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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
dryslot replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Did you break any clubs? Or better yet throw them so they sound like a helicopter? -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
dendrite replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Oh man Steve found the AI. Maybe he can make a vid of a snowstorm in Weymouth again. Although it may get confused and give Scoot 5 legs. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
WolfStock1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
100% agree - and thanks for the chart. (though I would quibble with the China trendline - having it slope down IMO is a stretch - it appears the downslope is based solely on those couple of early 90's extreme outliers; in reality the trend is flat, if it were based on median not mean). That's a good illustration of how badly skewed the American view on nuclear energy risk is. We need to fix that. Much as I dislike Trump, he's at least taken some steps in that direction on this issue; though I think it's a drop in the bucket to what really needs to be done. The cost #'s for the two new Vogtle units are simply shocking; especially given the location - in a state that's generally been more friendly to nuclear power. NY recently announced intent to pave the way for one new unit, and I had to laugh, knowing that state's history. Good luck with that. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
ChescoWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Still breezy today but not nearly as windy as yesterday. Unseasonably chilly temperatures both today and tomorrow with highs in the low to mid 40's. We see temperatures remaining in the upper 40's both Thursday and Friday before we warm into the upper 50's by Friday. Some rain chances maybe mixed with some wet snow tomorrow night and additional rain chances on Friday. -
Never say never but holiday snow is great.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Still breezy today but not nearly as windy as yesterday. Unseasonably chilly temperatures both today and tomorrow with highs in the low to mid 40's. We see temperatures remaining in the upper 40's both Thursday and Friday before we warm into the upper 50's by Friday. Some rain chances maybe mixed with some wet snow tomorrow night and additional rain chances on Friday. -
I can just about guarantee accumulating snow at my house prior to the second week of December in North Carolina. Already have 7 inches on the board! I average about the same as Portland, Maine though every year.
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What I take away from that map is more of an east coast problem than just somewhere in the Carolina’s and it all stems back from the insane lack of coastal storms that have worked. To me, this is where climate shifts have caught up with snowfall. Our biggest snows have always been and will always be from coastal lows. Recently, every coastal system has either missed, or the BL has been too warm for snows. These are always borderline systems where the heaviest snows fall in 31-33 degree temps so a swing of 1-2 degrees will absolutely destroy what otherwise was a perfect track system. You’ve seen this up and down the coast and unfortunately this might be more common in the future. The snows we have gotten including the two all snow events last year were in deep cold air masses with coastal lows either too weak or too far offshore to produce enough QPF for heavier amounts. I know eastern N.C. got lucky and it can still happen, but it just seems like it takes more than it used to to get coastal lows to produce snowfall in the piedmont and up the east coast. I remember the I-85 snow line when that was a thing and the rain snow line wasn’t somewhere in Virginia. We used to have 1-2 of these a year at least where Raleigh would have some kind of mix to rain and places west of here got plastered. Recently it’s been all rain or just a brief roxboro mix to rain. That’s what I see the most out of that map and it gives me a lot of concern for the future as our main form of bigger snowfall seems to be taken away by background warming
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
Ginx snewx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Isn't that how it always progresses. That's a super negative EPO push underestimated by models -
Sure, 2026...................
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Sunny in Frederick? The Great Lakes, NW flow, and Catoctin trifecta says cool story, bro.
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
Ginx snewx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
grok_video_2025-11-17-09-20-04.mp4 -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 37. Nice chilly week ahead. Some solid snow activity going on across the standard spots. National low of 5 at Mount Washington. MDT running pretty much dead-on average for the month. Onward. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
dendrite replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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Good article on Ralph DesLauriers, the founder of Bolton Valley, who passed away recently. Life Story: Bolton Valley Founder Ralph DesLauriers Was ‘the Eternal Optimist
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
dendrite replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Spitting flakes all morning. Days and days. Didn’t expect 28° with wind this morning….shouldve brought the plants that didn’t harden off yet in. Oops. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
No one on the east coast below the latitude of NH should have been expecting any snow prior to the second week of December IMHO. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
CoastalWx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Meh. Cold is going to plains first. Need the PV further SE. Needs work. -
Time for a new thread altogether
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December 2002 was a great winter for me in nj. Had snow on my birthday 12/8 then it was cold and snow stuck around most of the month till the Christmas storm, then the snows we had the following months then the big blizzard presidents day weekend.
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
Ginx snewx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Models are missing the push of the negative EPO. Seen it many times. -
