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heh. Found the obs. Almost the same exact deal as today. A nice TSRA to bring the swampazz back after the 100F too. MIA,1942-07-21 15:00,METAR KMIA 211500Z 31510KT 34/23 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP152 T03390233 MIA,1942-07-21 16:00,METAR KMIA 211600Z 31507KT 35/22 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP152 T03500217 MIA,1942-07-21 17:00,METAR KMIA 211700Z 27008KT 35/22 A2996 RMK AO2 SLP149 T03500217 MIA,1942-07-21 18:00,METAR KMIA 211800Z 27008KT 36/24 A2993 RMK AO2 SLP139 T03610244 MIA,1942-07-21 19:00,METAR KMIA 211900Z 36006KT 38/21 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP135 T03780211 MIA,1942-07-21 20:00,METAR KMIA 212000Z 13507KT 8SM +TSRA SHRA 34/24 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP132 T03390244

Mom’s house was struck by lightning over the weekend, on top of flood damage she received throughout the week from the onslaught of rain. Lightning fried her fridge, washer/dryer, generator, caught the shed on fire, and struck her well pump and ruined it. Multiple water rescues throughout C IL as well, 8-12” of rain has caused major problems here. Idk how folks deal with this yearly in hurricane zones.

Os just can't move past that 2 games under .500 mark. Looks like there going to be back to 4 games under after tonight.

Ha, my first thought when I saw the post about 100F was, Vortex is going to have something to say about that. Good perspective.

So it’s been humid Sunday thru today and you calling it perfect . Two more days of humidity coming and dews up again Sat/Sunday . The month is WAN. You honestly don’t have any type of clue . Although you uninstalled in early Augdewst so no one here is surprised .

After getting together with LOT and sifting through things/comparing numbers, the total now stands at 207. (Includes 2 newly surveyed tors added today)

@kdxken Not trying to be dogmatic or do any post slamming, so don't take my responses personally. Just stating facts and providing some background/clarification on wx stats and perspective, as wx stats/history is a passion for me. and will apply a bit of levity when I can!

I think you’ve hit on the million dollar question that papers are no doubt getting written about. It may influence storm tracks through the strengthening of ridges and weakening of troughs. I don’t think it will materially change the el nino expectations of a STJ and cool south, but whether we will have enough cold air is an open question. I did a crude study a few years ago where going from 17 to 24 degrees while replaying a previous noreaster track would juice the totals even more (assuming the same storm tracks, which is a questionable assumption to make). But if starting from a higher baseline temperature, things would fall off the cliff. We just have to hope we get cold enough air well timed with a STJ wave, and that’s partly luck.

Looks like a Airaconda. They breed in air conditioners. Give the unit a kick. I wouldn't mess around.

its a pauldid.. they sense when people are scared of them.. then they find them during the night and bite

Touch it, see if it bites.

Absolute perfection weather. Been a nice stretch. When are we getting that torch you were talking about? Did manage 81 today I hope you found a cooling station.

What in the hell kind of spider is this? It’s freaking massive. Too scared to get any closer for a pic. I’m afraid he will lunge at me. He was watching my every move as is

seems like the moisture part of the equation won't be an issue. Just need a well-timed airmass.

Turning into a very dewy week other than Friday

TPA last year?, it seems that where the ASOS in relation to the runway, and the location of jets that taxi on the runway at the time from flight plots (turn point/wait point is in direct line of ASOS), that could have nudged it to 100. In the large picture, this obsession w/ 100 F. 100 is base 10, first number to go from 2 to 3 digits, and psychologically satisfying number, so somehow that makes it more significant from a wx/climate POV? It's a U.S., and more specifically, E Coast-centric mindset, as 100 is not that common. Well, there is a world outside of the East Coast! And we just happen to use the F scale. In C, benchmark numbers for hot temps are 30 and 40 C, so 100 is not some magical number here from a wx/climate POV universally. And we have the K temp scale as well --- oh wait, I just realized how we can hype the heat more! Use the K scale instead, it is *so* much hotter sounding (100 F = 311 K)!!!!

Today's Highs: New Brnswck: 88 PHL: 88 EWR: 86 TEB: 86 NYC: 86 ISP: 85 JFK: 85 LGA: 85 TTN: 85 ACY: 84 BLM: 82

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/18/climate/trump-ends-roadless-rule-forests.html?unlocked_article_code=1.6VA.m1Sl.hpiH3V8wmXUd&smid=url-share “After the proposal is published in the Federal Register, which is expected later this week, the Forest Service will accept public comments before making the rule final.” I’d implore everyone to let their voice be known as our administration plans to divide and then cut down our oldest forests; despite the fact that currently existing national forest roads are hemorrhaging money and resources.

The DC Region has it coming, and has had it coming for a very long time. Juiced up, roided out STJ, meet an abnormally frigid airmass over the DC Region Sub. That's how they could end up with a super deep snow blizzard to rival many of the biggest snowstorms since records began. Might be in February. Models have been hinting at it being colder then normal then. Frigid air plus record nino stj could go full-on George BM blizzard.

Dew point briefly dropped to 67 which is practically unheard of this time of year. Wind flipped SE and now dew point is 78. Even more amazing HST dew point dropped to 60! Must have been a localized dry pool of air. No RW/TRW in the area in the last 24 hr. It was not b/c anything atypical was going on in the pattern synoptically. GFS 500 and 850 anomalies show nothing of significance. This was a localized phenomena. 925 and 850 winds across much of FL today light NW. If you look at climo for the area, the wind, outside of convection, is rarely out of the NW at any appreciable speed in the afternoon this time of year. But not long before the 100 reading today, it was 33011G16KT. But never such details get in the way of a good story or proper perspective. The MSM will act like the wx is extreme and a big heat wave/AGW caused it. MIA is +2.0 F for the month, nothing that unusual. And yes, there are mdt-high drought conditions in S FL, but it is long-term drought. So far in August, it has been near to above normal for rainfall, so you can't say the topsoil is widespread parched that caused the low dew points (M-T-D rainfall attached). MIA also hit 100 on July 21, 1942. I'd like to see what was going on that day for comparison. And of course, the population of Miami-Dade Co. was ~350,000 in 1942. It was 2.7M in 2020. So not a level playing field for proper comparison due to UHI.

Reading the Neven Sea Ice Board there has been a low entrenched over the pole most of the sun keeping warmth and sun at bay.

Another free bar beer bites the dust. "What's the hottest it's ever been in Miami?" Tampa went down last July.

You've pointed out something that I've had a question about for a long time. We all know that the NPac is way warmer than normal. But, does that matter (wrt our weather around here)? If the average ocean temp is say, 45, and we're now seeing 50-52, is that enough of a jolt to alter the Nino climactic expectations? I know there are other variables out there, but focusing specifically on ocean warmth, is the 'blob' warm enough (NOT just comparing to average, but total warmth) to cause what we expect (warm northern tier, cooler southern tier, dry Ohio Valley, juiced STJ etc.) to be materially altered? This may be too simplistic but if I go from 17 degrees to 24, that doesn't alter much. If I go from 28 degrees to 35, we have a whole different world.

If December is as mild as early thoughts, im hoping we get a Thanksiving wintry blast. 4 of the 5 past Thanksgiving weekends have been snowy in the Lakes, and the last 2 years there's been snow on the ground when cutting down the Christmas tree black Friday. It really helps to get that early jolt if Decembers gonna suck.