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To me we've just seen the new rock bottom in temps for this part of the world. The antecedent significant cold was one ingredient. The second being that this airmass had no mitigating factors on its way to NY. The only offset was that it originated over a much warmer 70N+…

@ORH_wxman @CoastalWx So did Logan get 5.2 or 5.4? Their PNS and ob on the interactive map says 5.2 but they recorded 0.2 on the 6th before midnight and Feb 7th says 5.2. One of them is an error I'm gonna go with 5.4 since thats what's in the record books

Returns seem to be making it over the mountains. Guess we’ll see if it can overcome insanely dry air for someone to capitalize in the ice cold piedmont this morning

Euro AI still has a light snow Tuesday night Wednesday. But the one on the 19th and 20th has the low over Rhode Island and then very slowly progressing through southern New England to the Gulf of Maine at 9:89. I don’t see it it’s ensemble so maybe it’s different?

6z euro trended to other models and dropped the Friday system. For snow I think it’s Friday or bust. The weekend system wants to cut and the high is retreating. That Friday wave is the only shot at snow and it’s a long shot

Irrespective of snowy vs rainy solutions, I don’t know why Op runs are ever looked at seriously for events a week away.

Right. So you’ve had about 16 inches of snow this winter. That’s pretty damn good.

So are you gonna agree…you were incorrect with your negative calls all dam week. We said you’d do fine..And you did. I got 2”. Congratulations on whining yourself to almost half a foot.

The NWS needs to take a very long, hard look at the GFS after this winter. It has been by far and away the worst performing model, no other model has been as close to being as bad. Just an utter embarrassment all winter long and needs to be addressed

I wouldn't be surprised if parts of Lawrence and Andover had 10+. When I arrived at Phillips Academy yesterday at around 3:30 it was still snowing very heavily...

I think everybody knows it winds down at some point. But that’s not what they’re asking. There will be modration/some warming and melting in SNE. We can use some. But that isn’t the end and spring coming this year in mid February with the moderating, the BN looks to return, of course not in this extreme way however.

It’s currently around 280” for moving 20-year average…forget the exact number. For example, this season we are at 231” to date up there.

I was thinking about this the other day. It’s been bad across the plains. Omaha - 6.5”, Rapid City - 7.7”,

Light snow has returned in banner elk at the rental. Good send off for an awesome weekend

I was talking about grayhat

Here is the problem with what you’re doing. Yea…every single threat we identify at day 10 is likely to fail. And it’s not even close. Many of these we now are like 5-10% chances. So if you just follow climo and say it’s not gonna snow you’ll be right 90% of the time. But it also means you will miss every single time it does snow. You’ll never accurately identify the “threat” for snow. Think of it like a tornado watch. I’ve been under one maybe a hundred times. Only once did a tornado end up affecting me. Did they mean the other 99 were a mistake? No they were identifying the threat. If they went with climo theyd never issue a tornado watch and be right most of the time but catastrophically wrong when a tornado does hit! It’s also like sports. I could just say the Eagles won’t win the super bowl Every single year and I’d be right 95% of the time but what fun is that?

only 153? still seems like a lot to me. what do they average up at the picnic tables?

... but sports.

It’s zero or below at the moment…I don’t think anybody is expecting this to continue…it’s been quite the cold winter. I think what Snowcrazed and DIT are asking and saying is that the colder air comes back as Scott just said, and sure, it’s not gonna be like the last few weeks…that would truly be crazy, but it will be below average again for later February and early March.

We desperately need rain.

who said that it was?

That winter almost ended me. Think we were 55” or so for snowfall and the picnic tables only had 153”. Lowest on record.

Got down to 3.4 on my station.

44° on Tuesday. People are going to be out in shorts and t shirt .