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Can already tell on the icon that the block is pressing more this run even through 57 hours. Expect a south solution from 12z, which was the only guidance giving the area appreciable snow

i seem to remember one around thanksgiving that year; thought it would be a blockbuster winter, which we had not had in 5 years by then.....

well someone got the word....shovels were flying off the shelves in costco this afternoon.... ' half a pallet left ' the worker told me....

TTN had only 3.5, if I remember right it began snowing around 12-1 and was a Friday so it’s likely nobody bothered to close. I do believe it overperformed forecasts too.

Gonna be like a -4 or -5 December with little snow to show for it.

We have a solid coating, almost .5".

it was supposed to be a rather meh winter, but just on what i've seen so far, it's looking ok...la nina, pacific jet, whatever, but better than 4 inches in new brunswick in mid dec is usually a good signal, albeit a small sample over time.....

To get to NYE below normal climo in this December would be an unmitigated catastrophe. Full stop. It would be wholly unacceptable. But there's still time.

I can’t believe we got effed again. With all this cold.

Not on the Weeklies. Its been above average to below average to above average to average

Long out of range NAM looks great

Favorite all time non traditional Christmas song https://youtu.be/OR07r0ZMFb8?si=DbRkmToGhW0pkFmm

there was no snow in central jersey for that one iirc......it was mainly south. or was that feb? in any case, there was no significant snow as it was my second year teaching and the only snow day we had was for the snowless wonder that winter where not a single flake fell.....i did not get my first actual snow day until the super storm of 93, but that's partly because the board in elisabeth were a bunch idiots. in 89 actually i was in jackson, where everyone was bussed so they called school ' on the 7th snowflake ' or as i noted, merely the threat of snow.....biggest bust until march 2001....

Stratospheric warming events happened

Well, well, well…

Also preciptation looks to be above normal as well during showing up on the first two weeks the most reliable at that range. Looking at miller b coastals probably.

We are seeing a trend though to colder and much colder. It's a trend not just one run.

RRFS also likes Jeff.

If it wasn’t for the strong -NAO, then record ridge across the Southern Plains would have expanded closer to our area.

They are not the only ones trending colder so is Noaa

After the last month of frigid temps and 3” of snow .. I’m admittedly nervous . I expected a low snow year again. But thought we’d at least reach double digits

An interesting storm. I ended up with 3.2 inches here about half that fell in the hour and a quarter I got into the heavy band. I measured 3.2 inches at 10 o'clock. At noon it had settled and compressed and probably melted a bit down to 2.6. One last good band came through and at 1 o'clock I was back to 3.2. Under old methods that would be recorded as 3.8 inches but now it's a 3.2, maximum depth at any point during the day. At least until they change the rules again. Personally I preferred the clearing of the snowboard every six hours, or when precip has stopped on changed. To me that gave the most accurate measurement.

Just want to say congrats to all who live and or are visiting in NNE on just an idyllic Bing Crosby Christmas scene. I have so many Christmas memories up there. Nothing better

18z NAM/12z GFS is what I'm thinking for Friday..