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  2. ravensrule
    They say it’s one of the best in years. If we don’t get a top 8 pick I’m going to lose my shit.
  3. John1122
    I finished +1 for November, but with 2 inches of snow. -1 for December and -3 for January. It's been a brutal winter stretch here with two significant winter storms and multiple small events. Even with BN temps after last night, I've recorded 17 inches of snow since November along with 1/2 inch of sleet and near a half inch of ice. If you look back on winters here, there are often extremes within them. December of '84 was very warm, similar to this late December period, and then we had January of '85.
  4. so_whats_happening
    By using that same logic the law of averages would assume we would have extensive cooler than average year(s) coming up too since we have been an endless year after year warm regime.
  5. Mr Bob
    Read the room. It’s not difficult. You are not a regular contributor in here so dropping in for this stuff out of the blue is the wrong vibe.
  6. wasnow215
    If we named threads for threats like the main thread this one would've been mine a few days ago! Lol
  7. FXWX
    Yep... I think it is now a foregone conclusion that there are going to be a couple of sweet spots... Lots of support, in my opinion, for a solid 3-5 inch zone across southeast CT northward along and either side of the CT/RI border area (I-395 corridor) eastward across much of RI; possibly parts of the Cape... But I expect a high-end advisory level / low-grade warning (4-8") somewhere in eastern Mass but not locked into the specific zone at this time; probably a nowcast call just before it really shows itself.
  8. DirtySnowDen
    Is it possible this a Norlun-esque type of deal? Where it’s not well-forecasted on the models, but the quick intrusion of Arctic air causes chaos as it hits the Atlantic?
  9. John1122
    The 3k NAM is dropping 2 inches over my area Friday night. Not surprisingly, I'm going to Chattanooga for the Super Bowl this weekend. Debating on whether to leave tomorrow or Saturday.
  10. high risk
    I understand the skepticism, but those forecasts were relying on intense radiational cooling late at night, and clouds/wind seemed to wreck those opportunities. This will be pure advection of an intensely cold air mass, and it's legit arctic air. I think this has a much better chance (and I'd say it's very likely) of single digits.
  11. mreaves
    Went for a night ride. Temp was around 0° and the stars were absolutely gorgeous. This was taken somewhere between Washington and Orange, VT by my son with his basic iPhone 17 camera. Came out decently despite the camera.
  12. RU848789
    Easily, especially since the pack for most started with 1-2" otg from 1/17-18 and most of us got 1.5-1.9" frozen QPF on 1/25, even if it might've only been 11-12" in depth, since 3-4" of that was sleet for many. That's a lot of frozen QPF to melt (and not much of it has melted yet) and with temps only getting to around 40F late next week, I'd think most of the pack will still be here on 2/17, especially if we top it off tomorrow and a bit next week.
  13. ThePhotoGuy
    Icy Old Pier along Rock Creek
  14. ThePhotoGuy
    1/27 - Stoney Creek
  15. ThePhotoGuy
    Fort Smallwood Park, Rock Creek, & Patapsco River - 1/26
  16. ThePhotoGuy
    1/25
  17. LakePaste25
    All 2m temp forecasts are the same though. It’s just how the anomalies are interpreted. Would agree that EPS are running slightly cold of GEFS/GEPS suites.
  18. Northof78
    Tomorrow will mark 21 days (3 weeks) of straight snow cover across most of the region. Currently it appears likely we will hit the full straight 1 month mark by next weekend with cold temperatures remaining and some chance of additional snows in the period. Fairly rare for N/C NJ and NYC Metro, we get a 1 month (or more) straight of snow cover roughly every 5/6 winters.
  19. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Regardless of amounts…the weekend winter vibes continue.
  20. Carvers Gap
    Haha. Oh get a grip. This is a message board...not a scientific paper. And honestly, this forum is about as accurate as one can find on AmWx, and a lot less whiny than most places - but I bet you know that already. @Holston_River_Rambleris a great poster. You failed to mention both January and December (when averaged together) will be BN for temps at TRI w/ AN snowfall. Talk about misleading and only telling part of the story. That is cherrypicking on your part. Plus, you are in the February thread trying to discuss stuff from almost two months ago about a region I am assuming(not sure to be honest) that you are not a part of. We don't need a hall monitor from another forum. Trust me, Holston and Mr Bob are a lot more polite than I would have been. You are just in here stirring the sh!t IMHO.
  21. high risk
    Indeed. Looks like mid 20s at midnight. In fact, it stays in the mid 20s through around 4am, and we then drop at least 20 degrees in the 4-5 hours following.
  22. ThePhotoGuy
    Single digits forecast but so far haven't hit it yet this year. Will this break the streak? Probably not.
  23. Ephesians2
    Yeah models are looking surprisingly decent for tomorrow for Central VA. Both NAM and HRRR have at least 0.10" QPF. Might be nice for areas that missed out on the last two threats
  24. winter_warlock
    Blockbuster??
  25. Ephesians2
  26. Prue11
    13.6
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