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  2. You can see how sensitive the Newark is to local sea breezes since it’s right on the water. Jul 30, 2:25 pm 99 65 33 102 SSW 6 10.00 FEW050 29.93 29.95 Jul 30, 2:20 pm 99 65 33 102 SW 8 10.00 FEW050 29.93 29.95 Jul 30, 2:15 pm 97 65 35 99 ENE 3 10.00 FEW050 29.94 29.96 Jul 30, 2:10 pm 97 63 33 98 SSE 7 10.00 FEW050 29.94 29.96 Jul 30, 2:05 pm 97 65 35 99 10.00 FEW050 29.94 29.96 Jul 30, 2:00 pm 97 65 35 99 ESE 6 10.00 FEW050 29.94 29.96 Jul 30, 1:55 pm 97 63 33 98 SSE 6 10.00 FEW050 29.94 29.96 Jul 30, 1:51 pm 96 63 34 98 S 7 10.00 FEW050 FEW150 BKN260 1014.60 29.94 29.96 97 87 Jul 30, 1:50 pm 97 63 33 98 SSE 7 10.00 FEW050 29.94 29.96 Jul 30, 1:45 pm 97 63 33 98 SSE 6 10.00 FEW050 FEW120 29.94 29.96 Jul 30, 1:40 pm 97 63 33 98 S 8 10.00 FEW050 FEW120 29.95 29.97 Jul 30, 1:35 pm 97 63 33 98 SSE 8 10.00 FEW050 FEW120 29.95 29.97 Jul 30, 1:30 pm 95 63 35 96 S 9 10.00 FEW050 FEW120 29.95 29.97 Jul 30, 1:25 pm 97 63 33 98 S 7 10.00 FEW050 FEW120 29.95 29.97 Jul 30, 1:20 pm 97 63 33 98 SSE 6 10.00 FEW050 FEW120 29.95 29.97 Jul 30, 1:15 pm 93 63 36 94 SE 7 10.00 FE
  3. Same here. Has more of an oven feel outside than sauna. Once it’s over 72/73 dewpoint is when the sauna’s on.
  4. Pigs are flying, folks!!!! Man your battlestations!
  5. Entirely possible the rest of the summer is at or below normal. We can save our heat waves for Christmas!
  6. This is like a lower scale version of that extreme heatwave lol
  7. Looks like the rain comes in around 5 PM with a 20 degree temperature drop at that time lol
  8. A long distance from New York City, both miles and character, the Farmington Maine (pop. ~5,000) co-op recorded from January 1, 1893 thru mid-October 2022. It's sites (several) thru the summer of 1966 were in town. In September of that year, the new observer moved the location 1.5 miles to the north, a site along the 2-lane Route 4/27 with single-family homes generally 100+ feet apart and only small vegetation. Over the years trees grew larger, and by its closure (observer had passed) there was a 50-foot-tall red oak less than 30 feet from the Cotton Region shelter and other trees within 100 feet. Below are the most recent heat records, showing the lowering of most recent hottest: 101 8/2/1975 "Hot Saturday" Even reached 100 at Bar Harbor. (Also all-time records at PWM [103] and BGR [102]) 99 6/20/1985 95 9/9/2002 94 6/20/2020 93 6/28/2021 92 5/14/2022 I'm not sure why the dates (except 1975) are all shoulder season. Forest transpiration would've been relatively low in mid-May and in September, but should've been in high gear by late June.
  9. Yeah that consensus is more of a strata layout deal N of the Pike from what I'm seeing and knowing how these modeled synoptic scenarios tend to go. There's likely to be some bumpy clumps on the satellite training along southern zones for a time, but the whole axis is settling SE. Seems Friday may correct toward breaking cloud in the afternoon, because the subtle but crucial small tendency to flatten the whole thing means that it is also slightly accelerating almost unnoticed as well. Saturday may be up there among the best quality days this summer's had to offer -
  10. I am still very torn on this. I mean it's certainly going to rain and I think at least a general widespread 1-2" is likely but am very skeptical on something like a widespread 2-4" with a strip of say 4-7". I think the NAM may be overamped with the degree of the 925 jet and despite how juiced the NAM is, there isn't a ton of convective precip. I also think we're going to see robust convection across where the SPC has the marginal (probably eventually upped a a slight risk) and that is going to (negatively) influence areas north of that.
  11. Here we go again. Flood Watch National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 210 PM EDT Wed Jul 30 2025 DEZ001-NJZ009-010-012-013-015>019-027-PAZ070-071-101>106-311000- /O.NEW.KPHI.FA.A.0010.250731T1800Z-250801T1000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ New Castle-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Mercer- Salem-Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Southeastern Burlington-Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester- Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks- Including the cities of Moorestown, Pottstown, Trenton, Pennsville, Perkasie, Doylestown, Honey Brook, Morrisville, Glassboro, Norristown, Camden, Somerville, Cherry Hill, Mount Holly, New Brunswick, Lansdale, Media, West Chester, Oxford, Flemington, Kennett Square, Chalfont, Wilmington, Freehold, Philadelphia, Collegeville, and Wharton State Forest 210 PM EDT Wed Jul 30 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Portions of northern Delaware, including the following area, New Castle, New Jersey, including the following areas, Camden, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Northwestern Burlington, Salem, Somerset, Southeastern Burlington and Western Monmouth, and southeast Pennsylvania, including the following areas, Delaware, Eastern Chester, Eastern Montgomery, Lower Bucks, Philadelphia, Upper Bucks, Western Chester and Western Montgomery. * WHEN...From Thursday afternoon through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Storm drains and ditches may become clogged with debris. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - A warm and increasingly humid airmass will be in place ahead of an approaching cold front that will pass through the region Thursday night. Showers and thunderstorms will be capable of heavy rain resulting in rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with 6 inches or more in localized areas. Rainfall rates may exceed 2 inches per hour. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$
  12. Okay, I've seen enough. CAMs look good for tomorrow, and we have a solid front slicing into the heat dome. Tomorrow looks like a legit severe weather episode from DC towards Trenton tomorrow. Likely wet microbursts and isolated, but intense flash flooding. The only two fail modes I could see are abundant debris clouds from overnight convection to our NW, or somehow a bunch of stuff fires over the I-64 corridor and mucks up the overall mean flow into the line. Otherwise, I'm in.
  13. late to the party today but it may also be a shifted to far south for that, too
  14. He already told you it's not raining in Connecticut. New Jersey and South.
  15. Watch for big heat potential 8/9-15. Could rival late June and yesterday in the pure magnitude.
  16. I'd just be happy to see them draft a pitcher or two. I know there's a higher chance of busts there, but we haven't picked a pitcher in the 1st round in 7 years. The unicorns you speak of are few and far between and will come with hefty price tags and, last I checked, we currently have exactly 1 Top 100 prospect right now pending trade deadline pickups.
  17. Friday looks similar to Jun 27th with the E/ENE flow , clouds and temps in the low 70s during the day.
  18. Models are all over the place with regards to rain this weekend. New Euro shows less than .5 here the next week after showing 3-4 inches last night.
  19. wow huge change in 95+ days at both LGA and EWR and a significant change in 80+ lows at LGA!!!
  20. 12Z RRFS targets a narrow area from SE NY into SW CT. Lets wash away Oxford again.
  21. It's 96 with a dewpoint of 76. Heat Index is 112. Seems a bit high for a mere heat advisory Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk
  22. Now up to 97 here, the third hottest temperature of the year (after the 100+ readings in June) and the hottest in July so far!!! Not only are there no clouds today there's no sea breeze either!!!
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