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As per usual, current radar shows a big dryslot over the Skook. It'll eventually fill in, but I've seen it enough to have it irritate me a bit.

Absolutely salivating looking around at soundings. This one is New Haven, CT from 6z NAM

Same here, except 2 inches on the grass. Beautiful morning. Don’t have to shovel

SS Storm Chase And Forecast Team - Mid Atlantic LLC Favorites ·tdronesopSlagahm882fm0tmtft318hh1f1l78m7a0g3t720368f826ci8f6 · LATE SEASON WINTER STORM IS ON TRACK TO AFFECT OUR AREA !!! **ANY CHANGES IN TRACK WILL AFFECT TOTALS SIGNIFICANTLY. **WE WONT KNOW THIS UNTIL THIS EVENING WHEN THE COASTAL LOW FORMS OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. Just a few REMINDERS! @8 AM Blizzard Warning For PHILLY AREA was added overnight! Keep in mind these few key points….. 1. Precipitation will start this morning for many as light Rain or Rain/Snow. THIS IS AND WAS EXPECTED! 2. STORM will not be very impressive until LATE afternoon or evening around 3-6 PM. Once the sun goes down the coastal storm will gets its act together and rapidly strengthen. This will allow precipitation to get thrown our way from the ocean and that’s when accumulating SNOW will begin to pile up. Best time for accumulation snow to fall will be OVERNIGHT tonight into Monday. 3. **REMEMBER** A slight change in track can make BIG changes in totals. A more WEST track would give us higher snow totals AND a track even SLIGHTLY EAST would LOWER totals. LET THE EVENT PLAY OUT!! ***This storm will take time to get organized and cranking. Be patient and LET THINGS PLAY OUT! It will be SLOW GOING until AFTER SUNSET. We are watching and waiting! A STORM THIS SIZE DOES WHAT IT WANTS! Stay Tuned! we Will update throughout the day!!!! (AS NECESSARY) Please consider donating to our Coffee And Food Fund! We are Exhausted but we will keep going and keep you SAFE! We truly appreciate your support! Please Copy And Paste Our Name to avoid copy cat accounts! Venmo: @ssstormchasingllc CashApp: $SSSTORMTEAM GOD BLESS AND STAY TUNED Enjoy The EARLY MORNING SHORT RANGE SHREF MODEL! #TeamSS-LLC-2026 SMH idiots…why are they using a SERF mean snow map? Probably because it shows the most snow…

Upton sneakily slowly getting caught up.. 16-24" south of Merritt, 16-20" north winds up to 60mph..

Mt Holly forcast of 10 to 14 tonight and 2 to 4 tomorrow. Seems a bit over done. This looks like a 5 to 8" event for my area based on most guidance now.

light snow here 32

Wasn’t expecting a fresh half inch of snow this morning. Looks like some moisture rolled through around 6 AM.

I have partially melted snowflake mixing in at 36.0 degrees

Changeover will come earlier than progged for many of you. That swirl in the Great Lakes is going to combine with the developing coastal low and bring some heavy snow to many of you. Many will be pleasantly surprised. Man I wish I was in New Jersey where 24 inches of wind driven snow is imminent. It would look very Mammoth-ish, driven by 65 mph winds.

We had 30” in March 2023 (sorry Scooter…ptsd) 23” Jan 2026. I won’t complain unless we get under 12” here. Expecting 16-20

Question is does it just sort of flip from N/W to S/E and then stay all snow (even if non-accumulating for awhile), or does it pulse back and forth and be rate dependent during the middle of the day before a flip to snow for good mid-late afternoon?

Moderate rain at a toasty 37 in silver spring. Need the winds to turn and crank in the deeper cold from El Norte

The ground is coated from the light snow in Larchmont.

Light rain and 35. .02" of rain so far.

It’s been 16 years since I hit 20”. Regardless, this could be an all timer when you run a cat 2 cane through the BM in Feb …

It’s gonna be top 5 for me, could be #1. NEMO is the only one I can remember that compares to what’s on the table.

Light sprinkles of rain at 37 F here.

Yeah, anything we get, in my book, is a bonus. I have been around long enough, can only count big busts by Wakefield on one hand. Rooting for the northern neck and wish I could have chased to the peninsula.

Not sure I have the so-called protective areas, but I do get your point. I do feel it can still be done though with fairly decent accuracy. But winds and drifting do indeed make storms like this on the tougher side to measure things normally.

We're all just waking up. Any snowy weather is still half a day plus away.

34, only rain at 800’ here in Western Loudoun.

So the Blizzard of '26 begins as light rain. As Joe Beradelli says, "The devil is in the details". Is the western ridge positioned correctly? Is the high to our north oriented for favorable cold air? Where will the dry slot form? Will the dry slot be too large? Many things to consider besides just model agreement. As stated before, I hate the term "banding". Most convective systems produce "waves" of varying degrees of intensity of the precipitation. When I think of banding, I tend to think more in terms of deformation zones, points of occlusion, ocean air warm fronts, etc. Throwing banding out there is just a cop out. Models are crunching areas of higher precipitation, like eastern Monmouth County in NJ and Staten Island. Will we have winds of 35 mph or more for greater than 3 hours across a major portion of the region, or will this be confined to just eastern parts of Long Island or the Jersey shore? Since the potential exists, the NWS is obligated to issue the warning. But as some mets know, wind is perhaps the most overly "exaggerated" feature forecast by the models. We shall see shortly. Probably my last best chance of a major snow storm before my move down to Tennessee. Best of luck to all...

Joe Cioffo of the famed Joe and Joe Weather show just upped his total for my area to 15 to 20 inches. He pushed the area wet of Philly up as well. This was 7 AM. His reasoning is some of the short range models are not picking up the underlying explosive dynamics of the storm

Gorgeous full clouds here. About half inch last night think it snowed for like 4 hours