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  2. NEG NAO
    many of these towns have the fireworks after all day events
  3. Brian5671
    Those cloud debris issues/MCS etc may tamper the heat in spots if they develop-you almost need sunup to late day full sun to breach 100
  4. Brewbeer
    if only all those people didn't install solar panels, we'd might get some brown-outs
  5. Maestrobjwa
    Welp...sounds like a snowless torch and at least 1 nina the year after to me. Not sure that'll make any of us happy. And before anybody weenies me...refute why that setup is any good for snow. The super niño is locked in at this point, so it IS happening.
  6. Brian5671
    Fireworks should be ok to go given the evening start and difficult with rescheduling especially since it's a hot stretch not just one day...although T-storms could prevent them in spots. Never fun making that call. One time here they postponed it never rained, then rained on the reschedule date lol
  7. Damage In Tolland
    Damnit
  8. Maestrobjwa
    Backlash nina period won't be good for some of us either so...emotional capital for the year (or two) after? Lol
  9. MegaMike
    Oh, absolutely! Knowing potential error in forecasting is useful. It can help determine an edge Agreed. Models struggle along tight gradients. That's universal regardless of boundary type (dry-moist, warm-cold, land-water, etc...) ... Advantage will always go to the finer resolution modeling system.
  10. frd
    Blah.......ring of nothing
  11. NEG NAO
    Many towns holding large outdoor events will error on the side of caution Friday and Saturday because of the extreme heat warnings and at least a 50% chance of T-storms and reschedule - those 2 combined are dangerous even for younger people. Unfortunately I am sure emergency rooms will be packed with heat related illnesses. starting already Mercer County, NJ Outdoor Events Postponed Due to Heat Wave
  12. MarcmmKU
    What part is wrong? December 1997 and 2004 were indeed +QBO, + ENSO, and below normal. 2018 near normal. Refute the claim. These are numbers not opinions. You can be warm biased without literally lying like you currently are.
  13. snowman19
    NOAA has raised the scale again:
  14. frd
    OMG please, please, please....... The surf at most locals is a freakin lake..... wave energy like 20 to 29 ..... boring........
  15. Brewbeer
    Looks like there will be plenty of power available on the grid for the upcoming heat, no power watches or warning forecast - yet: Those interested in the New England grid should check out this site: https://www.iso-ne.com/isoexpress/web/guest/charts
  16. Ahoff
    5 minute obs are are 82 at 11:20, 90 will be tough at that pace.
  17. snowman19
    Wrong! You’re an idiot. Delete your account
  18. SACRUS
  19. SACRUS
    11AM Round up EWR: 86 LGA: 86 TEB: 85 BLM: 85 New Brnswck: 85 ACY: 84 ISP: 84 PHL: 83 TTN: 83 NYC: 82 JFK: 80
  20. nw baltimore wx
    I should have done the contest from Thursday to Sunday.
  21. Brian5671
    some sort of system rolling down from NY state-some areas will go cloudy within a couple hrs...will be interesting to see if any of these systems mess up the heat potential next 3-4 days
  22. csnavywx
    The entire warm pool is being discharged. Not only is there not any significant trade resistance this time around (remember '15?), quite a bit of activity has been ongoing away from the equator in addition to being on it. Modeling has steadily been playing catchup since the start of the event as it gradually incorporates all of the additional accumulated wind stress and eckman transport. This will be a colossal east-based event and trying to short it or fade it or talk it down is a fool's game. Look I get it, I like snow too and very early on (Dec/Jan) I was hoping we'd get a moderate event with the indo-pacific warm pool still intact. But that ain't happening. Better off cheering for some exotically warm winter up north that forces some weirdly favorable wave breaks downstream and south. Or save your emotional capital for the backlash Nina period. These big Ninos do have a tendency to cause climate regime shifts, so it's not always a bad thing once the event clears.
  23. CT Valley Snowman
    Some cloud contamination this afternoon may be enough to keep things just under the 90 F threshold here.
  24. bluewave
    Yeah, it has been a great link to use during the heatwaves since it was established. They even have a records section from previous years and months. The Queens corridor into Interior Nassau at times has seen some of the strongest compressional heating east of the Hudson.
  25. H2O
  26. toolsheds
    I agree. Was working some summer league games and got in the car at 3-2 and listened to the wheels fall off. They had 2 runners thrown out at the plate in extra innings in the past 2 weeks which could have changed the outcome of both games. Right now they are making fundamental errors which major league players shouldn't. Offensively, they are horrible. I do think Coswer is trying to get more selective at the plate, but still can't hit breaking balls. Neither can Mayo. And who knows what is in Henderson's head since the first month. I feel bad for Baz since he gets no run support. A lot broken right now and it is probably too much to fix.
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