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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
so? -
This is exactly why when it comes to winter, I'd rather it just be boring than WAW. Any other time of the year, sure, break the monotony up. But rain at slightly above freezing is downright the most dogshit ass weather you can get. I'll gladly layer up and go strolling in arctic conditions, but what the fuck are you gonna do outside in 33 and rain? Frankly, light rain from a cloud deck one physically cannot discern does very little to make things more interesting, so all that's left for me personally is to get tilted over the fact that it's snowing instead of raining. I guess approaching/departing systems make for cool sunsets at least...
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65.5° and not even noon yet.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
frontranger8 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Short term trends and limited sample sizes are a thing. -
Neat, that's a pretty simple way to produce them. I liked how they were easy to interpret but also impactful with the information. Always appreciate your posts and insight...
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Sir, this is a weather forum…not grindr
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Man that's scary dry looking for the end of October - could probably still drive over Trail Ridge road! Northern Colorado mountains snowpack only about 25% of normal. The southwest part of Colorado obviously looking good for whittling down the drought. In Fort Collins, last winter's snowfall of 22" was the driest since the winter of 1945-46. If things don't start changing soon we'll be lucky to even have 22" this winter... This El Nino is definitely favoring the southwest US with abundant moisture (that's great they needed it), leaving further north high and dry. That pattern just seems to persist - it's now looking questionable that our region will even see our first snow in November :-( Oh well - maybe December or January?
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I'm really proud of how they played in the 2nd half tbh.
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yeah- it's much more urbanized now. We can see the Reston-area "skyline" from all the way here in Tenleytown, DC.
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Radar blossoming nice. If only we had some cold air to go with it.
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Like many of you I've been around. I have lived in (6 months or more) in nearly half the country. I was an Air Force brat and also had a couple jobs that required frequent relocation. While it was great seeing a lot there are few deep roots. If I had to pick a place in this country it would be Alaska. Deep Alaska. Fly my mail and essentials 3 or 4 times a year Alaska lol. That's where I'd like to spend my final years. Fly back once a year to say hi to the family then back I'd go. Probably end my days as Bear food lol. Maybe not the Revenant style though lol. But I absolutely love it up there. Give me a cabin a million miles away from everything. Seen enough
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Was going to do some leaf mulching this morning, but we're getting some mysterious wind-blown drizzle well out ahead of the storm system. Precip tomorrow looks pretty showery, so good chance many local areas get bypassed by decent rainfall.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
The latest ChescoWx study is live on the website. The question we posed that many in our area have asked is below. Plus how much has NCEI adjusted for any UHI impacts? The study design and supporting charts are available in greater detail on the site below. https://chescowx.com/phl-airport-vs-neighbors/ -
The latest ChescoWx study is live on the website. The question we posed is below. Plus how much has (if at all) NCEI adjusted for any UHI impacts? The study design and supporting charts are available in greater detail on the site below. https://chescowx.com/phl-airport-vs-neighbors/
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Does that mean only 20inches of snow on your roof in March instead of 100(or however much is in those crazy pics that make me envious you post) lol? Hope not. I know down here I'm not looking forward to this winter. While snow is not out of the question a "Vancouver" style winter seems to be in the works with miserable drizzle and 35-40 degrees. I swear, winter weather like that is colder than snow and 10 degrees. Good luck to you up there and looking forward to some snow pics. We may need them down here lol.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
the pac vortex couldn't be dislodged in 98 and this event is stronger. what the fuck are you guys smoking -
With it juicing things up will be interesting to see how our mini Nov Tornado season evolves. This current strong incoming system is just a few instabilities short of generating low topped 60mph rotating SUP's. November, the month where the Chaser becomes the Chasee lol
- Today
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OCTOBER 2026 Numbers Avg max: 57.4 +1.6 Warmest: 73 on the 1st Avg min: 32.8 -2.1 Coldest: 17 on the 28th Mean: 45.1 -0.2 Precip: 1.95" -3.21" Wettest day: 0.90" on the 13th Snow: No traces October 2026 had no remarkable cold or warmth, no significant storms, no thunder. Its character was sun and dry, especially the final 14 days, which featured 10 sunny days and 4 partly cloudy, and only the sprinkle on the 30th for precip. Its available sun proportion of 66% is tops for 29 Octobers and tied for the 3rd highest of any month.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
i want to believe -
It happens. Enjoy it.
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Leaf fall seemed to really start in earnest just the last couple days around me. Definitely at peak color more or less.
