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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
MJO812 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
MJO812 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Dont write off December just yet -
Hard to argue. Both seem washed. Humphrey has been for a couple years at least. Plus he is a pain in the ass.
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Pretty good take by Wink. He knows the defensive tradition with the Ravens. He was aggressive as a coordinator. Maybe he should be hired as a consultant.
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Briefly is likely. The problem along 95 is the time of year. Water temps are still in the low 60s in the north east. So even if we get a couple 40/70 tracks in the time frame it’s hard to pull anything off. We saw that with October 11 storm. If it had been a month later 95 would have seen 12”+ totals. Our best bet is a second disruption in late January that gives us a window in February. .
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
1994-95 is a sneaky good analog. Maybe even better than 1997-98. I know 94-95 wasn't as strong of an el nino, but this is the closest match we have with the PDO (-), QBO (+), NAO, AO, and solar. -
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tornado warning at a place between Minneapolis and Duluth. The place is called Siren.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
EasternLI replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
So, if you can have a weakened vortex. That part is important. Plus this residual -AAM in the mid latitudes. With something like a +MT to shove it towards the pole. You'd stand a pretty good chance to see some high latitude blocking actually. - Today
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October 2026 General Discussion
OrdIowPitMsp replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
My ski hill is about to get wiped out. -
2026-2027 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
wncsnow replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
The leaves are beautiful on the eastern escarpment not as beautiful French Broad River Valley. -
October 2026 General Discussion
Torchageddon replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
It was wonderful cycling out this aft. I got to 20C/68F with clear blue skies. Last 20C+ day was Oct 13. -
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We knew it wasn’t gonna last much longer…although some thought stein through at least the first half of November.
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some severe weather north and south of Minneapolis
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Here comes the bitch.
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Its everywhere around here and not in a elevated valley.. maybe because the region is higher as a whole?
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Terpeast replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes. I would personally love to run the 25-26 analog back again, even if two KUs had missed my area. Flip side, running 09-10 again might not produce a record snowfall. -
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Probably right, but you also have to leave open for the possibility that the longer range defaults towards climo.
