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  2. tamarack
    Still at cloudy 65°, not a great sign of convection to come.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Yup. We'll see that severe thunderstorm watch in the next 20 min I reckon.
  4. NJwx85
  5. LVblizzard
    Sun is starting to peek out in Lehigh County. A little quicker than I expected. Hopefully that little blob of rain out near Harrisburg either fizzles or passes to the south so the atmosphere can continue to destabilize.
  6. WestBabylonWeather
    Rain was so intense that the weepholes couldn’t keep up on our new window. I had to put a towel to catch overflow. The tray filled up. Thankfully i was home
  7. yoda
    FDK cell may need a TW soon... 70mph winds and tornado possible tag in it in latest SWS
  8. bristolri_wx
    Gotta love how that intial heavy cluster of storms will not cross Long Island Sound into CT. Seems like you could be at the beach where it's dry and go swimming and it would pour on you.
  9. dendrite
    Wow is his webbed grip strong. I apologize for the emoji. Please let it rain.
  10. 87storms
    Storm weakened a bit on the northern side, but still getting a good shower. Looks like Ballenger Creek area is gonna get rocked.
  11. hooralph
    Suddenly getting brighter here on the UWS. With the smoke, for all I know it could be clear?
  12. Brian5671
    run of the mill thundershowers here-dropped about .75 but has ended
  13. Eskimo Joe
    While everyone is focused on the severe weather risk, we've busted into Heat Advisory criteria south of I-70. Some places pushing 110s for heat index.
  14. Intensewind002
    1.13" and still raining heavily here, fairly frequent lightning for 2 hours now
  15. ncjoaquin
    Being on a lake in a storm is the worst!
  16. SnoSki14
    Yeah that's where the biggest threat would be. No surprise here they are the tornado capital of the northeast
  17. CoastalWx
    I wonder if this stuff is gonna screw up SNE later.
  18. yoda
    Another MCD for C into S VA into NC with STWatch needed soon in it... I guess we will get lumped into that Mesoscale Discussion 1649 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026 Areas affected...ortions of southern Virginia...western North Carolina...far northeast Tennessee...southeastern West Virginia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 181756Z - 181900Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will continue to increase in intensity this afternoon with a risk for damaging wind gusts. Trends are being monitored and a Severe Thunderstorm Watch is likely. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms continue to develop across the higher terrain of WV, NC and VA at 1755z, and also along a confluence zone extending from northern VA into western NC. Despite weak mid-level lapse rates, diurnal heating of a moist boundary layer has contributed to MLCAPE of 2000 to 3000 J/kg and low-level lapse rates of 8.5 to 9 deg/C. In the presence of minimal CINH, storms should continue to increase in coverage through the afternoon and move generally east. Shear in the cloud-bearing layer will average 20-25 kts across northern portions of the discussion area and 15-20 kts farther south, sufficient for updraft organization and a risk for damaging wind gusts. Trends are being monitored and a Severe Thunderstorm Watch will be needed shortly. ..Bunting/Thompson.. 07/18/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...LWX...RAH...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX... LAT...LON 36938187 37458132 37957998 38207909 38197842 37907734 37557681 36927645 36077666 35487802 35237929 35118087 35298160 35678207 36228209 36938187 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
  19. kdxken
    Rain and heavy smoke. For those on the spectrum enjoy.
  20. high risk
    I think they're going to do what I suggested earlier. Put a tornado box to our east and northeast where the better low-level shear is in place, and put a severe box over the rest of MD and northern and central VA.
  21. SnowenOutThere
    I suppose memorable is a sliding scale. I didn’t mean to imply we’ll see a widespread tornado or severe outbreak, but I think it might be a day where we reference it by date in the future when discussing upcoming severe systems.
  22. yoda
  23. Psychguy
    Tornado watch just issued.
  24. NJwx85
    Tornado Watch
  25. high risk
    It's going to be an active day for sure, but I'm not sure I'm ready to say that it will be memorable. You're spot on about the high end instability, but while the shear is good, low-level shear is marginal and might actually decrease through the afternoon as the warm front advances to the northeast.
  26. Voyager
    Yeah, it got better here too Is the rain more widespread that originally forecast? I thought there would be a distinct lull, and even potential clearing between the first round, and what comes later, but looking at radar, clouds and rain still stretch across most of the central part of the state from southwest to northeast.
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