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  2. ChescoWx
    For those on Team Snow while rare we have had significant snowstorms as early as October. Below are our top such snowstorms. The biggest one occurred just 15 years ago back in 2011. On the website https://chescowx.com/top-snowfalls-by-month/ you do this for all months and even drill down into each storm to see the individual amounts across the area.
  3. WxWatcher007
    First big AI fail it seems with Champi hitting Taiwan.
  4. ChescoWx
    Below is factual real climate data for Chester County PA that shows no statistical warming at all....for more of these and to not clog up this forum - have at it over on the Climate Change section of this great forum - thanks!
  5. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  6. ChescoWx
    For those on Team Snow while rare we have had significant snowstorms as early as October. Below are our top such snowstorms. The biggest one occurred just 15 years ago back in 2011. On the website https://chescowx.com/top-snowfalls-by-month/ you do this for all months and even drill down into each storm to see the individual amounts across the area.
  7. sbnwx85
    zzzz
  8. ChescoWx
    I address all of this and more over under climate change where this belongs...to not clog up the good folks here with non observation stuff! Thanks!!
  9. LakePaste25
    shorter wavelengths can help pull the vortex west later in the season, but it’s also negated if the warm pool keeps shifting further east like it has been. Precisely why Feb 1998 didn’t get better.
  10. jaxjagman
    Figured it would go though the Luzon maybe towards Hong Kong around there,seems to be going to get sheared out the next upcoming days,dunno
  11. LakePaste25
    They’re just delaying the inevitable. It’ll happen, whether it’s the last week of October or sometime in November.
  12. NorthHillsWx
    https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/E/W/OBS_Radar.html Wild radar loop showing land interaction heavily influencing track (normal for cyclones near Taiwan)
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Huge fail for AI models. Champi just made landfall on Taiwan
  14. GaWx
    Thanks, Chris. Good find! I went further and looked at all ATL Octs for +1.3+ Ninos back to the late 1800s (24 of them) and found only three that were 1.8+ warmer than normal, which is ~where the full Oct 2026 is projected. But they were all only higher end moderate: 1918 (+1.4 Nino): 65.8 (3.1 AN) 1941 (+1.3 Nino): 69.4 (5.9 AN) 2002 (+1.3 Nino): 65.4 (1.8 AN) The full Oct 2026 is projected to come out to ~66.1F or ~1.8 AN, which would tie with 1899 for the warmest vs normal for any Nino stronger than +1.4 AN (I count 17 of them back to late 1800s). The warmest ATL Oct anomalies for El Niños stronger than +1.4 peak are: 1899 (1.8 AN) 1991 (1.6 AN) 2023 (1.4 AN) 1986 (1.2 AN) 1994 (1.1 AN)
  15. forkyfork
    you're avoiding my question
  16. Today
  17. WmsptWx
    I saw earlier this morning where as we go into November, the chances of AN precip and temps increase after the first week of November, as el Niño ramps up, so this next stretch of dry may be it for a while.
  18. A-L-E-K
  19. CAPE
    Seeing some decent color now. Can tell winter is coming with all the light coming in on the south side now.
  20. canderson
    Yikes
  21. Terpeast
    This is what I mean when I say goa low butting up against the west coast and zonal flow across the east. I think winter will look something like this
  22. WeatherGeek2025
    Cold day! Blustery fall dry day! I'm not sure I like it especially when I didn't pick up my jacket!
  23. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  24. Itstrainingtime
    Pretty crazy 7 day QPF map considering how far away the closest rain is to us as well as how long it's been since it last rained.
  25. Avdave
    Beautiful mornings this past week and it looks to continue. This has been so nice.
  26. Keith Central PA
    So when it snows will you come back here and say you were wrong? You predicting 0 snow for NYC I guess..ok we'll see in March if you were right. And if you are I will commend you forky!
  27. Stormlover74
    Umm WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 32 possible.
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