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It’s been said but my goodness if this system had another day over water this might’ve been a major

September 2 1996: Approximately 8 inches of rain falls over a 2 1/2 hour period in the Mankato area resulting in flash flooding. Numerous roads are closed, basements flooded, and $100,000 of damage results from a lightning strike in Lehiller. 1992: Severe weather affects several counties in the western parts of the County Warning Area. Several tornadoes are reported, along with 3/4 inch hail and damaging winds, as the system passes through Pope, Swift, Stearns, Kandiyohi, Meeker, Brown and Renville Counties. 1975: Severe weather rolls through Stevens, Swift, Kandiyohi, and Meeker counties. 1.5 inch Hail is reported in Stevens and Swift. An F1 tornado also occurs in Swift. An hour later, another F1 Tornado was reported in Kandiyohi County while 69 knot winds occurred in Meeker County. Damages were estimated at $50,000 for the two tornadoes that touched down. 1937: Strong thunderstorms bring heavy rainfall to northern Minnesota, with 4.61 inches of rain dumped on Pokegama. Flooding was reported in Duluth. For Wednesday, September 2, 2026 1935 - Perhaps the most intense hurricane ever to hit the U.S. struck the Florida Keys with 200 mph winds. The hurricane produced a fifteen foot tide and waves thirty feet high. 400 persons perished in the storm on that Labor Day. The barometric pressure at Matecumbe Bay FL hits a record low for the U.S. of 26.35 inches. (David Ludlum) 1950 - The temperature at Mecca, CA, soared to 126 degrees to establish a U.S. record for the month of September. The low that morning was 89 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1985 - After teasing residents along the Gulf of Mexico for two days, Hurricane Elena finally came ashore at Biloxi MS. The hurricane, packing winds of 127 mph, caused more than a billion dollars damage. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Late evening thunderstorms in the Northern Plains Region produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Jordan MT, and a ""hot flash"" at Redig SD. The temperature at Redig rose from 66 degrees at 10 PM to 86 degrees at 11 PM as thunderstorm winds gusted to 36 mph. Nine cities in the Upper Ohio Valley, the Tennessee Valley and the Central Gulf Coast States reported record low temperatures for the date, including Elkins WV with a reading of 38 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Unseasonably hot weather prevailed in the northwestern U.S. Afternoon highs of 98 degrees at Olympia WA, 98 degrees at Seattle WA, 105 degrees at Portland OR, and 110 degrees at Medford OR, established records for the month of September. Quillayute WA equalled their September record with an afternoon high of 97 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Eight cities in the Gulf Coast Region reported record high temperatures for the date as readings soared into the upper 90s. Houston TX and Port Arthur TX hit 99 degrees. Late evening thunderstorms, developing ahead of a cold front, produced wind gusts to 63 mph at Dickinson ND, and golf ball size hail in North Dakota and Nebraska. Winds along the cold front itself gusted to 62 mph at Buffalo SD. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) Observances: 2 Wed World Coconut Day 2 Wed Bison Ten Yell Day 2 Wed V-J Day 2 Wed National Blueberry Popsicle Day 2 Wed National Live Fearless Day 2 Wed Pierce Your Ears Day 2 Wed Spalding Baseball Day

I hope so. Looks fair and dry starting Friday.

Sun poking out near ISP. I’m not expecting anything to happen out here, although more often than not, the best storms I’ve seen out here have come by “surprise”.

New season, new thread.

Here are some photos of my moms house in mantua. (these are photos she took)

on its current trajectory, the western end of that complex will get to approximately the Loudoun/Montgomery county line assuming it holds together...

It could be to an extent but this whole region is in some level of drought, so it would be highly unlikely a moist environment exists on the ground outside of what the storm has produced. I think more likely this is a function of an extremely unstable environment, low shear, and proximity to gulf moisture. This area has been known historically for producing similar occurrences of systems maintaining longer than expected so there might be some regional geography/proximity to the gulf that factors in for adequate moisture transport with minimal elevation to disrupt a surface low. Very very impressive storm, did not think we’d still be talking about this system much today

This slowness of decay seems to happen fairly often in this region per my memory.

Working in central PG county. I can see the high cloud cover making its way south.

MU: A dangerous complex, or Mesoscale Convective System (MCS), of severe T-storms is racing SE across central PA & will impact the LSV between 11 AM-2 PM. The worst storms will impact areas west of the Susquehanna River with frequent lightning, downpours and wind gusts up to 70 mph!

Pack at Machias (20' asl) reached 74" in March 2015, likely a top-10 depth in Maine records, and by far tops for saltwater shoreline sites.

It’s cloudy after some morning sun. One would think that MCS would get to me eventually

Have you ever been there? I was hiking on mainly level trails in the Maroon Bells valley at 11.5-11.7K. However, I will note that a good portion of the scenic loop (just beyond the lake) was quite rocky with a few areas of relative steepness. And I’m not at all an experienced hiker with trails like this. Thus I needed to walk very slowly in this portion and watch every single step I took to make sure I didn’t slip, slide on lose rock, or lose my balance. Thank goodness I had a ski pole that I would stick into the ground to use as a stabilizing hiking stick. Otherwise I could have easily fallen and been injured. A couple of times I played it extra safe by sitting down on my behind and sliding lol.

Incredibly impressive radar and satellite appearance. Given the wind observations you noted @NorthHillsWx, maybe a bit of Brown Ocean Effect slowing decay at least?

A nice slug of showers and storms over N WI and the S UP early this morning missing all but the far southern tip of MQT County. Otherwise, clearing skies on tap with a high in the upper 70's. Should be a really nice day with dews in the upper 50's to 60.

There may be a window to get at least some isolated storms tomorrow afternoon. I wonder if there is actually potential for damaging wind gusts along the CT coast late tonight.

Definitely looks like a north of 66 deal

100% It's not a matter me agreeing. The bold, and in fact all this is so. Whether one agrees or not.

Ha ...right. You know, no one's asking; this is purely personal - I'm so f'n fed up with winter's being some how some way just not nearly as impactful or even interesting to watch unfold ... years stacking on top of years of that shit, too, I've given up on that ever being different. For one, CC leans in the background and at some point, we have to admit that winter's as we knew them will be gone forever. That's just incontrovertible logic - we cannot continue to warm and expect snow. At some dope slap obvious to objective reality point in future time, the former will stop the latter. I sense some of that is claiming winter's real-estate already. Probably why these winter's are becoming increasingly more challenged to finding a foothold over the longer term "quality means". Which we hide in time locality just because we happen to get two storms that were 20". 20" storms used to be rare; CC -drive H20 vapor density increasing in the ambient makes that more possible. But this is transient during this part of the CC curve... Those are destined to be rain events in similar atmospheric structures of the future. While in between them, like Brian intimates very correctly, we're floating above climo in the ambience. This is the insidious nature of CC. It's not going to "turn off" winters like that. It's going to erode at the edges and punch more and more holes in previous assumptions of interim storm behaviors here and there. Ultimately ... diminishing returns. It could happen faster? sure. It could slow down and regress one year or two or even three over a decade, but the destiny ain't changin' I feel we're already going down that road... and doing so at a bad time of my life. I'm middle aged now, a time when a lot of people quite naturally start losing interest in winter anyway. I think I have to admit, I'd rather continue with outdoor activities straight through. So, I'm feel both my ability, and will to defend winter, combined to putting my interest in deep trouble. I realize I may be one in maybe 3 or 4 members in this particular social media that share's in any similar motivation. I'm not here to diminish winter for anyone else. It's just a take I don't deny. Folks can still count on me to be objective about individual threats and/or general pattern assessments.

I have a friend who's hiked all the 14ers and many more than once, and for him the Bells are some of the most dangerous he calls it "hiking on a giant pile of dinner plates". But not till you get above pass level (12K).

I bet it'll be possible to take a pleasant hike in short sleeves and shorts along the hudson bay on christmas.

Finished with .51" of rain last evening/overnight.

Are these long range forecasts of long stretch of dry sunny weather after Friday believable?

They seem to be holding up so far I have no confidence in any met forecast anymore..seems to change every 12 hours and now seeing showers for Friday