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I knew it. Party is over. Probably will be lucky to see flurries now.

Not as good as the runs it has been putting out. The 6z wasn't terrible

Not the best looks overnight.

It’s due to the transfer occurring.

GFS big hit for coastal areas. Drier pretty much everywhere inland. Also has the dry slot over Raleigh

GFS drier

It does look like the next tease will be late next week on the ensembles.

3k has a vicious dry slot Raleigh to coastal plain

I'd normally post the final snowfall maps here but there is a separate thread for storm totals so i posted them in there, thanks

The death of posts overnight said it all. Only 5 of those have any impact up this way. I knew it was a long-shot; this seals the deal.

low of 2

Just finished all the final snowfall maps for this historic snowstorm. I tried to make sure only to include reports that were updated as of late Monday night which was a nightmare (OKX never updated their PNS, the interactive map had tons of old reports, etc). Reports are from here, cocorahs, COOP and official climo sites. Thanks to everyone who messaged me or tagged me in a report. I tried to use most of them if i could fit them in but sometimes they overlap or there is more than 1 for a given town. I ended up changing the ranges to 6-10/10-14/14-20/20-27 to be more fitting with system and so there was less bubbles and holes. These are all up on the site and a full archive link will come later with radar & sfc/upper air maps. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/winter-25-26 The final forecast was mostly good but was a bit too conservative across the board. Most of CT did fall within the 12-18" range with some higher numbers to the north and northeast. SE corner and SW corner also verified in the 8-12 range. Looking back a realistic best call would have been 10-14/14-20 and for SNE 10-14/14-20 and 20-30 or 20+ northeast. Snowfall Totals Final Forecast

It’s been showing up to varying degrees on different runs across most modeling. If you’re between Greensboro and Greenville that is this storms *potential* fail mode

Yep that is my concern. It is why I posted. It’s damned close to triangle areas and would be an absolute kick in the nads to get 1” with 8”+ on either side

This is not the first time I've seen that modeled gap between Raleigh and the Coast. Greenville less snow than anyone? What the hell is going on!

I highly doubt the coastal plain would be the screw zone this time. Think western piedmont and foothills is where we need to be MOST wary of that. Coastals always have a screw zone somewhere on the NW flank. Always.

Gotta say, that coastal plain dry slot is concerning. One of these analog storms, cannot remember which, did that bad over central NC. Starting to see it on most modeling. Could really screw someone in this setup as the coastal takes over

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 238 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ092-093-095>098-100-524-525-291700- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.A.0002.260131T0600Z-260201T2100Z/ Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck- Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Eastern Currituck-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach- Northampton-Newport News-Hampton/Poquoson- 238 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 8 and 15 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 50 to 60 mph along the coast. * WHERE...Portions of northeast North Carolina and eastern and southeast Virginia. * WHEN...From late Friday night through Sunday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Whiteout conditions are possible and may make travel treacherous and potentially life-threatening. Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Strong winds could cause tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

I sorted all the reports and weeded out all the ones that were early or before it was over and didn't include Monday. Apparently thats final from cocorahs. But it does seem too low, so i tossed it. not in the final map.

Huh. That's what my wife calls me. Now I get where she got it from.

Final snowfall totals for the Jan 25-26th Snowstorm. This was a huge undertaking that i've been working on all week sifting through over 1,000 reports. Thank you to everyone who sent me a report or tagged me. I tried to use most of them when i could but some just couldn't fit or multiples for a single town/area. This will be up in the archive once surface and upper level maps come out. The forecast for this was solid overall, though a bit on the conservative side across the board, but still most major cities fell with original 8-12" range across NYC/NJ and LI. I changed the ranges to 6-10/10-14/14-20/20+ to be more fitting with the snowfall totals and so there was less holes/bubbles. These maps are now up on our site in the Winter 25-26 page. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/winter-25-26 Snowfall Totals Final Forecast

Figures that the western valley counties like Anderson wouldn't be in it. I'd love 1 good snow before spring. Hope there's still some room for a shift.

Here are the 06z icon totals

6z ICON not quite as good as 0z but not a huge difference.

Well, the euro has a storm for Thursday and Friday next week