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kind of reminds me of latter November 1992.

Quite possible with a La Nina but there are other factors to consider.

6 to 12 Wed above 2500?

Violence incoming for Nick in YYT. Let’s get more of these this winter.

February 2010 That was the GOAT storm here in the lowlands. I had 33" otg after that beast.

Looking quite interesting tomorrow evening/overnight

been up since 2:11 am. Coulda used this last night.

ISP got skunked a couple times last winter where the north shore was still able to do okay. I ended up with just over 19” with the help of those marginal events. Usually MBY does close or as well as coastal CT.

Oh, my bad. I thought you meant in general.

gfs still selling, others not far off gonna be a raw one either way, especially lakeside

Bump. I was thinking about this old thread today. IMBY I'd add 1/6/2025 to the list for sure- I'd even put it above HECS 2016, despite having several inches less in the end.

Hopefully NYC can get the 4” in Dec that normally translates to a good Nina winter. If under 4” the winter will almost certainly be a bust. We need to take advantage of the early winter window Nina often provides to get on the board.

A little mixed precip here

I think he was referring to Eric's analogs. I might be wrong, though.

I didn't see it referenced as an analog, could it be?

what I thought was interesting about last night was the smell of higher DP air that raced in just ahead of that activity. It was dark, but the scud above were vaguely lit by the cityscape beneath enough to discern they were tilting NW to SE as they skirted along a WSW trajectory - a physical observation consistent with positive helicity. The temps were mild for the time of the year, completing the setting. I remember thinking in the moment how unusual those tandem observations were for November ... Didn't think much of it again until pea-sized hail and rain sheets pushed around by a big woosh of wind swept through a couple of hours later.

Why???

Yeah, 2000 was the best of the "recent" analogs. Solid above average snowfall winter.

Happy Election Day to all who hopefully celebrate by voting! It should be a great weather day but a bit breezier than yesterday. Temperatures this afternoon should be close to normal for early November. Tomorrow will be the warmest day of the week with temperatures into the mid 60's for most spots. We turn chillier on Thursday and Friday with rain by Friday night. We still look to turn much colder than normal by the start of the new work week with temperatures struggling to reach the mid 40's for highs on Monday.

Happy Election Day to all who hopefully celebrate by voting! It should be a great weather day but a bit breezier than yesterday. Temperatures this afternoon should be close to normal for early November. Tomorrow will be the warmest day of the week with temperatures into the mid 60's for most spots. We turn chillier on Thursday and Friday with rain by Friday night. We still look to turn much colder than normal by the start of the new work week with temperatures struggling to reach the mid 40's for highs on Monday.

Although not an analog, 2017/2018 would be the ideal scenario for a fast start winter. Cashing in on the early winter opportunities, followed by a late season STRONG blocking episode.

You need to forget those mets and follow JI's wintery mix lol. Most accurate page on the internet. No hype at all lol

December 2021 had that big MJO 6-7 standing wave with drove the strong -PNA and the +13 around DFW. The most impressive 500 mb high latitude blocks over the last decade have been over the Kara and Barents seas areas. Could be some degree of feedback with the record low Arctic sea ice in that area.

I don't blame any TV or social media met for going average/above average in temps for winter. Since 2016, we've been stuck in a long term cycle of above normal temps during winter. Last year was the first real exception.