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Good start to 12Z.

Nah, They can go up instead of going back, Going back is not a good look.

Sleet is considered snow. If you ever look in any nws adv or warning it says expected snow and sleet accumulations as a whole

Half the public still thinks we are getting a snow storm locally...

I don't think I'll need to!

Most models going sleet to freezing rain Euro 0.30-0.40” liquid at 24-27f in Se Pa is very concerning power outages. my hope we shove the cold south at 12z keeping all layers cold enough for snow and sleet the alternative of Frz Rain is bad news with the pattern behind the storm. I am going 8-12” with 1-2” of sleet to 0.32” Frz for Central Delaware County. See what 12z does it would be very bad to switch to liquid with this scenario my number one concern snow sleet you can deal with.

Correct, my bad

12Z NAM running…. .

Did you not see the 10 inches the panhandle got last winter?

way way way over hyped - maybe because we've been so snow starved. I'm no met but I love to observe and learn. Seen these threads so many times and you have to stay grounded. Consensus points to a snow-to-change "fair to middling" storm for the city that we've seen play out many a time, certainly sounds like nothing exceptional or historic

Looked primed to dump some snow!

I am not impressed! The city might now go below 10 during the entire stretch.

Yes the LV has been burned many times Duncan892 with warm nose intrusions, but that is to be expected in the LV, but not this time. The Quebec high is too strong. The sleet line will be around th eMid Montgomery Bucks lines on the other side of the S mtn range. If we do get any ice, it will be sleet mixed in with the heavier bands of snow or freezing drizzle. This only comes with experience with doing this for 40+ years and seeing every historical pounding snowstorm the LV has received since 1983 most infamous dumping where we got 5" inches in one hour and ended up with 23 inches.

They should change the map title to 'expected snowfall and sleetfall' (is that even a word?)

thats why its a good idea to remove the snow from driveways and sidewalks before the sleet causes an issue - and it will be easier to do because this will be falling when most are awake

@weatherwiz do any of these work for you? I forgot this guy’s page even existed https://www.wxcaster.com/isentropic.htm

The 12z long-range HRRR is a thing of beauty. Would pay big bucks for this to verify, unlikely as that is

WB HRRR at range 7am Sunday

I believe this is meant to depict freezing rain ETA: ninja’d

1/23 06z musing Total snow / sleet Using 10:1 SREF NAM: RGEM: ICON: GFS: Euro AI AIFS: Euro was 7.1

No that is freezing rain

I lived in Austin for a year. Its like anywhere else, it can get cold but wait a few days and it's back to normal. I would never live anywhere further north in texas.

No, this is the sleet

HRRR at hour 48