All Activity

I wasn’t talking about on here you bozo. Did you even bother to read what I said or you just saw that I dared to say “not extreme cold” and you saw red. Oh wait…..you never see red

Good place for it at 11days out…if its even real.

Friday evening, I'll start the Dec thread due to already discussed Stratwarm and its impact as a pattern changer-plunger in North America. That way I can add the CPC week 3-4 outlook and any D8-14 hazards which I suspect will be developing in the east, beyond lake effect.

AIF’s are cold and dry for that . OTS

I saw that this AM. I figured they hadn't even started making snow. I think I heard they plan to have the new summit lift online by December 8. I guess that took pressure off making snow to summit.

honest question, why are you even on twitter? I avoid twitter like the plague there are enough knowledgeable people here

Big interior snowstorm

Different answer on Google search ai answer says as few days to a couple of weeks for a major SSW to be felt in the mid latitudes such as North America and eastern Canada. With the effects potentially lasting up to two months. Regardless, there comes a risk with this as we could end up getting a suppressed storm track depends on where the SPV sets up right over Hudson Bay is ideal.

Ya, I’m real cool with that, was just making a point. Carry on.

I’m actually seeing a bit of a signal for around the 30th, especially for interior. Way out in time, but a bunch of EPS members had it. 18z OP GFS has a front clearing around the 28th with HP building behind and energy organizing down S. Likely too early in the Ridge beat down progression for the coastal plain, but I’d keep an eye out on this time period for interior/W NY region .

No one said " extreme cold " but you said warm and thats not going to happen .

It’s still mostly a cover all bases operation

Yep, one of those 2-4” stat padders we’ve been lacking until last winter.

Fwiw or not ... I'm not a big fan of the MJO unless it's in constructive interference with the WPO mode...or it has a tough time propagating convection out of the marine subcontinent. It has to do that or there's no latent heat flux --> dispersion forcing to the modulate the subtropical coupling to the mid latitudes ..etc. Right now, the RMM shows the wave struggling on the 6 wave number region, probably also because it's negatively interfering with the W. Pac/La Nina. To me that's like a "predictive firewall" ... we'll see what happens if that wave collapse tendency is real. If it is not, then the way may indeed escape the W. Pac gauntlet later in 7 ... The 7 composite is actually a cool anomaly from the NP-GL-NE regions... and then it would be in positive interference in the Americas in 8-1-2. So it's like a yes-no-yin-yang- neg-pos along this wave's progression. I figure the WPO/EPO signal is precedent (there first) ...the MJO arriving late is liable to get damp some. The question is ... does it punch through. I'm aware the RMM has it going nuts in some of the guidance types way out there in late 7. The MJO is not a pattern forcer... it's a pattern modulator. And the latter depends on the whether neg or pos interference. It needs to be positive

Pay site. You may get one free. https://www.bostonglobe.com/2025/11/19/metro/polar-vortex-forecast-2025-cold/

Huh. So I guess they’re actually not showing “extreme cold” like I just read on twitter. Man oh man, you have to be really careful who you follow there

Is there any meteorological reason for this as opposed to the typical warming trend? Is the pattern different or upper levels atypical to the past?

High of 45.3°, lowest high of the season so far.

Today was better. A predicted high of 56 with a high of 55. The forecaster at Sterling needs to understand that with an approaching system, a warmfront in southwest Va. with CAD creates low values over N.W. Va.

What’s even wilder is there are some places in eastern N.C. that still haven’t hit freezing, and Florida got this cold

Lamar has an ankle injury now. After knee and hamstring. Dude is far from 100% clearly. Almost just say to rest this week against the Jets and let Snoop play and be ready for Thanksgiving.

Didn't places in the Dakotas go from 70's to feet of snow in 12 hours Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Winter arriving in mid-December. As predictable as tides.

Pattern looks to be shaping up for the coming weeks for below average temps. The risk for winter weather should increase. Just like the Pirates signing a notable free agent Ill believe it when it happens.