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  2. up to 31 there's a chance we might hit 32 today
  3. The AI is pretty good at sniffing…it’s been down on this, so probably gotta say this doesn’t look to good.
  4. Weird mix of rain and sleet just came through lower Manhattan.
  5. Hard to believe it was -5F yesterday morning! Must be one of the bigger day-to-day swings on record.
  6. I see a possible event on the 24th/25th. If that doesn't hit, then it's probably lights out for the winter. The first half of March looks very warm.
  7. The pretty common theme here is people along the coast and in central New Jersey and the city are often pretty quick to call and end to winter in late February. For those of us 30 miles or more north and west of New York City latitude and longitude, most of March is just thought of as another winter month.
  8. Euro back south even more than 06z. Mostly rain for everyone. Low was weaker and didn't pull as much cold air into the system. Not a terrible look, just need the High stronger and the low a little stronger. It's pretty much looking like a Miller A rainstorm at this point. If this trend keeps up that low may track right across the Gulf.
  9. yep just a rain storm this go around....
  10. Up to 50F now. First over 40F reading since January 14th (48F), and first 50F since the 13th.
  11. We got less than 1” QPF from both big storms combined here. Severe drought and in serious need of one of these events to not dry up 48 hours before
  12. Well- at least we won’t be envying Norfolk getting another 12” blizzard.
  13. Yeah AIs wanted nothing to do with this system from the start, red flags
  14. I want a snowstorm just like the rest of us, but every model has been trending towards Euro Ai which has been locked in our a miss to the south.
  15. The map doesn't show a snow hole over central Union county NJ
  16. After steadily increasing QPF amounts over the least several issuance's the latest WPC 7 day QPF has been notable decreased. This has been an ongoing trend. Systems that offered promise in the longer range just dwindle as we get closer. I'm not even looking for snow at this point. I just want some rain.
  17. I wouldn't go outside. Latest Dept of Fish & Game geotracking map has gray wolf collar #45B on the move towards Salem, CT.
  18. One of the anti-Weathergamis is not like the others! You can see how the relative lack of variability in the summer versus the winter leads to many more unique combinations occurring in the wintertime than the summer. Spring and fall, of course, are more changeable in general, so they have the lowest number of common high/low pairings. Interesting data!
  19. Maybe for you guys, 10.4” average here after 2/28 last 10 Marches/Aprils. Over 3” in all but 3.
  20. Well, it has been fun, but it’s looking like winter has packed his bags and leaving town. There’s always a chance of a Hail Mary. Looks like cooler to colder weather will happen during spring, but the precipitation will be liquid. I expect a lot of flooding rains.
  21. I don't know...Euro AI is locked in and in fact went even more south. Unless that changes this one is probably done.
  22. Yes, but we had multiple snow events, most of them light...
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