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  2. This is the height of he storm on the GFS for us! Crushed
  3. Ill take all the sleet it can throw at me… but i dont want freezing rain .
  4. That cutoff being 30-40 miles from DC proper would be an absolute nail biting nowcast the day of the storm. Nice and easy isn't as exciting, as they say!
  5. Not sure where you are seeing that. WRAL is showing it switching over to plain rain.
  6. For those wondering how the GFS did it. The GFS had better confluence, a low that ejected a bit further south and resisted the phase, a less powerful NS, and a more eastern NS. If the Euro shows any one of these things we should hopefully get a further south solution.
  7. would rain at 33 or even 34 not freeze on contact if we already have .75 of ice ?
  8. The cutoff line between snow and sleet is remarkably similar to the Euro now. It is a complete beatdown for all of us.
  9. On second thought, just give me rain atp
  10. Good trend for now, Dr. No is in the batters box. I guess TWC hugs the GFS
  11. Wants to get Baltimore to nearly 20 on Kuchera with coastal stuff.
  12. GFS was always the outlier/suppressed so yes it might be south compared to tge rest of the suite. Although 00gfs is a bomb thus far.
  13. 10:1 if you are a ratio skeptic. Also was probably .5” more on the other Kuchie maps. Whoops.
  14. Could be low. This is through 90 (10-1 ratio).
  15. 12-18 for the 95 corridor with 18-24+ in the north and west burbs sounds like our climo for a MECS/HECS. Which is basically what King GFS is SNOWING
  16. Every model has 12+. Can't believe it's still 72 hours away.
  17. at 102 - 24hrs in and still lots more to come verbatim this could be what weve been waiting for
  18. More amped, north but cold. Also, the gfs has been too cold with mid level warmth in recent years.
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