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Not really. We have the ICON showing a nuisance event at best, the UKMET gives nobody anything more than flurries, and the NAM was going to end up pretty weak too. The models are split close to 50/50 right now on the outcome.

Drunk Unkle agrees with it. The AI euro shifting west was huge though.

0z isnt an off hour

Outlier right now

Aifs eps is also further west

Still interesting to see how the ai version is much better than the op. Who wins euro classic or euro hip

It's out to sea. Maybe a hair east of 18z.

Models continue to sag southeast with the snow event.

Is that a general statement, or a specific one pertaining to this run, I only have it out to 66 on Pivotal lol

If you’re comparing it to 12z it’s better. But 18z was overall better than the current run.

It started off better but that piece of energy over the great lakes ended up farther south which doesn’t allow for the amplification we need to have this thing climb the coast.

This is what I saw in differences and I was like, this would be good

We can worry about surface later, we take any move towards the good

this is why randy does it, not me it was also better at the start, slightly better seperation, but the +PNA ridge more broad

Op is ass

Great pbp…

Synoptic wise its better but surface sucks

Off hours drunk run?

1/19 EURO AI AIFS Total QPf

Kinda liking it

yup, that ridge is able to bubble up between the upper level features, creating almost a mini Omega-block look Causes our ULL to slow down and tilt rather than continue to swing positively towards the coast nice move from the AIFS, now lets see if the OP sees the same thing

Pointing toward cape may

Well well well .... Let's bring it in another 25-50 miles and the while tri-state will be involved

Even the rec boxes are sizeably confused! My temp reminded at 1C so I didn't collect more ice, whew. Very wet today, maybe 20mm over the last 36 hr. I had a wave of real freezing rain at 9pm race through which coated all surfaces once I was -1C, a peek at what ick would've been in store had this precip been at night.

Euro might cave/semi-cave because WOW is the wave amped.