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  2. It seems like all the la nina/-ENSO years that end in 5 or 0 are cold in December. See 1995, 2000, 2005, and 2010. The only one one that wasn't cold was 2020, and we got a snowstorm mid-month.
  3. It drives me nuts but not nearly as bad as seeing it snow weekly in the winter 20 miles from my house as the crow flies while I bask in the sun
  4. Definitely more staying power on mid-Cape based on the trajectory. almost done with here. You should get 2"+ with this. I'll have to measure in a bit when I get a chance
  5. Thanks, Mitch. For the MidAtlantic, I roughly estimate 55% AN vs 45% BN. So, quite mixed as you’re implying. Thus, the predictability for Christmas and other days nearby is pretty low.
  6. Sound effect snow showers on the south fork of Suffolk now. Rare to see
  7. Except for going out to measure the snow this morning, I haven't been outside. I see no reason to start now lol. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk
  8. 1° with a 44mph gust just now. That puts the windchill at -28°. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk
  9. I wonder how he’ll respond if the warm up getting walked back materializes?
  10. I’ll buy you a beer anytime! I’ll still drink out and about occasionally, but had to kinda do a hard reset lol
  11. No room for stuff like this. Needs to be cleaned up. There’s a ton of garbage on social media and it makes message boards like this more desirable. This is supposed to be a place where you don’t have to wade through the crap to talk about what you love.
  12. Thank goodness its cold outside. Everyone go step outside for 5 minute minimum, then come back in w/ cooler heads. and frostbite on your pekrs.
  13. 18° at 6pm steady fall all day.
  14. Following the season's first appreciable snowfall, tomorrow will be blustery and cold. High temperatures will likely wind up below 30° in much of the region. Morning lows could challenge the coldest so far this season. The WPO has reached severely negative levels. That will likely contribute to the December 10-20 period being colder than normal overall. Moderation is possible late in the period as the WPO begins to rise. However, with the EPO forecast to go negative, exceptional warmth is unlikely. The probability that December 2025 will have a maximum monthly temperature below 60° is increasing. The last time that happened was in 2019 when the monthly high was 58°. If 2025 has a monthly high below 60°, that would be only the fifth such occurrence since 2000 (2003, 2004, 2005, and 2019 are the cases since 2000). The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.5°C for the week centered around December 3. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.27°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.65°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue through at least mid-winter. The SOI was +9.50 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.900 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 95% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal December (1991-2020 normal). December will likely finish with a mean temperature near 34.5° (4.6° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.9° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
  15. Nice band in interior Plymouth county raynham Bridgewater
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