All Activity

Also, there is gonna be a NAM fight later about its runs but I am not gonna say it killed it when it was so off on the thump and initial slug of qpf…

NYC Sanitation just gave the order for all their trucks to drop their plows and commence plowing operations. Had one just come down my block. That layer of salt they spread last night did nothing as the road is still white after the plow went by.

@T. August You can see a line on radar moving north. When that passed over me snow ended and a bit of sleet falling now.

This is the warmest the 12z HRRR gets at KABE. If this is the case, you'll probably mix with sleet, not do a full change over. Under heavy rates you might flip back and forth between all snow, and a snow/sleet mix. So ratios will be more like 6:1 or 7:1 vs a pure sleet 3:1.

I hope so. It looks amazing outside right now.

Might be the alcohol content, too!!!

Ramped up pretty quick now with bigger flakes and borderline moderate 3.1

I only take the PIP if its 60 and partly cloudy lol

This stuff isn't snow lol.. Its at least 20:1 right now

As much as I REALLY wish this could have been all or mostly snow, I don't totally mind experiencing what may be a veritable sleet bomb. In 2007, for the Valentine's Day storm when I was in the Capitol Hill area of DC, we got 3" of sleet. No snow at all. But that was a relatively warmer storm (I think it went just above freezing for a short time after the sleet before temps plummeted, and it didn't start as cold as this one). This event will be very cold throughout. I hear people talking about sleet bombs from 2017 or 2018 (??) but I don't recall that, maybe closer to the metro areas it wasn't much of anything compared to other locations. I do remember we were expected to get a ton of sleet in 2021-ish?? Ended up with an inch maybe that was over before noon, kind of a bust.

Big dendrites all snow in Sterling still holding on for now.

We dodged a major bullet across Unicoi county last night. Much warmer than modeled. (The CAD downsloping fingers never really helped much). Most of my glaze is gone. But I've had several wind gusts at 30mph this morning and my Davis is fairly well protected from this direction of wind. It's ripping.

I’m not nit picking, just discussing.

Thats about the ratio i just estimated. Larger flakes now too

Flake size starting to increase. Started Jebwalk around 7:50 mostly just icy little flakes, they’re starting to get a little fluffier now. Wind is def gusting and the snow is drifting a bit. Deep winter out there

I don't think he is nitpicking as much as he is being realistic. People are going nuts with this widespread 20" stuff because of Kuchera maps

Same here 12f dew point 11f heavy snow blowing and drifting happening around the cars etc.

WRAL said the temp at 1800 feet is about 6 degrees warmer than 500 feet (sensors on the Tower)

It’s like an iron shield, marching northeast.

HRRR still doesn't want to bring temps above freezing in Wake

Yeah agreed, Euro ahead of the storm and the NAM with the details, seems to be the norm.

Yeah that top ‘experimental’ one has me in the helpful 3-9” range. No difference in impacts there… Needs to go back into the lab.

Its beautiful down here. Snow is accumulating fast. Enjoy up there