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My southwest: Wasn't expecting it at all.

Technically it was a bust for Tuesday during the day. Everything stayed west. Not complaining.

Yeah, it's up up up and away with the AAM it sure seems like. You can see what's been driving that so far too. The SH and the tropics. The tropics for obvious reasons. NH hasn't been involved. Feels like the PDO would have some kind of hand in something like that. The south pacific jet though has been impressive. It's also been slamming into the Andes mountains creating periods of +MT. Giving boosts to the AAM. A very slight relaxation after mid July, but the far right of the chart shows it's already firing up again. There was actually a decent -MT recently during that relaxation and AAM remained quite elevated anyway. Now it's climbing again and slated to continue for the same reasons as before. Wait until the NH starts getting more involved in addition to all of that. Models suggesting that could begin to occur as soon as mid August. Will be interesting to see if that timeframe gets delayed or not.

Today's Highs: ACY: 86 New Brnswck: 86 PHL: 86 EWR: 85 BLM: 84 JFK: 84 LGA: 83 TTN: 83 TEB: 81 NYC: 80 ISP: 79

So long as the science fits an agenda, of course. Otherwise, it’s fake news, or not real.

Dont hate the player hate the game. This always looked more impressive out west.

...here I am, stuck in a dry zone in Parker..." Apologies to Stealers Wheel, if they're still alive.

Science Board, so I’m told.

you mean you haven't figured it out ? never let the facts get in the way of a good story telling

WAN in the first post, then 1-2 AN. Do you remember your own posts minutes apart?

Latest WB CFSV2 30 day average seasonal (December thru February)

Are we talking about watches or warnings? Seems to me watches are often issued in our area with marginal parameters in place and don't result in an actual confirmed tornado anywhere. Warnings are issued (mostly) based on radar indicated rotation within an ongoing severe storm, for localized (county level) areas. Case in point the cells that were warned on the eastern shore last evening, apparently all produced a tornado. The results from the survey team should be available on Friday.

WB latest EURO weeklies for August.

On the subject of lobster, does anyone here actually go to Red Lobster?!

The first 15 days look very warm and AN. That’s been obvious for awhile now. Not overly hot but 1-2 AN. What the month will be remembered for will be the consistent humidity

For a few days. Then it cools off. I don’t see anything that changed.

This explains some “things”. As promised….

Go for it. I doubt 10 billion gallons of floodwaters from Springfield, Hartford and Middletown would do much damage.

Picked up another 1/2” with that cell in central suffolk

“Medium confidence”, and “low grade”. Who has the “agenda” here?

Do they come with a fresh salad and prune juice to wash it all down?

That’s about half a mile from where my folks have a place. Go there all the time.

Do we really get bad air quality anymore? Also if its warmish around Xmas but we get a blizzard in late Jan/early Feb, is that ok? Nino winters generally aren't very cold around here. The historic Modoki of 2009-10 was just cold enough to produce big snowstorms multiple times. The beast of a -NAO had a lot to do with that. The one legit cold powder storm occurred in late Jan after 5 weeks of no snow, and kicked off the pattern that resulted in back to back blizzards.

The few ACATT were posting cold and BN maps in the Augdewst thread today . It’s been obvious for a week plus now of a big humid WAN month . You really have to wonder how high they are and what their agenda is

No water to boil them