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  2. That would produce some serious sound- and ocean-enhanced snow given surface temps north of Hatteras up to SE VA.... not something you see very often Fetch running straight down the Chesapeake N/S
  3. The second things like sun angle start becoming an issue again all I can think about is the lake getting warm as fast as possible. I think last year was pretty good in that respect since spring was pretty solid iirc. Since we're looking at cold cold for at least the next two weeks, this may be my first year of actively pulling for a torch in about three weeks' time.
  4. I counted up each panel and was conservative and got 0.6. So around 6” snow
  5. Nothing on radar, but getting a crazy squall up here in Hazleton right now...
  6. you don't want to be in a Jackpot zone 5 days out
  7. Surface looks "busy." https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=084
  8. If the GFS misses this storm again (it likely will) like last week it should be shut down. The power it uses would be better used elsewhere. How has the American flagship model gotten so obsolete? It's truly embarrassing.
  9. It’s ensemble was completely dif and significantly west
  10. Those temps are more like NE. Cold has not disappointed
  11. GEFS looking better at hour 78. More separation of our TPV and better ridging between the two systems already. Not surprised though as the GEFS usually follow the OP. The western ridge also got better.
  12. There are lands south and east of the beltway it turns out.
  13. 18z ICON says congrats Bermuda.
  14. We are used to heart break - but we got a shot at least!
  15. Mount Holly believes, at least a little. My forecast for the weekend- Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 19. Friday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 5. Saturday A chance of snow after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 19. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Saturday Night A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13. Blustery. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Sunday A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 25. Blustery. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
  16. My favorite type of storm. Ocean Bomb backing in.
  17. 18Z GGEM https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=084
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