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Indeed. Newest addition to the weenie handbook. Chapter IX, "Surface Temps on Global Models," new entry in part A.3, line 25: "global AI models are approximately 5-10 degrees too warm in DJFM"

With PNA sliding negative it will definitely be Miller B.

There was an mPing report near North Hills at 12:20pm. @NorthHillsWxis that you? LOL

Too suppressed or too warm. It’s all about timing for these storms here lol.

NAM gives my area 3-5”. lol.

Please stay in Florida. Thanks.

I think it struggles at showing surface temps.

I mean if you're in some rural white trash trailer park you might have an issue but I'm sure that's true in Illinois too. Other than that, I think he's misinformed.

Not nearly the same concern it would have warranted a month or two ago....."I ain't afraid of no ocean"

Mpm give you husband phone?

To be so cold for weeks and then end winter on a perfect track rainstorm would be pretty funny

PDIII LFG!!!!

-2° for the low this morning

The w.e. checks out

I think the storm next weekend is real. Not atypical to have a storm as the transition event towards a warmer pattern.

12z euro ai has a good track only problem is the freezing line way north of Montreal lol

That’s damn impressive . This winter is legit

It will be in the Carolinas soon enough if that continues.. Wahh wahhh

Virginia is for snow lovers.

Is it possible that for once “what could go right” happens instead of…what we’re used to

And if the storm trends more amped, there is nothing in its way to stop it from advancing as far north as possible. We need cold air reinforcement in order to do well in a setup like this.

Honestly with 12z I'm not even sure if you could call the bit of low pressure in the Ohio valley a primary. From how I'm seeing the setup it appears to be an extension of the main low pressure system across the southeast states.

They were pounding when all of those 10-12” reports came out yesterday mid morning. I honestly expected to see more 15-18” obs. Those who cleared probably did, those who let it set probably stuck around that 12-13” mark.