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00z Euro trending drier on the NW fringes. Precip shield is shrinking. My guess is from the cold.

I’d be shocked if you don’t easily surpass that cutoff this weekend. All those places north of Baltimore will be getting what is long overdue. At least 6-10”.

yeah if I recall during the epic run that Boston had in 2015, they were putting snow in Fenway. Was actually an issue as baseball season was getting started, because there was snow still there.

It’s significantly wetter for DC

Dr no>dr u

NWS Pittsburgh just upgraded their watches to warnings. I’d expect LWX to be next.

Maybe not wetter for Western areas, but DC and South Central MD are significantly wetter.

Happy to be convinced otherwise, but while I've seen storms trend consistently north, and less frequently storms trend consistently south, have we seen many storms trend consistently in one direction in all the major models 96-72 hours out, then suddenly and significantly reverse course? I assume that we don't see that much because as we get closer and closer to the event, the more likely the models are to be accurate?

I’ll be honest, I’ve kind of forgotten what anything more than 4ish inches of snow looks like because it’s been so long. I keep saying 6 inches is my psychological cutoff, but maybe I am going to little.

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO NOON EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 10 and 14 inches. * WHERE...Portions of east central Ohio, northwest, southwest, and western Pennsylvania, and northern and the northern panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...From 7 PM Saturday to noon EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary.

Just popped up WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 3 and 8 inches and ice accumulations between two tenths and four tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of southwest Virginia and southeast and southern West Virginia. * WHEN...From 7 AM Saturday to 7 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute.

In no way was this a hold for DC. Significant shift toward a snowier solution. The models could be underestimating the CAD signature which was at least common historically. Not sure about now.

Boston also salts heavily, although recently we've probably rationed our supply better (also there hasn't been much winter precip) since 2015 when we nearly ran out of salt and sand. If you've ever driven up to where 95 meets 128, you'll see one of the massive salt warehouses.

The trend hasnt been our friend for the last day.

Illegal to dump directly into a river, during large historic snowfalls, staging areas are set up for snow stock piling and then generally a snow melter is brought in if they run out of room. Lot 7 at RFK stadium was the dump site in 2016 I believe

A hold? It's noticeably more snow south and east - and it looks a lot like (you ready for this?) the GFS at this point.

The forecast is 22 degrees Saturday night then 40 degrees on Sunday. There is no way that happens if it is Snow/Sleet at 22.

They mentioned they may need to shave off 3 to 6 from their forecast

In the DMV area, public works trucks probably salt on average 15 to 20 times a year, while plowing only a handful, so in order to keep roads passable and reduce risk of collisions, salt/brine is a necessary evil. NYC salts as well, probably more than the DMV. They also rely heavily on pre treatment with brine to reduce adhesion of ice

00z 18z

I won't, but so tempted to book a flight for tomorrow to spend the weekend in BOS for this one.

There is a nasty cold signal in the wake of this storm. Particularly low temps. With a fresh snowpack and another plunge in 850s that may have some legs.

yeah I can only imagine - I hope they don't put the plowed snow in there

8” is a big psychological cutoff for many. For a lot of people, the line between a moderate snow event and a major snowstorm is right around 8” or so. When you get close to double digits then it starts to look like what many would call a MECS. And I don’t just mean the number, but also the look of the snowpack.