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Crank up those lawnmowers

Have to enjoy today… we went from 26F to 61F before noon.

You had to know/suspect that this particular spring would have a preponderance of these BD headaches.

March 30 1938: Springtime flooding hits Warroad and Grand Marais. For Monday, March 30, 2026 1823 - A great Northeast storm with hurricane force winds raged from Pennsylvania to Maine. The storm was most severe over New Jersey with high tides, uprooted trees, and heavy snow inland. (David Ludlum) 1899 - A storm which buried Ruby, CO, under 141 inches of snow came to an end. Ruby was an old abandoned mining town on the Elk Mountain Range in the Crested Butte area. (The Weather Channel) 1977 - Hartford, CT, hit 87 degrees to establish a record for the month of March. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - A storm spread heavy snow across the Ohio Valley and Lower Great Lakes Region. Cleveland OH received sixteen inches of snow in 24 hours, their second highest total of record. Winds gusting to 50 mph created 8 to 12 foot waves on Lake Huron. The storm also ushered unseasonably cold air into the south central and southeastern U.S., with nearly one hundred record lows reported in three days. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - A winter-like storm developed in the Central Rockies. Snowfall totals in Utah ranged up to 15 inches at the Brian Head Ski Resort, and winds in Arizona gusted to 59 mph at Show Low. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing along and ahead of a slow moving cold front produced large hail and damaging winds at more than fifty locations across the southeast quarter of the nation, and spawned a tornado which injured eleven persons at Northhampton NC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Low pressure produced heavy snow in central Maine and northern New Hampshire, with up to eight inches reported in Maine. A slow moving Pacific storm system produced 18 to 36 inches of snow in the southwestern mountains of Colorado in three days. Heavier snowfall totals included 31 inches at Wolf Creek Pass and 27 inches at the Monarch Ski Area. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

color slowly fading from the region, definite screw zone corridor visible tho

Just going by climo...not the depiction. Didn't look.

Been saying that for years. In fact, my daughter came over yesterday to cut my hair, and I mentioned that very thing. When the world goes tits up, at least we have lots of water here. I'm not moving from here.

In that solution/depiction? No, CT definitely porked too. Matter of how many inches haha.

This is a wild 2M Temp map tomorrow evening... Freezing rain in the Champlain Valley while it's near 70F at ALB and CEF.

In any event, this is going to be the hottest March on record at Death Valley National Park by a HUGE margin (pop: zero, wilderness station).

Some striking differences though on the mesos with the HRRR and (to some degree) RRFS the more aggressive of the guidance.

My area is likely porked......maybe CT is okay.

Not a very good example. FOK was more of a microclimate, if it's even a legit measurement. It was lower than any other location, regardless of rural/urban location, for hundreds of miles. Nothing lower until deep into New England. It was like 5F colder than even the coldest personal weather stations on Long Island.

Could be some interesting storms late tomorrow afternoon and early evening right along the boundary. Might even see a decent line make its way into western Mass/CT during the evening. Its pretty unstable with steep lapse rates south of the boundary with strong shear

12z NAM has a vicious W-E aligned frontal boundary on Wednesday ... It tries to get the region damn close to even freezing rain metro west of Boston. The FOUS grid has 0,0,+3 over Logan, which academically means 0C at the SFC. It's probably more like 32.9 It's all coming down to where to place this stationary boundary. The cold side is prooobably being over assessed ( NAM) in this case, but... in principle, we're still looking easily at 40+ deg F of variance across 100 miles or less with this set up -

The NAM 3k sees the current rain........................ The NAM 12 K is blind to the rain.

Unfortunately understanding how a rural small remote college which had DIV2 level athletes ,turned into the most successful basketball teams in history, captivating an entire state, is unexplainable. We love our Huskies. The fact both men's and women's teams are so successful brings in the entire family in. Its unique and amazing

That mid-March storm was remarkable both for the amounts in NNE and the relatively modest barometer. We'd had a very strong HP in the 2 days prior to the snow, and the pressure was still about 30.40" when flakes arrived at 9 PM on 3/13. We had 22" from 6A-8P on the 14th as pressure slowly lowered to 30.05". Rates peaked at 3"/hr 11A-1P, right when Fort Kent school admin decided to close schools at noon. All students got home safely, even those from Winterville, 25 miles and 2 major hills south from FK. My records for that storm (obs time 9 PM so nothing on the 13th): 3/13 10 -18 0 0 46 (Allagash had -32) 3/14 12 2 2.08 25.0 65 3/15 28 10 0.10 1.5 64 We had to retrieve a disabled snowmobile a couple miles south from Estcourt Station on the 15th. I found the depth was 80" there, presumably several inches less than when accumulation had stopped.

00z guidance attempting to lure warm enthusiast into a set up ... muah hahaha I grew up in the ... antiquities of modeling yester-lore ( eh hm), and recall a day and times when if there were ever a BD on the chart near Maine... the verification snows in Atlanta Georgia. No not literally ..but if figuratively/sarcastically. Point being, the models were just inadequate in handling them, particularly because the physics for the lower BL was still being evolved, as well ... the modeling tech was intrinsically having very low resolution/grid point evaluation density when processing. Those limitations meant that BDs, being almost entirely in the lowest 250 mb of troposphere, were only quasi detectable. like hinted at ? Now, huge improvements in the wholesale modeling, from input density/grid resolution, to improvements in various BL assumptions in the baseline physical equations means that the models at least know that there is a BD on the map with far better coherence. They're even improving on the position of them, per interval. Having said that... those ancient early life abuses don't set me up very well for mature adult relationships with models - I tend to still be relationship avoidant/fear of intimacy when it comes to dating prospects that include actually holding off BDs. It doesn't help that BDs are by nature a 'rough sex' experience and I'm not into that sort of thing

As temps and sun angle increase through spring, so does evaporation. Also, vegetation coming out of dormancy increases water uptake from soil. So 1/2” in winter goes a lot further than 1/2” in summer. Couple this with increasing water usage for lawns, In other words, we’re in trouble with a rapidly worsening drought. This is when we will see lake levels start to plummet. We need repeated widespread 1-3” rains to make a serious dent at this point

Rainy, dark and dreary.

A much-needed widespread soaker over the next week.

I've been saying May 2015 is a good analog for April. Second month after the end of a cold and snowy winter, and a possible budding strong el nino.

If we have westerly winds sure. When you see the low heights to our NE this time of year though we all know what that means.

Very true. Refuse to Lose was an awesome time. I knew the entire starting lineup as a 13 year old, and I can't remember anything like it since in this area.