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Expected Tgiving torch now showing up on schedule https://twitter.com/scweather_wx/status/1989032413683675587?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Another fire danger day. Just had a gust to 39 and humidity has dropped to 22%

Awesome. How much is he asking for a monthly subscription?

Thanks Timmy boy! If only you understood and lived in the world of reality....but never mind! LOL!!!

We tried to tell ‘em…

It’s ripping

Looks like the cold is going to center in the rockies/northwest first and we have a big ridge until the end of the month

12z GEPS

Interesting

https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/la-nina-has-formed-winter-2025-2026-latest-impacts-el-nino-reversal-united-states-canada-europe-fa/

From what little I remember, the Gulf Stream/Labrador Current circulation has been slowing down, raising the NYC metro area temperatures 4 to 5 degrees warmer than normal?

But didn't Kevin say we have a big warm-up for Thanksgiving? Lol

Funny, on meteorologist. Gil Simmons live blog he does every morning. He mentioned this morning that he's really liking the period of December 9th through the 14th. Kind of bold going out that far at this point. He also did mention a couple of earlier chances as well. All good signs at this point

dendrite should ban you for posting that

I follow Max with severe weather but what's his track record with winter?

If this was roulette... we would think the wheel was rigged.

I would really take any of those winters other than 24-25. 16-17, 17-18 and 21-22 were at least okay here. 17-18 of course was the biggest, 16-17 and 21-22 were okay to good. Thanks for the detailed analysis and thoughts.

Getting a better Pacific as we head into December can't have both a good Atlantic and Pacific have to lose one rather lose the Atlantic anytime over the Pacific anyday. Still a decent atlantic too though it seems.

Tell me about it, Ray! For those not knowing about or seeing what we’re talking about, check this craziness out: not a single day in the entire DJF 1995-6 for the 10 mb zonal mean wind at 60N to be below the 1958-2022 mean and with most of Jan/Feb above the 70th percentile:

Yessir.