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Rain and then a nice warm spell. Let’s wipe it clean.

Welp, the wind went calm, -8 at the moment.

IMBY 16.9 degrees.

At least the NWS is not saying partly sunny for Sunday anymore! Sunday A chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Models ticking towards euro. C-1” for Kev. Maybe 1-2 elsewhere on euro.

I drive through your township almost every day hauling spring water down to the plant in Fogelsville. Look for me in a rust orange colored Mack pulling a 6,200 gallon tanker.

-10° this morning. House is 65 degrees. Sitting down on my coal stove this morning. Sipping coffee Monday and retired, no place I have to be. Stay warm!

Ray gets his rain.

Nam ticking NE.

Well... Euro now north. NNE ftw on this run, and GFS correcting towards it. Not what we want to see down this way

As we get started on Monday, the Euro, Canadian, and GFS all have a storm in the same general window next weekend. As of now, it looks like the further N and W you are from the metros, the better you. This is also in line with WPCs current thinking.

WB 6Z GFS. Low dies over Tenn. Valley this run and starts a slow transfer to the coast.

Zzzzzzz

WB 6Z NBM para for weekend

Still plenty of time but this looks like its trending away from Winter Weather.

Interestingly, looked back at my Tempest for last January - 29.3. This Jan - 29.7. Two sub 30F January’s in a row in Toms River, last February finished up at 35f.

Mt Bachelor is starting to get pummeled again, they got 10 inches snow in last 24 hours

Ironic. In 1934 at -20, "Much discomfort, but actual distress seems rare..." Cut to 2026, +3, little discomfort, but distress is through the roof.

The other 0Z ops are also quiet. But here’s the 0Z GEFS:

You're right that climate change isn't linear (almost nothing is) and that there are other factors, but it really boils down to emission-caused warming. Saying otherwise is dodging the issue imo. And applying the non-linear logic just makes things worse for us as the climate is warming at an ever increasing rate! DC's snow climo used to be around 20 inches; it is now 13.8. I was reading an old (2018 or 19) CWG article the other day and it cites DC's climo as a bit over 15 inches, because that's what the average was for the 1981-2010 data period. That's a 1.5 inch decline (20+% of the total loss) from a mere 10 year shift! That's a shocking statistic that I never would have guessed before I started learning about this stuff. I'm no expert, but that's my two cents.

Except that now the Euro looks like the GEM, .

Please please don't say this (see my username)