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You should have used a different finger.

they might want to do another check on observations (radar, satellite, surface obs), because it is definitely over north of us24.

When you enter this part of town in Mechanicsburg, they literally have a plaque that says you are entering the homes of the Upper Class. They put it up in 2020 when everybody else was struggling. In the twenty years, i've been working at this home I've never even seen it used. I've been trying to get them to fork me out some money for some upper class lawn care but apparently, a new Maserati comes out every month.

IWX obviously isn't bailing due to the south trend, mainly because of their thought that we are still in the game south of 30 with the warm front, as you alluded to earlier. From discussions, I got the idea that they aren't very happy with SPC's demoting us to slight, but of course they won't come out and say it, hence their post.

And? Your point? You’re another one of the snow and cold obsessed weenie assholes I’m going to throughly enjoy watching squirm this winter. It’s going to be 7th Heaven trolling you and the others all winter long. A dream come true. Can’t wait to see your tears. Have a beautiful day

1986...40th anniversary this year. Remember like yesterday. They came back from a commercial and Geraldo was like, we found a bottle...good night thanks for watching. Anticlimactic in every sense of the word. Drought guy lurking. How about this drought?

92 stl 60 pia is just so wild to stare at in late June.

78F/DP 63F Radar looks bleak...couple scattered showers.

On the SPC surface map its 992mb as its been for 4 hours now, currently in SE MN. The Euro had it at 989mb at this time. It'll deepen more overnight near me to 988 so I'm going from 1005 to 989 in 12 hours which of course I've never seen for June here.

Is the Cliff Diving thread only for lack of snow? Or any lack of precip? UPDATED below!

Unfortunately unable to chase tomorrow.

This looks like a classic pike north severe event . I’d head to ORH if I were you

Kind of a bummer how this played out locally after much of the forecasting had IKK pretty comfortably in the warm sector.

From 10 percent double-hatched to two percent.

pepperidge farm remembers

Storm West of Bloomington IL is trying.

Looks like things are about to kick off.

mesos are definitely becoming a bit more intriguing with tomorrow

A few days ago there were model forecasts of record low barometric pressures for the month of June out of the current system. Anyone know if that is verifying?

Chase plans cancelled due to clear southward shifts in supercell tornado risk coupled with a brutal week at work. Tornadoes miss southern Wisconsin/IL north of 88 to the north in April and to the south in June? Go figure.

Hodos are long and curved. Kevin approved.

we've got to get some supercells quickly now in IL

Bingo. Looks like a complete bust in all honesty, the whole area of clearing is already filling in with convection. I’ve seen the subway less packed than IL/MO

SOI Dashboard Latest Southern Oscillation Index values SOI values for 16 Jun, 2026 Average SOI for last 30 days -20.85 Average SOI for last 90 days -12.51 Daily contribution to SOI calculation -3.30 Monthly average SOI values Mar 7.59 Apr -9.88 May -13.22 30 day Av. SOI 90 day Av. SOI Daily contribution Date Tahiti (hPa) Darwin (hPa) Daily Contribution 30 day Av. SOI 90 day Av. SOI 16 Jun 2026 1015.72 1014.90 -3.30 -20.85 -12.51 15 Jun 2026 1014.15 1014.70 -12.93 -21.65 -12.43 14 Jun 2026 1012.95 1015.20 -24.88 -21.99 -12.27 13 Jun 2026 1013.31 1016.35 -30.44 -21.77 -12.05 12 Jun 2026 1013.95 1016.80 -29.10 -21.27 -11.81 11 Jun 2026 1015.79 1016.65 -15.11 -20.72 -11.37 10 Jun 2026 1015.93 1015.45 -5.69 -20.61 -10.91 9 Jun 2026 1014.09 1014.60 -12.65 -20.73 -10.58 8 Jun 2026 1014.36 1016.70 -25.52 -20.24 -10.22 7 Jun 2026 1014.05 1017.70 -34.73 -19.19 -9.71 6 Jun 2026 1013.94 1016.55 -27.42 -18.06 -9.05 5 Jun 2026 1012.20 1015.15 -29.81 -17.33 -8.44 4 Jun 2026 1010.52 1014.25 -35.29 -16.43 -7.77 3 Jun 2026 1010.14 1013.80 -34.80 -15.47 -7.10 2 Jun 2026 1012.48 1015.05 -27.13 -14.79 -6.56 1 Jun 2026 1013.74 1014.85 -16.87 -

Some changes as we move towards the third week of June.