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When you have a ens mean showing over .25” qpf 5+ days out that’s a decent sign something may happen in that period.
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
EastonSN+ replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
The Philly area got the worst of it. Forecasted by NWS to get 8 to 12. Ended up with 0. -
This is my point, the big storm is always 10 plus days away...
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
ORH_wxman replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
I like all 4. Most nervous about SEA though. 49ers always give them fits. -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
Franklin0529 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Yep it's coming in line with the AI models. Coast could get plowable snow -
seems more like Jan '96 minus the snow, wind, and general storminess.
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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
All operational guidance has the same general idea for the 7-15 day period. Colder than normal temps with waves of moisture sliding west to east. Hopefully we can get that boundary in the right place. -
No, people are saying the storms are right around the corner. I will get excited if two globals show a storm inside 5 days. Otherwise it it really is hype/ false hope.
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Euro has it, too. Looks like a classic NC winter storm with snow in the northern part of the state and ice in the southern and eastern part.
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Oh man yes please
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It looks like those are the adjusted altered figures....slope is wrong on the above
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
cut replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Who we like in the games? I need to get my pool in tomorrow morning. I am thinking SEA, NE, BUFF, LAR. Thoughts? I need to bet 4 points on my most confident and 1 on my least. That list is my favorite (4) to least favorite (1). Thoughts? -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
ORH_wxman replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
2” of QPF on that prog back to Litchfield county. That was a pretty high stakes miss by the euro even though by 2015 standards, the distance miss wasn’t speculator. -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
CPcantmeasuresnow replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Winter weather advisory for Orange and Putnam counties tomorrow and western Passaic for 2-4 inches of snow. -
I thought Jan 27-31 was the big one, not Jan 23-25
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Gets smashed to nothing as it goes east. But I kinda prefer that at this range anyway.
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you said it was the gfs
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
Damage In Tolland replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Yes I know . Thanks -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
A-L-E-K replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
felt like every DAB that fell last winter melted hours later about to enter an extended deep freeze so enjoy the thaw -
Troll post? We all know the storm chances are past day 5 lol
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
Great Snow 1717 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
a snowpack??? lol -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
ORH_wxman replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
There’s a mild possibility that Tolland is smack in the middle of the pack-less zone. Like draw a 20-30 mile oval around Tolland. -
Man....not sure if the headline from the 12z Euro is cold or snow or ice. If there is severe in there somewhere....it has pretty much everything.
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It's pretty wild that coastal VA is looking at rain while SE Georgia might be the jackpot for snow
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Just can't read. Like, this was answered like 9 posts ago
