All Activity

Temperatures across Alberta Province of Canada this morning are running -20 to -40F. Temperatures either side of Lake Winnipeg in Manitoba are -20 to -25F. Impressive cold!

National Blend of Models

You got a deal!

Yeah, heights noticeably lower ahead of the trough and the Canadian side of things is “pressing” more than digging behind the s/w thus far on the ICON Problem is the ICON develops a stronger 850 low and that’s where the warm tongue is on that model

It’s the icon so take it fwiw, but for my latitude I didn’t like seeing the northern stream putting more of it’s energy into advancing that Ontario shortwave along quick versus dumping it into the backside of that trough like previous runs did. There’s more action around James Bay this run too trying to kick pieces along.

people in central virginia who live at 700mb are going to be boiled alive saturday night

For Corey, I think it is a tossup at hitting 15". Your spot might be up and in enough to get the best of both worlds... decent ratios, but some ocean enhancement depending on winds. But it will be tough for some to pull 15" out of this based on moisture. Just my 2 cents

Yeah, but this was originally supposed to start Friday night. The models huge huge snow storm Tuesday. They moved to a huge freezing rain event Wednesday. And today we could be going to some spotty sleet or nothing. So all of this has been within three days of when it was originally supposed to start.

I'm not mad at the slight trends so far today. Still plenty of time for things to go south, and yes, that's got two meanings.

RGEM looks a bit colder but also less QPF overall than 6z.

Okay, so we are going to get more than what the WPC shows. I guess I best get a few things from the store...........

that is just so f-ing beautiful I am just staring at it. connected 1040s up top. man that is just pretty

been a long time coming. Gravity Wave plz nice to see this place still rocks!

This is my worst nightmare. 20” + I’m coming home regardless of anything. Below 15” I’ll deal. 15-20 is Absolute Nightmare territory.

Is the PDO even negative anymore? If so, nowhere near as much as it was a few months ago. We have warm water up against the west coast and while the waters off Japan are warm, they aren't as warm as they have been.

What is the NBM? A revived NGM, lol?

I personally don't throw any solution out. I have heard too many times "its an outlier" only for it to be most similar to end solution. There is so much energy floating around what ever is the focus can change each run. I knew getting to the finish line on this one was going to be a struggle with some models ultimately showing things we don't like. What fun would it be if there was no angst... Enjoy the angst. Another Pens game tonight. I Like Ike by the way...

My yard is a kitchen sink no matter what but I'd take the ICON all day over the ice runs that are popping up. 5" of snow and 3" of sleet is 1 million times better than anything that has a half inch of ice or more. Our forests are loaded with pines. Big ice would be awful to clean up behind.

I don't know the internal logistics.

Rdps 12z

I doubt you get 20"....maybe 15-17".

Cmon seasonal Nina atmos memory, sloppy phase, sloppy phase!

People blowing off the nam thermals are just ignoring history.

First call: 3-6” snow/sleet/ice shore points extreme snj 6-12” snow/sleet 95/195 corridor to SNJ 8-16” snow/sleet N and W of the fall line.