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Nat gas up +11% (with oil down a little) as of this posting. Have there been any updated cold winter forecasts from any of the respected forecasters to anyone's knowledge?

My precip here from 9/1/24 to present is 35.50"... Normal for that period is around 55.50" so a -20" departure . Btw had 0.05" last night.

Not jealous, glad it worked out for you. Eastern New England made out well also

Gusting to 44 now.

I was disappointed seeing only 0.10" in the gage this morning, but reading some of the other reports I'm glad we got that much. My fault, I turned the sprinklers off (I'd hoped for the season) yesterday. I'll let y'all know if I buy a snowblower.

Only a tenth of an inch of rain here last night. No surprise. The drought will continue to get worse with this dry week. Hopefully we'll get some help for the drought next week, but who knows. At least we have perfect viewing conditions for the peak of Orionid meteor shower tonight. Clear skies and no moonlight. It should be a good show.

Really is unprecedented and incredible stuff

Nah it’s boring

The GFS and ICON show the large differences that occur on Wednesday. At that point, when this system is south of Hispaniola, the GFS suddenly blows it up into a rapidly-strengthening hurricane and drives it north across the island. The ICON, on the other hand, does not develop it much until Sunday. It still feels a northward tug, but it remains too weak and shallow to get pulled further north, so it waits for the ridge to build in and turn it westward, at which point it blows up. Regarding the current state of the system, I'm not seeing any close surface circulation this morning. The center of surface spin is out ahead of most of the convection.

As we know, this could change within a week. We wait, we watch.

Just starting here now, But the heaviest is still off to the west over his area.

closing in on an inch here. nice steady rain, no real downpours and very little wind.

Ed getting bombed. Up to 1.6" there. Only 0.24" our house

Update, I tried the dish soap and water. Didn't work. I had to call a wasp removal service. I could have removed them myself by getting a bee suit, etc. But didn't want to deal with all that. I watched YouTube videos where bee removers got stung through their gloves. I'm like hell naw. So, they came and dug out the nest and guaranteed the queens would be removed. I had to wait a week before I could mow and another week to put dirt back in the hole and plant grass. I still see wasps (or bees?) flying around my dry garden. I hope there aren't other nests. But at least I can mow my lawn again. lol

60.5° +RA 0.80” and counting

https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/monthlyannualprecip.pdf

it was already clear here for a few hours but the clouds have come back.

The updated SSTA maps are showing that the marine heatwave has increased even more since last week….+11F anomalies off of China now. That’s insane

How were the 1980s and 1990s in terms of rainfall Chris? This is what I grew up with and what I consider to be normal. Also, here's a pertinent question The question is do you really want all that extra rainfall if it means more creepy and parasitic insects, more mold and higher pollen levels and more weeds? I'd much rather we just burn off the vegetation. My allergies were lowest in 2010 and that's no coincidence.

Breezy , staring to clear out.

I think up by you, you average more rainfall because of higher terrain and you're not in the summer dry spot that we have down here on the south shore of Long Island. I've been used to drier summers for most of my life.

But take a summer like 2010 as an example, it was both hot and dry and we didn't have the kind of drought we had back in the 1960s or 1980s. Our reservoirs have been fine for decades now. I think the last real drought we had was in 2002.

The question is do you really want all that extra rainfall if it means more creepy and parasitic insects, more mold and higher pollen levels and more weeds? I'd much rather we just burn off the vegetation. My allergies were lowest in 2010 and that's no coincidence.

I thought it was around 42 inches because growing up, that's what The Weather Almanac listed as the long term average for NYC.... This book was published in 1973 with an update in 1991 (I have both). The last 30 year average it mentions is the 1961-1990 (the previous one was 1951-80). What were NYC rainfall normals for 1951-1980 and 1961-1990? Was it really that much cooler prior to 1970-- look at all these hot and dry summers we had before: 1944, 1948, 1949, 1953, 1955, 1966, we have some extremely long and very extreme heatwaves in there that have not been matched since.

Just need the 27th and 31st dry.