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Yeah depending on where you live the bar should be higher or lower, I wouldn’t consider 12” a big dog in the UP or east coast but here in areas outside the snow belts in the great lakes it’s a good benchmark. I wish the DTX office opened sooner because I always wonder what that area got during Detroit’s biggest snowstorms like in April of 1886 and December of 1974.

Man some good looking stuff on the long range euro. Hopefully this is the winter we end the “good pattern bad results” regime we’ve been in.

Where is @Allsnow

To their point about the pressure rises, this bombing low is progged to track NE through the central Lakes. A more ideal track for a C-PA high wind warning type event in this type of a bombing Lakes low scenario would be up through Lakes Erie and Ontario. They did opt on going high wind watch earlier today for the Laurels counties as well as here and down in Bedford County. In terms of CTP’s coverage area, I personally think high wind criteria may only be reached on the main Allegheny ridgeline (Cambria,Somerset) with a general wind advisory elsewhere, perhaps up to 55mph gusts just off the Alleghenies and 50mph in the Sus Valley. This is progged to bomb out to a very strong low (perhaps into the 970-975mb range), so it will be quite windy area-wide in the wake of it either way with LES and upslope lighting up in western PA later Monday into Tuesday. Another thing to keep an eye out for tomorrow in the late-morning/afternoon timeframe is some freezing rain at the onset of an initial area of WAA precip that noses up through C-PA. Focus of that seems to be north central around IPT but some guidance is showing trace ice down as far as AOO/UNV to a tad north of MDT. Only takes a T to throw up an advisory for ice so don’t be surprised if those advisories up north get expanded a bit further down this evening.

Do you think that problem played a role into it's colossal goof with the phantom folks storm of last February?

Keeping in mind that it just snowed constantly in the 1960s, December 23-24th 1966 saw a widespread 4-8 inch snow event from Nashville to Tri-Cities and points N in Sw Va and SE Kentucky, 2-4 inches along 40, 1-3 inches around Memphis, and unfortunately for Chattanooga, more rain with a back end dusting. Temps around zero for lows on Christmas morning imby. January of 56, by a day preceeded a 4-6+ inch event that went from Memphis to just north of Chattanooga and points north. Jan of '58 was a brief cold shot around the 15th-19th with around 1 inch of snow. The 1995 analog, it got coldish, 30s and 20s for highs and lows with a 1 inch snow here.

HRRR Hi Res Reggie say nah .. we’ll see. Other years I’d be inclined to agree but literally everything has verified colder this year . This is perfect setup for them to overestimate warming with such antecedent cold, fresh snowpack to coasts ..BN SST’s. We’ll see

Can confirm about an even 6 inches in Lindy.

If he was truly being advised to better his chances in the NFL, he should stay on at PSU (as a backup), learn under the new HC and OC and their 5th year QB, then play one or two years at PSU and take it from there...

Afternoon EPS tries for legit Alaskan ridge and health cross polar flow with retrograding -NAO into the western domain as we move through most of January. Doesn't look like any sustain garbage pattern or warmup, quite the opposite in fact.

They were tougher back then IMO. I’d bet people just put more layers on and kept the heat lower in general. I work with people that remote start their car from their work desk at the end of the day so the car is the perfect temp for them before they even open the car door to drive home. 25 degrees now after a high of 26 under gray skies and a decent snowpack, what a winter day.

The upcoming advertised pattern during the first half of January says “buckle up”!

You should hit 45 for sure I think. Question is duration.

Carolina Hemlocks? My family moved from Europe to that area and have been there since the 1830s. Used to be some of the best brown trout fishing from the Hemlocks down to Halls Chapel Church. I have fished or floated every inch of that river that's accessible. My heart was and still is broken to see how it looks after Helene

WSW for 5-8” with a blizzard warning one county west. Not much lead time on headlines, not sure how many people even know it’s going to snow tomorrow.

Everything keeps it pretty limited . Under 45 and perhaps under 40

You will torch I think.

The models are usually pretty good at picking up that STJ energy. They just cant pick up when/if any of it will actually come east. The Euro used to hold energy back a ton. Not sure if that was addressed in the most recent update or not.

I feel like some really big ones have formed in recent Nina but they either blew up off the coast or just scraped. I wonder why that is? Position of the pna? Racing NS? Blocking location?

24 hours ago the NWS POP for Augusta on Monday was 60%. This afternoon it has plunged to 20%....................... The Drought controls..................................................

Newark airport measures 4.2 inches and LGA also 4.2 inches and right in between the two Central Park, for once, correctly measures 4.3 inches and now someone on social is suddenly concerned Central Park over measures. Amazing.

I'll believe the STJ when I see it. I'd he elated with a region wide 4 to 8 incher

Not much ice here on this . Will be above 32 early Monday . Hopefully stays in 30’s all day for pack . CNE NNE should see a significant amount though

Not gonna lie, you’re doing better than I thought you would.