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March 2023 had a very strong MJO is phases 7 and 8. This year it's also in phases 7 and 8, just much weaker. I wonder if that means anything.

do you remember the snow event before the big storm? I had no idea that was even a thing, i just assumed (wrongly) that there was even an accumulating event before Oct 29-30th. Only far northern Connecticut in the hills picked up accumulating snow. Norfolk 2SW 2.5" Oct 27th, 2011

Need sun and warmth. ‘Cause everything else kinda sucks these days.

I updated several storms in the 97-00 period, i've been going back and forth on whether to include E. Granby for Windsor Locks ob. I decided to just label it with asterisk for that period. About half the storms in the Historic Snowstorms section have been updated and have new L. Northeast maps. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/historic-storms

We hope and pray. Euro close to a good hit too.

Geoengineering is probably a bad idea but I think if the world hits 3.0°C+ (God forbid), it might become the less bad option. Unless future AI can invent a vast carbon capture system that scales on a planetary level.

You should’ve just skied east. Vermont instead of Colorado. I’d say if you book a big ski trip months in advance then it might help to get a refundable option just in case. I’ve postponed or canceled a few trips before. I know you usually hit Breckenridge or Vail in early Feb.

Landfall IMG_5610-ezgif.com-gif-to-mov-converter.mov

If there was zero predictive skill prior to the 2023 entire planetary systemic bounce in temperature by a whole degree C spanning a single month in spring - just 1 example of not really understanding the planetary system, and a whopper - how is it that humanity knows what will result if they start tinkering with seeding?

I updated one of our favorite storms of this sub-forum, and one of mine as well. Got into the meat of it in the CT band that rotated and pivoted overhead with a final of 14.4". Only 24hrs before hand we holding out hopes that the NAM & RPM were right. But last minute positive trends turned this into a major storm for 95 and a historic storm for the NY/NJ metro area. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-23-2016

I haven’t posted much this month because there hasn’t been much to post about except warmth and snowmelt. After a good winter, it’s been a very disappointing March.

A nice unexpected unadvertised spring stretch coming up Friday through Sunday

16 yesterday morning will probably be the last teens for this spring but freezes will probably extend into early May.

Seems like it's mostly the operational GFS? The Euro and CMC ( though the latter only out to 10 days) appear to be seeded by anti CC moles in the modeling division of their foreign sources. heh but the operational GFS is trying to lift the ambient polar boundary somewhat N. It's not obvious like you said. "sighs". But it's coherent enough. Shit, we're after the Equinox in a coffee break. Eventually, the Euro/CMC are going to lose to the fact the June is still coming. In other words, seasonality gives a nod to the operational GFS.

Charts just flying around the chicken coop..

7am snowdepth down to 3” Today is likely the last day of 1”+ snowcover at MSP for now. There have been 89 days of 1”+ snowcover this season. Average is 100

Low of 32 but I was lower prior to midnight. I think 30 was the true overnight low. Shaping up to be a beautiful weekend.

Could see you hips and lips shoveling a path to the chickens to this song.

Marquette had a very solid 18" pack a week ago before getting that dump, there are massive piles there for sure. Cool videos too of highway crews working on opening up the country roads.

Shoot me. Just enough to be a PITA. I’m all set with the wintry truffle butter.

Cold and cloudy for the East, warm, sunny and dry for the West, that pretty much describes this winter. Snowfall in the Rockies has been much below normal with some resorts now closing early. Brighton, Utah which I follow regularly has had 233" of snow so far while the full season average is 500". Down in the Salt Lake Valley my cousin says only 1" this winter. Could be water shortages ahead. Currently an historic heat wave is underway with temps at monthly extremes. Here in Eastern North Carolina 28F yesterday and 30F this morning, very cold for us. https://www.powder.com/news/lake-tahoe-resorts-close-heat-wave

Reversion to the March 2020s snowfall mean following all the great 2010s Marches. March Monthly 2020s Total Snowfall for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 0.1 0.1 2026 T T 2025 0.0 0.0 2024 T T 2023 0.1 0.1 2022 0.4 0.4 2021 T T 2020 T T March 2010s Monthly Total Snowfall for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 6.0 6.0 2019 10.4 10.4 2018 11.6 11.6 2017 9.7 9.7 2016 0.9 0.9 2015 18.6 18.6 2014 0.1 0.1 2013 7.3 7.3 2012 0.0 0.0 2011 1.0 1.0 2010 T T

We got 1 to 3 March 9, 2022. Its every other decade. 2030 through 2039 will likely be similar to 2010 through 2019 which was a great decade for March snow).

I found it interesting that only 4 winters since 1970 had 5 or more inches of snow for both December and March. Its usually one or the other except for extreme winters like 93/94, 95/96, 02/03 and 17/18. Even the great winter of 13/14 was a shutout in March.