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Looks like today is the last day of wet pattern for Frederick and Glen Burnie. The rest of us will continue to drought as the dry pattern sets back up.

This is the actual ERA 5 temperature map which produced the climate record for June 2026. The Pacific Arctic area to the north of Alaska did have its coldest June since the 1940s as I mentioned in my first post. But you can see how the total area from 80N to 90N had zones closest to the warmest on record on the Atlantic side. So the actual rank of the high Arctic wasn’t the coldest on record. Since the totality of the Arctic north of 60N had the warmest June on record. Even the less reliable ECWMF only starts in 2002, so an apples to apples comparison to any year earlier than 2002 can’t be made. This is why we use Era 5 for comparison to times since the 1940s.

Notice that Charleston SC and New Haven, CT are "rural" stations. There were large reverse heat island effects at 2 of the COOP stations in "rural" Chester County. Bottom-line US historical weather data is very inconsistent. It needs to be carefully analyzed not cherry-picked.

The shifted nature of the ridges further south than usual over the CONUS is probably related to the persistent marine heatwave and 500 mb pattern from Japan to north of Hawaii driving the -PDO and contributing to the +AMO. A recent study found that this process is operating independently from the El Nino. So this more La Nina background pattern is overlapping with the developing super El Nino. If this interaction continues into the winter, then the El Nino ridge axis normally south of Hudson Bay could be located further south than usual. We’ll just have to see how the pattern evolves moving into the winter. https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adz4647 Marine heatwaves in the Northwestern Pacific (NWP) have become increasingly frequent and persistent, yet the mechanisms enabling their multiseasonal duration remain poorly understood. Through observational analyses and climate model experiments, we demonstrate that NWP marine heatwaves are primarily driven by a quasistationary wavenumber 5 circumglobal wave (CGW) pattern that operates independently of El Niño–Southern Oscillation. The CGW modulates surface heat fluxes during summer, triggering a self-reinforcing feedback loop where NWP warming intensifies the CGW pattern, amplifying and prolonging heatwaves across extended warm seasons. Additionally, CGW-driven summer warming in the northern North Atlantic persists into winter through oceanic thermal inertia, exciting a great-circle wave pattern that propagates back to the NWP, sustaining heatwaves through cold seasons. This interplay between atmospheric waves and trans-basin interactions enables multiyear marine heatwave events. Analysis of observational data and climate model simulations reveals a strengthening CGW influence in recent decades, indicating more frequent and prolonged NWP marine heatwaves under ongoing global warming.

Yeah I lived in Takoma Park then it was an intense storm

Euro dry af over n il, summer doldrums incoming

Looks low end

Nice

Noticed last week around Narragansett RI they had water ban signs up all over town. They also had all the beach showers and water turned off. I think Narragansett uses groundwater wells and they are exceptionally low. The Providence Journal just published an article yesterday but its paywalled. Here is the headline. To understand why Gov. Dan McKee, in June, declared a drought watch for only the second time in Rhode Island in 24 years, you need only look at the precipitation numbers over the last 12 months. In nearly every month since June 2025, the state has fallen short of the historical average, leading to a cumulative deficit of 13.4 inches for the year and a total that’s at only 80% of where it should be.

Overall a big model bust on rain today. MRX new afd seems pretty skeptical of the heavy rain delivering Saturday as well, which leads them to doubt flooding. Models are handling everything very poorly, which has been a theme all spring and summer.

Yeah, there definitely was some positive feedback over Lake Erie that night with the convection helping to develop a mesolow, which in turn then kept the convection relatively stationary and intense.

Central Park was 85, not sure where the 82 came from.

Today's Highs: LGA: 89 JFK: 88 EWR: 87 TEB: 87 PHL: 87 BLM: 86 New Brnswck: 86 TTN: 86 ACY: 86 ISP: 85 NYC: 82

Some of these tornado videos are beautiful. They kept saying a stove top tornado could be an EF-5. I'm like no it's not. Turned out to be an EF-3 165 MPH winds.

Doesn't sound like nearly as hot as they were hyping a few days ago though.

I also love how everyone has to say, "we're doing this to save lives." No, you're tornado junkies.

I love how a certified weather spotter is a thing. You take a two hour class and you're given a speech. Here's your diploma!

Not sure if this has been seen, they're doing another show about Tornado Chasing and some of these kids are probably going to get killed. Season 1 for the 2025 season, zero fatalities. Randomly crossed it in my Amazon Prime account. In the Eye of the Storm: Chasers (TV Series 2026– ) - IMDb

0.25" from a robust but quick a moving cell. 1.50" for the week and month.

The chart implies that the mix of stations is different depending on the year. Changing mix, alone, means one is not consistently calculating the same mean across time.

I mean, ball kind of don’t lie. Ponds and streams are easily the lowest I’ve seen them in my area in the 7 years I’ve been where I’m at.

Amazing with Sandy, we couldnt get gas in city. Drove up 95 and crossed into CT. First exit, gas for everyone. That really opened my eyes to the disfunction and regulation of the NY government…even in a crisis.

Certainly solve the problem. I'd have a coronary before I got too hot

Looking at that heatwave I happened to look at the normals out there this time of year. Salt Lake City averages 93° and Denver 90° on July 10. That’s as warm as Miami (90°)!