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  2. Damage In Tolland
    This is mainly Stein South and west of ORH. .05-.10 light nuisance Fri nite early early Am
  3. kdxken
    Jesus I just took a look
  4. George001
    It’s unlikely it will be a modoki given the warmth already present in Nino 1.2 and the current subsurface structure (hence Andy Hazeltons comparison to 1997) + the historical precedence of super ninos to leak east. Nino 1.2 never really cooled off even during our past 2 la Nina’s. Its not impossible it becomes a modoki, but given where we are currently at east based should be the favored outcome, or at least a super Nino with an eastern tilt.
  5. Chrisrotary12
    Woof. Summer?
  6. TauntonBlizzard2013
    People need to start accepting that the next 5 possibly 10 days look miserable. I mean, Saturday is atrocious
  7. forkyfork
    1997. deal with it
  8. PhiEaglesfan712
    If you told me this upcoming el nino is going to be a modoki, I'll gladly take my chances with it.
  9. Damage In Tolland
    Nothing like ridiculous NAM
  10. Damage In Tolland
    What rain? Few showers Fri nite
  11. CoastalWx
    Gonna be tough for Kevin to be above 50 Saturday aftn. Maybe late day if rain stops.
  12. WmsptWx
    Yes, I'm sure you know more than subject matter experts...
  13. Ruin
    Again this map is no way near accurate im sorry its changed a bit but no way we should still be in the orange color
  14. Jackstraw
    I've got nearly 3 acres. I mow a 10th of it. The rest is a small garden, well, I just plant stuff around randomly around the house, no tilling, no rhyme or reason where, it's my "shrubbery", native wild plants wildflowers grasses and brush, trees and mud lol
  15. ineedsnow
    Euro trying for flakes Saturday morning
  16. metagraphica
    More showery than I expected. Still a nice day for working outside.
  17. roardog
    These guys are talking about atmospheric responses like WWB,MJO,SOI, etc. I don’t think anyone here disagrees with any of this. Posters like Bluewave and Chuck are talking about the pattern over the North Pacific and or North America not being completely Nino like. I’m still not even sure why we should even be expecting a strong Nino response right now since the RONI is at like +.5
  18. CheeselandSkies
    It really seems like a mixed bag with ENSO. Feels like in my adult life we've had wet Ninos, dry Ninos, wet Ninas, dry Ninas, warm Ninos, cold Ninos, warm Ninas (most dramatically 2012), and cold Ninas. The strength and timing/speed of transition (TNI) makes the biggest difference.
  19. CoastalWx
    Total cancel on gfs. Hope it’s wrong.
  20. brooklynwx99
    there was also a major block that was poorly forecasted in February... one of the worst pattern busts I've ever seen. if that occurred, things would have turned out a whole lot differently that month
  21. A-L-E-K
    today's run selling some fantasy relief for NE IL, screw hole moved detroit's way gonna ride it
  22. HoarfrostHubb
    Wheel of 'rhea.... probably won't be quite that awful
  23. forkyfork
    should he hold your hand and tell you it's going to be a modoki?
  24. Today
  25. ineedsnow
    Awesome pattern on the GFS
  26. michsnowfreak
    That cansips was from Sept though...pretty far out.
  27. roardog
    2015-2016 had some big snowstorms here. Once upon a time there was a map posted here that showed that once you cross into super Nino threshold that we actually start to get above normal winter precip. The worst part of a Nino around here is the tendency for dryness. Even the weaker ones where we get below normal temperatures have a tendency to be dry. If super Nino can get us above normal precip, I would take that any day over a garbage non Nino winter like 01-02 or 11-12.
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