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  2. I think he's worried because he's still closer to the water. Where you and I am are, we have a better shot of staying Frozen
  3. I feel like it's worth a casual mention that the EPS has been seeing some new Siberian warming cropping up at the end of recent runs. Today's 12z has continued with that thought. GEFS however has not been showing much interest in this idea.
  4. I feel like this a particularly weird battle because the GFS is usually the least amped
  5. all my local mets are just showing models now pushing to far north showing mostly rain after some mix at the start. of course they would jump on those models
  6. Nice heavy band making its way into Adrian MI. The start of the heavier snow for SEMI
  7. May be a little dry-hole coming over the Poplar Grove area around 6pm. We’ll see if it fills in. There was about 3-4 on the ground when I shoveled earlier. Looking similar out my window right now. So my uneducated, unsubstantiated guess would be 7 inches so far in the area.
  8. I've lived in the Midwest and most of my life in the Hudson Valley 50 miles NNW of New York City at 600 feet elevation. I'll take the winters where I live over Chicago 8 times out of ten. i'll take a Chicago winter over New York City winter 8 times out of 10 too.
  9. Thanks dude! Haven’t been out to measure yet, but I’ll let you know! Judging from radar, a heavy band is knocking on my doorstep.
  10. Yeah mean either but also not sold on the low going up your Fanny or even Canal runners. Tough forecast.
  11. Of course I mean we all know you . We shall see. Emass definitely at a huge disadvantage because, well because its early Dec and its EMASS the septic system of New England snow wise early season
  12. you think it'll snow at 29? maybe snow/mix and 36
  13. Just in time for the Leesburg Christmas tree lighting
  14. 18z GFS has the system for next Friday/Saturday. Mostly ICE but some snow.
  15. Clouds still couple hours away and looks like to me when humidity gets90%+ with precip it’s going to be about 29 around DC beltway
  16. Eps and ENS AI look great down here. GFS as always headed towards offshore rather than cutting across SNE like 24 hours ago. Wagons south
  17. As I said earlier and either Dryslot or Dendrite mentioned yesterday, we start taking models seriously at 0z tonight and beyond.
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