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Obviously every storm is different, but is there any source that tracks NWS forecasts (or any outlet's forecast) vs. what happens in reality?

Updated my final forecast for out this way at 10:00 last night to 12-18”. We’ll see how this all turns out soon enough. The 12” seems like a reasonable floor and anything over 18” would have to come from intense banding which is hard to nail down in advance. We’ll see how it plays out. Currently light snow and 31 degrees. Western edge was always going to be difficult and the NAM insane amounts were not be believed verbatim. Good luck to all!!!!

Kicker is still in Missouri and people are worried about the morning drizzle.

lol was predicted and normal, low didn’t even form storms not til late tn. Even if it’s snow right now it’s not sticking

It really shouldn’t. No accumulations forecasted till afternoon and not much till very late afternoon

Man for us on the coast this may very well become the benchmark storm.

Ah here we go, expecting a lot of these posts even when accumulating snow for some areas isn’t forecast until late afternoon/evening.

RADAR https://radar.weather.gov/region/northeast/standard Interactive NYC Point Forecast: https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=40.7142&lon=-74.0059 AMERICANWX NWS Central Park, NYC observations https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc New York, La Guardia Airport NWS JFK, NYC International Airport https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KJFK NYCRWROKX Live views of NYC www.youtube.com/watch?v=VGnFLdQW39A https://www.earthcam.com/usa/newyork/timessquare/

Im going to wait for it to start snowing then go to the supermarket just for shits n giggles.

Nah it won’t it’ll changeover quickly

Not by much, this is early stuff. The NWS said things get going later this afternoon.

Did the NYC trip get cancelled? Are you in RI for this?

Where did I say NYC isn’t getting a foot? The RGEM has a foot in the city. As far as what the NAM has been selling? Throw it in the trash, it’s going to start backing down and playing catch up. There’s a reason why the NAM/SREF are getting retired this year and it’s not because it’s good. The only thing it’s good for is warm nose events and that’s it. This is a classic NAM over amp and it’s going to bust horribly IMO

Ah right, I got it backwards with the elevation scans.

32F here with a snow/rain mix.

The latest forecast here looks a bit overdone wrt snow accumulations, 13-20. Given the mostly low ratios for the duration of the storm and that models have shifted the more crippling snow to the the NE, the low end seems pretty reasonable. I would go with 8-12, maybe a bit more depending on banding. That's manageable and I should be able to get home tomorrow evening.

Still light rain here at 33.9. I'm at 725'. Latest radar scan shows some bright banding at my location in northwestern Loudoun. Thinking that a mix may just off the surface for me.

Not a wind fan either. When was the last time we had a Blizzard Warning up here? I honestly don't recall.

Headed to the Catoctins for the first leg of this chase. I'll be at Salamander Rock checking conditions above 1500'. After that? Delaware.

Yeah everything will be caked..power loss inevitable

Rain in Brooklyn. This will impact snow totals if rain keeps up

As the system starts to occlude, we may see banding widen out a bit for a while. Regardless, I can't wait to watch this evolve

36.3 0.06 rain so far I suspect i should see some mixing in the next hour so

Rain. 36.3

I’ve seen enough, heading out to get a yardstick. My ruler won’t do for this storm.