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20/3 at my place currently 11/-7 where I’ll be for the storm This Arctic shot is no joke

Definitely good to see the coastal assist creeping back into the picture tonight. That will be critical to follow tomorrow. Like I said earlier, probably the difference between 10-15 and 15-20

I've gotten very good at tempering expectations between snow and sports. I've been telling myself to expect 8-12" but I'll go with 12 imby

That too…reflectivity is bright and CC shows a clear boundary from roughly Ada to McAlester. Still means the NAM was too warm which has me injecting some hopium.

Yeah, well, Scottie, this has always been the case. It has more visibility now than it used to....for every blizzard of 93 where it was forecast 5 days out to the March 2001 debacle in the northeast....such is living as a meteorologist. I burnt out on this stuff a while ago but I still enjoy watching the lead in. Most meteorologists add massive value to people's lives but only get called out when it goes wrong. Until they make a computer that can intake data from every point on the globe at every altitude all at once then model it, things won't change (i.e. won't happen in our life time) ...and if it does eventually happen, then it will be boring....

12z Mesos tomorrow will be super interesting. Watch the RAP show 13” again

So you would be happy with 3 one inch dusters in December followed by two months of arctic CAD and maybe a duster or two to offset sublimation? Just keep a steady 3 inches with zero melting. Stay below 15F so no melting on roads or dirty looking snow.

I mean you can just take a look at the radar and it's obvious that's sleet falling all through southern OK.

Yup.

9.

Banding perhaps? but yeah, likely not the case.

Not that there is anything wrong with that...Like Jerry said, it's a pummeling.

Look at mPING as it relies on actual observations, not the colors on radar maps. It currently has sleet up to Ada, OK, right in line with the Euro and HRRR. It does appear the NAM was too warm at the mid levels, though, as it had sleet up to I-40 where it’s currently all snow.

...and the GGEM looks good.

With all the new and extra data we had the great results from all models. Good to see that extra sampling didn't go the other way.

Awesome, now let us know when the exploding tree temperature threshold is!

18.5/-9.1

Agree.

F5 has had that issue in the past, too...they seem to have rectified it.

Cool, 26" for all....you do you. Looks like 16-21" to me.

Point is, uncle is a pummeling but it is late Friday night and crazy uncle.

Honestly? At start of this week, if you would have told me 3”-6” I would have been very happy. BTV always seems pretty level headed so I usually trust them. But you know your stuff too so I can see what you’re saying.

22.2/6.0 winds gusting to 32mph

21/3 out here in Romancoke on Kent Island .

Already down to 17F w/a -6F dewpoint and 1F windchill at IAD. It be COLD.