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If we can manage a BN or even slightly BN February, (which would be pretty wild considering November - January was also BN) coupled with the STJ waking up… we could see a monster before the pattern eventually breaks down. Obviously all speculation but the ingredients seem to be coming together for the January 24 - February 10 timeframe to possibly be very special.
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Woke up to a minor dusting. Light snow the past 10 mins or so. Pretty and it wants to accumulate immediately but it's all doomed. 37 degrees.
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
Stormlover74 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rrfs_a&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2026011712&fh=34&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc= -
https://imgur.com/a/EiHLPj7
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
The 4 Seasons replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
its just not zonked out this run -
FV3 lookin nice
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Clarksburg, MD about 5 minutes ago I measured 1.2" I'll post picture. @ 9:48am -SN
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
CoastalWx replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
I didn’t say it was terrible, I said it moved a decent jog east. That model sucks. -
Nice! I'm going to be out there next weekend and am hoping to get my snow fix for the season then. Rhododendron in the snow are the best.
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
CoastalWx replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
It blows. Terrible. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
ineedsnow replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
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Alfoman started following January 16-19th: Rolling the dice
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Up in Bloomingdale this weekend - light snow here but nothing accumulating.
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
weatherwiz replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
That model gives me a headache -
Wasn't expecting a morning snow hike. Well.. here i am. Deep winter is moving in FOOKS!
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Maggie Valley Steve replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
No accumulation at the house, but it looks like 2 to 3 inches above 3700 ft and Cataloochee reported 3 inches of fresh snow overnight. The mountains around the house look beautiful this morning! -
Woke up to 36 and snow/sleet mix
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
DocATL replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Dare I say east coast pattern? -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
ineedsnow replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
River east if it keeps trending -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
SouthCoastMA replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
RRFS and HRRR is a waste of time this far out -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
cleetussnow replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
I’m under heavy virga still. It does look have the ‘snows coming’ look tho. Excited about the developments here TBH. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Typhoon Tip replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
yeah, just looking at these spatial orientations now... 28th/2th is a quasar anything prior to the 27th is probably kind of buckshot and not very clear at this range... They're not tied to any coherent larger mass field reshuffling; if/when they exist they're like "under the radar" and emerge in shorter notice. Middling in scale, ....get into a resonant overrunning deal, notwithstanding - again, that shows up < 5 days typically in this over all compressed/cold hemisphere -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
Sey-Mour Snow replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
It is lol, it was a major snowstorm at 6z as the low kissed nantucket, now it fits other hires guidance.. -
Jan 17-18 Sunday Funday Storm
Leesville Wx Hawk replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
You have a decent shot. -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
WeatherGeek2025 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
can you see some images please? -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
CoastalWx replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
No my storage is full. Just go to pivotal weather
