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I don’t disagree, I think we see brief 3-4 days of hot weather then drop back to normal or slightly below.
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Hhheeelllloooooo 6z RGEM
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Pray the AI models are correct for the weekend. Thats how you would salvage 2 of 3 days
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Like clockwork, the short-med range is drying out fast. .
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Something's off... these higher res model types look too warm given Esty beasties off glacial guts water. They're all doing this sort of look by 18z tho. huh
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Pretty steady east wind here. But yeah winds go south later today. Probably will see it in the form of the S coast seabreeze surging northward on radar.
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I'm riding the AI models for this weekend lol
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Wasn't even a BD ... It was a N-S sag front. But I mentioned this yesterday. May not be as warm in the E. Do the temps still in the 60s E of 95 and 70s E of ORH for a while..? Winds are light behind this front and there's not a whole helluva lot of actual cold transport with that. Shallow layer... Sun could eat it up by lunch, but with the winds in situ E and ENE already, I'm just wondering if the cold ocean anomaly might not be in the MOS/machine coverage very well. Day's long tho. The NAM is insisting the boundary collapses back NE, showing a sfc SW wind burst at Logan in the 21 to 24hr period of early evening. Late high for eastern zones.
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Yeah. Northeast corner. That area always gets crushed by them.
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What the hell do I know about baseball anyway?
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
anotherman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
74 at 8:00 AM. Oh God. -
I wonder if the polar jet is just going to continue careening straight through to the fall for fuck's sake it won't stop. So this is turning into just another prick tease warm up - yet again. At least it's more than a single day I suppose. But that's an October circulation ordeal after the front Thu/Fri. Then the weekend's obliterated by cold overrunning with a high banked N. F grade for very warm season respective -
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I haven’t seen any but there are a ton of the tiny green silkworms up there. Lots of holes in the Oak leaves already. We e had a lot of them the last few years . They have defoliated entire trees but do a number . Hopefully this is the year. Where was that person from that posted that in CT? Probably Ginx area
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Breaks of sun now. Probably a late afternoon/early evening high as the WAA kicks back in. Then we steambath for 24-36hrs.
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2B people in 1950. Over 8.5B now. And they’re worried about the birth rate?
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g***y lol
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Even the lower CSU is still in the 15% range for wind. Given how boring things have been - I'll take it for some thunderstorm activity!
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
BoM May RONI not surprisingly reduced from +1.1 to +0.5 but later months actually a bit warmer than prior run with Oct +3.0 vs +2.7 prior run and +2.7 record for a single month (1982) 5/9/26 run: May was at +1.1 5/16/26 run: May down to +0.5 but warmer later months -
Sounds like an absolutely awful place . Who wants that in summer?
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
91F yesterday forecast is 95 today, 98 tomorrow Thinking PHL record high falls today(94F) TTN is 96 today. all time record high for month of May is 97F for PHL. That could be in danger tomorrow. -
My sister has a rental house out on Pt Judith in Narragansett. I spent last spring/early summer living there and working on it. Place is like 60 degrees all the time. I would drive up to Home Depot near Providence and its like a 30-35 degree difference. Took this screenshot yesterday. Me and my brother in law setup a Wunderground station. Its the 60 degree reading on the bottom. Place barely even hits 80 in July/August.
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Same here. Forests definitely help with cooling. Really hating all the stripped Forests to put up Solar Panels farms
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Wednesday afternoon up in the air per morning AFD from LWX A strong area of low pressure moves through the Northeast on Wednesday, with a cold front extending down the East Coast that will bring widespread rain and thunderstorm chances to the Mid-Atlantic in the afternoon/evening. While the center low will be well north of us, the timing of the front aligning with the diurnal cycle and the high temperatures seen at the start of the week could still contribute towards some thunderstorm development in the region. Potential severity at this time still ranges widely--NCAR`s AI NWP Convective Hazards Forecast currently has our region outlined in its 45%-60% probability for severe weather to occur, while CSU`s medium- range probabilities ranks the severe threat much lower. Regardless, this front will likely result in widespread showers at a minimum as well as a sharp drop in temperatures seen later in the week. Highs on Thursday will range in the upper 60s and low 70s, a marked shift from the mid-90s expected earlier in the week. Lingering rain showers may still be moving out of the area by Thursday morning, while a meandering front to the south could bring a few additional rain showers on Friday.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Weekly relative SSTa update: Nino 3.4 slight rise to +0.5 (Nino threshhold): Cal wk midpt…...1+2……...3….…..3.4……..…4 01APR2026 0.8 -0.3 -0.3 0.2 08APR2026 1.1 -0.1 -0.2 0.3 15APR2026 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 22APR2026 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.5 29APR2026 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 06MAY2026 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.5 13MAY2026 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.6
