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I'm glad tomorrow is only rain because it will be a real nailbiter between some places getting anywhere from a quarter inch to over an inch with areas to the south getting 1 to 2" and a very sharp cutoff

Sorry to hear about your mom. I will be praying for her to get well.

Helluva a look for the southeast as well. I mean it won’t be as wild as 7 inches in Pensacola while we basked in NW flow but still.

That's like saying the Atacama is in a drought. We

12z Euro is a No. Rain. To warm.

Cold weather, cold shoulder - same thing right?

You get it. That should be the main takeaway.

I feel likes it's spring because i experienced 100" of snow last week and temps in the single digits on the Tug Hill. My brain thinks it's spring now lol

Definitely not getting my hopes up to much. Will stay cautious but excited lol. Let's see what the Euro has.

Rain in southern CT, frozen in New Orleans. Seems spot on to me.

Makes sense.

So what you are saying is that there is a storm during this timeframe?

Thanks boo

In true Dr. No fashion.

Well. We need rain lol

Rides right along and inside the coast. Rain all up the east coast

it's rain, lol

Like you, I expect that a shift in ENSO should break the drought/persistent dryness.

Doing the skipping panels thing again, lol. Something's about to happen..but its kinda warm. EDIT. yeah, it's warm...

You already past the 15th/16th? Thought h5 looked a bit interesting but wasn't gonna venture a public guess of what the surface looked like just got to it - no dice

That first system is around 138hrs. Finally got something in the 5-6 day window.

Euro looking interesting for the Cape Time storm

I want to say I saw this in an Eric Webb X post that he did a week-ish ago. He mentioned 2014 and -EPO/+TNH and how it's a pattern that's hard to predict, probably excavated it from the back of my mind.

Upslope potential looks high late next week for you guys. Could be a warning variety combined with the upper level energy.

The ECM-AI is another model that looks worse than 6z. Even as early as 5 days out, it's clear aloft that Thurs. will be a miss. There is still time, but synoptic details and trends do matter at this time range.