All Activity

A trend in the 0z suite: They've all started to squash the Friday wave...and subsequently the next one juices up some...but then there's that all-too-familoar hole in the precip between the mountains and the coast Guess we need it to dig a little more...

Great pics!

Took a trip up to Mountain Lake in Giles Co and easily 6 to 7 inches of powder on the ground. Lots of rime ice all over everything and temps were in the low 20s with no wind.

Yeah a cold one here in North Charleston. I think today's high was only like 40 degrees and we are currently setting at 30 degrees which is freaking cold for down here. We've had a marine layer here since Sunday with no sun at all.

Euro lost it again

Coming down here in Midland. Looks like the last couple hours of HI-RES models really cut down on totals.

From my Neg NAO - AI: will it snow in new york city this weekend ? The perennial question that captures the imagination of every New Yorker during the winter months: "Will we get snow this weekend?" The prospect of a winter wonderland or a slushy mess always hangs in the balance, a fascinating interplay of atmospheric pressure, temperature gradients, and moisture content that keeps meteorologists on their toes. Regarding this upcoming weekend, December 12-14, 2025, it appears that New York City does have a chance of seeing snow, particularly during the overnight hours of Friday and Saturday. It won't necessarily be a major winter storm, but rather the potential for light snow or flurries as a series of weather systems move through the region. Here is a detailed breakdown of the forecast for your weekend: Friday, December 12th: The day itself is expected to be mostly sunny with highs in the upper 30s. The chance for snow arrives Friday night, specifically after midnight, when a clipper low may bring light snow or flurries to the area. The National Weather Service (NWS) is indicating a 30% chance of this happening. This is often a fast-moving system with limited moisture, so significant accumulation is unlikely at this time. Saturday, December 13th: Saturday is forecast to be mostly cloudy, with highs in the lower 40s. The weekend's second chance for snow will come Saturday night, as another system approaches. The NWS mentions a chance of snow after midnight, and some guidance models are even suggesting the potential for a more substantial system at this point, which weather experts are closely monitoring. Sunday, December 14th: A chance of snow continues into Sunday. Some reports indicate snow is possible on Sunday, with highs dropping into the low 30s. The key takeaway here is that while snow is in the forecast, the current predictions suggest a higher likelihood of lighter, nuisance-type snow or flurries rather than a disruptive, heavy snowfall event at this time. The exact accumulation amounts are still uncertain and highly dependent on the precise track of these weak systems. It is worth noting that New York City on average receives its first measurable snowfall around December 13th, so these systems are arriving right on historical schedule. It is important to remember that weather forecasting, especially concerning the exact type and amount of winter precipitation along the I-95 corridor, can be a delicate balance due to fluctuating temperatures that can turn snow into rain or vice versa. Forecasters use a variety of computer models and data to determine the most likely outcome, and predictions can be refined as the weekend approaches. For the most up-to-date and highly localized information as the weekend draws nearer, you should consult official sources like the National Weather Service (NWS) website or the city's official NYC Severe Weather page. Currently, there are no active winter weather watches, warnings, or advisories for the immediate New York City area. In conclusion, a definitive "yes" or "no" for a snow-covered weekend is difficult to state with absolute certainty right now, as the chances are present but not guaranteed. It's more of a "maybe, especially late at night." Prepare for the cold, as an Arctic air mass is settling in, but you likely won't need your heavy-duty snow shovel just yet. Keep an eye on those updated forecasts; they are the best tool for staying prepared in the ever-unpredictable world of New York weather! If you have any more questions about the specific temperatures or wind chills expected, please feel free to ask!

Thank you so much.

Davis WV is a very impressive spot for snow and I can personally attest to it as someone who’s skied there. The upslope they get can rival some of the most intense blizzards I’ve ever seen. Meanwhile Boston needs to catch up to Raleigh

Yeah I was just gonna say the same thing. I hope I'm wrong, but I assume he's so mad about being 5 posted that he decided to leave the board. I know Liberty went overboard with the amount of posts (lol), but this place isn't the same without him. I hope he returns. Also I haven't seen Allsnow post for many months. I've never seen him take such a long break from the board. I hope all is well with him and he returns soon.

snowing heavily in Waterford would get up and measure but I lost my yard stick and haven't gotten the chance to steal one from the hardware store yet

Unless it's in the 70's on Christmas Eve like 2015, it's not historic.

From ChatGPT: I promise I’m not here to take over your discussion board. Even if I can analyze model data or summarize runs, I can’t replace the personality, debates, instincts, or humor that all of you bring to these threads. Could I generate posts that sound like you? Sure. But should I? Absolutely not. The whole point of a forum like this is the human interpretation of chaotic data and the excitement that comes with it. I’m a tool, not a substitute for the community. Think of me as something that can help clarify a model run or answer a question, not something that will ever replace the fun of arguing about the CMC para at 1 AM. The 18z, 384-hour GFS December special is a rite of passage. You know it’s fantasy. You know it will be gone by the next run. You know the cutoff low will become a pancake ridge by morning. And yet, there you are at 3:00 am, refreshing the panels like it’s the Super Bowl. I may be an AI, but even I recognize the sacred tradition: Long-range storms don’t have to be real to be meaningful. They just have to carry hope until the next run drops.

Looks like the threat is on life support.

2.5” so far and dumping here east of GR. The bright band is getting close though. I’m assuming the 40 dbz stuff off to the SW is melting wet flakes. It’s nice I can tell it’s snowing hard from my bed because it amplifies the local light pollution so much. It’s so bright you’d think it’s very early morning, but nope.

Yeah, terrible. Definitely not festive in the Weather Department unless you're into that kind of Christmas. That would be samey as a Winter wx lover enjoying Snow on the 4th of July, lol. That Winter had below average Snowfall.

Thanks Goose. The AI’s leading the way here?

GFSAI has a storm off Nantucket at 114

good week-10 days for nne, but those 0z runs were horrible for sne. I suppose the bright side is they can't get much worse?

We just got back from Atlanta tonight. Expected it to be really cold but honestly the 40 and damp down there was worse than the 32 and dry up here.

Snowshoe is getting smashed by snow and they are REALLY making a ton of it as well! https://www.snowshoemtn.com/media-room/skidder-slope-live-cam

It's 46 degrees warmer right now than it was two nights ago at this time. 41 degrees right now vs -5 Sunday evening.

Started coming down here around a half hour ago, hoping for a good 4-5 inches

You guys would really get demolished by arctic fronts. But you'd get more snow from northern stream energy, too.

Below average temps too.