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Nice snowy scene outside even though it’s not stacking.

Yeah, so much for the MJO 6 always warm ideaology. Jan. 77 coldest in modern History. Btw, that was a weak El nono Winter, if that has little if any different affect on the Outcome.

A relatively dry year, 39.57" plus anything that falls later today, 40th driest of 157 years at NYC, and drier than all since 1981 (25th driest 38.11") except for 2001 (11th driest 35.65"), 2012 (28th driest 38.51") and 32nd driest 1985 (38.85").

Seems everything has shifted 10 days later. I have a feeling models will turn colder ay day 10+ by friday.

Yeah, that's valid points Jax. I'm sure you meant Shift though lol.

100%! Had snow this morning in Chincoteague where my wife and I were the last couple of days. Home now where it feels like 26° and the low last night was 18°.

Once you hit NY you get influenced by stuff that doesn’t apply to us. The only time it’s crap for them too is in a 2023 scenario.

Yeah there is a bit of snow for the lower eastern shore verbatim.

HRRR really maintains the snow squall line pretty much all the way through PA overnight. Passage timing is about 130am or so for AOO/UNV/IPT and during the 3am hour for the LSV. Gonna be moving quickly but could put a half inch or so down in spots. Pre squall snowfall really falls off a cliff once east of I-99. West of there and especially up in the Laurels will be a wintry go of it this evening.

I agree.....that is why I'm saving this picture for mid month....

Some runs had us touching 70.

One month of winter already down with nothing to show. Oh well, another ratter...

The vestiges of Winter Storm Ezra wound down this morning, with the storm ultimately delivering 3.2 inches of snow and 1.24 inches of total liquid equivalent here in the valley. Not all of the storm’s precipitation was incorporated into the existing snow in the valleys around here, but it looks like we captured close to 0.5 inches of liquid that bolstered the snowpack. Based on my data collected here in the valley, the storm presumably delivered 1 to 2 inches of liquid equivalent to the local mountains, and the deep snow base there should have captured all of it. That’s a great boost to the snowpack in a quantitative sense, but with all that mixed precipitation, and some of it being freezing rain, it was unquestionably detrimental to the quality of the snow surfaces. As of this morning, Bolton Valley was reporting 5 inches of accumulation from the back side of Winter Storm Ezra, and I’d estimate there was less than ½ inch of liquid equivalent in it, so we’re nowhere near a substantial resurfacing of the slopes yet. We’ve been in that sort of post-mixed precipitation/thaw/refreeze “no man’s land” of waiting for ski conditions to return to something respectable, but with the snow that finished off this morning, it felt like we were hitting the point where it was at least worth heading up for a ski touring workout. And, with another system moving into the area tonight, I definitely wanted to get a sense of where conditions might be tomorrow with the new snow. A definite plus with regard to getting out to the mountain today was that temperatures have made a nice upward move – it was close to 20 F in the Village when I headed out on my tour. My plan was for a quick tour using the Wilderness Uphill Route, since the backcountry isn’t going to be anywhere near ready yet, but groomed, low angle slopes might hold some potential. With the winds that came along on the back side of Winter Storm Ezra, powder depths were typically in the wildly disparate range of 0-6”, with many areas having 1-2”. Those lower end accumulations might be nice over a soft subsurface, but the current subsurface is very hard, so those don’t cut it. I took a quick reconnaissance run through some available trees, and off piste areas are quite a mess with respect to snow quality. Some places are dust on crust where wind blew away all the new snow. Other areas that were protected from the mixed precipitation to some degree have up to 10 inches of softer surface snow, but it’s upside down, with one or more layers of crust in it as well. In general, the off piste terrain was rather dangerous and unpleasant to ski – you could go from dust on crust, to a few inches of powder, to deep surface snow with a semi breakable crust. You never know what kind of snow you might encounter from one turn to the next, and most of it was not good. The bottom lines is that we’ll want to get at least another good inch of liquid equivalent down atop the snowpack to get back to some decent off piste conditions. There was a nice bright side to my tour though, and that was skiing on lower-angle terrain that had seen some grooming. Lower Turnpike came delivered like a champ as usual. There were certainly some unpleasantly firm surfaces in some of the moderate angle spots, but once I got down into the consistently lower-angle areas and found powder areas that had been protected from the wind, there were some excellent turns. I’d say in those lower areas I was getting 50% bottomless turns on 86 mm mid-fat skis, and that was much better than I’d expected. Areas in that vein that have not seen much skier traffic could offer some very good skiing tomorrow with the addition of more powder. Anyway, if you haven’t been out skiing around here over the past couple of days and have been taking care of other things – well done; you’re not really missing out on anything, especially relative to how good the conditions were ahead of Winter Storm Ezra. The fact that I was able to head up in the late morning period during a big day of the holiday week and didn’t have to park down at Timberline suggests that many people are making similar choices. The resort was still reasonably busy though – they were parking folks in the last tier of the main Village lots when I arrived, and I saw two fairly large (5 to 8 people each) groups of skiers ascending the Wilderness Uphill Route during my descent. We’ll have to see what tonight’s storm does, but lower to even moderate-angle terrain could be getting quite good tomorrow depending on how much liquid equivalent is delivered in the snow.

We had this setup Brevard museum shines spotlight on vintage aluminum trees

Maybe another small clipper tomorrow night.

You make a great point. Really is ALL about getting appreciable precip in the region... been a struggle for far too long.

I forwarded your concerns to:[email protected] along with your address. Say goodbye to your mailbox...

I have that to go along with my tree. The Evergleam company called it the Sata-Lite. I'm not a huge fan of the color wheel but keep it for the Vintage aspect. What looks amazing is shooting an LED spotlight up through the base of the tree along the center of the trunk. It reflects through the aluminum and it almost looks like snowfall on the ceiling

Light to moderate snow here. Did start with some light freezing drizzle.

18z GFS is, imo, close to something good. Low more north and cold press is better. Still south of the area but improved over 12z. Just something to watch I guess.

Growing up we had one of those and we had a light with that oscillated 4 colors.

Love me some good old disruption and chaos to ring in 2026!! Cheers!

Ok. Hopefully we can score mid-end of January because that may be our only opportunity all winter, especially if ninas are typically warm in February

The GAAM albeit was still in the COD,it was still positive

Jamestown, New York can receive 18 inches when D.C. receives 0OOOO