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Milder air will return for the remainder of the work week. The temperature will return to the lower and perhaps middle 50s through Friday. Another cold front could cross the region on Friday. The weekend will start on a cold note with the low temperature likely near or even somewhat below freezing in New York City and high temperatures in the middle 40s on Saturday. Sunday will become somewhat milder. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around March 18. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.15°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.08°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was +0.86 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.779 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 99% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 45.4° (2.6° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
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Idk. No snowflakes in April is rare. But meaningful snow, thats another story.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I certainly can't answer any of your questions about the science. What I can tell you, is thst you're absolutely correct In you're observations. I actually brought this up in one of my posts during a storm this year.. I'm sure some people were quite confused by my statement, because of its goes against everything we've been taught and told. -
2026-2027 El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
What about +PDO? -
My car was covered in ice this AM.
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Today is a winner. Upper 40's here but sun makes all the difference.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I use 20lb braid, tied off to a 15lb Fluorocarbon leader when i'm targeting Smallies. -
Throttle pinned would be my recommendation
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What I was thinking too. Appreciate the ALEK call
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miss east assuming springfield IL and not OH or IN
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would like to rip my sled across moosepond.
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Lol, I treat that as a race gate
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Hopefully Sunday will be a nape day.
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Any thoughts on the Springfield area? Will be there and am having trouble getting a read on it. Timing seems too early rn but still in the slight risk. Going from near 90 to 35 is going to be interesting. Will have to switch from AC to heat at my Airbnb. Gotta love March.
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It seems like this pattern has been a bit more extreme version of what occurred in 1933-34 and 1980-81, both also -ENSO winters. 1933-34 remains Denver's warmest winter on record.
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Nice corduroy to start the day, but heck if I'm gonna go "SLOW" on that.
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Saturday looks awful . 30’s and wind
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It’s almost like human development in a fucking desert is a bad idea.
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Awesome!
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Maybe for you guys there…but won’t take quite that much here. But it was a monster, and will take being in the jackpot zone again to rival.
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I always enjoyed his posts. Only knowing him by this board, it was therapeutic to read his obituary and know more about the man, I encourage all those in my boat, to give a click.
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Winter lives on here, 10/10 today .
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Lol this is true. I think the big thing for me is having ample sunshine. Like, today is chilly, but I’m getting a sufficient recharge of Vitamin D. I’ve considered Nevada because my mom is out there, but funny enough my sister and nephews are in the southeast. I’m remote at my current job, but the company and customer are here, so I may stick around this area for a bit and just try to be less annoying when the weather isn’t going my way.
