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I like the next weekend potential better....

Maybe I missed it but I did not see any AIGFS discussion for the 15th. Looked better at h5 I think? Trough seems stronger and tilts more negatively a smidge earlier, but still a bit too late.

this is why we look at ensembles and not OP runs

The op was nice for the 18-19 but of course the Gefs decreases overall qpf in that time period. Go figure.

Might be time to break out the Jon Hamm in the club meme as I look at the op runs.

I won’t be in town therefore it’s guaranteed to hit.

The 0z ECM at 168hr looks remarkable similar to 246hr. It easy to say now that we prefer the later threat, but when that threat gets nearer it might not look any better.

I meant because Tblizz wrote it off lol.

I’m ready to be hurt again.

I'll trade places with you...lol

you do get the sense there's incremental improvements. It's just that the flow being stressed east of the W biased ridge isn't [ probably ] going to provide an arena for chunk move in this case. Truth be told ... the position of that PNA ridge actually argues for a storm track between Detroit and Buffalo. That'd be a hoot. Hasn't been a model run yet painting that dystopian image hahaha.

40 inches over my head, definitely high chance of verifying!

Not bad at all actually.

Thanks Weather Will.i.am. Where is the love?

or you can just stay ignorant and post snow maps to add dubious value. Two paths. Glad the better one is being taken

Not gonna lie the past two days have been a nice reprise from our actually cold December and November. In a weird way my body feels like it’s late February because it’s been so long since December snow.

i fly into MHT on the 19th

Well yeah, I forgot what times we are in. I'll text you around Wed if we're still looking.

Nah you don’t understand the goal of being young on a forum of 30+ year olds and wanting to prove then that you can learn. Hes gonna be goated trust me

Yes. Kinda hoping that becomes the focus in the models and we don't end up in the the 15th thing messes up the one after scenario...

WB 12Z GEFS.....trough is not going negative. Right now looks like a fish storm next week.

I think his account was hacked, I’m calling the police. 12z euro about to roll let’s see what we got.

Yup. Cold powder. [Insert "The Good Ones Are Sniffed Out Early" Here]

At most - 1 inch up here, and all of that came in the morning with the first round. As expected, we totally whiffed on round 2 in central Larimer county. Glad to see that it performed for some of you.

well hey, it's trending that way right now