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  2. Here's my first call on what I think is going to happen in our forum. More confidence in a 30 mile corridor along DC/Balt and NW. Less confidence in the SW quadrant of this map (so please don't hammer me if you live somewhere like Roanoke or Cville.
  3. Looks almost like a copy and past of the NBM stuff. I knew they were going to go big when i saw the NBM yesterday. Then i read the WSW and its for 6-12 which is extremely confusing to the public when its like half the amounts the maps have. Theyve already started walking those numbers back across NYC/LI and south shore, i suspect that will continue to be the case in the next 24hrs.
  4. And theres still more time for this to change till Saturday night and Sunday.
  5. Ok Mets put your money where your mouth is . Kalshi app. [emoji3] .
  6. 06z GFS with an absolute monster Miller A for Feb 1. Wow.
  7. I think we are all good for a foot before a flip. more for you, PSU, highstakes, Mitch, tssn, etc. it wouldn’t surprise me if yall stay pure snow while I sleet
  8. https://www.pennlive.com/news/2026/01/the-10-biggest-snowstorms-that-buried-central-pennsylvania-and-brought-life-to-a-standstill.html?utm_campaign=pennlive_sf&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook&fbclid=IwY2xjawPgNXFleHRuA2FlbQIxMQBzcnRjBmFwcF9pZBAyMjIwMzkxNzg4MjAwODkyAAEe8uNczIz0GM_C_nvs-_0eqQM5_t3bv-eBjl21ANo1i-ZxM25ap0BQuQK_QEY_aem_H6lPhQV8U1N4Kv3Z-Vo3tA
  9. I find it interesting that nws did not update their forecast discussion yet this morning, This is unusually late. Waiting on additional data is my guess.
  10. I was hoping the warm layer would have eased on overnight runs, but was just a dream. Sleety up here by mid afternoon Sunday.
  11. I think I like 10-15” for your backyard, and I SHOULD be far enough n/w for 12-18” (wishful thinking?)
  12. It’s doing what just about any SWFE does. If you want all snow from these you want to be on the I-90 corridor. This is a bigger SWFE than usual with better front end snow but it’s behaving typical for them.
  13. After the epic storm drought we've had I think it would take us getting less than 7" for me to feel slightly jibbed. I do think now we end up in the 12"-14" range much more than 16"-18" range it won't affect my enjoyment Sent from my SM-X210 using Tapatalk
  14. Yep, much as I want 15” I just don’t see it around the city/coast. I-84 corridor is another story. I’m quite confident we’ll be mixing but hopefully most of it’s over by then. My thought is still 8-12” for NYC/LI/I-78 to 80. And honestly I consider 10” with some sleet pounded in to be a good win.
  15. My point and click has added snow to Sunday night now Saturday night 3-5 Sunday 7-11 Sunday night 2-4
  16. noticed ALY has taken the map away from the watch page, and the regional map doesn't match other offices maps, odd
  17. Got some sleep, @Weather Willbrings the heat daily
  18. Has anyone done, or know how to do soundings for northwest NJ? I've seen a couple for NYC and Philly, but nothing for NW Jersey.
  19. Love that GFS run for my yard. Latest ens means have low pressure too far offshore, for now. Probably need the trough more neutral/negative sooner or its going to be a scraper/offshore.
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