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Yeah its becoming a thing now on the internet and social media. Throwing out 16-24" like candy is essentially saying it snowed 1"/hr for 24 hours straight and while it does happen sometimes, there should be people drowning in snow at those amounts. I mean 40" in 48 hours... I've measured that once here and if you get an honest 40" in 48 hours it is on a level that few can comprehend. It is almost paralyzing. It is not something that just gets tossed out there as a guess. Like cars should be completely gone in the parking lot at a 30-40" storm. And you are right, it is definitely the numbers that get people. Everyone knows it's the most snow, but the number of people who I see posting online that have hit some variety of Bolton Valley, Stowe, Smuggs, and Jay this November... most are saying the amounts seem pretty similar. I'd give Jay about 30% more just based on upslope climo as it moves north. Just like the BV to Smuggs stretch usually sees about 30% more than Sugarbush/MRG.

I’m not sure on that?

can see heights rising out west at the end as well as the Atlantic pattern becoming blockier

Don't know how to post pics on here from my phone. Tried last Tuesday with the snow we had.

Correction its graupel

If the MJO enters 8 at that amplitude it should be there for a while, and should crawl on through the left side into January.

Ehhhhhh I have sleet falling 44F

Nice, post some pics if you get some coverage!

And then after that, I'm trying to figure out when/if the operational runs start unleashing the goods. With that massive -WPO relay into a -D(EPO) going on at the end of next week, so far it's just a castrated gorilla cold wave ... Yeah, I've been cautioning folks that we may not have to wait until the 2nd week of Dec for something wintry to break in our favor given the modalities from about bird day+ We've benefited ( though the actual daily anomalies may only vaguely show - ) from a -NAO pulsation in the foreground and will continue to do so, then relay that index' collapse into the NE Pac changes. That's not quite the same circumstance as going from a neutral field to a -EPO. This latter tends send the southerly gale up the coast but we're idiosyncratically different when there's antecedent west limbed -NAO.

Got a text alert from EPAWA about an hour ago for my area. He said snow moving in between 1-3am ending after 8am.. C-1"" with up to 2" above 1,500'

the euro is pretty rough

Mix of snow/sleet/graupel here in Lebanon .

The 500mb pattern shown in Roundys post actually looks quite favorable for New England. -EPO/-NAO/-PNA with an SE ridge that does not link up with the block. It’s also worth noting that the -NAO here is more east based than south based like the past few years.

Well it's pretty normal to expect that the MJO wouldn't reach phase 8 in a la-niña situation with base easterlies, but forecasts change. Still tough to say if it'll stay there long but that seems to be the crux of the change in forecasts over the past week or so.

Euro is now cold in the long range. Big change.

~Dec 14-16th is my hope for a change to cold domination in most of the E US based on the MJO being progged to then get into 8 and allowing ~2.5 weeks following an SSWE to start a cold dominated pattern in the E US. In the meantime, the weekend after Thanksgiving giving has cooled a lot and looks a bit chilly as of now vs having looked mild just 3 days ago.

Not sure of the similarities to now, but...I remember a lot of SE ridge can kicks last year!

Black Friday will be a volatile forecast for the next week. Could be wintry or we could do the dew.

12z Euro seems to try and tee something up for the mountain folks Thanksgiving weekend?

Proof that it is too soon to say that summer's back is broken!

This only recently seen on the models cold shot is for the weekend after Thanksgiving. So, this is technically during the last days of Nov. Then I still expect a mainly mild first half of Dec. while the MJO crosses 7 and we wait to see what the SSWE does just afterward. Of course expectations and reality sometimes don’t match well.

And semis on the rocks in Chain of Ponds. Addressing the 2002-03 and 2003-04 question: 02-03 was great in SNE but cold and dry here - suppression. Total snow was 75% of average and it's one of only 3 (of 27) winters without a 20"+ month. 03-04 was front-loaded here. The storms of Dec 6-7 and 14-15 totaled 37.1". the rest of the snow season had only 35.5".

Did the SSW actually happen/still on track to happen?

https://twitter.com/IsaacWxObserver/status/1990846704552153573?s=20 EDIT: for some reason link isn't embedding

A month from now this would of been a nice 2-4"/3-5" event