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Just over half an inch here. Looks like almost another half inch to come. Hopefully.

Records: Highs: EWR: 95 (2021) NYC: 99 (1925) LGA: 94 (2021) JFK: 90 (2010) Lows: EWR: 48 (1947) NYC: 47 (1945) LGA: 49 (1945) JFK: 50 (2023) Historical: 1805: A group of tornadoes tracked from southeast Missouri across the southern third of Illinois, and may also have moved into Indiana. These moved across the Mississippi River about 20 miles downstream from St. Louis, MO. Fish were reportedly "scattered all over the prairie" on the Illinois side of the river. Some pine tree tops, not native to that area of Illinois, were believed to have been blown in from at least 50 miles away. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1859 - Frost was reported from Iowa to New England. The temperature dipped to 25 degrees in New York State, and up to two inches of snow blanketed Ohio. The cold and snow damaged the wheat crop. (David Ludlum) 1908 - Helena MT was deluged with 3.67 inches of rain to establish their all-time 24 hour rainfall record. (4th-5th) (The Weather Channel) 1916 - A tornado struck the town of Warren AR killing 83 persons. There were 125 deaths that day in a tornado outbreak across Missouri and Arkansas. (David Ludlum) 1917 - Residents near Topeka KS reported disk-shaped hailstones six to ten inches in diameter, and two to three inches thick. The hailstorm was accompanied by a tornado. (The Weather Channel) 1925: Earliest 100° in Washington, DC. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA) 1945: Unusually cold air moved in to parts of the upper Midwest. Chicago, IL dropped to 37° after setting a record low the previous morning with 35° while Rockford, IL dropped to 35° on both mornings. Both 35 degree readings established June record lows. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1987 - International Falls, MN, dipped to a record low reading of 34 degrees during the morning. Williston, ND, and Glasgow, MT, reported record warm afternoon highs of 94 degrees. Major flooding was reported along the Guadelupe River in South Texas, with the water level at Cuero reaching 18 feet above flood stage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Twenty cities in the south central and eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Asheville NC with a reading of 40 degrees. Fifteen cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 108 degrees at Glasgow MT was a record for June. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Lower Mississippi Valley to the Southern Atlantic Coast during the day and into the night. Four tornadoes were reported, and there were 87 reports of large hail and damaging winds. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1995: The Hurricane name was not retired in 1995 thus a different Hurricane Allison is named as the 2001 Hurricane Allison below. Hurricane Allison became the earliest hurricane on record to cross the Florida coast at when it came ashore in Taylor County at Apalachee Bay with 75 mph winds. Hurricane Allison crossed the coast near Alligator Point in the Florida Big Bend area at 0900z on the 5th. At landfall, maximum sustained winds were 69 mph with a minimum central pressure of 990 millibars. Maximum rainfall amounts were between 4 and 6 inches. Storm surge heights were estimated at 6 to 8 feet from Dixie through Wakulla counties. Total storm damage in Florida was estimated at $860,000 dollars. The 1995 Atlantic Hurricane Season went down in the record books as one of the busiest hurricane seasons since 1871. There were a total of 19 named storms, 11 of which reached hurricanes. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1998: An F1 tornado touched down near the town of New Hope, MS creating a path one mile long and 50 yards wide. 13 houses had major damage and another 129 homes had minor damage. 22 mobile homes were either damaged or destroyed. Damages were estimated near $250,000 dollars. Another F1 tornado created a path two miles long and 50 yards wide 10 miles southeast of Hattiesburg, MS. 45 people were injured and two people were killed. The two fatalities were both in automobiles which ran into falling trees or the trees fell on them. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2002: The Wye Oak, estimated to be 460 years old, was toppled by a severe thunderstorm with winds greater than 60 mph. The tree was located at Wye Mills, MD and was over 100 feet tall and had a 31 foot circumference.

Drought busted

75 / 54 and getting hot. 90 - 95 in the warmest spots today and tomorrow, Saturday only caveat is more clouds TBD could keep temps a bit below forecast. Sunday a bit cooler with onshore-ish flow. The spots topped at 89 yesterday outside of Phlly, so heatwave 2 will need to see an overperforming Sunday otherwise its 2 days of 90s. Warm back up but still a tendency for weakness/cut offs under the ridge next week before warm-hot flow overall warmer by Thu and beyond with ridge in the coasts.

Euro seasonal only goes out thru December, but looks pretty similar to Cfs2 vs Cansips weather-wise. Very wet along the east coast. I'll take it with my inland location at 600'asl.

a few cooler days after Saturday than the heat returns according to NOAA CPC

@LakePaste25 @donsutherland1 Not only does it show the strongest El Niño in history, it shows it being severely east-based/East Pacific like 1997 was. And it looks like a new downwelling Kelvin wave has begun to form in response to the big WWB we are seeing:

Yup. The temperature inversion was evident on the nighttime low temp map on the mesonet. Baltimore City already up to 77 degrees at 8am.

The latest June update from the ECMWF has the ONI plumes Nino 3.4 average around +3.6 and the RONI near +3.0.

Yes but I’m getting a little anxiety knowing the sunrises start getting later in 10 days and we’re just now getting sustained warmth.

Picked up 0.02" early this morning.

Local CT met didn’t seem too impressed with this set…

Whittling away at

The whole tone and tenor of the board has changed now. Folks going from upset , complaining, angry to happy , with extra jump and pep in steps. Amazing how deep summer setting in changes and super charges everyone

Yeah, step-by-step we are getting into summer now. Everyone rejoice!

Next week looks hot after Monday. Tuesday won’t be scorching but it’s getting there

Definitely been quite substantial MCS activity the past 2 weeks before May ended. With a good amount of power outage-causing CG lightning (even structural lightning fire & damage reports also). Along with severe wind and flood reports at least over the southern part of state. With all the steep ML lapse rates (over -8) that were definitely in place, there were even a few very powerful + CG lightning strikes. And the most powerful + strike (400 kiloamps), I've ever seen on lightning strike data that must've sounded like a hydrogen bomb even 40 miles away. - - - - - S/SETX has gotten the most rainfall with over 10 inches now in the past 30 days. With some spots over a foot in the Coastal Bend region.

Code orange air quality alert here today

The super El Niño warmth has traditionally began later in the summer and persisted into the following summer. So this year we are getting off to an early start with the warmth. Even against the warmest 1991-2020 means, the ensembles have the usual warm spots close to +7 to +10 over the next 10 days. Since normal highs this time of year are only in the upper 70s to around 80° next week.

Some signs of life in the long range as tropical moisturizer potentially heads our way

48 degrees this morning. More clouds

I actually think the risk could extend right to the coast, but they’re probably going with typical climo.