All Activity

The rainy week really is falling apart for sure.

Was kayaking on the Colorado River yesterday. 97°. What’s happening back home is an abomination.

0.19

It’s coming soon and hot , moist and heavy. They are worried

One of the banks I did work for sets up a tent every year on the 10th hole, I got to go for free and enjoy food and libations. Only went a couple times but its a good time.

My final rain total is 2.74".

Looks like a violent afternoon here tomorrow.

That would be a great trip around the state.

My golf partner played there and always wanted to take me up there, he had a heart attack and won't be golfing for a while if ever,

Nieces graduation is outside tomorrow...this is going to be fun

Steady moderate rain falling. It looks like east of DC is the winner this morning.

4 months too late. Congrats to the 2500ft+ mountain tippy tops in VT/NH.

The D7 thru 13 telecon modality is -PNA whilst the polar field indexes are positive. At some point along the way here the perennial correlation blurring associated to summer hemispheric L/W breakdown skewing things will set in... but, it's obviously based upon what is actually happening - not what the climate says it should. In this case, there's identifiable Rosby ordering in the hemisphere - although there is some wave skewing noted... So long as as the indenties are still prevalent however, there's correlative value. A -PNA, combined with a relaxed blocking/+AO(NAO) ... is a telecon convergent signal for warm up over the continental mid latitudes. I also like the robust +PNA in the foreground. In my own researching heat wave genesis for the eastern CONUS, I've noted that they are often preceded by a +PNA effectively generating multi day tropospheric thermal fixing over the W/SW aspects of the continent; then the subsequent mass field shift ejects this heat E into a -PNA signaled ridge ballooning. This sequence of events is like a 10-day in wholesale behavior. A model that actually fits what we are seeing in the telecons at this time. The operational versions have already been hinting. With a +PNA maxing in 5 days, then -d(PNA) taking place, then seeing the seesaw at large scale mass field layout in operationals out there is interesting. Not outright predicting a 'Sonoran heat release'/SW expulsion event, but for an extended tapestry of indicators it's a possibility some amount above base-line climatology.

Euro definitely the furthest west with the low

Juno Jr. on the Euro:

thanks fully... it is not summer - seriously though, there's a improving signal for heat ... well, "warmer" ( lets start there and see where this goes - ) at the end of next week that's open ended heading into June. It's in the extended so no use really commenting on differences in timing onset and/or magnitude and those details for now. But this would coincide with the June 1 climate demarcation standard - which of course means nothing to objective nature ... but seein' and humans like tidy boundaries. lol

We have 105 soccer teams coming to our complex for Sat/Sun, which is of course built in the lowest part of town next to a lake which is next to the Farmington. Two weeks ago we had 6 of 14 fields flooded.

May have some of that with the weenie out and all...

Had a light shower at home but not enough to move the gauge past 0.00" yet. MU seems to think that today is a bust, but the developing coastal gives us a period of rain overnight.

Probably the last higher elevation snow potential for the season.

Happy Birthday @H2O!! Hopefully you get that pony you asked for

I don't think there is enough booze to make the past 7 years palatable.

Not possible. if you look ata the 5 minute rapid refresh for JFK, there is a gap in the data. I highly doubt the temp jumped 7 degrees from the previous recorded temp on this list and then quickly dropped back down to the 60s. It must be an error:

And another one 5 miles north of me that I didn't even realize happened until yesterday. There was some buzz about lack of a warning for it since it started as a landspout and by the time NWS got any radar or human eyes on it, it was too late.