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The actual tornado was in Brooklyn. But since the rotation remained so strong on radar into SW Nassau, the NWS maintained the tornado warmings out of an abundance of caution. I was glad there was no tornado when it got to Long Beach. But it was really cool to see the swirl in the clouds directly overhead when the weakened supercell moved over my area. September 1998 was the strongest tornado near the South Shore in my time living there. The Labor Day Derecho caused the sky to go dark between 2-3 in the afternoon. Then I had my only .75 hail and severe gusts from a single storm on the South Shore. The actual tornado was in Lynbrook and the damage path was clearly visible near the neighborhood close to Sunrise Highway.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
There was no DIT storm. 4th severe warning of summer with no storm . Picked up .18 in a gentle shower -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
You know, I really don't give a rats arse about the months that produced a +10 in the West, like Dec 2024, or Dec 2025-Feb 2026, especially when it was cold in my area. Plus, there were more months than March 2012 and January 2006 that had +10 departures. I bet I could find months before January 2006 that had +10 departures. In the East, we had January 1890, 1932-33 (the Dust Bowl years, I'm sure you've heard of that), and 1950. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
US National Weather Service State College PA A batch of showers is moving across Western PA and may bring some morning showers/isolated thunder to Central PA. Development of thunderstorms is once again expected in the afternoon, which brings a Marginal (level 1/5) risk for severe weather and excessive rainfall. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Only .14 rain here. Had a lightning strike here yesterday somewhere very close to the house that shook the house. while the sun was out just as those thunderstorms were forming. The creek reflects the flash flood warning that was posted just to the east of me yesterday afternoon. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Hurricane Agnes replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
From the 2 rounds of rain yesterday, I got 0.49" from round 1 and an additional 0.04" from round 2 for 0.53" total. My high was 93 before rnd 1 knocked it down to 85 and rnd 2 all the way down yo 73. Looks like the next few days will be Wash. Rinse. Repeat. Currently 73 with dp 73. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It also goes beyond what phase the ENSO is in. But the warmest actual departure was +17.5 at FAR in the Feb 2024 super El Niño. This past winter was a weak La Niña with each month from December to March producing a +10 at some stations in the CONUS. No seasonal model forecast this. So we have a total of 17 months since the 2015-2016 super El Niño increased the baseline temperatures with +10 departures at some CONUS stations. None of the seasonal models forecast these either. Prior to 2015-2016 there were only a few +10 or greater months across the CONUS. These were March 2012 and January 2006. The list below includes the 17 months and the station close to warmest departures during each month. So there were numerous other stations over the+10 level during these months. DEC…2015….NYC….+13.3 MAR…2016…MOT….+10.5 JAN…2017….BTV…..+11.0 FEB….2017….ORD….+10.3 FEB…..2018…ATL….+10.6 FEB….2019…MGM….+10.5 JAN….2020…YAM….+9.8 DEC….2021….DFW….+13.2 JAN….2023….DXR….+12.3 FEB….2023…..SSI…..+9.8 DEC….2023….INL…..+15.8 FEB…..2024….FAR…..+17.5 DEC….2024…..LND…..+11.3 DEC….2025….CPR…..+12.1 JAN….2026….RIW……+10.2 FEB…..2026….LND…..+11.3 MAR….2026….PHX…..+12.5 -
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
They fell apart before they even got near him -
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Chester County PA - Analytical Battle of Actual vs. Altered Climate Data
chubbs replied to ChescoWx's topic in Climate Change
You understand what I did correctly. Yes it would be easy to use the stable portions of the Chesco station data to test the others. That's essentially what NCEI does (and other groups). The NCEI adjustments are based on raw temperature data not station information. NCEI also uses data from outside of Chester County to determine Chesco bias adjustments, taking advantage of the fact that weather data is correlated over hundreds of miles. That's one of the reasons I found your Coatesville analysis interesting. The NCEI adjustments match the detailed site information you developed very well; and. for the periods where your site information was more complete and accurate than NCDCs, the match between the site info and the bias adjustments improved. Interesting that the West Chester site has data from before 1894. Can you obtain the data? - Today
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DIT storms fell apart at my doorstep, not a drop; however a great light show.
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I will once we get closer to winter .
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Looked like it skipped you? Rain anyways. Big cluster offshore right now. The skip was well modeled. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Got 1.31" from yesterday's storms. The rain was incredibly intense at times in that afternoon storm. Windshield wipers on high speed couldn't keep up. I got the truck parked before the worst hit (I still got soaked going from the truck to the shop and then the car, though), but the ride home in the car was intense with the rain and the flooded roads. -
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Wild afternoon in Nanuet. Started off as a little blip on the radar and quickly got organized and went straight nuclear. Had two major gust of wind, right at the beginning of the storm and then during a secondary blow up of storms. Had marble/dime sized hail. It was intense for a few minutes. Some of the craziest Lightning I can remember. Been living up here 4 years and that’s the first time losing powet I can remember. Luckily it was only out for an hour and change.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Hailstoned replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
I once saw a young woman on the Knife's Edge on the summit of Katahdin; there had been a few rumbles of thunder; and she was standing on top of a rock; her friends looking up at her blond tresses writhing about in the charged electrical environment. I could confirm this was a real phenomenon because my boots were sounding out a weird squelching static sound as I navigated the treacherous path. Luckily, this did not escalate as it dangerously could have-- just a heavy downpour to help wash our way back down the mountain. -
Yeah, that was the case in Cleveland as well. I think I read 22”, but unfortunately no official snowfall records at that time. The official records only note 1.85” of liquid equivalent. The article below is probably an exaggeration (20” in 3 hours), but I did read elsewhere there were insane rates… however, if memory serves, it was more like 8” in 2 or 3 hours.
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