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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
JJA ONI record since 1950 is +1.6c (centered around July 15) JAS ONI record since 1950 is +1.9c (centered around Aug 15) We are currently nearing +2.1c.. strongest on record for this date. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
The dog must be excited for a nice smooth paved street! -
not a good sign for the fire situation out west
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
HoarfrostHubb replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
We actually got a quick two mile walk with the dog in between waves. Td of 73.5. Steam bath -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Only .85” here so far but plenty for the fert. Stein zone. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This feels like going up on a strong bull market. It feels like we're setting new records every day. -
83/77...yuck
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
HoarfrostHubb replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Any idea how much you have gotten today? -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
He has areas around him over 3”. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
ineedsnow replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
This is wild.. just non stop torrential downpour -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Almost another 1/2”. 3.23” -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
It’s congealing . Should be a solid 8-12 minute frog strangler . -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
HoarfrostHubb replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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Fired up for 75 dewpoints all week.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
WxWatcher007 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
FOLKS -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
ineedsnow replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
New river coming down the road again -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Snowedin replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
More widespread rain today than your typical snow event in mid Feb..what are the odds? -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
My post was poorly worded. I meant to say since July 1st. Since June implies the beginning. I received 2.83" in June and .12" over the weekend. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Biggest one day jump possibly of the event so far. It's like the stock market when it goes down in a strong bull market. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
HoarfrostHubb replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
3.28” so far today. Another batch coming through soon. -
You would expect it, but the decadal -PDO is near a peak right now.. it's holding surprisingly strong. Nino 3.4 is +2.1c right now and the previous ONI record for JJA is +1.6c, and JAS +1.9c. So this is the Strongest El Nino on record at the moment.. yet we are starting off Aug with the 7th month of -PNA values in a row. That's what's keeping the PDO so low. In the cold season the North Pacific High starts reacting to ENSO more, so there is a good chance it will start trending more positive then, say like October, but the pattern right now otherwise is really strong in the N. Pacific. I think it's tied to warm season +AO, and this year is another -H5 over the Arctic.. which we've had so much of since 2017. Amazing that the Arctic ice melt record from 2012 has now held for 14 consecutive years in exponential global warming.
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Im eating my words. Walking over the catwalk at work Atari g at the wall of rain blacking out the nj turnpike and being like "that's so cool looking" then realizing I still gotta walk outside to the main entrance.... Didn't make it lol
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Thoughts on a PDO flip to positive with the Super Nino?
