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On this Happy New Year’s Day, I refuse to talk at all about the Bleaklies being almost the polar opposite of last year for the SE at this time. They’re not called “The Bleaklies” for nothing. So, what they’re showing shouldn’t surprise anyone. So, I won’t talk about them.

Gefs still suck by the end of the run unfortunately.

Another generally warmer run on the weeklies. Hopefully climo temps, which are favored, will do the trick.

I get it, but December was the coldest December since 2010, had snow showers, snow squall, decent snow event here, measured 4.5 inches. The coldest and snowiest part of the winter may still be ahead.

Clippers are just to occupy us between the dogs lol

0.75" in a couple squalls Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

the problem is we lose half of winter getting there

12z EPS & 12z Canadian ensemble also are indicating that we should be back in the tracking business in the day 10 to 15 period.

12z EPS & 12z Canadian ensemble also are indicating that we should be back in the tracking business in the day 10 to 15 period.

The hrrr hinted at it but nonsense I think the squalls would be the main show. Thought 1-2 max near me. It was enough to plow and looked like a solid 3” or so on the camera even after blowing around and settling.

Nothing wrong with that.

I doubt PNA goes away again....hopefully I'm right.

Squalls were way more prolific than I would have thought. I’d expected maybe another half inch or something in the squalls, and instead it was like widespread 1-2” additional. To be fair though, 3-4” was still definitely in the minority of reports. But there were def a few more of them than I would’ve forecasted.

Actually … no ensembles system in the pantheon of the technology has ever performed very well with that particular index domain. … it’s more apt to say they’ve all been fucked since the get-go and it doesn’t appear the custodians of the technology know what to do about it

Just a brutal fall and early winter. Looks like only 2021 was drier in both the airport and long term city records for OND. The pattern persistence has been unreal. It wasn't the second warmest December in Denver records, though. Both 1933 and 1957 were warmer in the city station records. But it was the warmest for the airport stations. 1933 was legit, it's backed up by plenty of other temp records throughout the region and the West that year.

Last night you seemed doubtful that 3-4” amounts would happen. Any ideas on what bumped them up a bit? Around here I am thinking ratios were super high.

Hopefully today is more correct because that split flow +PNA look retrograding a little bit often does good things.

That squall line didn’t dissipate much at all - very impressive.

Yeah south shore cleaned up on those squalls. BOS kind of got shafted being a little too far north but just south of them got crushed.

Half inch in Westfield last night

I was told 3-4” at home.

The last time we were able to pull off that feat was back in 2009. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jan Lowest Maximum Temperature Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1875 37 0 - 1857 37 1 2 1867 39 0 3 1881 40 0 - 1856 40 0 4 1873 42 0 5 1884 43 0 - 1877 43 0 - 1868 43 0 - 1861 43 0 6 1948 44 0 - 1865 44 1 7 1977 45 0 - 1883 45 0 - 1866 45 0 8 1971 46 0 9 1956 47 0 - 1896 47 0 - 1879 47 0 10 2009 48 0 - 1970 48 0 - 1969 48 0 - 1941 48 0 - 1882 48 0 - 1878 48 0 - 1872 48 0 11 1922 49 1 - 1871 49 0

It’s yo-yoing at large scales tomorrow we could be right back where we were yesterday

TRI will finish +0.7...so, basically normal. Interestingly, TRI had 19 days BN for temps. The 6-day chinook brought temps to normal. There were 9 days were a trace or more of snow were recorded. We had two days where we hit single digits. We had a high of 71 on Christmas. Two days later, the high was 33.