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  2. forkyfork
    the euro has a cold 2m temp bias in winter but they never talk about that
  3. JenkinsJinkies
    Starting a few minutes ago everything has been locked behind a login screen.
  4. MN Transplant
    We know the op runs are overdoing it at range, but the AI and Ensemble runs do support near 100. Temps at DCA at 2pm 7/2 through 7/4 AIFS - 99/100/97 AIGFS - 99/101/93 EPS - 101/102/99 GEFS - 102/100/95 CMCE - 102/102/94
  5. SnoSki14
    Idk about all that but clearly the super Nino is not fully in charge of our weather. We're getting a lot of Nina influences which makes forecasting winter very challenging.
  6. dendrite
    I feel bad for the few legit international people whose registrations I turn down, but 99.9% of the foreign IPs are spam, bots, or phishing attempts. It’s “American” weather so we come first.
  7. powderfreak
    Ha, 11 members and 9K guests.
  8. SnoSki14
    Idk it's got model and ensemble support and we're still a few days out. Ridges have only trended stronger as we got closer. In addition the overall dry environment would make higher temps more plausible. I think some 105+ readings are on the table.
  9. Damage In Tolland
    Thank you for becoming an ICE agent. We thank you for your services.
  10. dendrite
    Good catch. I blocked guests and new registrations for now. They were mostly foreign IPs. It’s already faster.
  11. CAPE
    0.00 here Mount Holly realized their forecast yesterday morning was waaay too bullish given the weakly forced environment for this 'event'. Decent PWAT and some afternoon heating along with the weak front moving through is pretty much all this has going for it. There will probably be some localized heavy showers and maybe a rumble of thunder in a few spots but many locations will see little to nothing.
  12. CoastalWx
    Hopefully it sounds Fort McHenry in 1812.
  13. IrishRob17
    Up over 9,000 guests now.
  14. JenkinsJinkies
    It's not over yet
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Forecasting a high of 100° for D4 sure is a thing.
  16. Superstorm
    Blistering heat coming .
  17. WxWatcher007
  18. snowman19
    2009-10 is not even remotely close to being an analog. It’s actually the worst “analog” known to man for this event, I don’t know why you continue to insist that it is
  19. CoastalWx
    Gonna go to Phantom Fireworks and light them off on the chicken run.
  20. winter_warlock
    Damn. Stay hydrated bro!!!
  21. canderson
    At the national zoo. It was quiet but since the rain is not going to materialize it’s getting crowded. And quite more humid. Sun wants to break through. Carrying around an umbrella for zero reason is fun. But it is pouring up at home in Harrisburg. We need rain desperately bad and are in a bad drought.
  22. IrishRob17
    Is it normal to have 8,500 guests on this time of year? Are those online stats accurate?
  23. mahantango#1
    More good rains this morning here .31 so far.
  24. PhiEaglesfan712
    -PNA is another promising sign for this upcoming winter. 2009-10 was a -PNA, as well as 1957-58 and 1965-66 to a lesser extent. If we can get the -NAO/-PNA/near neutral PDO combo, like in 2009-10, this winter may be decent.
  25. snowman19
  26. dendrite
    Oh man we pray. Shut’em down.
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