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Temps creeping up in West Hanover Township 30.2, dew point of 12 is going to be the saving grace for frozen precipitation.

Think we’re mostly waiting until early or mid January. We’ll see.

Gotta get the bread and milk!

East Nantmeal NW Chesco Cloudy skies with some virga approaching from the NW. 24.7 degrees DP 10.9

It could also be overdone. It's just something to watch.

20 miles north baby!

Welcome! I’m not that far west from and we have snow cover. The last storm dropped about 2” on top of the half melted pack that remained.

Warm noses always seem to over perform. Or come out of nowhere

Although I'm usually optimistic, I don't like what I'm seeing at all. Yeah, something could pop up, but the advertised pattern looks to me like a different take on cold and dry and there are no single legit threats showing up on the ensembles causing mean snowfall progs to respond. Until some one identifiable threat appears, I think it's safe to bet on nothing. How I hope that changes.

The GEFS/EPS still strongly disagree on virtually every indice. GEFS likes more of a -AO/NAO/WPO/PNA whereas the EPS is way less negative on the AO/NAO and same story on the WPO/PNA

This is from their discussion: Soundings depict a warm nose above H7 that if slightly undermodeled, could allow for more in the way of ice pellets, particularly for NYC and points south and west. This potential is currently not expected to impact snow accumulations, but will have to be monitored. I'm just flagging something that should give pause

Hoping I can slant stick 0.1” of sleet but doubting it

Just got to DCL. 27/25 with light freezing rain. Already have a glaze.

Area to watch is higher up actually. DGZ in this is way up around 500mb so look higher for the banding signatures in models. But there is a sneaky warm layer to keep track of too ~750mb. This sounding is from somewhere near the sleet line.

the vort trending more amplified is actually good… we get mid level forcing along with the WAA, allowing for more liquid initially (which is when most of the snow falls, anyway)

Mix of light sleet and freezing rain with a shower passing through. 30/20

That is simply not true. Will some areas change over for a time as the precip lightens up? Maybe. NWS still has 6 inches or so for basically the entire NYC metro and they increased amounts slightly overnight. Are they just looking at snow maps also?

I'm doing the same thing. I usually go on Saturday, but pushing it to today because I don't want to go tomorrow after the shoveling and with roads likely being a mess.

This system has reverted back to the old days of Niñas when the snow/freezing line slowly crept north as we got closer to the event. Unlike the snows in VA earlier in the month that never really bugged much at all from several days out.

looks like some sleet/snow showers working their way thru VA.

My very casual looking the last couple days suggests next chance might be a clipper or some snow along an arctic front around NYD.

96 hours later - Itstrainingtime's house: 5.6" Mammoth Lakes, CA: 71" This is potentially good news for us as we want storm cycles to eject out of CA at our latitude as they begin their journey east.

28F with light rain here. It's gonna be solid sheets of ice everywhere in no time.

Not EB anymore. Last week I saw your car there so you know this

I’m going with 1-3” for Allentown but it’s basically a crapshoot with how volatile that warm nose is. This is the type of storm where the airport sees nothing but sleet which barely accumulates an inch, while 20 miles away in Bangor they get 4-5”.