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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Other than a rest stop off I 84 in Southbury CT this is up there with top stinkers when you think about how cold it’s been. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Typhoon Tip replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Hi launch pad this morning, relative to season -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Because there isn’t a lot of agreement. At least many of us go back to bare ground soon. Another winter to remember. -
A brother from a different mother.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Go Kart Mozart replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I am surprised there is not more excitement this morning for the 15th. Some models showing a hit, most improving with each run. Last night's ICON looked big-doggish (I know, a weakling model, but it has some fun solutions). -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Great Snow 1717 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
...the upcoming meltdowns are going to be legendary! Lol -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Spanks45 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Sounds about right....Is it baseball season yet? -
Could that be negated by mjo phase 8 or 1?
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pawatch replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Not really sure what to think of this chart…we need percentages for what the temperature is going to be. -
6z HRRR has flurries. 6z GFS has a big storm.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Kitz Craver replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Still a shot at a mid month coastal or….? -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
NoCORH4L replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pawatch replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The other day it was .76” rain keeps dwindling, but we will take what we can get. 32 degrees this morning. -
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Nice blend of discourse.....bitching about how the winter sucks and will continue to suck, and others bitching about those bitching about how winter sucks and will continue to suck....every now and then the general flow is interrupted by a remarkably thinly veiled homage to CC by Tip. Sums up the last 8 years. -
26 here, 41-42 on the barrier islands.
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SPV looks like it will tighten up at the end of the month or early Feb. That means we really need to score in the last 2 weeks of Jan to get anywhere near climo. My snowfall contest prediction is only about 50-60% of climo, and even that is iffy. Should reach that with the shots the models are taking at us, but climo? We need a big one to get there.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
This is comical. I use it because it’s the real thing…not made up. That’s why. The planet/season doesn’t care about record keeping. So it’s 2.5 weeks old. I guess you never got snow in March? Just as sumner would only be 2.5 weeks old on July 8th. Summer extends beyond August 31st. Do we say only Mon-Fri is the real week? It’s the work week, but the calendar doesn’t use it as a real week. same thing. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Baroclinic Zone replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
26F All iced up and frosted over here. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Temperatures will trend warmer through Friday, but will the trend continue on Saturday? There is CONSIDERABLE uncertainty in Saturday's high temperatures across Central PA. A warm front will lift north, but how far north it gets will have BIG influence on temperatures -
Heat Island and radiational cooling in full affect this morning, Manhattan mid 40s and upper 20s and low 30s here.
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There were rumors all day that some kind of draft compensation would be attached cause his contract is outrageous. And it’s nothing. I don’t like it. Really needed to try and get one of the superstars in the draft this year. Maybe he will just sit with “back soreness” all year lol
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
moneypitmike replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
We watch. KEY MESSAGE 3 Discussion... Cold trend continues for the forecast winter storm late Saturday into Sunday. High pressure to the NW will aid in feeding cool air at the surface from the NE through Saturday evening. Still a good signal in guidance for CAD to keep surface temps below freezing for much of southern ME and central/north NH. No change in thinking regarding primary low track out of the Great Lakes. Still some differences in guidance re: transfer to coastal low, and this will have impact on QPF and temperature profile aloft for precip type. Continue to think foothills northward remain mainly snow until after midnight, in which sleet then mixes in. A mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain will be possible for points in the foothills and interior, with mostly rain into southern NH and far southern NH. Should cold trend continue, would see wintry mix hold on longer and closer to the ME coast. -
You would want to see the Northern Stream across the Great Lakes with all those lows racing east back off in order to give the Southern Stream an opportunity to lead.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
BIG CHANGES NEXT WEEK THIS WEEK IN WEATHER JAN 7-8 2026 Great video presentation.
