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Yeah nice video from him. Brought up some of what I posted about on Saturday. I'm a little quicker with the process though. Don't need convection at the dateline for things to happen. It's well underway before that. Still think a +PNA is a very real possibility though too. But same general idea. Pacific jet fires off and these waves break. I think the 00z EPS is still suggesting that the whole process gets underway too TBH.

I know it! We actually have some potential and everyone is MIA?

Nevermind CWG just posted warming trend through the weekend...the geese and Webb were right

Not much has changed overnight. A coating of snow seems likely in New York City and its nearby suburbs due to a combination of marginal temperatures and light precipitation rates. 1"-2" is likely in the distant northern and western suburbs. There could be some 3" amounts in places like Binghamton. Overall, the system remains on course to be a minor one. The latest WPC maps: For reference: the latest NWS Map:

So no way right? This would be a time I would be thankful for the mountains.

Eps is now correcting with the blocking. Its hard to take these models seriously in the long range. Courtesy of another forum

6z doubled down for Friday and the euro moved towards the gfs. HP in near perfect spot.

Crickets in here lately for two possible accumulating snow events this week. Then if we had no snow in the forecast and a raging SE RIDGE at day 15 I'd wake up to 25 posts from the warmistas and negative nancys ..

At least someone gets to get away. Social gatherings are exhausting. I host Christmas so I get the home team advantage. Thankfully, we have very few friends and they rarely have parties

pretty legit trend in the confluence for late week. Fri-Sat is def a timeframe to watch for a legit thump

pretty legit trend in the confluence for late week. Fri-Sat is def a timeframe to watch for a legit thump

He is lucky to have you!

Ahhhhh my kid turns 13 today. Send help.

Don't even look at A.I. at this point. It needs lots of time

A bit longer!? It's the modeling norm nearly the last decade

Yep 6z euro is slightly more south. The models missed this blocking. Thats why blocking patterns gives the models headaches.

I think it is going yo be a wild ride this winter....it may not work out but it will be fun to find out!

6z euro continues the theme. Slightly more colder. 6z eps slightly colder and south of 0z eps

Meh...my wife with has a long list of things of things to be pissed off about with me if this doesn't do it.

Man...looks like i bought myself 2' of sleet for my new house

AI Euro slightly more south

Where is the torchmas? WB 6Z GFS...

I am the one encouraging it. Meanwhile, the guests would be wondering why I keep sending him with half full bags of trash to the garage

Nice positive trends last night

If these trends keep up, there will be a lot of pissed off wives come Christmas