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43.6 at 12 midnight which is coldest for time of the season

Agree. Sadly, had it done this a few days ago, it might have slipped through the weakness.

Cold air is 4000 ft up, in WVA

Pretty impressive convective blow up over the center now. If Melissa can maintain central convection upshear, the storm should take off. We've seen a few organization attempts that have failed, let's see if this one can succeed.

Something used and relatively inexpensive. You don’t want to jump in with a huge investment until you know if it’s something you like. If you look around Facebook marketplace or Craigslist you can find decent deals. If you have never been on one, you might want to try one out a tour company. They usually have moderately powered sleds that are set up for easy learning. As for specific makes/models, I really like Ski Doo 4 strokes. For a beginner, they are reliable, easy sleds to learn on, particularly the non-turbo models. My wife and son have both had 600 ACEs. They are a very good sled for beginners. As you gain experience you can move up to bigger motors like @WinterWolfand @dryslothave. There are too many stories of newcomers hopping on powerful sleds that they can’t control ending tragically.

Keep it moving west

The 18z Euro AI is almost exactly the 11pm NHC track

Wow you guys are COLD! And where I am we may be actually getting some badly needed rain tomorrow night!

For a beginner, is there a particular make/model that you’d recommend?

Was told tonight we will need to turn the furnace on this weekend. @Itstrainingtime I mentioned how disappointed this would make you.

With a robust CAD setup, there is a significant chance that there will be at least one day next week with highs only in the 40s in the Triad .

Did you snow check a 25?

Very happy with my Comp E-Tec Turbo R. Incredibly clean running, precise and very little smoke for a 2-stroke as you know. Cleanest two strokes out there for sure.

For sure!

And priced as such.

Next one will be the 4-stroke Turbo R

63 today. Been looking at my old snow photos. I’m ready for some snow. Some early season snow would be nice

Really, I was still mixing it..no wonder why it was smoking so bad. All kidding aside, Amazing how far they’ve come…works of technological marvels now.

I’d be down for a Manitoba Mauler or Saskatchewan Screamer. Alberta Clipper? Meh. Overrated like the Ravens.

I hope people here realize that the chances of us seeing anything from Mellisa is near 0%. Don’t get your hopes up for no reason. Just accept nothing is gonna happen and move on. At least that’s what I’m telling myself.

Guessing that’s a hit! Damm where’s the cold air? (Our theme coming up)

finally this thread is active again with one of my favorite posters posting. regarding the discussion, though, we're poised for a colder November, right? Long range shows a decent pattern for cold.

In case you didn't know as well, You don't have to mix the gas and oil together anymore................

AAM, which as expected has risen to near neutral after a long period of solid -AAM, is progged to return to La Niña supporting solid -AAM in early Nov: @snowman19

-Atlantic 2025 ACE finally just reached 100. -Though Melissa has yet to produce much ACE (2.2), there’s a whole lot of potential based on the NHC forecast of a combo of very slow movement for many days and reaching cat 4 status in a few days. IF this all materializes, we’d realistically be looking at the possibility of 30+ more ACE though forecasting the ultimate intensity is at a well above average difficulty for this storm. This is still struggling with shear and thus has been holding pretty steady. On the low end, this could never get much above cat 1 and end up with <15 total ACE. Of course, Melissa may not be the last storm. My pre-season prediction was 139 by the way.