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Noise at this point

HRRR is a tick better than 12z

WWA hoisted to include both metros. Lets reel this one in!

Looks like latest hrrr has light snow in dc metro from 3am to 9am or so. .

Ha. Meant to say have NOT pulled the trigger... Posted this just before they did, apparently.

Hiking Lafayette in my yoga pants and tevas tonight. Wish me luck.

Stuck at 41 after a low of 26. Wet bulb is 28 with a DP of 19. Radars from Morristown and Nashville are juicy!

Parts of the area also got snow on 12/5/2003. That was back when N&W suburbs meant something. I had like 8" in Germantown and rode the MARC to DC for work and it was wet ground there

A good trend that Wakefield extended the WWA SE to include the Peninsula. Hopefully they extend it SE more tonight.

My 4 model blend increased from 1.6" at 8 am to 2.4" at 1 pm.................... I will predict 2 - 4 inches for Augusta in my newsletter a little later, with snow developing 1 - 3 am. For D.C., my thoughts are .5" - 1.0" with flurries by 5 - 6 am.

Treating roads has begun here in the tropics

Moisture trying to make it down. 40/23. I've seen 4 flakes so far. LOL!

It’s because it’s happening in the morning during the commute.

18z HRRR is running, looks similar to 12z at hour 14.

Wasting money or brining... They have only been brining the roads for the last 15 years or so. Also, anyone that think the brine is beet juice or anything else... It is 77% water and 23% salt... so just another way to ruin our vehicles.

Congratulations Terp.!!

Winter "MCS" szn

They have been doing this for ages, good luck getting them to stop wasting the taxpayers money.

Looks like southern DE or the southern peninsula near Exmore will be a good chasing spot.

clippers really are baroclinic systems at the end of the day

Why because I think it is dumb that they are brining the roads and wasting tax payer's money?

What I see from the 12z GEPS and EPS is very cold air in Canada that keeps pinwheeling into the US old school style. And that setup is a very stable pattern unlike other cold patterns we have seen. JB noted that wave lengths tend to shorten up during phase 8 and wx models will often struggle with details and strength of cold shots. If we kind of assumed this pattern began just after Thanksgiving, it makes sense for it to last to Christmas or just after, then Jan is likely warm, followed by another cold shot. This set-up reminds me a lot of 95-96 in terms of the overall sequence(maybe not the snow). Last winter did as we'll.

2002, 2005, 2007 and 2009.

Geographically Bellayre is souther NY state. It's weird how the population of New York views everything 30 miles north of where they live as upstate. Binghamton is the southern tier of New York and that area is referred to as such on thruway maps, yet 90% of the residents of NY view it as way the hell upstate.