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UKMET looks maybe a tick colder than 12z?

Seems like a outlier,it reels in the BAJA Low,only model showing this

UKmet looks ready to clobber us.

Ukie looking good so far

Tellico, check out the GEFS. I’ll get a image soon .

For reference

18” here. Incredible blizzard!

H's backing off

Crazy Ukmet probably won’t hit its 12z peak but it’s looking good for a solid slam dunk area wide

Hopefully the euro holds its ground. What we have going for us atm that kinda gives us some wiggle room is a very strong and well placed high (thank the lord). This is the absolute opposite of last weekend, we do not want anything to dig further west and we want very little amplification until the coast. I’m worried by these clown maps with 10” south of 24” luring folks into thinking that is still good. Usually that means as we get closer and resolution increases you can cut those totals by 2/3 south of the max area due to mix. Not trying to be negative but we need to be reasonable that a lot of the current data points would indicate south of VA is unlikely to see a pure snowstorm at this time. That does not mean it cannot be a big storm in these areas and I’m not even throwing amounts out but that’s my first call.

Incoming on UK!

GEFS cave

GEFS is Huge Totals

Recent coldest at EWR last 25 years: Bolded 5 and below

Time for your nap

Like a Cat 2+ hurricane. Haha

00z GEFS is going to be an insane mean, seems to be running a tad colder, more moisture and totals are bumping up even more than 18z. Going to be amazing for many.

The CMC is phasing/turning the corner in a climatologically very rare location. I have seen some systems do that but they are often monster deep Miller A lows. I think in the end that idea would result in a phase either earlier and more west or more likely east near the SC/GA coast or GA coastline

Big storms shift north. Isn’t that what we always say. I want it to be south of us

GEFS incredibly amped up

Gefs going to be a big jump north

So it was 9:1 10:1 ratio. Odd

tomer berg polarwx.com