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66/50. I mean really can I get any better?

51.7 this morning. How is this August?

Not only have there been numerous days in the 40s in most areas but there have also been several in the upper 30s in the traditional cold spots of SE MI. Very impressive for August. This mornings low of 50 was a bit suspicious at DTW. It is the 4th low of 50 this week but today was the coldest morning. Every other nearby station was well in the 40s, including thermometers near the airport. I haven't noticed any discrepancies in DTW temps lately, so hopefully its just an unfortunate one off. Other lows this morning included 44 at Ypsilanti (right outside DTW), 43 in Monroe, 39 in White Lake and 38 in Ann Arbor. Even Detroit City was 47 for their coldest Aug temp since 1986 (you know the DTW number is suspicious when nearby YIP is 6° colder and even DET is 3° colder).

Even I got to 49. Texas Fight!

Euro had rain Thursday but then lost it

NYC 50”+: DJF Webb ONI pre 1950/RONI 1950+ 1872-3 CN 1874-5 CN 1898-9 CN 1906-7 CN 1915-6 CN 1916-7 SLN 1922-3 CN 1933-4 MLN 1947-8 WN 1960-1 WN 1966-7 CN 1977-8 WEN 1993-4 WN 1995-6 WLN 2009-10 MEN 2010-1 MLN 2013-4 CN 2014-5 WN 8 CN 4 WN 2 MLN 1 each of SLN, WLN, WEN, MEN 1. CN/WN 12 of 18 (67%) vs only 66 of 156 DJFs (42%). So, chance may have been enhanced by neutral. EN: 2 of 18 (11%) vs 49 of 156 (31%). So, chance may have been decreased by EN. LN: 4 of 18 (22%) vs 41 of 156 (26%)…so, LN may have been pretty neutral influence. 2. 19% of last 32 years 50”+ comparable to 17% of 36 years 1898-9 through 1933-4 @bluewave@donsutherland1

Low of 44 here as well. Bottomed out at 39 in Walpack. It is boring and it is dry but I am loving this cool weather. It will surely warm up again after the cool shot this coming week but who cares. It will be mid-September by then and it is more tolerable with the rapidly decreasing sun angle. Still would like some rain but as long as it is dry I'd rather have it cool like this. Going to be planting some grass seed later today.

Trough backing west and Atlantic ridge extending west beyond this period should yield a net above normal stretch (9/7 - 9/15) ish

The drive in this morning revealed even more color in the tree's.

Lows were in the 40's across much of the area this morning with the lowest being the 41.6 at Warwick. Of note the low this morning at East Nantmeal was 49.2 - this is the first time in my 22 years of weather observations that I recorded a temperature in August in the 40's! Expect many areas to again see lows by Sunday morning in those same chilly 40's. Beautiful but dry weather continues through the holiday weekend and through at least Wednesday. There is a chance of some much-needed rain by Thursday...fingers and toes crossed!

'90s with dews in the '80s. Some will wake up surprised. Or not...

Lows were in the 40's across much of the area this morning with the lowest being the 41.6 at Warwick. Of note the low this morning at East Nantmeal was 49.2 - this is the first time in my 22 years of weather observations that I recorded a temperature in August in the 40's! Expect many areas to again see lows by Sunday morning in those same chilly 40's. Beautiful but dry weather continues through the holiday weekend and through at least Wednesday. There is a chance of some much-needed rain by Thursday...fingers and toes crossed!

I think there is some value in honing in on how much temperature maxes have warmed, since I don't think the warmer mins are as detrimental to snowfall.

He also pointed out that the calculation that incorporates said cold pool is only modestly positive.

Low of 46

Well, the heat and humidity didn't produce any precip for me either, so I'll gladly take this instead. Low of 47. Spectacular.

The persisent La Niña state is an important factor. Statistically, the odds of sufficiently cold winters have declined quite a bit. Even with last winter, the warmth was sufficiently great the the historic probability of a 50" season was very low. By the 2040s (maybe earlier if warming is greater than expected) it's possible that 50" winters will be all but gone with 40" winters becoming as rare as 50" winters. I suspect part of the explosive rise in snowfall during the early 2000s through 2015-16 had as much to do with the benefits of increased moisture temporarily exceeding the impact of warming winters. However, my guess is that NYC has now passed the point where the impact of additional warming now exceeds the benefits of increased moisture. That pattern was present in Washington, DC, which has experienced a structural decline in seasonal snowfall. Given New York City's higher latitude (closer proximity to cold air sources), a sharper initial rise makes sense. But this is how things might play out, if the City is in the early stages of a structural decline in seasonal snowfall under slow winter warming (where 40° winters remain relatively uncommon until around 2040). Red dots are the 30-season averages for 2025-26 through 2039-40. Stronger winter warming could bring the 30-season average near or below 20" by the mid-2030s. Internal variability will exist, so there will still be snowy winters. There will also be more frequent duds with less than 10" seasonal snowfall. The back-to-back < 10" winters of 2022-23 and 2023-24 were perhaps a "warning shot" from a future warmer winter climate.

71 here in Savannah GA. Feels like fall after being in the Keys.

The trough is in the Midwest. East coast has South flow next week onwards

48 this morning, up to 63. Nice morning to sit outside and sip some coffee

47.7 in Lancaster for the morning low. .

picked up 1/4” yesterday. That brings me to 1.0” for the month we dry

Another cool crisp late August morning just east of HVN at 58°. I really enjoy how well this area near the LI Sound cools off at night compared to the LI South Shore. The low of 51° a few days ago was the lowest August minimum since 2006. These much lower dewpoints allowing for the cooler mornings have been a nice treat following the record June into July heat and humidity. My maxes this month have been +1.8° and my mins have been -1.5°. So the month has been +0.2° so far. Time Series Summary for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT - Month of Aug Lowest Temperature Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 2025 51 2 2024 55 0 2023 58 0 2022 57 0 2021 58 0 2020 57 2 2019 55 0 2018 56 0 2017 55 0 2016 52 0 2015 56 0 2014 56 0 2013 52 0 2012 52 0 2011 55 0 2010 55 0 2009 56 0 2008 54 0 2007 53 0 2006 51 0

High yesterday at O'Hare was 70. Perfect weather in the morning, but a few sprinkles in the evening. Finishing up my donuts from the tour yesterday.