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A huge wildcard in the forecast. I think we’d all welcome the drought and heat relief it would bring. Google (GOAT) DeepMind is enticing.

.33” last night and not gonna complain a bit. I truly wasn’t expecting it and at least that amount was easy to soak in. I hope more of us can cash in today. We have a huge wildcard lining up in the forecast with tropical development.

Euro AI ensembles and GDM have a modest signal for something weak but you’re right, I haven’t seen anything really on operational runs yet. A very quiet start overall. Even fairly quiet in the EPAC which is surprising to me.

Internet Communication Enforement?

If we are lucky 85-90 inland starts Tuesday.

So we’re back to big heat during the second half of the upcoming week?

I think it’s pretty clear that’s spam. What weather do we have going on in America right now uniting 9,000 international weenies? World Cup travelers finding AmWx as fascinating at air conditioning and Buc-ee’s?

Somethings never change

Yep, kind of sucks with the timing. Already have over 3 inches this week, so was hoping today would be dry. Radar looks robust.

90% of models were wrong with not showing the rain in north jersey today. Kinda a shame. Good thing have no wedding or event today… latest nam has over an inch…not sure about that but we’ll see.. in any case, very happy to be getting some rain. Just thought it was going to stay to our south. Proves why “now cast” is a thing

See? Instead of getting butthurt about a rating do this.

New lemon off SE coast:

0.23" last night

Best chance of heavier showers developing is probably this afternoon into the evening with these weak upper level disturbances moving through and coinciding with peak heating.

The strong and strengthening PMM+ is noteworthy. It will likely have an influence on the upcoming seasons.

Seems similar to the heat last summer where we got close to 100. 850 temps look similar. Thing is the dry conditions might help add a couple degrees.

Great upton decrease the percentage from 70 to 30 and then only cloudy. Now showers and based on radar it seems it will be raining for a while in the city

0Z UKMET has a 1015 mb low hitting Daytona Thu AM moving WNW underneath a very strong H5 high centered over W VA although this is the model run exception rather than the rule. This is too weak to make it to actual TD status although it’s its first run with anything of note.

Mr. weenie all posts is gonna die on this ant hill

Time to get back to summer wx. Every day June 16-26 was BN, though modestly - the period was only 2.9° BN. The previous 7 days were 8.9° AN so the 18-day period was +1.7. Month's precip up to 5.35", first 5"+ since May of last year.

the euro has a cold 2m temp bias in winter but they never talk about that

Starting a few minutes ago everything has been locked behind a login screen.

We know the op runs are overdoing it at range, but the AI and Ensemble runs do support near 100. Temps at DCA at 2pm 7/2 through 7/4 AIFS - 99/100/97 AIGFS - 99/101/93 EPS - 101/102/99 GEFS - 102/100/95 CMCE - 102/102/94

Idk about all that but clearly the super Nino is not fully in charge of our weather. We're getting a lot of Nina influences which makes forecasting winter very challenging.