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So with ULL slowing, I wonder if the CAMs are putting thst together with a very dry h5 and shearing this out. We already discussed the h5 being dry but h7 being high with regard to RH. But.. I do wonder if the CAMs see the ULL as too slow.. But that wouldn't make synoptic sense because you can see how it's already affecting and being affected by the storm.

But the little young dude said they aren’t changing the map again.

ALLAN says CONGRATS CLT this is your storm.

Yeah, the 0z RGEM isn’t budging. If there is a model we don’t want to budge…it’s that one. I see the snow hole at 18z over your area. I took a screen shot for later discussion. That is a major data issue IMHO.

As one of the few Charlotte area natives, if this happens it will be huge. Then we can look forward to it again in 2046!

4.1* light breeze. sub zero is a lock, can we stay clear and get winds to zero and we go -10.

I will note a lot of the models, including the Euro I believe have shown the double maxima scenario with upstate SC and coastal NC winning, so if RDU is on the lower side it wasn't an impossible outcome, just one people didn't want to see.

Cape Cod may be lucky to even get a dusting at this rate... Such wasted potential for all!

You guys need to chill down here. The stinking NAM has changed every six hours. It's a horrible model especially as you get closer to an event. It does not handle these types of events well at all! This is not the weenie in me I don't have any stake in the game I'm up here in Richmond,Va. It's pretty much go time now. Nowcasting and globals- that's it stick with those. Super jealous of your historic storm but rooting for you like crazy because I believe in the laws of sowing and reaping lol!!

Do you remember February 2007? It had a very similar situation to this. I was a lot younger but I remember around 5" of snow/sleet compacted and it was very hard to shovel, and the ground became a slippery sheet of ice, and was also followed by a long stretch of cold. As I recall, it basically had the impact of a 10-15" snowstorm. This latest one seemed a bit bigger but similar.

https://www.facebook.com/share/v/17rXFTbSfx/?mibextid=wwXIfr Brad P’s latest!

Yeah...it makes no sense...the coastal is only throwing moisture on a couple of those models back to hwy 17

ALLAN says the high-res models may be on to something and if it isn't snowing in Raleigh tomorrow morning, then the LOW BUST RISK is HIGH

I'm about to head to MD early this coming week and so I'll have a chance to see this glacier for myself.

The regionals are much more aggressive with the coastal and as a result have much more QPF from Raleigh East. All we can do now is hope the CAMs are completely lost in that regard.

The snow is light but steady in Halls with peas and dimes, non-brined roads are starting to get some coverage. Temp dropping steadily, currently 25. Glad to see the modeling is still in almost perfect agreement for 5 inches for this location.

Man same!! [emoji38] I am definitely cool with that after this weekend though and I truly believe this is our best and last chance this winter. I’m fine with that if it verifies. We still have about 5 weeks left, but I expect February to be a lot more mild and dry. This January will go down as one of the coldest and most wintry state wide, on record. The last 2 years have definitely been great for us. 2 storms last year, and 3 Saturdays in a row where all of GA has seen some form of winter weather. That hasn’t happened before. Definitely a January of records for GA. .

Report: About 3/4 inch of snow so far north of Roxboro in Bethel Hill.

RGEM is slightly north and slightly wetter

Same everywhere he is pushing your buttons

What we're seeing on the CAMs isn't a dry slot so much as a complete failure of the coastal to do, well anything. Not sure what is going on there.

Still snowing here... decent band headed this way.

At this point, pretty much no one is or has been consistently right.

you think you could never appreciate a 105/83 heat dome and then you get an entire month of this miserable bullshit and it’s like, yeah it was equally unlivable outside but at least every surface wasn’t either salt or ice on top of things