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The Thursday/Friday rain chances seem to be evaporating as the front lags to the northwest and energy skips by to the North.. Drought conditions continue for many and El Nino guarantees NOTHING.

I was born and raised in the Midwest but have lived all over. My favorite was probably in the mountains near Durango Colorado. Stunningly beautiful and nature every direction you look. The summers were incredible. Perfect weather and no mosquitos or annoying bugs due to the altitude I was at (about 8,000ft). The mountains created almost daily little thunderstorms. By little, I mean you could legit actually walk around them. Almost every afternoon around 3pm you could plan on it. It was very cool. Fire danger wasn’t cool though and the winters could get a little depressing. The mountains made the sun disappear by 2pm so it was just cold and dark most of the time. I also enjoyed San Diego. Absolutely amazing beaches and pretty much perfect weather daily. But I really started missing changing weather and season changes. Going 6 months without rain was something I could never get used to. I heard thunder maybe twice in those 6 years I lived there. I know it’s weird to complain about perfect weather all the time, but the lack of variety was torturing me as a weather weenie. As with most of you, I’m just a midwesterner through and through. I’d like to move to the northwoods of Wisconsin someday as I don’t mind the cold and snow and move it up there, but the job market keeps me further south. Maybe I’ll retire up there someday. But as someone who has lived all over the country and travelled it extensively (49/50 states multiple times), there are many places I love to visit, but the Midwest has always been “home.” I will likely spend the rest of my life here. we are very fortunate to live in this big, beautiful country though. Anything you want, we got it. photo of one of the Durango thunderstorms I was talking about…

yes

Some pretty heavy rain for about 20 minutes earlier.

Early fall airmass moved in last night. Gusty NW winds, steep lapse rates and lower dew point. Trees are starting to show some drought stress. 0.20” since August 1 7.10” since June 1

Other way around. The glacial collapse/landslide caused the seismic response.

85 degrees and mostly sunny with a dewpoint of 56 here. Absolutely perfect summer day.

models would suggest that. however we have gotten hammered every time so I can see why they might go flood watch for the Philly area-SW CT yet again

Yeah little to nothing tomorrow other than far NW CT

Yeah I was thinking a bit NW of there.

Little room to complain with our recent history locally, but some thunder would've been nice today especially since it's more normy filler weather for the rest of the week

Activity will be more on the widespread side into western CT...probably up to the CT River. Activity begins isolated but should quickly organize into short lines and clusters.

Currently 82 degrees Mow 24 in the books.

what am I missing-models don't have much for the coast at least-looks well N and W

Definitely. Though even 1997 and 2015 had much more activity by this point. 97 went on to be one of the quietest years on record but still it's impressive just how little activity there's been at all to this point

Going away to block island next week, hoping it’s not a washout. But I dont love how the models look. Guess I should have figured in what has been a wet summer that it would continue into September.

^More on this: The very strong Nino seasons of 1982 and 1877 only had 1 TC by Aug 26th. 1965 only had 2. And 2026 so far has been a sig. stronger Nino than these 3. @TheDreamTraveler

https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/winter-2026-2027-first-forecast-super-el-nino-polar-vortex-snow-cold-united-states-canada-europe-fa/ Winter 2026/2027 First Forecast: Super El Niño Drives a Major Weather Divide

Flash flood watch up for SWCT for about the 10th time this summer.

Could be a decent day north of I-70 into PA. More scattered than isolated wind damage.

That’s the earthquake that caused it all , was originally listed as 4.4 now 5.2.

High of 90, low of 69.

Yeah GFS and NAM are both showing Passaic as a hit so idk what to believe lol.