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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
Modfan2 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Down to 25F so far this morning, coldest of the season. -
Great video on solar activity over the next couple weeks. Pole region predicted to get decent solar storm activity. Wonder what it does for AO/NAO prospects.
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
currently 25 here - Today
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I'm using the World Climate website. It's been mentioned by Gawx many times it's lower than the site you posted. Either site is fine if you're using it for relative changes compared to historical values, which is is all I'm doing.
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Voyager replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
My coldest so far was 28.0 on 11/7. So far this morning, at 3:30am, it's 28.2 -
Nice -NAO pattern Nov 7-23.. through hr384 on the 00z GFS ensemble mean. That's what you want to see as a wintery pattern, constant sustained High pressure west of Greenland and over the Davis Strait through the entire model run. That's a good sign for Winter, and does correlate at about 55% to -AO the rest of the Winter. We aren't super cold in the east because of a N. Pacific High pressure in that time... but since the 23-24 Strong Nino, since June 2023, the PNA has been positive 21/29 months (CPC)! It's been hard for -PNA's to sustain..
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Going to miss out on the snow events this winter as I've moved to Texas now
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32.2, maybe going sub 30.
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Will be interesting to see where the period 2021-2025 falls on the 5-year cumulative snow futility list. Currently, this is the second least snowy 5-year period on record, behind the 5-year period ending 12/31/2024 (2020-2024). BOS would need 16.1" of snow by the end of December to move out 2nd place for 5-year futility. On the plus, maybe we've turned the corner since 2021-2025 is guaranteed to be snowier than 2020-2024 even if no additional snow falls before the EOY.
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Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
Windspeed replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Unfortunately, that's what you would expect to see from a higher-end Category 5. The footage is still insane, however. Thanks for sharing. RE: Deaths, I would be shocked if the toll remains below 100. There is just too far wide an area of immense devestation, especially through the interior of the island, and it takes time to search with cadaver dogs through all scattered piles of debris. -
LOL, forecast low from NWS for my location is 32, currently 30.8/21.9 at midnight.
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Digital Snow/Ice Thread 2025-2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
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New England 2025 Warm Season Banter
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to bristolri_wx's topic in New England
Just a shameless plug, may need it, if anyones hiring or knows somewhere that is, I’d take the lead. BS Criminal Justice. Trying to prepare myself, reading the tea leaves -
lol, I mean, I feel like I’m not saying anything particularly controversial. From an averages standpoint the last 7-8 years here have been objectively terrible. Sure, you sprinkle in a few good events, but even those were washed away shortly after. I feel like the argument has kind of shifted to “ well Jan 22 was awesome! And December 19 had some snow!”, like sure, we’ve had a good event every couple of years. If I wanted climo like that I’d just move to Norfolk VA
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MO/KS/AR/OK 2025-2026 Winter Discussion
stormdragonwx replied to stormdragonwx's topic in Central/Western States
First widespread hard killing freeze looks to be hitting the area this weekend. Some could even see their first teens for lows come Monday morning.
