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That would produce some serious sound- and ocean-enhanced snow given surface temps north of Hatteras up to SE VA.... not something you see very often Fetch running straight down the Chesapeake N/S

The second things like sun angle start becoming an issue again all I can think about is the lake getting warm as fast as possible. I think last year was pretty good in that respect since spring was pretty solid iirc. Since we're looking at cold cold for at least the next two weeks, this may be my first year of actively pulling for a torch in about three weeks' time.

I counted up each panel and was conservative and got 0.6. So around 6” snow

This summer is going to be so great, hyped

Nothing on radar, but getting a crazy squall up here in Hazleton right now...

Temps Monday night per GFS is COLD

Downsloping?

you don't want to be in a Jackpot zone 5 days out

GFS says it is going to die on this hill if necessary

18z GDPS looked like it was gonna go boom

Surface looks "busy." https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=084

Time for the Euro to join the party!

If the GFS misses this storm again (it likely will) like last week it should be shut down. The power it uses would be better used elsewhere. How has the American flagship model gotten so obsolete? It's truly embarrassing.

It’s ensemble was completely dif and significantly west

Those temps are more like NE. Cold has not disappointed

Also what she said

GEFS looking better at hour 78. More separation of our TPV and better ridging between the two systems already. Not surprised though as the GEFS usually follow the OP. The western ridge also got better.

There are lands south and east of the beltway it turns out.

18z ICON says congrats Bermuda.

We are used to heart break - but we got a shot at least!

What is the GEFS “hybrid” ? 10/1 .

Mount Holly believes, at least a little. My forecast for the weekend- Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 19. Friday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 5. Saturday A chance of snow after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 19. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Saturday Night A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13. Blustery. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Sunday A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 25. Blustery. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

My favorite type of storm. Ocean Bomb backing in.

18Z GGEM https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=084

How much for Short Pump!?