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Hoarfrost Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

I don't think the Icon wants to play ball yet.

We throwing the towel in on this one or is there a sliver of hope?

Yay, I got the sleet jack

ICON looks similar to 12z

Go to bed

This-12K NAM pretty much useless at 24 hours- let alone 84 hours.

I'd prefer today's weather over ZR, unless it's drizzle on top of snow that fell, I can't stand ice on roads or walks, just a nuisance... snow, sleet or nothing, just my opinion, I know some like it

More like 2-4"...yikes, take 'em down. Wouldn't that be funny....3 events starting us in the face, end up nothing-advisory event-cirrus.

You are off to a bad start. Why are you posting a short range model 84 hours out ?

Confluence to the NE of Maine and lower heights out ahead is a no bueno.

Looks pretty bad at h5. Focus on that first, surface is practically meaningless this far out.

Hurricane Schwartz a short while ago says we lost this one way south and wont curve fast enough to hit us. Claims there is virtually no model support at all for a high impact storm. All guidance is clustered Hatteras and south with the surface low.

NAM would be pretty significant impact for RT 2 corridor. 4”-6” thump followed by freezing rain:

Yup just one of the models

NAM first up

Compares to the GFS at the same range its much flatter or slower.

It's the long range nam doesn't mean anything yet.

There are going to be some Low CAPE/high shear showers and thunderstorms for N. Illinois to N. Ohio. The SPC has a slight risk of tornadoes for the lower Ohio Valley, which is south of the areas just mentioned. Convection-allowing models vary on coverage and placement of rain showers.

Fridays rain should put a big dent in it

First up NAM end of run.

A bald man in Tolland stirs in his sleep…

Praying for good 0z

Off to a bad start...WB 12K NAM at 7am Sunday is a dud; nothing like the GFS at 18Z.