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Models picked up on this storm many days out. I wonder which was the first and/or most accurate model to sniff this out?

Models had it pegged that it would be flat overnight as the overall airmass moderated. My 14.2 low was at 12:39am.

The sequence this December has summed up my climo since 2018....this exact sequence. 12/2 nailed areas JUST to my north....like legit 3-5 miles, then the mid atlantic gets a couple, then a closer graze that nails southern portions of the region. Now we flip back to a NNE pattern that will focus north of me. Just relentlessly frustrating, aside from maybe 3 days....1/7/2024 and 2/1/2021 and 12/6?/2019.

I'm going to do pattern update blog this week, hopefully tomorrow. Don't expect really any changes from the progression that I laid out on 11/10, just maybe more specific.

The temperature at my location just west of Eden bottomed out at 8.4° at 7:30 this morning. This was only half a degree from the coldest temperature I recorded last winter, which was 7.9° on January 23rd. The coldest temperature I could find in Rockingham County was 7.2° at a location about halfway between Eden and Stoneville. KSIF recorded a low of 9.7° at 7:15am.

Yes. That's part of the random element of timing with such records. Those records are interesting but that's about it with them.

Well...snow. You have had a decent amount, and I haven't.

Ridge center focusing a bit west beyone Christmas in the 12/26 - 12/31 period - could setup the next storm threat with enough cold nearby to the north

ngl, hope this was the last sub zero of the season, hate this cad shit

Depends what your needs are and what makes you satisfied. I've been very happy with the season start. Having the well below avg cold has locked almost everything up ice-wise except for the big lakes. So much better than getting bombed with early snow on top of unfrozen ground. I'd say this is the best start for prepping for snowmoblie season in a long time, but, I'd be lying if I said seeing the cutter on friday won't be disappointing. Had that been snow, there would be some nice early season riding in several areas. Hopefully after friday we can get to more seasonal or below avg temps and build the pack late in the month. Squandering for me is if we go high and dry first half of Jan, followed by another cutter. That would be painful.

Records: Highs: EWR: 68 (2015) NYC: 68 (2015) LGA: 67 (2008) JFK: 64 (2015) Lows: EWR: 12 (2005) NYC: 8 (1874) LGA: 15 (1962) JFK: 15 (1962) Historical: 1839: The first of triple storms hit Massachusetts Bay. The storm produced whole gales, and more than 20 inches of snow in interior New England. There was great loss of life at Gloucester, MA. (David Ludlum) 1847: The board of the Smithsonian Institution appropriated $1,000 for the purchase of weather instruments for Joseph Henry's proposed weather reporting network. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1901: An intense cold front swept across the eastern U.S. The cold front produced heavy rain in Louisiana, and heavy snow in the northeastern U.S. (David Ludlum) (Ref. Wilson - Additional Temperatures Listed On This Link) 1924 - The temperature at Helena, MT, plunged 79 degrees in 24 hours, and 88 degrees in 34 hours. The mercury plummeted from 63 above to 25 below zero. At Fairfield MT the temperature plunged 84 degrees in just 12 hours, from 63 at Noon to 21 below zero at midnight. (David Ludlum) 1945: A record December snowstorm buried Buffalo NY under 36.6 inches of snow, with unofficial totals south of the city ranging up to 70 inches. Travel was brought to a halt by the storm. (14th-17th) (The Weather Channel) 1948: A strong southwesterly flow ahead of a cold front brought record high temperatures from the Southern Plains to the Missouri Valley and Southeast. St. Louis, MO set a record high for December with 76 °F. Other daily record highs included: Brownsville, TX: 84 °F, New Orleans, LA: 81 °F, Baton Rouge, LA: 80 °F, Jackson, MS: 80 °F, Meridian, MS: 80 °F, Savannah, GA: 80 °F, Wichita Falls, TX: 79 °F, Fort Smith, AR: 79 °F, Columbia, SC: 79 °F, Tulsa, OK: 77 °F, Oklahoma City, OK: 75 °F, Springfield, MO: 73 °F, Charlotte, NC: 73 °F, Asheville, NC: 72 °F. (Ref. Wilson - Additional Temperatures Listed On This Link) 1964: The "Great Blizzard" lashed the southern Prairie Provinces in Canada with heavy snow, 55 mph winds and temperatures as low as -30 °F. Three people froze to death and thousands of animals perished. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1987 - A powerful storm spread heavy snow from the Southern High Plains to the Middle Mississippi Valley, and produced severe thunderstorms in the Lower Mississippi Valley. During the evening a tornado hit West Memphis TN killing six persons and injuring two hundred others. The tornado left 1500 persons homeless, and left all of the residents of Crittendon County without electricity. Kansas City MO was blanketed with 10.8 inches of snow, a 24 hour record for December, and snowfall totals in the Oklahoma panhandle ranged up to 14 inches. Strong winds, gusting to 63 mph at Austin TX, ushered arctic cold into the Great Plains, and caused considerable blowing and drifting of snow. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Blowing snow was reported in western Kansas, as snow and gusty winds plagued the Central Rockies and Central High Plains. Colorado Springs CO reported thirteen inches of snow. Low pressure in Wisconsin brought heavy snow to the Lake Superior snowbelt area, with 22 inches reported at Marquette MI. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - High winds and heavy snow prevailed from Montana to Colorado. Snowfall totals in Wyoming ranged up to 20 inches at Burgess Junction, leaving up to 48 inches on the ground in the northeast sections of the state. Wind gusts in Colorado reached 87 mph south of the town of Rollinsville. Strong northwesterly winds continued to produce heavy snow squalls in the Great Lakes Region. Totals in northeastern Lower Michigan ranged up to 29 inches at Hubbard Lake, with 28 inches reported at Posen. Two day totals in northeastern Wisconsin ranged up to thirty inches. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1991: The Tug Hill plateau in New York off of Lake Ontario was targeted by heavy lake effect snow. 44 inches fell at Highmarket and 30 inches piled up at Boonville. Incredible snowfall rates of 6 to 8 inches per hour were reported at Boonville. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1995: An unusually intense storm struck the Pacific Northwest. Heavy rains of 5 to 20 inches accompanied the system, but the high winds and low barometric pressure readings were the main features. Record low sea level pressure readings were recorded at Astoria, OR of 28.53 inches of mercury, Seattle, WA at 28.65 inches of mercury and Medford, OR at 28.93 inches of mercury. Wind gusts reached 119 mph at Sea Lion Caves, OR and 103 mph at Angel Island, CA. Six deaths and over 2 million power outages were attributed to the storm. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2005: Freezing rain and ice pellets fell throughout portions of the southeast U.S. The accumulation of ice caused about 683,000 utilities customers to lose power from northern Georgia northward through the western Carolinas. The power outages were the result of ice accretions of up to three-quarter inch in thickness. The ice storm was blamed for at least four deaths (Associated Press). (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 2006 - The Hanukkah Eve Wind Storm of 2006 caused storm to hurricane-force wind gusts and heavy rainfall hit the Pacific Northwest and southern British Columbia. Damage estimates in Washington and Oregon totaled $220 million. Over 1.8 million residences and businesses without power. 18 people were killed, most of whom died of carbon monoxide poisoning in the days following the storm because of improper use of barbecue cookers and generators indoors. 2008: A powerful snowstorm, a magnitude that hasn't occurred since 1979, descended on the mountains and high deserts of southern California from this date through the 18th. Impressive snow totals included 54 inches at Big Bear, 36 inches at Wrightwood, 20 inches at Pinon Hills, and 16 inches at Hesperia, Idyllwild and Julian. At times, snow levels were as low as 2,000 feet. In Nevada, Las Vegas reported 0.28 inches of rain with a trace of snow. Areas outside of Las Vegas, received snow totals of 1 to 5 inches. Mt. Charleston, NV received between 15 and 20 inches of snow. Behind the storm and front a 1040 millibar arctic area of high pressure brought record lows to parts of the Plains to the West Coast including: Fort Assinniboine, MT: -31 °F, Havre, MT: -30 °F, White Sulphur Springs, MT: -29 °F, Dillon, MT: -27 °F, Fort Benton, MT: -27 °F, Valentine, MT: -25 °F, Virginia City, MT: -25 °F, Ennis, MT: -21 °F, Casper, WY: -20 °F, Denver, CO: -19 °F (broke previous record by 13 degrees), Cheyenne, WY: -13 °F, Goodland, KS: -10 °F, Yakima, WA: 2 °F and Portland, OR: 22 °F. Out ahead of the storm, Augusta, GA set a record high with 79 °F. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2010 - A rare tornado struck the small town of Aumsville, Oregon, tearing roofs off buildings, hurling objects into vehicles and homes and uprooting trees. No one was injured but the destruction left behind was severe. The National Weather Service classified the tornado as an EF2 with wind speeds of 110-120 mph and they said the tornado's damage trail was five miles long and 150 yards wide. 50 houses in Aumsville and the surrounding county area were affected, with 10 of them being unsuitable for occupancy. (KATU)

The 4.4" was an error. The NOWdata has now been corrected to 2.9". In the PNS, there was a report near Central Park that showed 3.1", so the 2.9" is probably reasonable (maybe several tenths low?) this time around.

2.9 inches my a$$ lolol Here is someone measuring the snow early in the morning at Central Park, the video was published between 7:30AM and 8AM, she already measured 3 inches on the bench and it snowed moderately and with higher ratios for several more hours afterward. I embedded the video with the appropriate time stamp. So spare me the 2.9 inches bullshit guys, it's just flat out wrong.

7 degrees here when leaving for work this am, with another coating from les. Deep winter feel.

Yes. Sometimes data gets in and is automatically flagged and corrected. Occasionally, errors persist and the corrections are made manually. The prior erroneous 72° high for October 2 is one such example. It was corrected in late November.

Rob Reiner (meathead) and wife stabbed to death. Crazy world we live in...maybe politically motivated. .

This is really accurate

The snowfall measurement may not be that bad considering that both LGA and NYC warmed up quite a bit at the start of the precipitation. So they had marginal temperatures for accumulation earlier in the event. When the cold arrived the best banding and higher rates missed to the east of NYC to LGA. Southern and Eastern Queens into Nassau and Suffolk got into the better banding. Probably a case of local subsidence just NW of the best banding and marginal temperatures for accumulation.

20 / 8 off a low of 13. Clear till around noon. Near or sub freezing today (coldest of the next 7 days). Some flurries or snow showers later to maybe whiten up the ground re coat the snow. A tinge warmer on Tue to / above freexing low-mid 30.s Moderation to and above normal Wed (low - mid 40s) Near 50 / Thu with rain developing overnighg into a warmest of the week Fri (50s) and potentially near one inch of rain to melt the snow cover. Looks like a brief shot of colder on this coming Saturday in an overall warmer than normal period through Christmas day. Ridge center a bit west keeping the strongest warmth to our south and west but overall near normal the period after christmas to the end of the month with the very cold to the north and warmth just to the south sandwiching the area and a storm threat to close out the period between 30 - 31.

It's not an excuse...it's just a product of life. Even myself I wish I got to be a bit more invested with local forecasts. But I have to do forecasts for all over the country and its not really forecasting for people so I don't get to do specific forecasts like this (making snowfall maps/forecasts for example). I just do this for fun...but I am so tired after work stuff I barely have the energy to do these maps/forecasts/blog posts. I've been wanting to switch and do videos but I am not a technological person or meant to be heard (why I didn't pursue broadcasting lol). But for my severe weather class this past semester, we had to do a video presentation for our final project and as part of the class I got camtasia which is super easy to use...so I may switch from written blogs to video...might be easier/less time consuming.

16 low here

1.9 this morning - like some others, didn't move much overnight. Still a few flurries dancing about capping a great weekend of winter.

1000hr 2m temps. What could go wrong? It looks like it wants to be warm in the Great Lakes too, but it’s popping big neg anomalies over Lake Superior. I could see that in the spring, but don’t understand how the lake helps them pull neggies in Jan.

Good question .

I find myself challenged for time this year because the family is home and I have 4 kids aged 1-6, so sometimes my results will reflect that a bit. Not to make excuses....I still should have trusted my work and stuck to my guns more.