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Can you provide a link to the CSU MLP?

It's something to see, how heavy the rain is when it hits. Absolutely torrential. The sheer amount of thunder this summer is crazy.

The bottom has dropped out here in Waynesville. Lot's of street flooding.

DIT with some hail to his north again.

The HVN area just can't be left alone!

Oh, good luck my friend. I had that done back in 2020, and I hope I never have to do it again. I was out of work for six months after that surgery for recovery and physical therapy, but that was because of the physical nature of my work. You may be able to return to work faster. One thing to be prepared for is pain. It was the most painful therapy I've ever gone through. One word of advice my surgeon gave me was to stay ahead of the pain. Don't try to man up. If he/she doesn't give you a time estimate of when the nerve block will wear off, ask. That nerve block is awesome, but when it wears off, you'll know it. When I came home after surgery, I was like "that wasn't so bad". Yeah right...lol You'll want to take your first Vicodin, Percocet, or whatever they give you an hour before, because if you try to play catch up, you won't.

I mean, the longer we go without one, the more due we become. Unless we’re considering the possibility that it’ll never happen again, which would be pretty absurd. Also, this period without a SECS isn’t just long for our lifetimes. It’s one for history. BWI has blown past the longest streak of below average snowfall winters since data started being collected. With that being the case, I’d venture to assume this is the longest the Baltimore area has went without a SECS in history, probably by a good margin. That’s why I say, this is not just some bummer of a stretch. This is historically lousy.

Guidance is pretty juicy for Sunday.

Oppressive out there. Currently 96/82 for a feels like of 121.

Sir, this is the American Weather Forum...

Chubbs, I did try to expand your manual breakpoint detection process by asking AI to look at surrounding stations and identify "islands" where multiple stations are moving together. I explored various settings, such as the minimum amount of synchronized temperatures before declaring an island, minimum stations to make an island, rules for stations leaving an island and new stations joining, and new islands forming. The geographical area grew too large, pulling in Allentown etc. It will work, but its not a clear demonstration of using semi-local stations to identify breaks. However, Reading and West Chester do synchronize from 1929 to 1960 and make what looks like a solid reference against which breaks can be detected. I have not looked at the individual breaks, but these breaks should be those that would be found by your approach. Edit: this does not rule out the case where Reading and West Chester have overlapping breaks.

Fairly decent WWB is kicking off,could possible last into Sept.Subsurface has been expanding where the +10C is at,hard to believe this wont hit +11C from DWKW.

The 2 historically closest analogs for 26-27 are 97 - 98 and 15 - 16 at approx +2.2. They were both wet but snowfall was wild!! 97 - 98 was a western highlands snow delight with nearly 40 inches at Staunton/Blacksburg. Huge disappointment at Winchester and D.C. with less than 1 inch. 15 - 16 found 26 inches at my place, Winchester 32 and D.C. 22. More than +2.0 is highly favored to be wet but correct AO and NAO blocking is important to get cold air into the mix. We just can't know at this time. We should know by March 15.

September has been the sunniest month here, and August the 2nd most. (Least sunny is Dec, 2nd Nov - to no one's surprise.)

I just had a big landscaping job finished that included a walkway and patio made of flagstone. It's gorgeous!!

Some statistics for the Southeast concerning snowstorms during strong El Niño winters are below. Atlanta may have among the best chance of seeing a measurable snowstorm this upcoming winter.

I agree with what Flash said above.Just because its warm dont mean someone cant score this winter,In .I.E the strong 97=98 NINO the Cumberland got blasted by a wet snow storm around 20"@John would know more about that,i wasnt living in TN at that time https://www.weather.gov/ohx/19980203

My daughter goes to Drexel and loves taking the train home. Even has started to visit other friends in NYC. Great way to travel, and usually the tickets cover the cost of gas/tools/parking and the aggravation of driving.

Same. Drove 45 minutes to install polymeric sand to a beautiful paver project. I'm glad I checked radar just in case. Yup. Rain was incoming lol

Getting a strong storm yet again

Better than any winter crap, no doubt.

That’s the acceleration of the water cycle at work. So we see more swings between drought and flooding. I agree that flooding is more damaging for regions like ours and the Midwest. But the West is a different story. There they get extreme droughts leading to wildfires that are frequently more dangerous than rainfall flooding is in our area and the Midwest. Plus the smoke from the fires creates air pollution for the entire CONUS. They can also get serious floods from time to time especially in the burn scar areas.