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Wow Don, I see there's a lot of years between 1984-1985 and 2024-2025 even though the rainfall amounts were only off by about 2.5 inches. Was September 1984-August 1985 the driest such period during the 1980s decade?

Fake cold like other places are fake warm (anthony) 47 here this morning

Frost in the Poconos (MPO) Don?

Who had our coldest temperature this morning -- was it FOK or MJX? It's usually one of the two. MVY in SE NE is also very cold on such mornings.

No thread attm--maybe something delayed now til late Tuesday???: need more ensemble support but still looking at widespread 1-3 rainfall totals Tuesday afternoon-next Sunday with iso 5+ POSSIBLE. Depends on evolution and track of developing UA low Ohio Valley middle and end of next week... ie stall the showery late Tuesday surface CFP just to our south Wed-Sunday with weak waves of low pressure. LONG Ways off but am not too alarmed by the recent dryness... happens and then a blast of rain. We do need that OH Valley Upper Level (5H for example) LOW to form and eject across NJ next Sunday as it finally weakens. Otherwise wait til October. All ensembles 1+. My greatest doubt is Fri-Sun...whether the tilt to the trough is more positive than what I thought yesterday, not permitting the Fri-Sun portion of the qpf into our area but shunting it further south across the Delmarva?? Yes, am aware that this OH Valley trough and eventual eastward progress might build the w ATLC ridge enough to permit a tropical threat late Sun-next Tuesday=this paragraph said with little confidence but awareness. For now... lets get some beneficial rain in here Tue-Thu. I haven't checked on the svr threat. Have a day.

This is very disappointing, downsloping flow is how we get our hottest summers (like 2010) but now it gives us tainted yellow skies and air pollution.

44°

I dunno. I’m not feeling a storm named “Humberto” is going to break our cane futility streak. Not ominous sounding enough

BULLETIN Hurricane Gabrielle Special Advisory Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072025 900 AM AST Mon Sep 22 2025 ...GABRIELLE RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 900 AM AST...1300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.6N 62.2W ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES Hurricane Gabrielle Special Discussion Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072025 900 AM AST Mon Sep 22 2025 Satellite images indicate that Gabrielle has rapidly intensified into a major hurricane with a well-defined eye. The current intensity is set to 105 kt, a blend of constrained Dvorak estimates of about 100 kt with higher Data-T values of 115 kt. Further intensification is expected today, and the intensity forecast is raised for the first 24 hours, then kept the same afterwards. Small changes were made to the wind radii to account for the stronger hurricane. No changes were required to the track forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/1300Z 30.6N 62.2W 105 KT 120 MPH 12H 22/1800Z 31.3N 62.1W 115 KT 130 MPH 24H 23/0600Z 32.9N 60.5W 110 KT 125 MPH 36H 23/1800Z 34.4N 57.4W 95 KT 110 MPH 48H 24/0600Z 35.4N 53.1W 90 KT 105 MPH 60H 24/1800Z 36.0N 47.6W 80 KT 90 MPH 72H 25/0600Z 36.7N 41.5W 75 KT 85 MPH 96H 26/0600Z 40.7N 28.9W 70 KT 80 MPH 120H 27/0600Z 44.2N 19.9W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Blake

It is an interesting microclimate phenomenon for those that appreciate weather as a whole. The fake cold thing is a term made up by those who must rely on Canada for their cold and can't generate their own. Only got down to 46 this morning, the dews are up a bit and clouds moved in.

Looks like a low level wedge of fog south and east of I-95.

50 degrees here this morning

I see a slight south trend with 6z..though best is still north of me. Pike to SNH?

Dick Tolleris?

I would love to take a 6 mile night hike in wind driven rain this week. Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

We will see humidity levels creeping up over the next couple of days. Today will be dry with temperatures well into the 70's. We will again be in the upper 70's to near 80 degrees tomorrow especially across valley locales. Rain chances start to ramp up by tomorrow night and those rain chances will stay with us for the rest of the week and through next weekend. A blend of all models sees between 1.5 to 2.0 inches of needed rain by Sunday morning. Of course, just like we don't shovel model snow - we can't count on model rain to deliver.

In my experience watching a friend’s chickens, they are never easy. Tiny Velociraptors running around. Mr. J and I are trial running the new EV out to Rehoboth Beach for a small vacation this week. The weather looks to be a bit better than over here cloud wise. Plan on doing a lot of exploring.

We will see humidity levels creeping up over the next couple of days. Today will be dry with temperatures well into the 70's. We will again be in the upper 70's to near 80 degrees tomorrow especially across valley locales. Rain chances start to ramp up by tomorrow night and those rain chances will stay with us for the rest of the week and through next weekend. A blend of all models sees between 1.5 to 2.0 inches of needed rain by Sunday morning. Of course, just like we don't shovel model snow - we can't count on model rain to deliver.

So where is the Sun? It is almost as difficult to predict Sunshine nowadays, as it is to predict snowfall in winter. My forecast grid was for mostly sunny skies. Now I see clouds have moved in already after 1 hour of sunshine at sunrise.

And Gabrielle has taken off. RI and up to 120 mph

weekend of IPA's, slow start to the week

My thermometer is about 20 feet up and in Queens but it managed to drop to 53 degrees this morning. I'll take it, better than Anthony's 59 haha

Beer?

The shallow nature is what makes it such an interesting phenomenon. I radiate much better here by a wooded area just north of the sound. You really notice the temperature falling pretty quickly when the sun goes down. My old area back on the South Shore didn't radiate very well. So I had to rely more on strong CAA and the winds staying strong for my colder mornings near the ocean and bays.

It looks like clouds and rain for the next 6 months setting in early this year lol. It started in late June here. I'm going to enjoy today before my trails turn to mud and slimy leaves again. Hopefully everything stays NW of my area.