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That would go to wey

I was just telling my mom that I think 3-5in is a really good call right now for Lehigh and I am suspecting that we end up with a Winter Weather Advisory when all is said and done for that exactly. Lolipops of course of localized 6-7in in spots, but I really like 3-5in for those areas.

My obligatory post. Extremely jealous as my temperature tickles 90F.

considering that the GFS has absolutely owned literally every other piece of guidance so far, I might give it a bit more credence

We gonna reel this in! Or not. Who knows?

Maybe we can get statewide travel bans for 2-3" in the Berks again like we did in Juno I'd probably sign for the 6+" of arctic sand I got, but do recall being quite disappointed at the time

Maybe a bit bold, but I told my family in Berks and Lehigh to expect 5-8" right now. I think 3-5" is safe, but I'm thinking there could be an outer fringe 700mb fronto band that surprises. Dual band type of precip shield. Would feel even more comfortable if I was NW of 95 if the closed 700 mb low passage was tucked closer to the coast. My fear is this tries to slip east last second just based on past PTSD lol

Hold on and love your significant other and kids like Mt Holly does to the NBM

A little bit. But who cares because 1. it's not a huge shift at all, and 2. it's the SREFs.

Drove from I-295 in Johnston into CT and from Scituate/Johnston line was horrible, heavy snow maybe 1-2” and then into CT to 395 and not much at all. @The 4 Seasons 1/5” of mostly sleet

I'm nervous about this storm. 50 miles East and NYC gets advisory level snow. 50 miles west and it's a major KU. There's almost no room for error.

ya it awesome out right now! sucks it wont last long.. wind also picking up

Sooooo you replaced weed with shrooms? Ok then..

Enjoy your exhaust

Snow is accumulating on the roads and elsewhere now, down to 32°F.

Front has just made it thru here. Hit 82 right before it hit. Currently 72 and dropping. Winds were howling with the passage.

There's no definition of a KU if/until they publish another edition. It was a curated list. It's like a HOF debate in sports.

This is the understatement of the year .

What did Boston get for the Jan storm? Was it around 23”?

Traveling from Cape Cod to Atlantic City on Sunday morning.............TIMING IS EVERYTHING....

The GFS is the only model going negative tilt so fast so the low tucks in more near the coast. All the other guidance has the low consolidating a little further east and a slower negative tilt. The GFS is usually incorrect when its coastal low is the furthest west of all the other guidance. Sometimes the Euro does the same thing. I would probably shade toward the other guidance at this point and just broad brush the forecast to indicate that the chances for a 6”+ event near the coast are increasing and issue winter storm watches and wait until tomorrow to refine the warnings and higher end potential areas.

the impact of the heavy sleet on top of the snow makes it as impactful as a deeper snow; it was a very hard cleanup with crews still working locally even last week. i've never seen cleanup efforts take so long, not even march 93, which was even icier...but it warmed up after a few days.

Let's keep small trends NW until go time. Pass over Chatham. People move to the Cape for no snow, so let them have rain.