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  2. Stormchaserchuck1
    The 8 driest El Nino's with a RONI peak >+1.1 came out ... 2 El Nino - 3 Neutral - 3 La Nina the year after [27-28] ... the average RONI that next year is -0.15/yr.
  3. calculus1 started following May ‘26 obs
  4. weatherwiz
    I was just going to comment on this
  5. RedSky
    Early in the week Mon-Tue then normal to below. Normal May weather what a novelty.
  6. ForestHillWx
    I think I’d rather pay the natty gas bill to take morning chill out over the electric bill when the AC cranks on those high dews, but considering it’s almost mid-May, it’s getting to be about that time….
  7. IrishRob17
    Low of 35 for this morning. Agreed that this seasons last free is 4/21 and 24 for me but it isn't the coldest last freeze in my records. 2007 will still hold that record with a last freeze of 22 on 4/11.
  8. CPcantmeasuresnow
    Didn't make freezing this morning, 35.6 for the low, so I guess April 21st will hold as last freeze for the spring. I can't remember a year where 23 degrees was our last freeze and no freeze after that, pretty extreme.
  9. Today
  10. powderfreak
    As an online group, weather enthusiasts try to cauterize the shoulder seasons more and more each year. It’s either viewed under a lens where it’s supposed to be really nice and warm outside, or winter.
  11. dendrite
    Ha. I’ll take the over. Is that supposed to be his thoughts on the polar jet? That looks like a January longwave pattern. lol Some moron on social media was trying to tell me March was cold in PA. The state was like +4 to +8. I swear people think every day is supposed to be 70s when winter is over. Ditty has everyone confused and installing in March.
  12. The Iceman
    Low of 40 here, shaping up to be a beautiful afternoon though. Already 64F. Enjoy the comfort this week and dust out the AC vents as it is looking like we go straight into summer next week.
  13. kdxken
    There goes June.
  14. weatherwiz
    I'm pretty sure that supercell is producing a waterspout that is sucking Great White Sharks out of the Gulf
  15. dendrite
    Today is the pure definition of variably cloudy. It goes 7/8 BKN/OVC for 20-30 mins followed by 20-30 mins of like 2/8 FEW. Rinse and repeat.
  16. JerseyWx
    Yeah should be good for awhile. Early June and late August can be sneaky but I think we're entering summer mode. You'll start to see dews increasing as well which will keep it warmer at night too.
  17. snowman19
  18. GaWx
    Here’s the raw (rather than relative) anomaly for the daily OISST in Nino 1+2: ~+1.5C (relative is ~+1.0C)
  19. roardog
    There’s no guarantee that any of that stuff happens as modeled. I think it’s increasingly likely we are headed toward another -PDO type El Niño IMO.
  20. weatherwiz
    Nice classic supercell just off the western Florida coast
  21. RedSky
    37F low
  22. Typhoon Tip
    Probably every summer in about 22 years ... Just another threshold moving on past ...
  23. weatherwiz
    I wonder how rare Blowing Dust Advisories are in Illinois
  24. WmsptWx
    Starting to see a lot of SM posts about prolonged warmth, including the Pacific jet and MJO going into the warm stage. I'll take it.
  25. Typhoon Tip
    I can see/sense Brian's complaint on that. A cursory scan of the higher res vis satellite eyeballs an ~ 50 to 80% sun vs 50 to 20% cloud obstruction, yet you seem to be majority shaded over your neighborhood.
  26. A-L-E-K
    barry the goat
  27. dendrite
    Are you on the top floor of a 3 story apt? My house was down to 60° this morning.
  28. dendrite
    Did you need tissues like some here?
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