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Euro has the main ball of vorticity at the same latitude but a little further East owing to a greater separation of southern and northern energy
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What snow showers are expected later today that nj dot has all the electronic message boards lit up with that?
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That look would throw good snows back to ALB
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Idc about the ai lol that model sucks
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AI is basically a miss with maybe 1/2" for us and little or nothing around metros.
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Nice! I've noticed these broke containment across the mountains. I mean that may happen Thursday depending on things. Hopefully we get blasted.
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That always happens when it shows 6” for us.
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Euro out here in a few so we wait
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We have had a couple bursts that made the road wet. If it was colder I think we might have a dusting
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
ORH_wxman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
It was a pretty huge hit over interior New England. -
I give yoy credit you called that one out. It's snowing here again now (at 40°)
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Ukie not updating on Pivotal and only partial info on other sites.
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Heavy snow and blowing currently. We've been waiting for this fellas.
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Eh I've got to give a huge amount of credit to the gfs in the short range at least. Euro wasn't even showing today until it's last run yesterday.
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Temp is down to 25 and have about 1.5" otg. Fortunately wind hasn't been a huge issue so far. But a great day to watch football and make a big 'ol pot of beef stew.
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Fyi, GfsAI has fairly similar snowfall to regular Gfs from what I can tell by piecing 6hr precip maps with 850 temps. Very rudimentary, of course, but close enough to get close to what it's showing for snowfall.
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We're down to the GFS & GEFS. We'll see how the ECM and UK look. This sort of has the feel of a glimpse of a chance slipping away.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
mahk_webstah replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Inland runner? I think that’s what the comments seemed indicate. It’ll change. -
How about 15 lol
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FWIW, 12z GEFS trended better for everyone. A lot of the complete whiffs or OTS misses are fading. Looking more likely that we get some kind of accumulating frozen from this first event.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Gfs? -
We had some light snow showers here as well this morning. The snow moved out about 10:00AM. About 5 minutes later, the wind started howling at 20-25mph sustained. I was out running and hit a headwind which slowed me down and about turned me into a popsicle. Wind chills are COLD! What a sharp contrast to last week.
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Nice little flurry storm here in Gainesville out of nowhere. Some rain mixed in as well. 45f
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GfsAI has an overrunning event that starts as snow but goes to something else. So the idea similar to last night's runs is still there.
