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Here comes more WWBs. I think this is going to be a record-breaking TC season in the PAC….

Very strong wording in the latest D3 for Monday, got the feeling this ends up as a D2 MDT.

Interesting week ahead hmmm

The big rains modeled for today into Sunday have collapsed imby. 1+ inches modeled, now down to less than a 10th. It's brutal trying to break out of a drought. A few years ago it seemed it wouldn't stop raining. Now it won't start.

These models can be real shitty with severe,just like today.Nashville has been telling people for the last few days to not let your guard down today,which the models have been showing with basically wind dmg.We didnt get next to nothing,not even a drop of rain

Wouldnt trust any model right now in our parts,GFS even looks much better tonight,east of the Cymberland,late Monday

Definitely some interesting days ahead. NAM yes the egg nog drunk NAM at its end which is poor resolution paints conditions into the area west/middle TN. Conditions that anything that can take advantage of that environment could be quite rambunctious.

Tor warning through Gilmer. Gilmer is the tornado magnet of ET lately.

Steelers pick Allar in the 3rd round.

IAD 87 afternoon and 61 eight hours later

I'm glad, I'm going to that tomorrow and wasn't looking forward to that forecast

GFS and ECMWF show the "wheel of misfortune" in the cards. Well, we do need the rain. Maybe some big snows NNE?

Excited for this Ravens draft so far. Lane is a nice boundary X with incredible RZ upside given his size. The G from PSU is an absolute beast. I wanted him for weeks since seeing his tape. Oh, and Zion at the edge is a BULL!! Dude can gain leverage and set the edge pretty well. Power rush is a plus. Lacks speed off the edge, so he's limited in that scope, but I like the addition. I hope Mike Green can take the next step. He's the more complete pass rusher between them, but we also have Hendrickson who can teach these guys up.

April temps will take a hit. Jayne’s Hill is an enjoyable hike. My dogs love it

I was comparing our weather(I am in Melville)to New Jersey, not the immediate coast. You make good point about a normal spring here. I’ve grown accustomed to warmer springs. And last week was such a tease weather wise.

66 today.

You keep saying the same thing over and over

Everything has a half inch here from Saturday into early Sunday. Hoping the drier ideas work out.

Yeah, no comment on the 3K Well, that’s a nasty couple of days next week, huh? The thing is that’s been in models for quite some time the first through the third. Solid teleconnector signal too. probably just have to mail that in. Hopefully we can get 2 to 3 inches of basin coverage out of that. I think it gets mild to warm at the end of that week, though. The real green up thrust.

I’m just trolling, but the 3k isn’t always north.

When the NAM is the only Hi res that rains.. you know to toss

There is some logic in expecting the NAM to be north bias without its ongoing performance… Has to do with a negative north Atlantic oscillation particularly on the western limb. With that being the case the forcing is south so the suppression similar to the GFS is probably a better tele connection for that particular index state.

U all ready 2 torch?

Nam is always north of all of the guidance at this range 228th time stated I guess once in a blue moon it’s right, but most of the time it comes south