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I missed the pics thread so I will post them here instead from Greensboro and from here in the screw zone:

https://x.com/bam_weather/status/2018778226676687145?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

I was driving around the cottman/cottman region yesterday, roads were still congested. Took me forever to get out of there during rush hour. Snow mounds everywhere. I can’t imagine what another 1-2’ of snow would have done to this region

Yup…if it wasn’t for the clouds, we’d have done it for sure. I phone weather app stuck at 32 still. Keep checking it.

Radar looks way better than I thought it would. It looks like it likes route 50. Come to me weak ass frontal thing.

Models continue to show some snow with the arctic front Friday night. Looks like a dusting to an inch, but we have a few days to go so maybe it will beef up a little bit.

It’s the tenor…been doing it since mid November.

Not that I enjoy refuting Schwartz here, but wasn't the -AO from 2009/10 winter much more sustained, overall? It averaged -3.4 in December, -2.6 in January, and -4.3 in February. The AO actually had a positive average this past December. January is clearly going to be negative, and I'd guess February is, too, but it's flowing positive in the short-term and the rest of the month is TBD. Even in 12/13, there were negative AO departures from October to March.

I still think about the what if of this last weekends storm. Just a small change in the overall pattern and that’s a MECS/HECS for us. With the frozen temps and lack of snow melt we’ve had I have no idea where we would have put the snow. It would have been a really serious emergency…..man I would have loved to see it lmao

HRRR looks a bit more north even Philly gets in on it.

I just mistook water dripping off my roof for flurries. They should probably issue a Special Weather Statement on that

We have had filtered sun all day and it only hit 45 so far but the snow is melting fast. Our street gets full sun and it is very slushy with some bare spots now. Bottomed at 17 this morning. I finally cleared most of my double car driveway except for 1 mound where I had no place to put the snow.

Not excited to reveal the buried treasures left behind by the dogs since mid-January.

As far as I can tell, it looks like everyone has gotten above freezing, so at least no ice to deal with this evening.

Bncho already made one and its pinned

Are we going to do another thread for the Friday thing? Maybe just add it here? Soundings look snow squally.

As RitualOfTheTrout has said, we're going to enter a relaxation period with the AO shooting back toward positive, the PNA coming down toward -1, and the NAO block relaxing, as well. Looks like my transition period storm isn't quite evident, at least not yet. We'll see if anything pops up before midweek aside from the clippers. There's another potential threat around Valentine's/President's Day weekend. Everything remains in flux after President's Day. The AO hints at going right back down, but the long-range MJO might enter hostile territory (warm phases). The ensembles do show another warm-up after President's Day. I would guess it is only temporary, if it happens at all. Long-range warm looks have failed this winter, but the pattern will reshuffle and might wobble until something takes over.

Even got a few lightning strikes on the front end:

Storm mode soon

Returns already overhead and the temperature is still over 45 degrees out. Might be a bit of a rainy start.

I'm not over the cold (never will be), but agree I'd risk warmer weather if it meant some actual moisture, some of which actually falls as snow. We need the moisture regardless, but rain right now is not going to be soaked into the ground, unfortunately.

Goofus says what torch..