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Duh. Told yall. No point at even looking for anything before Saturday.

Yep, super low dark clouds outside currently as well. Looking forward to the winds this afternoon/overnight. Drought guy will be posting more potential drought conditions locally. Probably busy with Lake Mead in California reaching historic low levels. Dead body surfacing...

The 12z AIFS Euro has three storms back-to-back-to-back. Easily the best suite of the year in terms of just synoptical setup.

not bullish enough. 50 kt gusts easily

Snowin and blowing away. Winter quickly has returned.

Careful with the language....there are children present

Yeah euro still generates a system on 1/8-1/9 but it’s a bit strung out and weak going almost due north and scraping eastern areas. It doesn’t take much mental gymnastics to see that thing being much stronger and more coherent. The PNA ridge is pretty amplified which is going to want to force a lot of energy to pile up around the base of the trough.

Agreed. The 12z suite has been encouraging. I'm happy to see the Canadian and it's ensembles joining in as well.

Euro brings everyone back to reality.

5 day mean for the deterministic 12z Euro...~d6-11.

That run was showing a chance every 2 days...and stj stuff involved to boot.

Shocker

It is quiet in here to have such a good 12z suite. The 12z Euro looked loaded. Very nice run with plenty of chances and actual snow embedded in the run.

Right ...cuz Tolland's in a relative min/face smack slot there so you know yours must be balls on right

I mean it's not rain for people who moved recently

Only the dirt roads are suffering around here, otherwise paved roads are passable and power is on: Few miles SW of CON @ 500ft

Plenty of opportunities coming. Might not be a 'mint epic perfect unicorn' pattern but those rarely produce. We just need a pattern without pAC puke and cold air nearby and we will get our chances. Doesnt need to be textbook.

Snow is wiped outside of bigger piles here.

I was thinking the exact same thing.

easily accomplished at this range. The signals are still there, and haven't changed much over the past few days from what i have seen. People only setting themselves up for disappointment if they live and die by verbatim model output past D4-5.

Here is EURO for same time as CMC.

The latter of course. Nothing has really changed. Just an op run didnt show porn.

I'd rather lose the whole pack rather than have my yard turned into a skating rink. If what I have left freezes im gonna break my neck one day this week.

Interesting article in the Morrisville paper about snowpack on Mt. Mansfield. Putting it here because I don't want want to start a climate change argument. Mt. Mansfield study looks at effects of shorter winters

move that trough 150-200 miles west and it's bingo for us