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GFS was juicy up here

I certainly see your pattern. Congrats on Thursday…you should do better than most, but you’ll still bitch and moan.

Current ob: quite cold out. 29 with a wind chill of 22

Didnt you say that about Christmas week? And arent we going to be at or about freezing through the first week?

Absolutely. It does suck for some areas, but it’s been pretty good here. This is the 2015 WOR payback I guess lol.

That’s how averages are made.

The storm or December? I think for CT its been a good-very good December. Definitely the best here since 2020. Probably gonna end up around -5 for December, above average snowfall with many days of snow cover, can't ask for much more than that. Just speaking for CT and specifically S CT. Should end up around 12" for DEC here.

It's not even January yet and this thread is: dumpster-fire-gif-14.mp4

Oh well. And it wasn’t 95% of the area. Maybe 65%.

When you look at what fell in most areas and especially the departures we have, it became a wasted month aside from pond hockey. That’s what sucks. You know next December will be +5 loaded with rain events.

Euro weeklies were really good allegedly if you're up for grasping those straws

I still hold to 1/12-1/14 before any big change happens. Looks more and more likely it is around that time.

I think some people are stuck on the fact that many spots got single digit totals for December and they dread what it might mean for the rest of the winter since it’s a colder ENSO state. I don’t know the sample size of such winters so you can’t be too confident in these inferences.

^I wont be staying up/getting up early to see the potential flurries. HH has begun and will continue for the foreseeable future. New Years eve eve.

20-21 and 21-22 weren’t that bad.

Well since it was good in his driveway, it makes up for everyone apparently. See a pattern here? One good snow event changes the entire narrative, just like one cold month in a sea of warmth. Like I said, one decent snow event doesn’t make up for the torture of the last 5 years

I mean, by default, aren’t I speaking for my area? . And yes, a 9” snow event completely absolves the garbage that has been 2020-25 snow

This is 18z model interpretation. Less than .10 ". Are we talking about ice-fog? I wish we had a threat but this seems desperate.

It’s sucked in 95% of the area

Mount Holly's take for tonight. Pretty much ditto for tomorrow night for here, with a solid dusting to an inch or 2 possible up into east central/NE PA. Skies will be mainly clear early, however will see a thickening and lowering in cloud cover after midnight as a strong, quick- moving shortwave approaches. This wave will be lacking moisture in the low levels as it treks east but may remain strong enough in the mid levels to overcome the dry air in place over the Mid- Atlantic. So, while there may be a slight chance (~20%) of snow showers near the I-95 corridor, have opted to at least include the mention of flurries areawide during the 4 AM to 10 AM timeframe on Wednesday. Outside of a light dusting in isolated areas, no accumulation is expected. Lows will be in the low to mid 20s with wind chills in the teens for the majority of the area, with mid to upper teens and wind chills in the single digits in the higher terrain.

The rollercoaster ride that keeps on giving

I keep refreshing hoping for that 500mb ripple showing up in the four corners region to develop but so far, nothing.

Absolutely. Some folks completely out to lunch. They think they live in British Columbia, or the inter mountain west, or maybe central Quebec. It was a great autumn…perfect actually with the step down. November got increasingly colder, and December has been quite wintry, especially compared to previous years. There’s always gonna be haves and have nots. Very Late January and February 2015 was incredible, until you got to WOR…then it wasn’t incredible for us…but it’s just how it goes. We were the have nots during that period. So I get it.

CPC just came in with crushing news for snow weenies across most of the US. Warm and mild, only colder pockets here in the northeast. Looks like pushing the ridge out over Central US was just temporary. Most of CONUS goes right back to warmer temperatures and that forecast is for 1/8-1/13. Most will have to punt first half of January. Never a good sign imo