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Looks like HGR will end up with a top 20 warmest Oct (58.4 Mean as of yesterday) but they had one day with what I remember to be severe related qpf so not near any monthly records at 2.33" total.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Based on your graph, the 0Z 10/30 Euro is calling for the avg of Nov 1-15 to be ~-1 m/s. That’s ~16 lower than the next lowest for any Nino since 1950 (2009), which was near +15, and ~26 lower than the avg for El Niño since 1950: 26: projected -1 09: +15 04: +16 58: +17 06: +18 Avg Nino +25 -
Falls Lake is reaching the summer low point today and will certainly fall a bit more.
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I think that those were the exceptions.
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Stein ends in a week or so. Enjoy it now because it will be…
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
EasternLI replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Huh? Why does something need to be more impressive than something else? It's all impressive. I'm just not all that surprised by that. That's what super el nino does. -
41 degrees this morning. Weather has been beautiful, but we could use some rain. My water I fish is getting pretty skinny. TGIF
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That bodes well imby too. I'd take that in a heartbeat.
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10 to 40"...well that narrows it down
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DCA clocking in with a dry October, with almost an inch and a half deficit. Approaching -7.5” on the year.
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Been averaging 12-13” a winter since I moved back here including the 2022-23 rat. This prediction triples that, so I’d love to see it actually happen. I’m a tad more bearish but we only need one storm!
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Steve DiMartino's winter forecast. It's NY/NJ/PA centric, but his maps include part of this forum fwiw. https://nynjpaweather.com/public/2026/10/30/winter-forecast-2026-27/
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40 this morning.
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Steve DiMartinio's winter forecast. Used to post on AmericanWx https://nynjpaweather.com/public/2026/10/30/winter-forecast-2026-27/
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Yes remember having no power as the snowstorm came. Not to many places have a hurricane and then a snowstorm a week later.
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54 real degrees, no frost this morning
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Lol. Only if you honestly want it warm it is. -
This dry spell came at a great time for the foliage. Sure the wind blows plenty down but I find the rain is just as bad if not worse.
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Steve D winter outlook https://nynjpaweather.com/public/2026/10/30/winter-forecast-2026-27/
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
MJO812 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Steve D winter outlook https://nynjpaweather.com/public/2026/10/30/winter-forecast-2026-27/ -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The surface warming across the Northern Hemisphere going into November with this historic El Niño is more impressive than what is happening in the stratosphere. -
Lots of dew this AM
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
EasternLI replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Regardless of any consequences, it appears increasingly likely that this is going to occur. GEFS up to 94% now. EPS still 100% plus seeing the operational EURO continue a trend to prolong it is interesting also.
