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  2. Your track record predicting long range forecasting is atrocious. How did your winter forecast turn out last winter ?
  3. More storms rolled through, cleared out nicely this evening for grill, steak and some beverages outside.
  4. i am humble enough to pay tribute to my betters
  5. My rain total is 0.47", on the low end of guidance. This is about as awful as a June day can get. It feels like April. Let's get back to warm and humid with storms.
  6. ya because the 0.1” of rain I got earlier was so satisfying
  7. It’s gonna take repeated punches from giga-Nino. And a few more months until those start I think.
  8. ILC081-191-212300- /O.CON.KPAH.TO.W.0038.000000T0000Z-260621T2300Z/ Wayne IL-Jefferson IL- 522 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR WEST CENTRAL WAYNE AND NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES... At 522 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Bluford, or 11 miles northeast of Mount Vernon, moving east at 25 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! Just another day in Illinois, Intense to violent tornado ripping through. Wicked debris ball.
  9. The best way to validate what will happen with this event is to find opposite conditions : Solar Max or Min (rather than mid-cycle) Strong east based La Nina in Summer that is colder (relatively) than Nino 4 Opposite IOD/AMO for Summer. Roll that year or blend of years forward and flip it. That should match the analogs. Haven't done that yet.
  10. That will change, Santa, if you ever parole Will. As always …..
  11. Yesterday just added to the collection of sticks and branch tips with under 10 leaves.
  12. IMO, the big issue right now is the disagreement between the JAMSTEC (much cooler ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly relative to the Region 3.4 anomaly) and other guidance e.g., ECMWF seasonal (similar or warmer Region 1+2 anomaly relative to the Region 3.4 anomaly). We're in June. What is fairly certain is that a strong/super ENSO event is likely. In addition, the Region 1+2 anomaly has been running higher than the Region 3.4 anomaly into early June. Given the forecast strength of the ENSO, strong or persistent blocking would be helpful if one is looking to maximize wintry prospects. Whether this will be more like 1877-78, 1972-73, 1982-83, or 1997-98 remains to be seen, especially this far out.
  13. Exactly what I think of you. I typically don't name call though, something you do all the time to people in here.
  14. what is this streak across colorado? https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Colorado-comp_radar-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  15. Plenty of snowstorms in the lakes in 72-73 & 15-16. 23-24 was the one month winter. Nearly winters entire load blown in January.
  16. Enso state is irrelevant to what your yearly analogs are. Whatever is warmest and least snowy on the east coast. I dont even live there and I know that.
  17. Every day. Thunder and heavy rain. May only be a quarter inch but will gladly send it to someone who wants it. It better not rain tomorrow.
  18. There really cant possibly be anyone who's game is as clear as his.
  19. This is a NH and NNE summer in terms of storms and rains. They always reveal themselves in June and it’s generally the same repetitive areas . Last year that was this area .
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