All Activity

BOS only had a high of 89° on the 3rd. But ACK was ahead of their Saturday pace…97° vs 95° at 11am. That ACK temp was pretty remarkable. Upper echelon airmass and they had a due 360 wind coming off the meat of the island. Once that wind went 230 it dropped right into the mid 80s. But yeah Hot Saturday was pretty humid…lots of low to mid 70s dews.

Hello darkness, my old friend.

This looks absolutely insane too. Canada is just dotted with fires seemingly from the Rockies all the way to the Atlantic Coast. What the heck is even burning up near the Arctic Circle? Nuts.

I agree. The disconnect between expectations, actual official verification, and forecast are off by quite a bit. But I’ll always wonder how much the general public cares.

And on Aug 3, BOS was something like 93 at 9am, but a BDF ruined what probably would have been their all-time highest temp!

I'm tracking some of this smoke, but haven't seen much note of it... however, if the HRRR is correct, it could get pretty nasty over parts of the region - including potentially the Twin Cities. Wonder if this might keep high temperatures in check tomorrow?

Devil's advocate? Good! Promotes more discussion and is valid discussion position, and I take this position every so often as well! Yes, from a sensible wx POV, 100 vs. 104 is trivial. It's like last year when TPA hit 100 for the first time, when they had 99 many times. Is that *really* a big deal? The MSM sure made so it was! However, nothing is scaled properly anymore. You look at the MSM and so many on social media, slicing and dicing down everything to the smallest minutiae they can find to hype. So 100 and 104 in a social or psychological sense *is* a big deal. It really shouldn't be, but that's society for you. We have a very bad tendency to make mountains out of molehills and find issues where there is none. And yes, it will be hot and impact and the public knows that, but to embellish it w/ all these stupid bells and whistles and prophecies of doom? That is counterproductive and self-serving to those who promote senseless fear-mongering.

DCA: 98, 101, 102, 100 BWI: 99, 104, 104, 102 IAD: 97, 102, 103, 101 SBY: 97, 100, 101, 99 RIC: 99, 102, 104, 100 Total rain: 0.00"

And where is the MSM on that? Crickets. You can't have both ways. Selective reporting is rife.

I haven't seen anyone here forecast a cold winter. In fact, everyone expects a milder than avg mean. However, it has been discussed how there still remain plenty of opportunity for a big east coast storm, and for those of us further north multiple wintry opportunities exist in mild winters. Hes hoping for the warmest/least snowy outcome possible so he can enjoy weenie tears, but thats something thats really just wish casting.

Same for my stations.

It's 10 pm and our Baltimore City mesonet site, which is located on about 10 acres of grass, is still 80°.

Can I play devil's advocate for a minute? To "society," what is the actual impact difference between 100F vs. 104F? I'm not a fan of media, social media hype, etc. But maybe I'm jaded and just expect some level of hyperbole to occur in any content we consume (social media, streaming, TV, even radio), whether I agree or not. I certainly agree that it's way overblown, annoyingly so. I take solace in the fact that it might alert the public to a very hot period. Anyone without A/C doesn't care if it's 100F or 104F for an official high. It's an urban area, it's really hot regardless of the actual value. I think hyping low wind-chills can be a bit overblown too, but at the end of the day, the public knows it will be uncomfortable for a few days. I always wonder what would happen if they downplayed everything.

Speaking of 1975. I was 19 years old and a weather nerd. I vaguly remember that. I think it was on a NW flow with very low dews? Also what was the date that was the old weather forum meeting at BWI? That was one of the hottest BWI days but with very high dews.

I have got more rain in the last few hours and more to come than what seems like the last 4 months combined! Lots of lightning too

I think this is the most amazing earthquake video i have ever seen. Seems legit. I have never seen people being literally thrown to the ground.

88 today

Found this

100 three days in a row huh

HRRR is active tomorrow

I guarantee you those differences are nearly all placement. I would bet my life on that. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

I think in 2011 New Cumberland had confirmed heat index of 122 or something similar. That's the highest I've ever seen around here. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Adam overweights ENSO. That works in super Nino years like this, 23-24, 15-16 etc, but outside of that it fails. It’s especially egregious to do that during weak ENSO like this past winter (weak La Niña). So yeah, Adam is probably going to be more right than not this year not because his process is good, but because his process happens to work during super ninos. That said, sometimes over analysis can be harmful. At a high level super ninos are warm and wet in the east, whether they are east based, basin wide, +PDO, -PDO etc. This is where I agree with him saying it won’t be a difficult forecast this winter. It’s ok though, we got a ton of snow this past winter and the past 2 winters have been cold, so im ok with the warm lovers getting their way this year.

We've never hit 4 days above 100. I don't think weve had 4 days above 98 or 99. in a week a bunch will be in d3/d4 territory with no real break in 16 day forcast. 1966 was in a different stratosphere. In the midst of a 3-year severe drought and going into June with 15% rainfall. If you want to see something left look at the low temperatures not summer it would fly up into the mid and upper 90s and drop down to 60 at night. Basically we turned into Arizona Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

They can play with anyone. They have the talent, just don’t play to their potential really ever