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Central PA Summer 2025
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 60 with an eighth of an inch of rain. First football sunday! -
The one that nay develop over the next week is the one on the front off the SE coast. High pressure over us. Known pattern for it
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posted in wrong thread. but .02 so far
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2011-12 didn’t turn into an all out disaster until the end of November. A few days after Thanksgiving that massive Bering Sea vortex developed and just sat and spun there for months on end…right through April. It was one of the most persistent patterns I’ve ever seen. There was damn near close to consensus on east having another cold and snowy winter and all those forecasts busted horribly
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Just too much rain . Tons of mushrooms I noticed yesterday in lawn About 8” in July Over 4” Aug 1.69” Sept
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Over 2 inches total between yesterday and today, more incoming.
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Just light stuff here. Missed most of the goods
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Heading into peak season and barely a wave.
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Just daggers into poor Dendrite.
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Nice soaking. Over 1”
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Ugh. Seems like some more light stuff to your SW for a couple more hours
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Saturday 9/6 Strong/Severe storm potential
SouthCoastMA replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
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Just woke up and saw the wet asphalt outside with a few drops hitting the windows. Thought "at last, some rain" Then checked the Vantage Vue - have .02 on top of the .03 received last night. Sigh.....
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1. Indeed. The Sept Euro fcast for the NE DJF anomaly is for an avg of only ~+1.8 F. 2. But that is almost as warm as any Sept fcast for the NE DJF of the last 9 with it just slightly colder than 24-5’s ~+2.0 F and near 22-3, 20-1, and 19-20’s +1.8 F. 3. How has the Sept Euro verified vs actual for La Niña in the NE? I’ll look at NYC: For NYC using 1991-2020 avgs for the 5 Nina winters since 2017-8: -24-5 ended up -1.4 F vs ~+2F Sept Euro fcast or ~3.4 F colder than Euro -22-3 ended up +5F vs Euro ~+1.8F fcast or ~3.2F warmer than Euro -21-2 ended up +1.1F vs Euro ~+0.4F fcast or ~0.7F warmer than Euro -20-1 ended up 0.0F vs Euro +1.8F fcast or 1.8F colder than Euro -17-8 ended up +0.2F vs Euro +0.9F or 0.7F colder than Euro So, for the 5 Niña winters since 17-8, the Sept Euro turned out to be in F: 3.4 too warm, 3.2 too cold, 0.7 too cold, 1.8 too warm, and 0.7 too warm or an avg of 0.4 too warm
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2025-2026 ENSO
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I love how you cherry pick "Philly to Boston". Why not the mid-Atlantic (Philly to DC)? Oh wait, a lot of places there had a higher snow average the last 2 years than in 16-17 to 22-23, so it won't fit your agenda? -
Just some light rain showers. Missing the meat of it again. 0.06”
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Had 0.92" yesterday afternoon, with about 0.6" in 45 minutes, 3:30-4:15. Biggest precip day since March. Light rain this morning, another 0.04", but after today it's dry, dry, dry.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
STORMANLI replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
1.23" -
Over 2” at DCA, over 1” at BWI, and 0.03” at IAD. We really need a tropical or synoptic system to come in and douse us all (while dry-slotting @dailylurker’s yard).
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I did run the AC yesterday due to the dampness. Turned em off in the evening. wonder if that’s it for the season.
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I was hoping it would clear early but looks like on and off showers through noon. Sitting at 1.48" for the event so far.