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  2. Never was a snow event. More about ice with this one
  3. It sucks that all of New England cant enjoy a white Christmas like years past.
  4. First Call For Weekend Snows Major Accumulations "Blocked" From Region Latter November Stratospheric Warming Impacts On The Forecast The time has come for an Eastern Mass Weather mea culpa of sorts as it pertains to the stratospheric warming this past November. The winter outlook published during the early portion of November referenced the early December 2000 analog in postulating that this warming would not result in a reversal of the 850 zonal winds across the arctic. It was also (incorrectly) asserted on December 16th that this event did in fact barely fall short of the reversal criteria. This was an honest mistake, as it has been brought to my attention by the very meticulous Larry of the Americanwx.com forum, that there was barely a marginal reversal on November 28th. This is in more in line with the December 4th, 1981 warming that was cited as a potential alternative scenario that would in fact yield a full reversal. Ultimately, while the warming episode in-and-of-itself was relatively well forecast using the 1981 and 2000 analogs, the ramifications of it were certainly understated in that high latitude blocking was not expected to materialize prior to the new year, following the mid-month relaxation. However, it is now clear that this will be incorrect given that NAO blocking has rapidly burgeoned into existence on modeling in the period centered around the holiday week. This is approximately 30 days after the 11/28 reversal and consistent with the time lag of the development of high latitude blocking following a reversal per research, and this will have major ramifications on the potential weekend storm. Synoptic Evolution Yields North Atlantic "Traffic Jam" The emergence of the north Atlantic block this Christmas, on the eastern side of the NAO domain in response to the previously referenced stratospheric warming late last month, is what sets in atmospheric "traffic jam" of sorts. Normally, high latitude blocking helps to facilitate snow storms for the area, but in this instance the opposite is actually the case. Northern stream energy dumping into the Maritimes pools underneath the developing block once off of the coast and amplifies. At the same time, the energy for the weekend potential ejects out of the Pacific trough careens east-north-east over the top of the central US ridge and on a collision course with the Great Lakes by Boxing Day. The lead wave has developed into a deep, closed 500mb low near the 50/50 position by this time and is largely impeded from exiting to the NE by the nascent block to the southeast of Greenland. This results in yet another zone of confluent flow over New England since this system can not "get out of the way", so to speak, which shears and redirects the weekend system to the southeast as it approaches the region after descending from the peak of the ridge. This should relegate any significant snowfall to the southwestern quadrant of southern New England, primarily impacting portions of the state of Connecticut. FIRST CALL: Final Call will be Thursday night or Friday.
  5. If the northern side of the band currently hitting me gets you, it’ll be worth another snow walk. Nuking in this band. Enjoy the little victories.
  6. I just walked for the past 90 minutes. Came down heavily with huge flakes. Petering out now though a little burst may come in the next 20-30 minutes. Hopefully there’s another snow walk soon. Enjoy it Mainers!
  7. Solid event. Locks in white Christmas. We’re pushing about half that here, but it just might be enough. Esp with CAA during the afternoon. We’ll see. Still trying to add a little more...still ripping outside.
  8. Reggie doesn't look bad.. gives atleast some snow to all of SNE
  9. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/12/first-call-for-weekend-snows.html FIRST CALL: Final Call will be Thursday night or Friday.
  10. Icon has shifted the heaviest axis of precipitation over 100 miles SW since this morning. If that doesn’t stop, nobody is going to score
  11. NYC goes to sleet at the end after a thump .
  12. I was never expecting snow from this. It’s sleet and zr
  13. You guys take this one, I’ll save my tracking hours for the anti-Webb pattern coming up after NY.
  14. I was pretty concerned when it hadn’t even started before 3PM or so. but this is nice. I wish everyone got it.
  15. Nuking in this band right now. Piling up quick. Too bad it’s not gonna last too much longer.
  16. Time to put a fork in this one for snow. Gfs is on an island by itself with any chance. Rgem looks like a light qpf event as well.
  17. Nam is the Nam so who cares lol
  18. Rgem came north. Lots of mixing. LI stays all snow
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