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I pay $30 a month for WeatherBELL for it not to load.

The main thing we can hope for is the shake-up isn't 6+ weeks, and that whatever happens after that, the Pacific is more favorable going forward. The current pattern is the Ohio Valley dream, and the Central Virginia snow globe, while we get stray flakes and glancing dustings. If Pacific had been a little more cooperative we'd have been clippered to 10+ inches by now.

Looking like Sunday may not be a weather fun day for us.

Totally wrong

Funny how it's literally an I-95 special on the models. Gonna be not so funny when it rug pulls like 6 hours before go time.

I'm pretty loyal to WxBell's UI - especially on mobile - but it does tempt me. Tomer Berg also at this point has almost everything for free so if I was smarter I'd just switch to that.

Forget north/south, it is 95 vs everyone else

Gotta keep an eye on the exact location and timing of phasing that occurs with the vorticity lobe. 12z CMC has it further west/interacts sooner than the 0z run. Pretty big change there, thus more amped/ warmer/norther.

That matches up very well with the report I got from my friend here at work - he is just north of Rt. 6 and I want to say about 8 miles south of Coudersport? Edit: I see that Rt. 6 sort of runs through Coudersport...well, he said he's just north of Rt. 6 but he also said he's in the middle of nowhere...so maybe 8 miles east or west.

True dat

Well he knows better than you!! Lol

The MJO is basically a spread out cluster or clusters if you will. It not being very defined in a single area is making it's effects on the Pattern harder to pinpoint. Forcing is at a wider Area so to speak. If that consolidates into 8 later in the Month , or whatever phase, that typical Phase outcome should become most evident providing Other Driver's don't overpower it, imo.

Switch to wxmodels haha

I’ll take the euro. Will be checking the 500mb vort maps on each model to compare and see what we need to happen upstairs.

Definitely debating an angry email with a threaten to cancel. WxBell is already a premium product with what you can get for free out there. EURO can't keep getting stuck

It's just barely into 6, hopefully it's looping back towards 7,8. The beautiful pass through 8-1 the models had could have been great. It made it there (to 6) a few days ago and models started blowtorching the lower 48 around that time. Which is basically phase 6 in a nutshell in winter. Hopefully Canada doesn't get scoured of cold. The snowpack north of us will likely be gone by Christmas if modeling is correct. I'm ready for a reset anyway, I think winter will make a comeback some time in January, unless we go full 1989-90.

Need to secure the tripod to some heavy stone blocks, that's how my Muttontown station is secured by pool patio.

You've also cherry-picked specific cities, many of which have most of their snow driven primarily by lake effect snow. These apparent trends are also somewhat sensitive to exact start and end dates. For example, for Rochester and Syracuse, if you shift the entire chart about 4-5 years earlier, I'm pretty sure there would be no trend. I was in Buffalo from 1988-1992 (just before the start of your chart) and that was not a snowy period in Western NY and the past 5 years have not been snowy. I'm not saying that there isn't a gradual downtrend, but it's pretty easy to overestimate the pace of the trend by looking at a limited subset of the relevant data

@WVclimo@Bubbler86 @87storms @paxpatriot Saturday night will be a blast watching the radar blow up just east of us

I am going to sue weatherbell....why am im paying this money for a models that are delayed

Love the euro for MBY

Are there specific years in CT where December was wire to wire snowy?

Pivotal not as generous to everyone.

It's been 5 of the past 6 winters with La Nina's I believe. The one strong El Nino was a terrible winter for snow lovers too.