All Activity
- Past hour
-
Yeah, this is my experience. I was worried that they were going to be everywhere, but there just haven't been that many adults.
-
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I just don't get anything out of operating under the assumption that others have nothing to offer. -
I like Alt rock. One of my fave female rock vocalists has her share of haters, much of it conspiracy driven crap.
-
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
i just don't get anything out of talking to people who don't know that much -
I don't think the AM convection Sunday will be a detriment for later. There is solid support for the aftn-eve w/ a 700/500 trof moving in. PWATs increase in the aftn to as high 2.5" on the GFS/ECMWF/NAM, and there is very good directional shear w/ nicely looped hodographs and strong veering 925/850 to 700/500. Wind fields 925-500 ramp up in the aftn to 35-40 kt at all these levels. So supercells likely and the 2% tor risk is warranted. Could see upgraded to 5% given the strength of the 925 winds (30 kt+ is excellent and we have it fcst as high as 40 kt). Everything moves steadily W to E, unlike the previous events that were NW to SE and that pushed all the moisture and boundary focus S, so solid recovery for instability after the AM convection is a good bet. FF threat, as noted, is there are well. RRFS is quite aggressive for cntrl and nrn VA showing up to 7.5" of rain. This model tends to overdo things, but 4" in some locations high prob IMHO.
- 1,901 replies
-
- severe
- thunderstorms
-
(and 7 more)
Tagged with:
-
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Honestly, though...I don't think anyone could read through my material over the course of the past couple of years and come away with the conclusion that I am in denial of, or neglecting CC. I think that is also true of this forum for the most part. -
X is toxic. Full of bots and trolls. 90% garbage. Unfortunately many of the sports insiders and weather geeks primarily post there.
-
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
why should i give you my expertise for free -
I saw a ton of nymphs last month but far fewer adult flies. Obvious assumption is that something figured out they were good eating
-
True. Live shots of her at Chiefs games, as brief as they were, really triggered certain people.
-
Last year I was stomping lantern flies everywhere. Seems only had to stomp a few this year.
-
I left Twitter / X / whatever and Facebook years ago and never looked back. This is my social media.
-
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
See ya...we'll miss this post quality. -
Cheap generic Viagra and over the counter sildenafil sildenafil 50 mg price https://cse.google.com/url?q=https://mencarevirtual.shop Viagra online price and https://gikar.it/user/crtnutbaqz/ generic sildenafil [url=https://posts.google.com/url?sa=t&url=https://mencarevirtual.shop]sildenafil 50 mg price[/url] sildenafil online or [url=https://act2day.eu/profile/kuiutcohdy/]cheapest viagra[/url] cheapest viagra
-
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
EasternLI replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Well there you go. The current WWB is another record breaking one. As was suspected would be the case with the latest MJO assist. -
-
But don’t most of those things apply to all pop stars? I mean yea she is MORE of all those things but to the normal person why does her being worth 2b v some other artist being worth 1.1b or 800m make a difference? The exposure thing is weird too because 90% of that is “our” fault. Most of her exposure is the press reporting on everything she does. Not her own doing. She rarely makes any posts or does interviews anymore. The press posts about her attending a game or at the beach or going to some event and that’s somehow her fault? I do her why people say they have a problem I just don’t understand the logic of it. It seems like it’s “I hate her because she is so successful”. As for the music that’s fine. I thought i didn’t like her. I still don’t like most of her radio hits. I’m not a big pop fan. Then I found out she did two whole albums of folk music which didn’t get much radio play and then found a ton of other songs I likes that are never on the radio. Oddly I like her less popular stuff.
-
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
qg_omega replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Not sure how you can’t think we are going to have the warmest winter on record for CONUS -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
and now this board is a wishcast echo chamber. congrats -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I just feel like discord is much more difficult to follow.....it's just rapid faire posts that just scroll into oblivion. I prefer the pages on the forum. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
BuffaloWeather replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We've transitioned to discord from the upstate community and have met around 20-30 people so far, many from AMX. Many of us have become IRL friends and hang out outside of weather now. We storm chase together multiple times a year. So much better than forums. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
100%. The NE forum has had countless get togethers. -
-
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
100%. I have seen zero personal attacks from you....snowman launched attacks like that routinely, for all of the valuable info that he added. -
2026 C and E Pacific tropical activity
WxWatcher007 replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Unfortunately, it looks like there won't be much if any more recon of Lala as recon is flying back to the mainland. The storm has struggled to organize a tight inner core, which makes it very hard for any kind of meaningful intensification to happen, but it's trying. We knew that would be an uphill battle. This morning's IR loop shows an attempt to wrap convection around the center, which is necessary for a faster pace of organization and intensification. Whether it truly gets there however, remains to be seen. Shear in the immediate vicinity doesn't look too bad at the moment. Lala remains embedded in a very dry environment, and although today it looks like it has more effectively fended off dry air intrusions, any ingestion of that dry air could disrupt an effort to organize and intensify. Marginal SSTs don't help either. All that said, the forecast looks on track. This is a higher end tropical storm, and with time and a somewhat conducive environment for organization and intensification a hurricane is certainly plausible. We're well within radar range now and can now watch for lower level organizational trends. Compared to this morning where there was a well defined but broad and ragged center, now we have what looks like a tightening inner core trying to form. Still, we don't have deep convection wrapping fully, but it's trying. Notice the wobble south too. As a chaser, once you get to this stage every wobble matters (even though you care about the long term movement still). It's still not a guarantee that we see an official landfall here, though impacts will be significant regardless.
