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  2. True. Actually the top three that I have memories of are 2005, 2022, and 2015. 2013 had viscious winds which was a plus as well. But my father tells me that 1978 was in a league of its own. I hope I get to see one like that in my life.
  3. There is always a cutoff on the north side. There is a precip shield on the NW side we just aren't in it. That low is pretty far south at that point . As the low moves NE and deepens the precip on the NW side becomes more impressive but its all offshore.
  4. Don't think we'd have the gridlock today with social media but would t o see a storm like that again. I remember back in 78 they thought the storm was too far East to give us a good hit, it wasn't til close to go time they realized what was happening.
  5. Way to many Boston references in there coming from a supposed New Yorker.
  6. 4 days until the first flakes would be flying. Nam isn't even in range yet
  7. This is so close we are not going to have all the answers till at least Friday or Saturday IMO because there is a good chance of at least some snow in the Region
  8. 2005 was 78-like over the Cape. Over 3' there with gusts 80+.
  9. I mean, if you want a snowstorm I feel like you want the NAM to verify at 500 here. Thats one I look at the 500MB pattern and think “how does this miss” Most of the other guidance I look at right now and say “how does this hit” I don’t trust those bowling-ball lows the GFS, CMC, and Euro have to produce since those are tough to drag northward as opposed to kick with more eastward force Of course it’s the 84hr NAM so…
  10. Anyone else enjoy torturing themselves by watching Deep Creek Lake webcams where it its just fluffy dendrites 24x7 for no reason at all and they just casually pickup a couple inches a day... while we do whatever it is we're doing down here...
  11. the only thing positive I can post is the 12z GEGS ensemble members. Lots of good hits for now.
  12. Who is starting the February 4 South Carolina-Wilmington-East Georgia Storm thread
  13. Yeah I swore I was going to start a weather blog this season but between life and a big promotion at work I've not had a lot of time. Women also... Been busy there also lol.
  14. Not at all. It’s a very volatile setup where small changes aloft can result in significant changes at the surface. That said there are larger features that aren’t favorable-the kicker coming from the Dakotas, early closing off and positive tilt. We need one or two of those to change around soon.
  15. I'd like to see another 1978 at some point in my life. Not the gridlock of course but the same snow totals. 1996 and 2005 were great but from what I've heard they were still quite a few steps below 1978.
  16. Once the Euro suite begins trending west it generally continues . We’ll see
  17. I agree, I think this hits hard from Wlksboro East, Western NC gets typical upslope and precip from the initial piece sliding down from Minnesota.
  18. And now we wait for the king to do its thing. Most important 12z euro run many of us have seen in a long time.
  19. Not necessarily. Canadian improved and GFS had that last minute tug NW.
  20. I know it does not mean much, but it is nice seeing the broad Weather map from The weather prediction center showing at least parts of East TN in the heavy snow possibility/. Morristown must not be buying it, at least not yet..
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