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It’s been a very good season to date.

winter weenies feeling spring's return as a once promising winter turns to dust and our palm friend has spring fever some things never change

Not at all lol. I felt like Spiderman with super human powers running up hills covered is shiny solid ice. I actually had to take my neighbors trashcans to the street because know one could go outside except glasher man!

I think the cold is just on the outside edge of deterministic guidance. On an interesting note, and so I don't have to post twice, @John1122the Sierra Nevada is about to get absolutely hammered. The Mammoth webcams should be incredible. Some models are spitting out 200-300" over the next 16 days depending on the run and model. That is good for them as fire season would be terrible in the Sierra without water. I am sure they are thrilled. Interestingly, we got very cold about 2-3 weeks after their big Christmas snows.

No sir. Denied. I refuse to trade good posters for bad ones. Hang in there mate.

Cross country ski track. I've been doing like 7 km a day a block from my house. But same difference.

41.4° - feels like early April!

WTTTE…

So you didn’t have to stomp while walking the whole time? lol. If not I might have to take a look into those.

Cloudy and chilly here in ACATT

Do you mean pack?

My “next” was more in jest…probably shouldn’t have said that bc I’ll obviously track for another day or so, but it’s not an ideal airmass for mid Feb (for snow…ideal for a break from arctic temps though). This system almost appears cutoff as it moves east…kind of a weird look upstairs…so I don’t know what to make of it other than I would think we would need rates.

Send some of that sun up here. 31.9°

This dude is posting 230 hour operational runs when the GFS can't even get a forecast right within 72 hours, not sure why you're bothering to come to his defense. We've essentially been torching for the past few years btw, this recent cold period is merely a blip. This really is a denier board, maybe not quite as bad as "The Weather Forums", but still sad to see.

Order some micro spikes from Amazon. I put 62 miles on mine. All on the glacier. It was awesome. I know lots of cool spots if you want to meet up. I like to get up high as high in elevation as possible. I hike up to the peaks. Trail or not.

Snow flurries have started here at work. NE Bergen County

We'll see.

don’t mind him. he only pops up when there’s going to be a torch.

The snow is melting super fast here. Don't think my track will make it through the week, even with the nighttime lows. Sun angle is real.

*false spring.

Are you able to carry on a conversation with someone who has a different opinion then you (whether right or wrong) without calling them stupid or illiterate, now please go back into your basement and enjoy your day.

So you are saying there is a chance... One GEFS member has the storm and its a huge one...I'm ALL in. Lets go...

counterpoint: it’s not.

I felt that one was pretty locked in and actually took a lot of pics and vids, but the last storm I should have taken more breaks. Having a cold didn’t help.

It's not that complicated. We need two things, a more amplified system and a slightly colder thermal profile. Both minor adjustments from what is the consensus. And...both kind of can be related to the same adjustment...a perfect track more amplified wave would also dynamically cool the thermal profile some! So in one way ONE adjustment would work. The random snow runs showing up from run to run across guidance aren't crazy different from all the non snow guidance...they just have a slightly more amplified wave and slightly colder temps. The UK was not that bad because it was damn close WRT amplitude compared to its last 2 runs which were WAY south. This one just missed us...slightly more amplified and it was a snowstorm for our area! That isn't wishcasting...that is what the model showed...it was close...and being close at 100 hours is good enough for me, it keeps us in the game. I admitted its a long shot but there is a difference between that and close the thread its over, next.