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AI music kinda hits. dumb youtube won't let me upload as regular without adding filler

Record low slp

Hopefully, every thing turned out, okay with your friends. I was out catching bait with my son and didn't even peek at the radar yesterday. When I get home from work i'll look at storm paths and trajectories, but it doesn't seem like I was most likely looking at that cell.

So much for that 2nd half of June wet pattern. Models have been overdoing the longer range for 2 months.

Does anybody know why the CTP page that provides a summary of max/min temps and precip twice a day for the ASOS sites hasn't updated since May 5th? If it is accessible somewhere else could someone please provide that? Below is a link to the page. Thanks. National Weather Service

If KFOK can go calm for a few hours low 40s are attainable .

rip champaign

Gorgeous day 78/ 51 . Breezy.

Thanks, Mitch. Indeed, “E based” can be defined in numerous ways as it’s not black and white, of course. Here are the relative anomalies for the strongest of years in 3.4 as of the closest week centered on June 10th back to 1982: 1+2 3 3.4 4 09JUN1982 -0.2 0.8 1.0 1.1 11JUN1997 3.0 1.3 0.8 0.2 12JUN2002 -0.3 0.6 0.8 0.7 10JUN2015 1.8 0.8 0.6 0.7 10JUN2026 2.1 1.0 0.9 0.7 Just looking at this period rather than model progs for fall/winter, here are my rankings of most to least E based: 1997, 2026, 2015, 2002, 1982 though 2026 is only slightly ahead of 2015

Some recent studies show that the local cold blob in the North Atlantic is a result of stronger winds from the more persistent +NAOs rather than a slowdown in the AMOC. ‪Anthony Masiello‬ ‪@antmasiello.bsky.social‬ · 7mo Natural variability, in low frequency states of atmospheric circulation, is becoming increasingly likely as the main explanation for the North Atlantic warming hole. ‪Sang-Ki Lee‬ ‪@sklee621.bsky.social‬ · 7mo The Atlantic's warming hole is not a sign of the AMOC weakening, a new study suggests: ocean2climate.org/2025/11/12/t... The Atlantic’s ‘Warming Hole’ Isn’t What You Think: 5 Surprising Truths From New Climate Research This blog post and the “Deep Drive” podcast on a new paper “Atmosphere-driven processes in shaping long-term climate variability in Greenland and the broader subpolar North Atlant… ocean2climate.org

I think it was 8-10 miles north of Bel Air

it's like 15-20F cooler today than yesterday with full sunshine, in mid June. Sure.

I didn't notice anything here. Maybe too far south.

Were you able to see it being that far north? The cell I noticed scooted across Shrewsbury towards Felton, just north of Stewartstown. It had broad rotation after it crossed 83, and wasn’t warned until east of Stewartstown. I had to text a friend who lives in that area to tell her to go to her basement haha

StormNet went wagons south again:

What happened yesterday that my weather station only recorded .21" of rain Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

That’s the one. Thanks. I’m prepared if needed to start the thread lol .

Puerto Rico

That idea hinged on robust support from the mid levels to aid in that lift . I don't think they're so sure that that will even happen to be honest.

should see initiation right overhead tomorrow afternoon

We've pretty much, more or less, stopped gaining daylight at this point. The sunrises and sunsets are just shifting a little bit later each day, but we aren't really gaining or losing daylight. At least not enough for anyone to really notice. We are in the period of maximum daylight.

I'm pretty sure I took a picture of it sneaking by me In the rain from pinchot park.

Flash flooding in the south as odds increase… Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Jun 15 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Northwestern Gulf of America: A trough of low pressure located over northeastern Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development is not expected during the next day or so while the trough remains inland. However, the system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf of America late Tuesday or Wednesday, and environmental conditions there are marginally conducive for the formation of a short-lived tropical storm on Wednesday into Thursday. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, interests across southern and eastern Texas and portions of Louisiana and Mississippi should prepare for periods of intense rainfall over the next several days which could produce widespread, life-threatening flash, urban, and river flooding. Gusty winds and coastal flooding are also possible along portions of the northwestern Gulf Coast, and Tropical Storm Watches or Warnings could be required on Tuesday. Additional information on this system can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office or NHC Key Messages. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Spc hasn't been too impressed either. The only one that has any mention of an EML surge has been NWS and they're still holding on to that in their discussion, although I expect changes are coming.