4.48" here in Clifton, highest one day total since we had 8"+ during Hurricane Ida in 2021.

Crushed. Micro kids football was fun.

1.2 for Brett already. Just bend over.

We live in the southern mid-Atlantic.

.31", no complaints from me.

Finished up with 2.25" and the sun is starting to come out. Currently 73 with dp 72.

Up to 3.4 at .84 inch an hour rate!

2.05" and still raining Another solid event, 19.28" since July 1st

Glad we missed out on those totals around here.

Looks like the focus for the heaviest rains is bumping northwest a little, favoring the northwest half of Iowa over the next week. Still may get 1"+ down this way but southern edge is trending this way.

Some breaks in the clouds. Rain over. As of 8:00 a.m. had received 1.01". Looks like maybe .30" in the gauge since then, will measure later. Glad the heavy totals stayed east. Doing fine on rain here. Don't need anything excessive.

1.61" - should clear 2" easily, and 3" may be possible

The Drake!

About the exact same here 1.17 glad to have missed the flooding.

3/4” so far. Nice gentle rain, no crazy downpours yet

Skies clearing out up to 75 / 70 here

Deluge continues here. Video doesn’t necessarily do it justice.

That's the interesting thing with the climate warming it might actually mean *less* Atlantic hurricanes forming overall in the future but the ones that do form tend to be a bit stronger than typical. There's still a lot of debate and research into the true overall effects but I do find that interesting to say the least. And yeah I could see some monster storm finding the perfect pocket to form and rapidly intensify in later in the season. But this El Nino is an anomaly all on its own too which is making it even harder to understand what other effects it's having on the atlantic hurricane season overall. We still have months more of warming in the Pacific despite us already surpassing the peak we had in 1997. Just given everything we're seeing I really would not be surprised if this is just how the rest of the season ends up looking with maybe one or two more stragglers forming at the end of September into October. I wouldn't even be surprised if we don't see a single hurricane now and I'm usually very optimistic most seasons.

Probably a dumb question. These are often posted at a time frame thats at the end of a run. How accurate is it vs what we see at the surface at the end of a run weather wise which we all know is like 2%?