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This is HHH?? I'll take it all summer if it is Today A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Light and variable wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Tonight A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely after 2am. Patchy fog. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Thursday A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 5pm. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 71. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Thursday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. South wind around 5 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Friday A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. West wind 5 to 8 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
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50.6F Euro is on the warmer side here this week...hope it's right. The mesos at best keep the airmass tainted with easterly modification. Staying cooler may be better for the fruit trees if we are going to freeze again next week.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Like yesterday morning, low of 60 when I left the house but this time with some rainfall to report, to the tune of .05”. Today will feel like mid July. -
So far 2026 has been running cooler than 2024 and 2025, but warmer than 2023. If 2026 warms as much in the remainder of the year as 2023, then a yearly record is likely. However, warming in 2023 was unusually large for an el nino onset year. We will need to see monthly records begin to be broken in the summer to have a chance of breaking a yearly record. Will be a good test of whether the unusual warmth in 2023 was anomalous or caused by the large earth energy imbalance.
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2026-2027 El Nino
jconsor replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Nice points. I agree - the lean toward La Ninas has acted as at least a slight brake on the global temp rise over the past three decades. Global temp anomalies past 10 years or so have increased more rapidly in the extratropics than the tropics. See this post from Dr. Joseph Fournier: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/joseph-fournier-7077087_following-the-15-year-great-hiatus-2000-activity-7449541780481654784-8jWQ? The attached graph is from the same post and is generated using satellite temperature estimates. -
Three more days of HHH . Not looking forward to Sunday and Monday chill
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One unit permanently on the side of house and others are windows
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I agree it's ironic. I think that mainly has to do with how slow the downward propagation ("drip down") of above normal heights from the stratosphere to the troposphere was this year. See the attached graphic of polar (65-90N) height anomalies past several months, courtesy of meteorologist Todd Crawford on LinkedIn. Here's his full post: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/todd-crawford-5a02092_the-stratospheric-polar-vortex-spv-had-activity-7447251962808569889--JnW?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop&rcm=ACoAAAB0F_QB1PGc4wDzKl0eXPl_N7X02RAnqV4 Looks to me like there is a direct link between the recent increase in polar blocking (starting in early Apr near Scandinavia with a separate area near the Arctic Circle) + the forecast near-record strength Greenland blocking last week of Apr, with the notable stratospheric warming event in late Feb and early Mar.
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Do you have central air, splits, or just install/uninstall window units?
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Yeah it was pretty toasty. Tough to get the motivation to install when you know a week of wood stove is coming.
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Bet there was a lot of hot homes last night and 911 sheets stuck to bodies calls. We slept
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Summer heat
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But without knowing how warm it was in SNE, I have to admit it felt good up here.
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April being April
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Both nams have a lot of elevated instability tonight. Overnight bangers.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Linden launch Williamsport Pa. 60 degrees and pretty good fog this morning. .12” of rain yesterday -
Another pantless morning
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Even BIL in Plymouth had a tstm. Hope we get some tonight like hrrr has. Fert is dropped. Now we rain hopefully.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
.37" after I went to bed last night. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Seeing how we swing the pendulum back to almost winter again next week, I'm beginning to think this summer is going to be a roller coaster ride of hot one week, cool/cold the next. -
Still, given how much the map was lit up with warnings, and all the places that were seemingly slammed per radar, I would have expected to see at least a bit more than 5 reports on the SPC page. But I'm sure more (delayed) reports will gradually trickle in throughout the morning.
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Eh everyone’s asleep. Heck my whole family is snoring right now
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Not a drop, but watched a good light show to the north. Palatable bust.
