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We'll be up there all winter. I'd love to get a crew from the board up there for a big LES event. It's a free place to stay. Just bring food and some recipes.
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Awesome, congrats. With an AN temp winter likely up here I think that opens the door for something juicy. There’s nothing like LES. Yeah we gotta do it at some point. Last year got away from me with my wife’s new job and all but boy did we hit the jackpot. Just over 150” here at SLK with numerous periods below zero. It was heavenly. But yeah we definitely need a chase. If we went down to Buffalo we have the benefit of food, good road infrastructure, and meeting up with the guys out there that chase every year locally. And of course, Watertown is Watertown.
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Extraordinarily tough sledding across the basin this season. I kind of feel like this one is important to my peak season forecast.
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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
WxWatcher007 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
95L is out of time. -
Funny, but from the 27 minute mark on I never remembered Lurch working for TWC.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Jebman replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I wonder how often the PDO state keeps ninos from affecting the N HEM 500 pressure surface? Or gets close? -
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She was very loved especially in Tennessee where she helped a ton after the wildfires tore through there.
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Early this evening here in the overall still very dry CO high country I saw this at a distance down the road I was taking a leisurely walk on, a first for me to see in the wild anywhere! The drought is so bad here that their natural food supply of berries, etc, is way below normal! This was surrealistic:
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NINO looks still strong to me,you even see another strong WWB into Sept with hardly any EWB,start seeing EWB around South America should be one of the first signs the Walker Circulation is breaking down,until then
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0Z UKMET delays transition to a TD for 4 days vs the 12Z run but still has it taking a similar path and gets to a TS quickly as it moves WNW a little NE of the Bahamas: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 20.3N 67.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 31.08.2026 132 21.0N 68.5W 1011 32 0000UTC 01.09.2026 144 22.4N 70.3W 1009 38 1200UTC 01.09.2026 156 23.0N 71.7W 1006 43 0000UTC 02.09.2026 168 24.1N 73.4W 1002 39
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Weather_or_Not replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Note the lack of actual crisp air (SUB 55 DEWS) on this chart. 2025 had 290 hours under 55 DP (3rd best), 2026 has 14 hrs (all time worst). Here's hoping Saturday brings us our first crisp day (low 50s dew) of August - fingers crossed! -
That not true to some extent,while the 82-83 strong NINO showed a -PDO into srping it went positive into summer.That 82-83 winter was quite uniques alone which had the help of a EQBO and not a WQBO this year
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I don’t recall ever hearing/reading even one bad word about Dolly. Never! How many public figures can you say that about in our lifetimes?
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I’ve rarely if ever heard/read one bad word about Dolly. Never! How many public figures can you say that about? Yes, one part of her anatomy was often made fun of, but that seemed to be mainly in good fun even if sometimes coming off as rude and she seemed to take it well with great responses.
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Can you show me which stations in our sub-forum that is true for? This has not been an extremely hot summer, those surges of heat we had were short lived. This was a typical summer for the metro that featured warm and humid days and a stormy pattern starting after the 4th. It's interesting because if we had the inverse of this summer pattern happen in the winter (some extremely cold days mixed in with mostly average/warmer ones), you wouldn't have people going around saying that it's an icebox record cold winter.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
EasternLI replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yeah. You would expect to see some recurving typhoons instead of that. Key part of the puzzle IMO. Which we are still waiting for... -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
+PDO tends to be more indicative that the Pacific was in more of a nino state during the past 5-10 years and vice versa so that makes sense. Weak ENSO is going to have high variability. -
Looks like the Nino flatlined a little more than expected the last week or two. It's actually weakening considerably in 3-4. It may not quite peak as high as predicted. Regarding the PDO. Nino winters had positive PDO in something like 80 percent of moderate to strong ninos. 2023-24 was the only -pdo winter for one of them in the last 75 years.
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In some months the PDO correlates higher with US Temperature than ENSO. In a few months it actually scores higher than the PNA!
