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Greg Fishel didn't seem too concerned about it for the Triangle in the video he posted earlier on Facebook.

Icon looked a bit flatter

I'm not buying freezing rain vs snow, theres going to be a lot of sleet in between.

Yeah that’s good for a few hours of fun.

The 21z RAP was insane from the west side of tne eastern valley, and back into the midstate. It looked like the crazy Canadian run from a day or so ago.

No 0z for that yet (at least that I have access to). Last was 18z.

We can’t get greedy!

Hey that’s not from me.

Icon slightly better. Need the rgem to hold

About 4" in Warminster fwiw

Ripping, except projectile vomiting in the I-84 corridor.

Dude, I get and understand your dread. I've always felt like folks who root for the better part of an inch of ice on every coated surface hasn't actually lived through that...or its consequences. (I have, in both PA and VA over the past several decades and while ice is pretty, it's absolutely destructive.) I would be very interested to hear your live obs throughout the storm, either here or in an obs thread or a banter thread...and I'll pray for y'all up there. Ice SUCKS.

I mean 8-12 inches is def still a lot of snow, no doubt. I'm thinking closer to 6-10 for CNJ/NYC at this point, 1010 wins actually calling for only 4-8 while NWS is calling for 10-14 so everything all over the place. I guess i overreacted because every model run all week has been 6+ for NYC metro and now the NAM is showing under 6 inches at the last moment.

You are not that young. Don’t you remember 94?

Yeah, I've noticed he's been the least concerned of all of the other mets in the area this week.

I feel this is a bit misleading as well. The fast majority of SWVA is under the moderate impact, I read this chart and think "no big deal" slick roads for a bit and probably few power outages.

I remember there being enough sleet packed into the ground that my car was stuck into a glacier for three days. Then my landlord sent his dumbass sons to my apartment parking lot to free cars from the ice by using 2x4s and my left rear sent a wooden plank into an idiots ankle. I probably told that story on your Wunderground blog lol.

I want to be so wrong, that people look at me and go, "Man, isn't that that guy who was really wrong and sucks at forecasting? Don't even look his way, you might catch the Wrong..."

Down to 10 degrees already here.

I’m not sure if you’re responding to me or the general vibe. But I agree with you.

Exactly!

Thoughts about freezing rain? Probably too soon, but some CAM soundings are showing a warm nose down to 900mb at the bottom DC and SE. i’m hoping that doesn’t creep north because of the risk of power outages, and difficulty of crews getting to fix them due to the preceding snow/sleet accums. As for as mby, I’m on the dark blue line or just underneath. When I’m on the line I like to mentally split the difference, as in 6-10” max 12”. Which was what I had in mind as far as my own forecast goes. EDIT: Saw your reply to Snowen, that answers my question.

We got a good 1/4" dust up. Winds are going and 13 f heading to something below zero.

we had several inches of sleet from PD2 in Charlottesville. It definitely did not melt for a while.