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winter_warlock started following Boxing Day Ice Ice Baby!
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Never was a snow event. More about ice with this one
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White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Looks great guys. Enjoy it. -
It sucks that all of New England cant enjoy a white Christmas like years past.
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Winter 2025-2026 Offers Return to Normalcy
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
First Call For Weekend Snows Major Accumulations "Blocked" From Region Latter November Stratospheric Warming Impacts On The Forecast The time has come for an Eastern Mass Weather mea culpa of sorts as it pertains to the stratospheric warming this past November. The winter outlook published during the early portion of November referenced the early December 2000 analog in postulating that this warming would not result in a reversal of the 850 zonal winds across the arctic. It was also (incorrectly) asserted on December 16th that this event did in fact barely fall short of the reversal criteria. This was an honest mistake, as it has been brought to my attention by the very meticulous Larry of the Americanwx.com forum, that there was barely a marginal reversal on November 28th. This is in more in line with the December 4th, 1981 warming that was cited as a potential alternative scenario that would in fact yield a full reversal. Ultimately, while the warming episode in-and-of-itself was relatively well forecast using the 1981 and 2000 analogs, the ramifications of it were certainly understated in that high latitude blocking was not expected to materialize prior to the new year, following the mid-month relaxation. However, it is now clear that this will be incorrect given that NAO blocking has rapidly burgeoned into existence on modeling in the period centered around the holiday week. This is approximately 30 days after the 11/28 reversal and consistent with the time lag of the development of high latitude blocking following a reversal per research, and this will have major ramifications on the potential weekend storm. Synoptic Evolution Yields North Atlantic "Traffic Jam" The emergence of the north Atlantic block this Christmas, on the eastern side of the NAO domain in response to the previously referenced stratospheric warming late last month, is what sets in atmospheric "traffic jam" of sorts. Normally, high latitude blocking helps to facilitate snow storms for the area, but in this instance the opposite is actually the case. Northern stream energy dumping into the Maritimes pools underneath the developing block once off of the coast and amplifies. At the same time, the energy for the weekend potential ejects out of the Pacific trough careens east-north-east over the top of the central US ridge and on a collision course with the Great Lakes by Boxing Day. The lead wave has developed into a deep, closed 500mb low near the 50/50 position by this time and is largely impeded from exiting to the NE by the nascent block to the southeast of Greenland. This results in yet another zone of confluent flow over New England since this system can not "get out of the way", so to speak, which shears and redirects the weekend system to the southeast as it approaches the region after descending from the peak of the ridge. This should relegate any significant snowfall to the southwestern quadrant of southern New England, primarily impacting portions of the state of Connecticut. FIRST CALL: Final Call will be Thursday night or Friday. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
ORH_wxman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
If the northern side of the band currently hitting me gets you, it’ll be worth another snow walk. Nuking in this band. Enjoy the little victories. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
weathafella replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I just walked for the past 90 minutes. Came down heavily with huge flakes. Petering out now though a little burst may come in the next 20-30 minutes. Hopefully there’s another snow walk soon. Enjoy it Mainers! -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
ORH_wxman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Solid event. Locks in white Christmas. We’re pushing about half that here, but it just might be enough. Esp with CAA during the afternoon. We’ll see. Still trying to add a little more...still ripping outside. -
Reggie doesn't look bad.. gives atleast some snow to all of SNE
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/12/first-call-for-weekend-snows.html FIRST CALL: Final Call will be Thursday night or Friday. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Reggie clobbers NYC South -
Snow Potential Dec 26-27
WestBabylonWeather replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Alright, no more pivoting please -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Icon has shifted the heaviest axis of precipitation over 100 miles SW since this morning. If that doesn’t stop, nobody is going to score -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
HoarfrostHubb replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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NYC goes to sleet at the end after a thump .
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I was never expecting snow from this. It’s sleet and zr
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You guys take this one, I’ll save my tracking hours for the anti-Webb pattern coming up after NY.
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White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
HoarfrostHubb replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I was pretty concerned when it hadn’t even started before 3PM or so. but this is nice. I wish everyone got it. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
ORH_wxman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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Time to put a fork in this one for snow. Gfs is on an island by itself with any chance. Rgem looks like a light qpf event as well.
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add the Canadians. Time to tank.
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Nam is the Nam so who cares lol
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Rgem came north. Lots of mixing. LI stays all snow
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Love the surprises when they happen.
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Should be a fresh cold airmass
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White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
HoarfrostHubb replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
3”! Overperformer here. very pasty
