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I am going to guess the NAM is a bit overdone with the mid-level lapse rates which could put a bit of a damper on the potential in terms of higher-end potential stuff, but that would still probably be a tornado outbreak across PA/southern NY into NJ.
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Hold me
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Well summer is done for awhile.
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Our next severe event possibiility
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Heavy violence across PA on Thursday via the 6z NAM
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Lawn was crispy yesterday... .18 last night won't cut it .33 for the month
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Caught a quick mover for about 0.3. Boy did radar look nice over and NE of Balt last night. NE MD pummeled
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Nino 3.4 officially warmed by 0.2 in today’s update from +0.7 to +0.9: 1+2 3 3.4. 4 06MAY2026 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.5 13MAY2026 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.6 20MAY2026 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 27MAY2026 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.7 03JUN2026 2.1 1.0 0.7 0.7 10JUN2026 2.1 1.0 0.9 0.7 https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/rel_wksst9120.txt -
Decent drink this morning. 0.51"
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm sure someone is going to explain why it wouldn't be enjoyable and would entail certain economic collapse and death, but we are hammered with the over GW, anyway....so excuse me if I salvage bit of solace form the prospect of my final days being snow-filled. -
0.40” here. Much appreciated. Sky is clearing out. Dews dropping.
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1.6" rain last night don't hate me
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49 here this morning.
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Another half inch of rain overnight. Some thunder and lightning.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 61 with .35" of rain. Beautiful days ahead before things turn interesting for Thursday. -
Stein cancelled! Now let’s sweep these dews out to sea.
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Currently 57.7/52.2 with partly cloudy skies after a 56.4 low. Picked up 0.93" from several rounds of thunderstorms and showers yesterday afternoon thru about midnight.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
"It plays a crucial role in the climate system, helping regulate global weather patterns. Its collapse would have enormous implications, including much more extreme winters" On no, not that... -
best climo stuff
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Not too big of a surprise that the models have less rainfall in the forecast this week than in earlier forecasts. New EPS forecast June 15-22 Old EPS forecast June 15-22
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1.05 for the total here
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We were grazed by a cell yesterday and logged 0.03”. So monthly total is now 0.03”
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Superstorm replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
0.64” in the rain bucket. Nice drink for the lawns and crops. . -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Ended up with the usual 0.40". AC off, windows open, 65F/DP 60F. -
0.0” yesterday but what a beautiful two day stretch we have starting today!
