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pretty impressive model agreement and synoptic support for a potentially major storm at this range

Keep March 2001 out of your mouth....or I am sending Will Smith! I was getting Feb 9-10 2010 vibes....

Euro ai out shortly. Let’s see if it holds.

IMO this is either a hit or south and OTS. Warm/cutter or runner is off the table. Extremely confident in that

Two closed lows?

Good thing the GFS is below the JMA.

Thankfully it’s the gfs and is a horrid model. It still shows over .25” qpf in the period

A 2-4 inch advisory event, where it likely wouldn't even accumulate on hard surfaces, does nothing for me especially this time of year when weather is as you say so nice and when east of us is possibly getting 12+ up to 3.5 ft. At least it is still 5 days away so could get better or maybe even worse...

I don’t consider 1-3/2-4” garbage event

Buckle up, big boy!

After 12z runs on Saturday. Storm is still very far away

WB 0Z GEFS says what storm....

It's surreal at Mammoth. Up to 39 inches just since yesterday. People trying to remove snow from the deck on the Main Lodge, waist deep to nearly chest deep in new snow lol. https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge Even the Village Level got demolished with at least 2 feet of new snow. https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/the-village They have 20-26 more inches coming today as a new colder storm takes aim on The Sierra.

Per Noaa - Watches are issued up to 72 hours in advance with forecaster confidence around 50%. So... if things look really good on Thursday, Winter Storm watches will be hoisted.

This board excels at overestimating ratios.

The American Storm @BigJoeBastardi · 2h Wish to see the rain in LAX on Thursday first, but the 5 big storms I am using have the AIS very close for Sun-Mon storm. Cool, the way these threats are always on the weekend. Case Study on Weatherbell. So far Google and GFS AI are beating Euro, tho at 06z, EURO AI went to them

Why does everyone want to end winter while still in February? Approaching mid March I might understand it especially for all of you NYC and south..

Still waiting until Friday night to get excited. Have a feeling this will be warmer then its depicting, but glad to see a lot of models coming together to at least show something. Long way to go still.

we are due to hit pay dirt with this storm end winter with a bang..

Please, it's still 5-6 days away. Time for many things to change, but I like where they are today.

This is getting real fellas. I don't know if I can handle the week ahead ha.

When you self bar yourself again.

When you issue them with one of your future forecast packages

I don't think so

Blizzard watches were discontinued in late 2017.