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many of these towns have the fireworks after all day events
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Welp...sounds like a snowless torch and at least 1 nina the year after to me. Not sure that'll make any of us happy. And before anybody weenies me...refute why that setup is any good for snow. The super niño is locked in at this point, so it IS happening.
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- we got burned
- rugpull central
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Fireworks should be ok to go given the evening start and difficult with rescheduling especially since it's a hot stretch not just one day...although T-storms could prevent them in spots. Never fun making that call. One time here they postponed it never rained, then rained on the reschedule date lol
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Maestrobjwa replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Backlash nina period won't be good for some of us either so...emotional capital for the year (or two) after? Lol -
Oh, absolutely! Knowing potential error in forecasting is useful. It can help determine an edge Agreed. Models struggle along tight gradients. That's universal regardless of boundary type (dry-moist, warm-cold, land-water, etc...) ... Advantage will always go to the finer resolution modeling system.
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Blah.......ring of nothing
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- severe
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Many towns holding large outdoor events will error on the side of caution Friday and Saturday because of the extreme heat warnings and at least a 50% chance of T-storms and reschedule - those 2 combined are dangerous even for younger people. Unfortunately I am sure emergency rooms will be packed with heat related illnesses. starting already Mercer County, NJ Outdoor Events Postponed Due to Heat Wave
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
What part is wrong? December 1997 and 2004 were indeed +QBO, + ENSO, and below normal. 2018 near normal. Refute the claim. These are numbers not opinions. You can be warm biased without literally lying like you currently are. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
NOAA has raised the scale again: -
OMG please, please, please....... The surf at most locals is a freakin lake..... wave energy like 20 to 29 ..... boring........
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Pittsburgh PA Summer 2026 Thread
Ahoff replied to TheClimateChanger's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
5 minute obs are are 82 at 11:20, 90 will be tough at that pace. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Wrong! You’re an idiot. Delete your account -
11AM Round up EWR: 86 LGA: 86 TEB: 85 BLM: 85 New Brnswck: 85 ACY: 84 ISP: 84 PHL: 83 TTN: 83 NYC: 82 JFK: 80
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I should have done the contest from Thursday to Sunday.
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some sort of system rolling down from NY state-some areas will go cloudy within a couple hrs...will be interesting to see if any of these systems mess up the heat potential next 3-4 days
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
csnavywx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The entire warm pool is being discharged. Not only is there not any significant trade resistance this time around (remember '15?), quite a bit of activity has been ongoing away from the equator in addition to being on it. Modeling has steadily been playing catchup since the start of the event as it gradually incorporates all of the additional accumulated wind stress and eckman transport. This will be a colossal east-based event and trying to short it or fade it or talk it down is a fool's game. Look I get it, I like snow too and very early on (Dec/Jan) I was hoping we'd get a moderate event with the indo-pacific warm pool still intact. But that ain't happening. Better off cheering for some exotically warm winter up north that forces some weirdly favorable wave breaks downstream and south. Or save your emotional capital for the backlash Nina period. These big Ninos do have a tendency to cause climate regime shifts, so it's not always a bad thing once the event clears. -
Yeah, it has been a great link to use during the heatwaves since it was established. They even have a records section from previous years and months. The Queens corridor into Interior Nassau at times has seen some of the strongest compressional heating east of the Hudson.
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I agree. Was working some summer league games and got in the car at 3-2 and listened to the wheels fall off. They had 2 runners thrown out at the plate in extra innings in the past 2 weeks which could have changed the outcome of both games. Right now they are making fundamental errors which major league players shouldn't. Offensively, they are horrible. I do think Coswer is trying to get more selective at the plate, but still can't hit breaking balls. Neither can Mayo. And who knows what is in Henderson's head since the first month. I feel bad for Baz since he gets no run support. A lot broken right now and it is probably too much to fix.
