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  2. Based on radar and some of the wind observations today with the highest gusts being recorded inland from port Arthur, Nederland, to Beaumont, it seems almost likely the storm continued to strengthen for a period after landfall, contrary to NHC estimates
  3. Storm totals so far with the worst falling between Warren and West Livingston. Storm motion is slowing, but the circulation is holding together quite well.
  4. 90 mph gust reported earlier in port Arthur: https://x.com/mattdevittwx/status/2094914628283224102?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g
  5. Seaside ? Wildwood? Point Pleasant ? LBI?
  6. Today
  7. I think seeing our first Aleutian low of the El Nino will be key
  8. Or maybe its right . The next two runs will be key .
  9. Topped out at 95° at ORD and 94° at MDW yesterday. ...2026 90°+ Day Tally... 14 - MDW 13 - ORD 13 - RFD 12 - PWK 12 - ARR 11 - UGN 11 - LOT 9 - DPA
  10. LOT runs high on DP's more often than not on higher DP days.
  11. 1:34am thunderstorms are trying to initiate again in West central Pa with still a decent amount of instability leftover in the mid and upper levels.
  12. Decided to leave work a little early this evening in anticipation of some creek and river turbidity.
  13. Yeah I heard the second The fire in my neighborhood turned out to be a shed fire, and the property owner was able to get the fire out before the fire company arrived. I heard sirens heading to another emergency shortly thereafter. The School house Ln fire was probably where they were heading. Hopefully everyone's okay. It wasn't the most strokes that i've ever seen, but man, the groundstrokes meant business.
  14. ^It must have an error with surface based warmth then.
  15. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  16. 0Z UKMET has Edouard’s little sis like the 12Z run sort of had with its 1010 non-TC low, but is notably stronger with it as it has it as a TD: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 150 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+150 : 28.8N 95.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 08.09.2026 156 29.5N 96.9W 1003 29 0000UTC 09.09.2026 168 31.1N 99.1W 1007 21
  17. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  18. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  19. Don't use tropical tidbits for Cansips. Its 2m Temp maps are off bad. Like its not what Cansips really has. Look at the difference in tropical tidbits Jan compared with another site. I am not sure what Cansips forecasted for August but 500mb is not terrible
  20. I'll give it another day or two before I post September forecast numbers for BKViking to submit. Here is the update on Max temps so far this summer. Reminder the error is for every degree off is only 1 point off. Green indicates that it was a record high tied or set that day of the max temp, most of these should remain untouched but will revisit this again in mid October. August results were updated on the bottom of last page.
  21. Its 0.0 month lead forecasts are so bad that it will probably hold that look up until Dec lol
  22. Another one just got hit and is working fire off of Lewisberry at school house Ln.
  23. Often times when seasonal guidance misses, it never caves....it just misses.
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