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Don't tell the Euro the PDO is -4.00

This dude is likely the biggest steal of the draft. Go Ravens!

Dew sitting at 70. Feels awesome

I mean, it's pretty important. I think the pattern derives right from the subsurface.

Depends on location, of course. Gloria did a lot of damage between AUG and the midcoast. At that time, I was commuting weekly from Fort Kent, having just begun my forester position for the state. I'd drive south Sunday evening and home Friday evening, but Gov. Brennan sent the state workers home at noon before Gloria hit so I got to drive home in daylight. Up north it was like a garden variety fall storm. We lived in Gardiner for Bob, and i dropped 6.41", the biggest calendar precip I've recorded. It brought 60+ gusts and is the only TC I've experienced that had backside wind as strong as front side, though 95% of the RA came before the switch. It's in a near tie for 4th strongest I've seen, with Doria (Aug. 71) and the 1982 April damage. In terms of tree damage from wind, Dec 18, 2023 was probably worse than Bob, even with wind ~10 mph less. Bob's peak wind lasted less than an hour while 12/23 kept roaring for 4. (Trivia note: Last night's episode of Maine Cabin Masters was at Cobbossee Lake, a from-scratch build after pines obliterated the original cabin in that storm.)

Haze, or smoke?

Surface smoke is slightly thinner today, judging by horizontal visibility, but the sky is still a sickly color here.

https://nypost.com/2025/08/04/science/mysterious-underground-blob-of-superhot-rock-moving-toward-nyc/

For sure a little from around 53.6 to about 54.3 at KRDG....of course we are in a warming cycle for the last 30 years....but why is PHL going up so much faster?

I think thats a nice clipper look.

Yeah quite hazy in northern Balt co

Trump’s proposed budget for fiscal 2026 does not appear to target the Hurricane Hunter program. Staff also can be moved as needed, just like any other job that exists

Perhaps it is this story: https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/1092740?

All of those are up by a statistically significant margin.

Just like last Augdewst. It stopped raining and Stein rolled on and then we started burning and creating our own smoke with local fires. No rain in sight thru day 10

Please add the link, if possible.

The Euro seasonal SST anomalies don't really line-up w the NA pattern. AN SSTs in the centiral IO imply convection which spreads into the Maritime Continent. @nrgjeff@Daniel Boone@Met1985@John1122@GaWx@Math/Met what is causing those big blocks over NA w/ the Pac and IO basins being meh? If I didn't tag you, please don't be offended. Feel free to jump right in. I know some folks from other forums might also have some input. If you don't have access to SST maps, I can post those.

Yup and they last till NOV

Like the CANSIPS seasonals which were just released, the Euro seasonals show decent signals for HL blocking for Dec-Jan. That would fit nicely with a weak La Nina. No, I haven't checked SSTs yet for the Euro.

Wait, there is more....that would be a double block. Some zonal underneath, but that would very likely get the job done.

I’m going to Hilton Head from Thursday-Wednesday. Looks kinda bleh most of the time with that tropical system possibly threatening after we’re gone. We were down there last year for Debby, so I don’t really care to do it again.

Yep. That will do it.

great time to reduce staff at the NHC and reduce Hunter flights, huh?

Every SSTA map is different from the rest. Insane how much they vary and I suspect explains, in part, why long range model solutions vary early on in the forecast period with greater variations later in the forecast periods.

I don’t see why we can’t reach 100 for many of us if we get another stretch of WNW downslope heat. Especially since like you said we’re not getting much rain over the next 5-7 days. Topsoil dries out very quick this time of the year as we can see with the browning lawns.