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Final standings including the 0.90" of total rain tiebreaker (DCA 0.02", BWI 0.82", IAD 0.04", SBY 0.00", RIC 0.02").

As others have alluded to, the lower dew points yesterday probably led to so much downdraft cape that the damaging winds superseded the heavy rainfall threat. With higher dews today, the HRRR in particular suggests a greater heavy rain threat, although it delays initiation later than several other cams.

Probably ok through 5pm...after that who knows

This is what I was seeing last night as a potential for training t storms overe my area. I saw this similar setup in the 90,s. That's why I am concerned about down trees acting as debris dams in the flooded streambeds 5 + inches of rain will cause this to be a serious problem on major road bridges. Yes the rain is needed but not in 4 to 6 hours. Really. You should all drive around and look all the fallen dead trees in the streambeds now. It's horrific

Just now getting back on the grid, power is still out here. Absurd how fast and hard the wind came in yesterday, widespread damage between Taneytown and Emmittsburg. Can confirm it was worthy of that PDS designation. doing a damage tour with the wife right now, one of our most impressive storms in years with regards to ground truth.

Suprised all is quite here after last nights severe thunderstorms. 35,000 people in Dutchess had no power last night. We have been on generator power since 3 am. Trees down everywhere, hail, lightnight and 70 to 80 MPH winds ripped everything up that wasnt tied down. CoCoRaHS measured 1.60 inches of rain near me but i would say it was twice that amount. I havent seen a storm like this in many years.

Got clocked pretty good yesterday, storms came in right in time to ruin fireworks but picked up a quick .55 for my garden

I’d be very worried , but I’d pretend that I wasn’t on here

On the bright side, I’m saving on my PECO bill today

12k NAM gone wild over Mt Tolland

RRFS and HRRR both say ease way back on widespread massive totals , flood watches etc. . Not saying either are correct , but the convection to the south concerns are real .

How far would you toss the extended HRRR if this were winter?

..Mid-Atlantic... Farther downstream, scattered to widespread heavy rainfall will be focusing along the wavy, east-west orientated frontal boundary draped over the northern Mid-Atlantic states and offshore south of Long Island. Back building/training of slow moving storms capable of hourly rates rates greater than 2 inches/hour will track across eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey this evening. Guidance is signaling areal averages of 3 to 6 inches with local maximums of 8+ possible along this corridor. The latest guidance maintains focus of the highest probabilities for the intense rain rates and higher QPF over central to eastern PA, portions of central to northern NJ, and far northern Maryland. The combination of some terrain areas and the highly urbanized corridor makes this area much more vulnerable to flash flooding. While there remains some spatial uncertainty to exactly where the greatest rainfall will occur, the setup favors locally significant flash flooding with the Moderate Risk over eastern Pennsylvania and north/central New Jersey embedded in the Slight Risk that now spans from northeast Indiana and southeast Michigan (including Detroit) through the Mid- Atlantic Coast from NYC to central Virginia.

Further SE but good luck trying to pinpoint the JP

Now post the HRRR

Both NAMS destroy CT

Think we make it until 6-7pm without rain today? I don't really care too much about fireworks, but our town is having a huge festival all day with food trucks, bands, and a watch party for the Brazil vs Norway game at 4pm. Would be nice to get the fireworks in too...

Hoping today we get under a nice cell. We have missed out all week.

I keep thinking my PWS runs warm with temps. But you hitting 106 makes my 106 seem legit. It’s 3 days in a row where I’ve topped 104. That’s just nuts

Very cloudy here in Brooklyn Temp 80

Somehow I got .23” when most of the good stuff missed

Wait a second. What's your kink? You just like watching rain fall? You don't care about grass burning up and that stuff? I can dig it lol

Very bad storm. We were on the lake celebrating the 4th when it popped up. We had about 10 min left in the trip back to the dock when the cloud to ground lightning started zero metering. Good ol’ pucker up moment.

From CTP Rare Heat at Harrisburg: 3 consecutive days with maxT >= 100F from July 2-4, 2026. The last time this streak occurred was July 1999 (2x) and is only the 6th time on record going back to 1888.