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If this news gets published here.... I might not have anyone to chat w/ me anymore.....hehe

Stop. Please just stop. 7 days out, do you ever learn.

woohoo!!!! Caps win! Hoos win!!

See ya there! Going up to the house Friday - Monday. Good call, it’ll give you a snow fix ahead of our epic SWFE

Might be headed to cabin this weekend. Not sure yet. I'm told the weekend rain froze and made it a real icy mess up on the hill. Mtn roads are almost impassable. Do you agree? Looks like a couple inches coming tomorrow night. If wet, it'd prob help. If fluffy....ugh. We were slippin and sliding 2 weekends ago. Groin still recovering, but I'd like to get up.

Great comeback win by the Caps!

With this moisture during the time frame shown above.

I mean given the tendency to over-model the SE ridge this winter, I think the 23-26 period definitely deserves cautious attention. Even for a storm that ultimately is gonna go too far north, fight off the ridge a little and I could imagine getting a frontend thump out of a nice shot of gulf moisture while we still have some cold. Or honestly, just imagine the setup as depicted on the GEFS right now just moves east some. It has trended eastward since this morning. That could put us much closer to the bullseye. Besides, this is real Gulf moisture. Not ready to be pessimistic about it!

I like the trends for temps for next weekend.

For now, virtual reality sounds fine, right?

From Don Sutherland: Yes, the PNA is far more important to Atlanta's January snowstorms than the NAO. Since 1950, the PNA was positive for 84.2% of Atlanta's 1" or greater snowstorms. The NAO was negative for 63.2% of such storms. I’ll add that that these Jan snowstorms were during La Niña: Dates……PNA…….NAO 1/15-17/1965…+1.191…+0.438 1/6-8/1996…+0.289…-0.640 1/19/2008…+0.430…+0.287 1/9-10/2011…-0.223…-0.524 1/16-17/2018…+0.101…+1.430 1/10/2025…+1.105…-1.208 So, just for the six 1”+ Jan storms during La Nina: -5 of the 6 PNAs were >0 and the lowest was only down to -0.223. Avg PNA was +0.5 -In contrast, 3 of the 6 NAOs were positive with one of them strongly positive. The avg NAO was near 0/neutral. ————— The 1/18/26 potential SE snowstorm looks like it will be during a moderate MJO phase 6, a strong +PNA, a neutral to moderately -AO, slightly + to neutral NAO, -WPO, and a very strong -EPO, which may be sub -300 then. So, the highlight is strong +PNA/-EPO during a phase 6.

Back to the short term, the 0z NAM is not giving up on Thursday and gives even the LSV 1 to 2 inches.

Atta boy. Shoulda known better. Kioti's are nice. Played on one when cutting wood every year (property owner had a dealership and always had the nice "demo" toys to play with). If you saw that map above, that might warrant blowing the dust off the Kioti. Enjoy.

U have a map of the NBM?

Why do the models always spit out ridiculous snowfall amounts? 95% of the time the depicted snow amounts disappear. The models are dreadful in this regard. .

That would alleviate a LOT of pent up frustration for a boatload of people. If only.....

44 years ago (Jan 13, 1982), it was snowing in DC, and the late WUSA Chief Meteorologist Gordon Barnes was giving a live update on WTOP radio. It was the way to get the latest weather and school closings before the internet. I was 14 at the time, and knew something horrible had just happened when they interrupted him to announce two tragedies: a plane struck the 14th street bridge and there were many killed along with survivors bring pulled out of the icy Potomac, and at the same time, there was a subway derailment that killed and trapped people underground near the Smithsonian. It was an evening I will never forget. About 7 inches fell in DC.

I see potential near 24-26 and I’d bet it does a rare s trend. My surgery on the 14th got rescheduled til the 26th cause surgeon was sick. .

Hell, a warnin level event would suit me just fine, or a couple advisory types in a short timeframe. I'm a realist, but someone went a little wild w/ the fairy dust for HH. @anothermanthanks for postin it.

Breathe it all in, Hold it for 10 sec, Then exhale.

Eagles?

Pardon my ignorance but to get such an overrunning event don't we need a negative (or neutral) PNA since the wave is from the southern stream and tracks eastward across the country? Wouldn't a positive PNA block it's path or force it to be significantly weaker/disjointed as part of it goes over the ridge and part goes under?

Yeah I knew Kutch would look better than run of the mill 10:1, but didnt want to sound like I was hypin somethin up

Incredible run. Put it in the Hall of Fame. While we obviously don't expect 40+" of snow, it's worth keeping an eye on if the signal for a massive storm is still there by the end of the week. Could be something special.

Temps just above freezing, but it's night, so maybe stickage on a few surfaces? That said, the CAM suite consensus is for just a little bit of snow at the end, with the area of snow expanding after crossing the Bay. One thing to watch for all of us is that any wet spots could freeze early Thursday as temps drop quickly behind the front.