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@stormchaserchuck1 Your speculation on the -PDO/-ENSO link that late September and October would turn warm appears to be coming to fruition. It also looks like a continued dry pattern for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast
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GaWx started following Atlantic Area of Interest--30% two day, 80% five day odds
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Atlantic Area of Interest--30% two day, 80% five day odds
GaWx replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Tropical Headquarters
0Z runs -are fairly similar to the 12Z for the Icon, GFS, and CMC -This time the UKMET is even further W and threatens Bermuda: 0Z UK: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 18.0N 48.8W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 18.09.2025 72 18.0N 48.8W 1008 38 1200UTC 18.09.2025 84 20.0N 51.3W 1007 42 0000UTC 19.09.2025 96 21.2N 53.2W 1007 38 1200UTC 19.09.2025 108 22.7N 55.1W 1008 30 0000UTC 20.09.2025 120 22.5N 57.2W 1008 32 1200UTC 20.09.2025 132 23.1N 58.3W 1009 31 0000UTC 21.09.2025 144 23.3N 59.8W 1008 33 1200UTC 21.09.2025 156 23.9N 61.0W 1008 35 0000UTC 22.09.2025 168 24.3N 63.1W 1007 31 -
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I walked outside again at the park just like I did late afternoon Fri. I had low 70s temps and dewpoints of 60. Despite no breeze, I didn’t sweat at all and actually could feel a very slight chill!
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Had a low of 49 and a high of 74. This so called summer coming back is pathetic. My temps getting revised down and down. Was supposed to have a high of 81 tomorrow but now im at 76.
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For all the hype about the return of summer, this warmth has been lackluster. Today it reached a high of 82 in the Triad, which is the normal high.
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2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Why use JFK? They aren't a first order station, are they? I always assumed NYC was the main one. Plus, JFKs numbers seem way out of sync with the rest of your area last winter. NYC was -2.5° in Jan and -0.9° in Feb and LGA was -2.0° in Jan and -0.6° in Feb. -
Joe Burrow out for possibly the season, at the least 3 months. Ravens odds of winning the division goes up significantly.
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Our new climate sucks. Stupid cars.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
STORMANLI replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yes, last night ~935pm LIE exits 40-51 moderate shower. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
donsutherland1 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Areas for which I have data: September 1-14: Mount Pocono: 2024: 1.49"; 2025: 0.15" Scranton: 2024: 0.42"; 2025: 0.96" Sussex: 2024: 1.13"; 2025: 1.61" Year-to-Date: Mount Pocono: 2024: 66.61"; 2025: 43.47" Scranton: 2024: 48.65"; 2025: 35.70" Sussex: 2024: 46.60"; 2025: 27.93" -
drstuess started following O'Brother Septorcher
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Interesting afternoon in Southern RI. http://cloud.tapatalk.com/s/68c76b84cbcae/VID_20250914_182202_236.mp4 Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
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lol at that GFS run Heat records completely shattered
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89 was my high. It’ll be on the 40s in Stockholm. I’m so excited.
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It got a lot warmer than I thought it would today. Clouds kept the temps down east of the Blue Ridge
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Ravens next 4 games are all against playoff teams.. a combined regular season record of 50-18 a year ago.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
anthonymm replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It will verify. -
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Deer are all around the Frederick watershed as well. I’ve definitely almost hit a few of them. But honestly, there might have been more around my aunt and uncle’s place in Derwood back in the day. They were all over that part of Rock Creek.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Endless summer. GFS OP showing 90s late September lol -
The running game was nonexistent today. The Browns are good up front and never let Henry get going. Our guards aren't very good. Keaton Mitchell would have been a better option today with his initial quickness and speed. Ofc Harbaugh knows best, and that big play ability isn't good enough unless he can excel on special teams.