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So we have the GFS/EURO with warning level snow for Thursday into Friday for the Lehigh Valley.

this is really as large of an amped shift as you'll see on the EPS at this range

Ha, well 2016 was one. I know 2021 had h500 closed off but it wasn't vertically stacked.

the 12z AI looked like it had a monster brewing at 360

Feb 4th 94? Thats the last one, you can see the placeholder is there

Yeah I guess. In all honesty I hadn’t seen the euro when I posted this. If I had and saw the favorable trend I probably wouldn’t have posted this. Even at hr 120 we are still in a progressive flow so I guess it makes sense for the ensembles to be in so far apart. In past events we have seen much more agreement but in almost all of those cases we have had a favorable Atlantic.

UKMET trended favorably ... It's still not getting it done, but its trough cinema is rotating neutral with an attempt at neg as it curls through our longitude. 00z had the entire scope of it positive and pancaked, with nada. It seems with all this weight (multi source and amp) we have signal here for improvement - probably goes without saying... but, I'd still caution that we need to get some next-cycle continuity.

You haven't already ? THIS! had that dumb fuck on ignore for 5plus years if not longer . Now if people would just stop. Quoting. His. Dumb. Ass. Posts. This x1000. Brooklyn, PLEASE keep posting. I love reading your posts and thoughts. I see you in a thread, I start to pay attention It stopped being funny 15 years ago. Why do we still humor it? Certainly wouldn't mind that in the least. Even on his FB page he's not this much of a troll. I will never understand why so many people just put up with it, and even tell others to not confront him about his bullshit. Sorry for the banter in what is going to be hopefully a storm thread very soon, but this is annoying. His posts make the thread borderline unreadable, and his tired "act" is beyond bothersome. I'm 36, and he's been doing this exact same bullshit since I was fucking 12 on WrightWeather. Why do we continue to humor it? The ignore button is nice, but doesn't work when others who for some unfathomable reason find him "funny " repeatedly quote his posts. I know I've done nothing but have a moment of catharsis, so I'll happily step down and go back to lurking, reading and learning more. A lesson JI should have learned decades ago. Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

What did you get?

Thru 240hrs on the Eps. This year, it signals a blizzard!

That’s tomorrow. I really like our trend

Agreed. There seems to be this secondary hill around the HR 84-90 time-frame this year.

This is getting very exciting.

Great Met out of Toledo who would of satisfied the kid in all if we had social media back in the 80's and 90's, when I was a kid. Anyways, he does an awesome of job of getting into the science and behind the scenes stuff that most don't bother with. Great guy as well. He delves into the possibilities over the next few weeks. https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1B3hupyCAs/

No those were the squalls you missed. That was actually one of the few overperfomers we’ve had in the last few years, lol. I had like an inch from the regular snow and then got blasted with another 1.5” in like 30 minutes from squalls.

In a normal year, maybe. This year? For me, lock in time is 84 hours or less

The Euro is extremely suppressed, which isn't uncommon for it at this range.

Hm...with this kind of setup it feels like lock in time is still 4 days away, lol

You can see how the GFS solution can happen but it also doesn't take much for it not to.

The dusting?

It's under 120 hrs. I wouldn't call that long range

Getting close to lock in time, we are in a good place

EPS and GEFS not as robust as the operationals, neither is the EURO AI. Waiting on GEPS

Whew, Vertically stacked when’s the last time we heard that mentioned?

EPS last 3 runs trend. Again as is, the 12z Euro still gives much of the Lehigh Valley 4-8" of snow