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  2. 6z Euro surface pressure trend: If we just end up with that little lp blob over the Snokies turning into a leeside low......
  3. If it’s stopped it’s northward jog already then we’re in business. 1.5 more days until it’s largely locked in. .
  4. Man I’d love to be in Maryland for this as I’ve waited 10 years for this kind of storm, but it will be tough for me. No need to feel bad though, I’m way up north now and can look forward to single digit highs this weekend You all better enjoy this, especially @SnowenOutThere and other young guys who’ve never seen a double digit storm.
  5. Zero degrees here in my part of the Poconos at 630 am. Wind died down some, and snow pack really allowed temps to plummet. This weekend is now looking more interesting. It's a good thing being on the northern edge 4 to 5 days out imo.
  6. Euro AI with a nice hit. Models a bit slower (Sun into Mon) vs Sat evening/night into Sun. Slower is better for us as it allows high to weaken and lessens suppression risk
  7. I had that thought too. At that point we're calling Gov. Moore to airlift @Jebmanin to shovel us out. Godspeed Jeb Ok that's my banter for the day. Going to lurk mode... Looking forward to today's runs.
  8. At some point I think ratios are going to matter with this cold. You can clearly see it on the precip maps where we might get less precip but the higher ratios make up for it in snowfall. I think we are any a great spot and if we have a jump north I assume the cold is not as strong and its mostly a wash with accumulations? Euro AI shows only a 2 inch difference between Fredericksburg and Mon county NJ. A distance of 250 miles.
  9. 6z Euro now showing a little appetizer on Friday AM. I would consider this a baroclinic leaf out of front of the main storm. Something to watch.
  10. If this thing becomes a HECS, then your middle schooler might get most of the week off regardless of Monday. Thats what happened in 1996, 2003, and 2010.
  11. 6z normal Euro still dropping a 1054 hp south and it is a tick further south than 0z
  12. If that northern stream trough on the Euro was to sharpen some, it could tug the coastal back, or hold it in place an additional 3-6 hours, then we're not in business but in trouble. Lol
  13. After a very quick glance, looks like the AIFS took another step in the right direction.
  14. NWS has the NBM at 40% of 5in+ all the way up to Allentown and Philly at 55%
  15. If this thing holds, Montgomery County school children (like my middle schooler) will be annoyed. They have off Monday for an end of quarter teacher grading day. I think the teachers have to report in though, so they will be happy.
  16. Yup, let's keep that up... to a point. The PV sort of splitting is telling to my barely trained eyes. Hopefully that's legit
  17. You know I always thought the gfs was the best model. Haters gonna hate. Was that me saying the gfs is garbage yesterday? No that was fountainguy96.
  18. 11 at the house when I left and 3 through the rurals. I haven’t had much time to dive into things for this weekend, will do so today, but from what I’ve seen on this board my pants are officially getting tight. Big week ahead.
  19. The secret to a big storm is scheduling a major appointment two months in advance....looks like I'm rescheduling next Monday.
  20. From another board…
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