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too bad-if it were 2 days earlier....

like comparing a chihuaha to a bernese mountain dog.....

87-93 was nearly as bad, i think two events in march 92 and the bust in 89 were about it, and i'm not sure 92 was more than an advisory.

Yessssss

Everything was set up and still snow was paltry. Minimal warming but paltry snow. We’re (most of sne) in a rutt l.

Flakes in the air on Christmas Eve is nice, but ultimately that's my final too.

WSW hoisted for up here in Bittinger. Up to 0.4" ice and 1" of sleet apparently.

I've read previous posts from you on physical geography, and I don't disagree with you. I'm a subscriber to this weather service and shared it because it will serve to alert folks of potential difficult travel conditions... Best of luck with your cleanup after the storm...

Not 17

15 years ago today we were tracking a monster storm. Today we are tracking its little brother for the same date lol

0.0

You may need to import water from the Chesapeake.

throw this map out. No way does this storm produce the mixed lines like this. None of these boundary lines follows physical geography. What a waste. Historical weather patterns in my lifetime point to the evolution of the storm producing pingers in the last two hours of the storm event, then to a quick shot of freezing rain and then the final cake frosting of freezing drizzle in the LV with a normal thump of 6-8 inches of snow. That is a safe bet right now. All I can say is it will be one hell of back breaking shoveling event. Snow blower special indeed., Under a winter storm watch now too

Honeybees show up at the bird feeders often during mild periods in winter. Must be a hint of pollen that draws them in. Helps that the neighbor has 6 hive boxes

Radar drying up, Took the last measurement and will end with 18" final.

We will see if it holds, but the Aleutian ridge is basically eliminated by the end of the Euro run and it looks like a +PNA is building. If that happens, January 10th and beyond could be plenty of Pacific driven good times. Traditionally when it collapses extreme winter periods of 2 to 3 weeks can happen.

2020. 10.5" in December (December 16-17 snowstorm) and 38.6" seasonal snowfall.

Congrats to E Plymouth County and outer Cape. nada accumulation here, in between best bands

GFS will always underdo mid-level warmth though in that scenario the flow aloft at the warmest level is like from 280, not as bad as it being from 230 but probably still verbatim underdone a bit. Its why I said before you'll see ratios near 10:1 eventually, even if its 25F at the surface if you're -1C at 750 or 800

Clearly, the urban heat island effect at work in a town of 31,000 spawled across 3,250 square miles.

96th street.

correct..

To be honest, not seeing much evidence of increasing cold extremes in the Juneau data.

Initial thoughts: Greatest uncertainty is the farther northeast into the state you go. The greatest warm air advection is going to occur well to our southwest, from PA into NJ and likely clipping southwest Fairfield County. Where this occurs is critical because this is where the heaviest banding of snow will occur along with the heaviest rates and highest ratios. I think there is room for some higher totals in southwest CT (possibly in the 6-8" range) but there are questions about drier air advecting in aloft and drying out the DGZ. This could result in a solid 2-3 hour window of moderate-to-heavy snow with snow quickly decreasing in intensity and snow growth become poor. This would also occur as the WAA diminishes. It is also very possible the mesos are throwing us caution flags which need to be considered as many of the mesos essentially have one heavy band, with little outside of this band. That would fit the mold of this setup well as much of the forcing is tied into the strong WAA. Might have time to update this tomorrow. Depends on what I have going on for Christmas after work.

Another nothing burger out here. We are going to be in very dire straights out here this summer unless something drastically changes.